Monday, October 31, 2011

Week 10: Top 25 -- RBA


Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama 1.000 0.548 15 26.3 4 4.9 1 157.2 120
2 -- Stanford 0.992 0.543 26 29.2 1 10.3 10 167.2 50
3 -- LSU 0.992 0.551 12 23.8 9 6.5 2 160.6 112
4 +1 Oregon 0.975 0.531 44 26.2 5 9.4 4 176.2 3
5 +1 Oklahoma 0.975 0.545 23 25.4 7 9.6 5 171.2 17
6 +2 Oklahoma St. 0.957 0.549 14 26.9 3 13.9 40 172.9 8
7 -3 Wisconsin 0.957 0.536 37 28.0 2 11.2 17 162.0 107
8 -1 Boise St. 0.957 0.462 93 26.2 6 9.7 7 168.9 33
9 +1 Southern Miss. 0.941 0.484 76 21.3 17 14.4 45 168.6 36
10 +1 South Carolina 0.923 0.542 28 20.5 21 9.7 6 158.0 119
11 -2 Clemson 0.922 0.527 57 20.4 23 13.4 36 166.6 63
12 +6 Georgia 0.909 0.552 9 19.9 28 11.3 18 159.7 114
13 +8 Ohio St. 0.908 0.531 46 19.2 36 10.0 9 159.3 116
14 -1 TCU 0.904 0.461 94 23.8 8 12.9 32 168.1 41
15 -3 Arizona St. 0.904 0.529 51 21.3 16 10.5 13 173.9 6
16 +1 Florida St. 0.901 0.550 13 20.4 25 10.4 12 166.2 68
17 +2 Florida 0.886 0.556 8 20.9 20 8.2 3 161.5 109
18 +6 Nebraska 0.874 0.531 47 21.5 14 12.6 27 166.7 61
19 -3 Arkansas 0.867 0.568 1 22.1 12 12.8 30 165.7 76
20 -5 Texas A&M 0.867 0.552 10 20.5 22 12.1 24 172.1 12
21 -7 Michigan St. 0.867 0.544 25 19.6 30 10.3 11 167.2 53
22 -2 USC 0.865 0.535 40 18.7 41 12.0 23 166.9 58
23 -1 Notre Dame 0.835 0.565 2 21.1 18 11.5 21 164.9 84
24 -1 Iowa 0.826 0.521 60 18.1 43 13.7 37 163.9 93
25 NA Virginia Tech 0.800 0.526 58 17.3 50 11.4 19 158.3 118
Rankings through games of 2011-10-30


New entries: Virginia Tech.

Dropped out: West Virginia.

No change in the top three this week, as (2) Stanford put up pretty good numbers against a ranked (22) USC. You may have heard that (1) Alabama and (3) LSU were off this week in preparation for Saturday's Game of the Century*. The upwardly mobile teams this week are (13) Ohio State, (12) Georgia, and (18) Nebraska. Each of these teams exceeded expectations on defense, which tends to distinguish between ranked teams more than offense.

The (9) Southern Miss anomaly still exists this week, but thanks to an awesome pointer by reader DSMok1, we may be able to tweak the algorithm a bit to fix it. He has a really slick write up of the Working-Hotelling Method and its application to the NCAA basketball tournament. I usually have little time to adjust my algorithm mid-season, but I'll make an effort to set aside some time this week to incorporate this into my algorithm.

* As opposed to Alabama-Florida 2009, Michigan-Ohio State 2006, USC-Texas 2006, Nebraska-Oklahoma 2001, Nebraska-Oklahoma 2000, ... Why haven't we moved past this by now?


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