Tuesday, October 9, 2012

Week 7: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- RBA


Odds as of games through 2012-10-07


Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 1.000 1 0.549 15 25.7 2 5.0 2 156.4 124
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  21 Michigan 14 vs   1 Alabama 41 148 90.8%
2012/09/08  89 Western Kentucky 0 at   1 Alabama 35 130 99.1%
2012/09/15   1 Alabama 52 at  38 Arkansas 0 149 87.9%
2012/09/22 119 FL-Atlantic 7 at   1 Alabama 40 142 99.9%
2012/09/29  72 Mississippi 14 at   1 Alabama 33 154 99.5%
2012/10/13   1 Alabama 38 at  33 Missouri 14 165 95.8%
2012/10/20   1 Alabama 38 at  51 Tennessee 14 158 98.0%
2012/10/27  30 Mississippi St. 10 at   1 Alabama 34 159 96.9%
2012/11/03   1 Alabama 24 at   4 LSU 14 158 81.9%
2012/11/10  10 Texas A&M 13 at   1 Alabama 38 164 86.2%
2012/11/24  64 Auburn 10 at   1 Alabama 35 157 98.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-1.6
Most difficult game left: November 3, at LSU Tigers, 81.9%


Ohio Bobcats
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.619 48 0.428 122 15.5 61 13.0 35 163.2 103
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  58 Ohio 24 at  51 Penn State 14 179 34.2%
2012/09/08 107 New Mexico St. 24 at  41 Ohio 51 170 84.4%
2012/09/15  42 Ohio 27 at  89 Marshall 24 200 76.7%
2012/09/29  46 Ohio 37 at 123 Massachusetts 34 192 99.4%
2012/10/06 113 Buffalo 31 at  48 Ohio 38 185 87.0%
2012/10/13 121 Akron 20 at  48 Ohio 41 165 90.6%
2012/10/27  48 Ohio 34 at  99 Miami-OH 24 164 82.5%
2012/11/01 120 Eastern Michigan 17 at  48 Ohio 38 163 90.2%
2012/11/07 102 Bowling Green 17 at  48 Ohio 34 165 83.7%
2012/11/14  48 Ohio 31 at  94 Ball St. 24 165 77.1%
2012/11/23  48 Ohio 35 at 103 Kent St. 20 164 91.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.5
Most difficult game left: November 14, at Ball State Cardinals, 77.1%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

South Carolina Gamecocks
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.984 3 0.541 31 23.1 10 8.2 6 157.7 122
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/08/30  12 South Carolina 17 at  27 Vanderbilt 13 145 61.4%
2012/09/08  87 East Carolina 10 at  13 South Carolina 48 168 90.7%
2012/09/15 112 UAB 6 at   8 South Carolina 49 166 95.4%
2012/09/22  31 Missouri 10 at   7 South Carolina 31 142 78.3%
2012/09/29   5 South Carolina 38 at  76 Kentucky 17 154 93.0%
2012/10/06  13 Georgia 7 at   3 South Carolina 35 153 68.2%
2012/10/13   3 South Carolina 17 at   4 LSU 20 158 39.2%
2012/10/20   3 South Carolina 21 at   5 Florida 20 159 53.6%
2012/10/27  51 Tennessee 17 at   3 South Carolina 38 159 87.8%
2012/11/10  50 Arkansas 14 at   3 South Carolina 41 161 87.8%
2012/11/24   3 South Carolina 31 at  28 Clemson 24 162 83.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-7.4
Most difficult game left: October 13, at LSU Tigers, 39.2%


Cincinnati Bearcats
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.831 24 0.511 61 19.7 30 11.4 20 169.1 31
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/06  61 Pittsburgh 10 at  24 Cincinnati 34 167 51.4%
2012/09/29  31 Virginia Tech 24 vs  22 Cincinnati 27 170 55.8%
2012/10/06  99 Miami-OH 14 at  24 Cincinnati 52 172 91.4%
2012/10/20  24 Cincinnati 28 at  49 Toledo 24 168 70.3%
2012/10/26  24 Cincinnati 28 at  35 Louisville 27 167 64.7%
2012/11/03  96 Syracuse 20 at  24 Cincinnati 38 166 83.1%
2012/11/10  24 Cincinnati 28 at  61 Temple 21 165 76.2%
2012/11/17  25 Rutgers 24 at  24 Cincinnati 27 166 61.5%
2012/11/23  70 South Florida 17 at  24 Cincinnati 34 169 76.7%
2012/12/01  24 Cincinnati 31 at  73 Connecticut 17 168 78.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-9.4
Most difficult game left: November 17, vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights, 61.5%


