Monday, November 23, 2009

Week 13: Top 25 -- TFG

Some more shuffling at the top, but the Florida, Texas, TCU, and Alabama are starting to separate themselves from the pack.

Rank
+/-
Team
WinPct
SoS
Off Pts
Def Pts
Pace
001
+2
Florida
0.9627
0.5712
29.7
8.9
77.8
002
-1
Texas
0.9518
0.5380
29.5
9.8
86.2
003
-1
TCU
0.9507
0.4657
25.9
8.6
83.8
004
--
Alabama
0.9464
0.5912
24.1
8.3
80.7
005
--
Ohio St.
0.9257
0.5256
21.1
8.3
83.2
006
+3
Penn State
0.8958
0.5197
21.3
9.6
82.3
007
--
Boise St.
0.8954
0.3601
27.4
12.3
84.7
008
-2
Oklahoma
0.8904
0.6965
21.8
10.0
90.4
009
-1
Virginia Tech
0.8890
0.6000
23.8
11.0
81.5
010
+6
Texas Tech
0.8569
0.6218
27.5
14.2
90.2
011
+1
Nebraska
0.8449
0.5180
18.9
10.1
82.3
012
-2
Oregon
0.8417
0.6050
22.6
12.2
93.1
013
-2
USC
0.8409
0.5704
21.0
11.3
85.3
014
-1
LSU
0.8298
0.5629
20.3
11.3
81.9
015
--
Iowa
0.8245
0.5539
19.5
11.0
82.2
016
-2
Clemson
0.8087
0.5962
21.1
12.3
84.1
017
--
Cincinnati
0.7970
0.4998
22.0
13.3
85.8
018
--
Mississippi
0.7958
0.6210
21.6
13.0
83.4
019
--
Pittsburgh
0.7908
0.5127
23.0
14.1
82.3
020
+1
Utah
0.7887
0.4065
21.1
12.9
85.8
021
+2
BYU
0.7643
0.3966
22.9
14.8
84.0
022
--
Georgia Tech
0.7565
0.6174
27.6
18.1
79.6
023
-3
Oklahoma St.
0.7511
0.5894
23.6
15.7
83.7
024
NA
Miami-FL
0.7412
0.6700
22.3
15.1
84.0
025
NA
North Carolina
0.7353
0.6476
17.2
11.8
82.6

New entries: Miami-FL, North Carolina.

Dropped out: Oregon State, Stanford.

A mere two weeks ago there were eight teams playing above-0.900 ball; this week it's down to five.  The top 13 teams have broken into four packs
  • Florida, Texas, TCU, and Alabama;
  • Ohio State;
  • Penn State, Boise State, Oklahoma, and Virginia Tech;
  • Texas Tech, Nebraska, Oregon, and USC.
Oklahoma continues to see decreasing efficiencies on both sides of the ball, only remaining in the top ten thanks to lackluster play from Oregon, USC, and LSU.  The Sooners were dismantled by a Texas Tech team on the rise -- making me the official loser of our first "No, You're An Idiot" weekly segment -- but the teams immediately below them were unable to make up any ground.  Oregon needed two overtimes to put away (28) Arizona, USC had a bye week, and LSU had some issues reading the clock in a loss to (18) Ole Miss.

Outside of the BCS Bowl picture the story of the last four weeks has to be the North Carolina Tar Heels, who have gone 6-1 since losing at home to Virginia.  UNC has climbed 29 spots in that span, including wins over (42) Boston College, (24) Miami-FL, and (9) Virginia Tech.  Their only loss during that stretch was a 30-27 heartbreaker against (39) Florida State.  If UNC defeats (80) North Carolina State next week, they'll hoist themselves into a likely three-way tie for second in the ACC's Coastal Division.  Their companions in this tie?  Miami-FL (already done with their ACC slate) and Virginia Tech (visiting (59) Virginia this weekend).

This week we'll take a look at the BCS Bowl picture and project possible matchups.