Rank | +/- | Team | WinPct | SoS | Adjusted | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Off. | Def. | Pace | |||||||||
1 | -- | Alabama | 1.000 | 0.548 | 15 | 26.3 | 4 | 4.9 | 1 | 157.2 | 120 |
2 | -- | Stanford | 0.992 | 0.543 | 26 | 29.2 | 1 | 10.3 | 10 | 167.2 | 50 |
3 | -- | LSU | 0.992 | 0.551 | 12 | 23.8 | 9 | 6.5 | 2 | 160.6 | 112 |
4 | +1 | Oregon | 0.975 | 0.531 | 44 | 26.2 | 5 | 9.4 | 4 | 176.2 | 3 |
5 | +1 | Oklahoma | 0.975 | 0.545 | 23 | 25.4 | 7 | 9.6 | 5 | 171.2 | 17 |
6 | +2 | Oklahoma St. | 0.957 | 0.549 | 14 | 26.9 | 3 | 13.9 | 40 | 172.9 | 8 |
7 | -3 | Wisconsin | 0.957 | 0.536 | 37 | 28.0 | 2 | 11.2 | 17 | 162.0 | 107 |
8 | -1 | Boise St. | 0.957 | 0.462 | 93 | 26.2 | 6 | 9.7 | 7 | 168.9 | 33 |
9 | +1 | Southern Miss. | 0.941 | 0.484 | 76 | 21.3 | 17 | 14.4 | 45 | 168.6 | 36 |
10 | +1 | South Carolina | 0.923 | 0.542 | 28 | 20.5 | 21 | 9.7 | 6 | 158.0 | 119 |
11 | -2 | Clemson | 0.922 | 0.527 | 57 | 20.4 | 23 | 13.4 | 36 | 166.6 | 63 |
12 | +6 | Georgia | 0.909 | 0.552 | 9 | 19.9 | 28 | 11.3 | 18 | 159.7 | 114 |
13 | +8 | Ohio St. | 0.908 | 0.531 | 46 | 19.2 | 36 | 10.0 | 9 | 159.3 | 116 |
14 | -1 | TCU | 0.904 | 0.461 | 94 | 23.8 | 8 | 12.9 | 32 | 168.1 | 41 |
15 | -3 | Arizona St. | 0.904 | 0.529 | 51 | 21.3 | 16 | 10.5 | 13 | 173.9 | 6 |
16 | +1 | Florida St. | 0.901 | 0.550 | 13 | 20.4 | 25 | 10.4 | 12 | 166.2 | 68 |
17 | +2 | Florida | 0.886 | 0.556 | 8 | 20.9 | 20 | 8.2 | 3 | 161.5 | 109 |
18 | +6 | Nebraska | 0.874 | 0.531 | 47 | 21.5 | 14 | 12.6 | 27 | 166.7 | 61 |
19 | -3 | Arkansas | 0.867 | 0.568 | 1 | 22.1 | 12 | 12.8 | 30 | 165.7 | 76 |
20 | -5 | Texas A&M | 0.867 | 0.552 | 10 | 20.5 | 22 | 12.1 | 24 | 172.1 | 12 |
21 | -7 | Michigan St. | 0.867 | 0.544 | 25 | 19.6 | 30 | 10.3 | 11 | 167.2 | 53 |
22 | -2 | USC | 0.865 | 0.535 | 40 | 18.7 | 41 | 12.0 | 23 | 166.9 | 58 |
23 | -1 | Notre Dame | 0.835 | 0.565 | 2 | 21.1 | 18 | 11.5 | 21 | 164.9 | 84 |
24 | -1 | Iowa | 0.826 | 0.521 | 60 | 18.1 | 43 | 13.7 | 37 | 163.9 | 93 |
25 | NA | Virginia Tech | 0.800 | 0.526 | 58 | 17.3 | 50 | 11.4 | 19 | 158.3 | 118 |
New entries: Virginia Tech.
Dropped out: West Virginia.
No change in the top three this week, as (2) Stanford put up pretty good numbers against a ranked (22) USC. You may have heard that (1) Alabama and (3) LSU were off this week in preparation for Saturday's Game of the Century*. The upwardly mobile teams this week are (13) Ohio State, (12) Georgia, and (18) Nebraska. Each of these teams exceeded expectations on defense, which tends to distinguish between ranked teams more than offense.
The (9) Southern Miss anomaly still exists this week, but thanks to an awesome pointer by reader DSMok1, we may be able to tweak the algorithm a bit to fix it. He has a really slick write up of the Working-Hotelling Method and its application to the NCAA basketball tournament. I usually have little time to adjust my algorithm mid-season, but I'll make an effort to set aside some time this week to incorporate this into my algorithm.
* As opposed to Alabama-Florida 2009, Michigan-Ohio State 2006, USC-Texas 2006, Nebraska-Oklahoma 2001, Nebraska-Oklahoma 2000, ... Why haven't we moved past this by now?
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