Long Shots

Oregon Ducks
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.992 2 0.529 50 25.3 4 11.6 21 176.8 3
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  69 Arkansas St. 34 at   3 Oregon 57 208 88.2%
2012/09/08  86 Fresno St. 25 at   3 Oregon 42 199 93.3%
2012/09/22  48 Arizona 0 at   3 Oregon 49 200 81.0%
2012/09/29  89 Washington St. 26 vs   2 Oregon 51 194 88.7%
2012/10/06  37 Washington 21 at   2 Oregon 52 182 78.3%
2012/10/18   2 Oregon 38 at  18 Arizona St. 28 175 54.4%
2012/10/27 114 Colorado 14 at   2 Oregon 48 172 95.7%
2012/11/03   2 Oregon 35 at  14 USC 28 171 50.1%
2012/11/10   2 Oregon 35 at  41 California 24 172 81.6%
2012/11/17   6 Stanford 27 at   2 Oregon 38 172 53.1%
2012/11/24   2 Oregon 34 at  42 Oregon St. 24 173 81.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-10.8
Most difficult game left: November 3, at USC Trojans, 50.1%


Florida Gators
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.966 5 0.559 5 18.9 32 7.5 3 161.3 111
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01 106 Bowling Green 14 at  16 Florida 27 173 96.2%
2012/09/08  21 Florida 20 at  19 Texas A&M 17 159 31.5%
2012/09/15  18 Florida 37 at  35 Tennessee 20 168 60.8%
2012/09/22  75 Kentucky 0 at  14 Florida 38 157 80.5%
2012/10/06   4 LSU 6 at   5 Florida 14 147 20.7%
2012/10/13   5 Florida 28 at  43 Vanderbilt 14 161 84.3%
2012/10/20   3 South Carolina 21 at   5 Florida 20 159 46.4%
2012/10/27  13 Georgia 21 vs   5 Florida 27 160 63.7%
2012/11/03  33 Missouri 14 at   5 Florida 34 167 74.0%
2012/11/10  78 LA-Lafayette 13 at   5 Florida 49 164 93.3%
2012/11/24   5 Florida 21 at  12 Florida St. 24 163 47.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-12.3
Most difficult game left: October 20, vs South Carolina Gamecocks, 46.4%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.930 11 0.532 44 20.8 19 11.8 23 159.4 117
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  92 Miami-OH 10 at  23 Ohio St. 56 193 85.8%
2012/09/08  62 UCF 16 at  20 Ohio St. 31 161 71.7%
2012/09/15  50 California 28 at  20 Ohio St. 35 176 71.4%
2012/09/22 115 UAB 15 at  19 Ohio St. 29 165 93.1%
2012/09/29  21 Ohio St. 17 at  19 Michigan St. 16 156 42.7%
2012/10/06  20 Nebraska 38 at  11 Ohio St. 63 166 51.1%
2012/10/13  11 Ohio St. 38 at  91 Indiana 20 164 89.8%
2012/10/20  59 Purdue 17 at  11 Ohio St. 38 166 72.3%
2012/10/27  11 Ohio St. 27 at  29 Penn State 24 161 55.8%
2012/11/03  82 Illinois 14 at  11 Ohio St. 38 164 86.4%
2012/11/17  11 Ohio St. 28 at  16 Wisconsin 31 160 48.7%
2012/11/24  21 Michigan 24 at  11 Ohio St. 31 163 50.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-13.1
Most difficult game left: November 17, at Wisconsin Badgers, 48.7%


Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.826 25 0.504 66 15.3 64 10.6 16 164.8 88
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  43 Rutgers 24 at 121 Tulane 12 149 90.5%
2012/09/13  32 Rutgers 23 at  52 South Florida 13 174 48.7%
2012/09/22  26 Rutgers 35 at  43 Arkansas 26 166 39.6%
2012/10/06  73 Connecticut 3 at  25 Rutgers 19 149 66.7%
2012/10/13  96 Syracuse 17 at  25 Rutgers 31 164 75.4%
2012/10/20  25 Rutgers 25 at  61 Temple 24 163 66.6%
2012/10/27 103 Kent St. 7 at  25 Rutgers 38 165 92.9%
2012/11/10  95 Army 14 at  25 Rutgers 38 163 83.1%
2012/11/17  25 Rutgers 24 at  24 Cincinnati 27 166 38.5%
2012/11/24  25 Rutgers 24 at  65 Pittsburgh 21 164 62.8%
2012/11/29  35 Louisville 24 at  25 Rutgers 28 165 53.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-20.0
Most difficult game left: November 17, at Cincinnati Bearcats, 38.5%


Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.966 9 0.565 2 20.3 26 8.6 7 164.6 91
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  75 Navy 10 vs  20 Notre Dame 50 150 77.7%
2012/09/08  73 Purdue 17 at  17 Notre Dame 20 172 79.4%
2012/09/15   6 Notre Dame 20 at  15 Michigan St. 3 165 49.1%
2012/09/22  22 Michigan 6 at  13 Notre Dame 13 133 50.1%
2012/10/06   9 Notre Dame 41 vs  56 Miami-FL 3 154 80.4%
2012/10/13   6 Stanford 20 at   9 Notre Dame 27 165 50.0%
2012/10/20  22 BYU 10 at   9 Notre Dame 21 166 51.9%
2012/10/27   9 Notre Dame 21 at   7 Oklahoma 24 168 49.7%
2012/11/03  65 Pittsburgh 17 at   9 Notre Dame 31 164 81.6%
2012/11/10   9 Notre Dame 34 at  81 Boston College 20 165 88.0%
2012/11/17  79 Wake Forest 10 at   9 Notre Dame 42 166 88.5%
2012/11/24   9 Notre Dame 21 at  14 USC 24 165 47.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-25.9
Most difficult game left: November 24, at USC Trojans, 47.1%


West Virginia Mountaineers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.836 23 0.534 41 24.4 6 17.4 76 166.9 62
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  91 Marshall 34 at  26 West Virginia 69 206 83.6%
2012/09/22 106 Maryland 21 at  25 West Virginia 31 162 80.0%
2012/09/29  32 Baylor 63 at  25 West Virginia 70 214 52.3%
2012/10/06  23 West Virginia 48 at  26 Texas 45 170 40.5%
2012/10/13  23 West Virginia 35 at  40 Texas Tech 34 173 58.8%
2012/10/20  17 Kansas St. 34 at  23 West Virginia 38 166 57.8%
2012/11/03  27 TCU 31 at  23 West Virginia 38 167 60.8%
2012/11/10  23 West Virginia 34 at  15 Oklahoma St. 42 170 39.8%
2012/11/17   7 Oklahoma 34 at  23 West Virginia 35 169 69.4%
2012/11/23  23 West Virginia 32 at  84 Iowa St. 31 168 68.2%
2012/12/01  97 Kansas 17 at  23 West Virginia 45 169 85.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-30.0
Most difficult game left: November 10, at Oklahoma State Cowboys, 39.8%


Kansas State Wildcats
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.883 17 0.531 47 25.1 5 14.3 45 165.8 78
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/08  53 Miami-FL 13 at  22 Kansas St. 52 150 61.8%
2012/09/15  96 North Texas 21 at  14 Kansas St. 35 135 92.1%
2012/09/22  18 Kansas St. 24 at   9 Oklahoma 19 156 42.0%
2012/10/06  97 Kansas 16 at  17 Kansas St. 56 151 89.4%
2012/10/13  17 Kansas St. 34 at  84 Iowa St. 27 167 74.7%
2012/10/20  17 Kansas St. 34 at  23 West Virginia 38 166 42.2%
2012/10/27  40 Texas Tech 24 at  17 Kansas St. 41 172 66.2%
2012/11/03  15 Oklahoma St. 31 at  17 Kansas St. 34 169 52.4%
2012/11/10  17 Kansas St. 28 at  27 TCU 31 166 46.9%
2012/11/17  17 Kansas St. 38 at  31 Baylor 35 169 60.9%
2012/12/01  26 Texas 28 at  17 Kansas St. 35 166 54.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-58.5
Most difficult game left: October 20, at West Virginia Mountaineers, 42.2%


Absolute Phonies

Louisville Cardinals
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.739 35 0.491 72 17.2 47 14.1 42 165.8 79
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/02  64 Kentucky 14 at  44 Louisville 32 162 59.3%
2012/09/15  58 North Carolina 34 at  37 Louisville 39 154 51.7%
2012/09/22  34 Louisville 28 at  98 FIU 21 149 78.2%
2012/09/29  35 Louisville 21 at  77 Southern Miss. 17 142 65.4%
2012/10/13  35 Louisville 24 at  65 Pittsburgh 25 165 40.5%
2012/10/20  70 South Florida 21 at  35 Louisville 31 167 64.2%
2012/10/26  24 Cincinnati 28 at  35 Louisville 27 167 35.3%
2012/11/03  61 Temple 20 at  35 Louisville 31 163 63.5%
2012/11/10  35 Louisville 28 at  96 Syracuse 24 164 72.8%
2012/11/24  73 Connecticut 17 at  35 Louisville 28 166 66.3%
2012/11/29  35 Louisville 24 at  25 Rutgers 28 165 46.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-76.1
Most difficult game left: October 26, vs Cincinnati Bearcats, 35.3%


