Legitimate Title Contenders
| LSU Tigers | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | WinPct | SoS | Off. | Def. | Pace | ||||||
| 2011 | 0.992 | 2 | 0.549 | 15 | 24.6 | 8 | 7.3 | 2 | 160.4 | 111 | |
| Date | Away Team | Home Team | Odds | Plays | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011/09/03 | 9 | Oregon | 27 | vs | 8 | LSU | 40 | 56.5% | 184 |
| 2011/09/15 | 8 | LSU | 19 | at | 25 | Mississippi St. | 6 | 64.1% | 150 |
| 2011/09/24 | 7 | LSU | 47 | at | 26 | West Virginia | 21 | 35.3% | 188 |
| 2011/10/01 | 57 | Kentucky | 7 | at | 4 | LSU | 35 | 84.7% | 162 |
| 2011/10/08 | 13 | Florida | 11 | at | 3 | LSU | 41 | 54.8% | 141 |
| 2011/10/15 | 2 | LSU | 38 | at | 29 | Tennessee | 7 | 82.7% | 143 |
| 2011/10/22 | 31 | Auburn | 10 | at | 3 | LSU | 45 | 87.0% | 144 |
| 2011/11/05 | 3 | LSU | 9 | at | 1 | Alabama | 6 | 27.0% | 143 |
| 2011/11/12 | 95 | Western Kentucky | 9 | at | 2 | LSU | 42 | 98.4% | 151 |
| 2011/11/19 | 2 | LSU | 42 | at | 87 | Mississippi | 17 | 96.6% | 161 |
| 2011/11/25 | 9 | Arkansas | 21 | at | 2 | LSU | 34 | 82.3% | 162 |
Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-1.3
Most difficult game left: November 25, vs Arkansas Razorbacks, 82.3%
Notes: Ole Miss hasn't had their Houston Nutt special upset this year, but after losing to Louisiana Tech, I wouldn't count on it. This means that LSU's season boils down to two games: (9) Arkansas and (13) Georgia, not shown here. The Tigers will be considerable favorites in each game, leaving them as our most likely undefeated.
Most difficult game left: November 25, vs Arkansas Razorbacks, 82.3%
Notes: Ole Miss hasn't had their Houston Nutt special upset this year, but after losing to Louisiana Tech, I wouldn't count on it. This means that LSU's season boils down to two games: (9) Arkansas and (13) Georgia, not shown here. The Tigers will be considerable favorites in each game, leaving them as our most likely undefeated.
Second-Tier Hopefuls
| Oklahoma State Cowboys | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | WinPct | SoS | Off. | Def. | Pace | ||||||
| 2011 | 0.958 | 7 | 0.549 | 16 | 28.4 | 3 | 13.5 | 38 | 173.0 | 8 | |
| Date | Away Team | Home Team | Odds | Plays | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011/09/03 | 113 | LA-Lafayette | 34 | at | 12 | Oklahoma St. | 61 | 94.4% | 196 |
| 2011/09/08 | 32 | Arizona | 14 | at | 10 | Oklahoma St. | 37 | 53.2% | 185 |
| 2011/09/18 | 9 | Oklahoma St. | 59 | at | 59 | Tulsa | 33 | 70.7% | 202 |
| 2011/09/24 | 10 | Oklahoma St. | 30 | at | 14 | Texas A&M | 29 | 52.7% | 199 |
| 2011/10/08 | 89 | Kansas | 28 | at | 9 | Oklahoma St. | 70 | 89.9% | 186 |
| 2011/10/15 | 9 | Oklahoma St. | 38 | at | 35 | Texas | 26 | 52.3% | 184 |
| 2011/10/22 | 8 | Oklahoma St. | 45 | at | 28 | Missouri | 24 | 63.8% | 187 |
| 2011/10/29 | 45 | Baylor | 24 | at | 6 | Oklahoma St. | 59 | 68.5% | 190 |
| 2011/11/05 | 33 | Kansas St. | 45 | at | 7 | Oklahoma St. | 52 | 61.1% | 181 |
| 2011/11/12 | 7 | Oklahoma St. | 66 | at | 62 | Texas Tech | 6 | 78.4% | 179 |
| 2011/11/18 | 7 | Oklahoma St. | 42 | at | 71 | Iowa St. | 24 | 82.2% | 171 |
| 2011/12/03 | 4 | Oklahoma | 28 | at | 7 | Oklahoma St. | 31 | 69.0% | 172 |
Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-1.8
Most difficult game left: December 3, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 69.0%
Notes: RBA considers (71) Iowa State to be as dangerous to (7) Oklahoma State as Arkansas is to LSU because the Cowboys haven't shown defensive consistency throughout the year. Then, the Cowboys still have to play their Bedlam game against (4) Oklahoma, where they will be only 69.0% favorites. However, thanks to conference attrition, Oklahoma State doesn't have to contend with a conference championship game.
Most difficult game left: December 3, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 69.0%
Notes: RBA considers (71) Iowa State to be as dangerous to (7) Oklahoma State as Arkansas is to LSU because the Cowboys haven't shown defensive consistency throughout the year. Then, the Cowboys still have to play their Bedlam game against (4) Oklahoma, where they will be only 69.0% favorites. However, thanks to conference attrition, Oklahoma State doesn't have to contend with a conference championship game.
Long Shots
| Houston Cougars | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | WinPct | SoS | Off. | Def. | Pace | ||||||
| 2011 | 0.598 | 50 | 0.473 | 84 | 20.9 | 19 | 17.8 | 73 | 175.2 | 4 | |
| Date | Away Team | Home Team | Odds | Plays | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011/09/03 | 66 | UCLA | 34 | at | 67 | Houston | 38 | 50.7% | 170 |
| 2011/09/10 | 63 | Houston | 48 | at | 111 | North Texas | 23 | 68.4% | 186 |
| 2011/09/17 | 67 | Houston | 35 | at | 79 | LA Tech | 34 | 64.5% | 205 |
| 2011/09/29 | 64 | Houston | 49 | at | 95 | UTEP | 42 | 75.5% | 178 |
| 2011/10/08 | 93 | East Carolina | 3 | at | 57 | Houston | 56 | 56.0% | 182 |
| 2011/10/22 | 99 | Marshall | 28 | at | 46 | Houston | 63 | 70.9% | 169 |
| 2011/10/27 | 98 | Rice | 34 | at | 48 | Houston | 73 | 81.7% | 179 |
| 2011/11/05 | 48 | Houston | 56 | at | 119 | UAB | 13 | 84.0% | 176 |
| 2011/11/10 | 50 | Houston | 73 | at | 113 | Tulane | 17 | 90.1% | 187 |
| 2011/11/19 | 66 | SMU | 27 | at | 50 | Houston | 35 | 61.5% | 170 |
| 2011/11/25 | 50 | Houston | 28 | at | 44 | Tulsa | 34 | 49.5% | 173 |
Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-3.3
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Tulsa Golden Hurricane, 49.5%
Notes: The Cougars keep winning, but they're still ranked only the 50th best team in the country by RBA. They're still the underdog against (44) Tulsa, so the Cougars are still not worth the time to write the text here.
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Tulsa Golden Hurricane, 49.5%
Notes: The Cougars keep winning, but they're still ranked only the 50th best team in the country by RBA. They're still the underdog against (44) Tulsa, so the Cougars are still not worth the time to write the text here.
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