UTSA Roadrunners
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.096 111 0.233 124 24.0 7 -15.2 1 156.5 123
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01 112 UTSA 33 at 117 South Alabama 31 155 50.0%
2012/09/29 109 UTSA 35 at 119 New Mexico St. 14 158 0.6%
2012/10/13 111 UTSA 21 at 106 Rice 17 163 99.6%
2012/10/20  71 SJSU 6 at 111 UTSA 31 161 99.8%
2012/10/27  55 Utah St. 0 at 111 UTSA 35 162 99.9%
2012/11/03 111 UTSA 28 at  32 LA Tech 6 165 99.9%
2012/11/17 111 UTSA 21 at 109 Idaho 28 162 0.9%
2012/11/24 124 Texas State 20 at 111 UTSA 45 158 96.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-115.8
Most difficult game left: November 17, at Idaho Vandals, 0.9%


What are YOU doing here??

Oregon State Beavers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.664 42 0.546 20 15.0 69 12.2 28 171.0 21
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/08   6 Wisconsin 7 at  76 Oregon St. 10 162 10.4%
2012/09/22  69 Oregon St. 27 at  39 UCLA 20 174 43.6%
2012/09/29  66 Oregon St. 38 at  57 Arizona 35 197 39.9%
2012/10/06  88 Washington St. 6 at  42 Oregon St. 19 156 70.1%
2012/10/13  42 Oregon St. 14 at  22 BYU 28 170 21.5%
2012/10/20  47 Utah 21 at  42 Oregon St. 27 168 53.9%
2012/10/27  42 Oregon St. 24 at  37 Washington 31 169 39.0%
2012/11/03  18 Arizona St. 28 at  42 Oregon St. 21 172 21.1%
2012/11/10  42 Oregon St. 20 at   6 Stanford 34 169 20.2%
2012/11/17  41 California 24 at  42 Oregon St. 27 169 50.1%
2012/11/24   2 Oregon 34 at  42 Oregon St. 24 173 18.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-5662.2
Most difficult game left: November 24, vs Oregon Ducks, 18.3%


Mississippi State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.778 30 0.557 6 15.1 68 10.8 17 162.7 105
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/08  50 Auburn 10 at  28 Mississippi St. 28 152 58.9%
2012/09/15  21 Mississippi St. 30 at 103 Troy 24 174 86.7%
2012/09/22 120 South Alabama 10 at  28 Mississippi St. 30 166 99.9%
2012/10/06  30 Mississippi St. 27 at  74 Kentucky 14 163 78.6%
2012/10/13  51 Tennessee 21 at  30 Mississippi St. 28 161 61.6%
2012/10/20  75 Middle Tenn. 20 at  30 Mississippi St. 34 165 68.9%
2012/10/27  30 Mississippi St. 10 at   1 Alabama 34 159 3.1%
2012/11/03  10 Texas A&M 27 at  30 Mississippi St. 24 167 16.7%
2012/11/10  30 Mississippi St. 14 at   4 LSU 28 161 12.6%
2012/11/17  50 Arkansas 20 at  30 Mississippi St. 31 164 61.6%
2012/11/24  30 Mississippi St. 28 at  66 Mississippi 21 162 70.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-8317.3
Most difficult game left: October 27, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 3.1%


Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.761 32 0.497 70 21.0 18 16.2 65 173.9 7
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/08  44 LA Tech 56 at   7 Houston 49 250 28.1%
2012/09/15 100 Rice 37 at  39 LA Tech 56 195 83.4%
2012/09/22  35 LA Tech 52 at  72 Illinois 24 164 46.5%
2012/09/29  29 LA Tech 44 at  81 Virginia 38 193 74.0%
2012/10/06 112 UNLV 31 at  32 LA Tech 58 208 86.2%
2012/10/13  10 Texas A&M 31 at  32 LA Tech 28 173 14.8%
2012/10/20 109 Idaho 17 at  32 LA Tech 52 171 93.6%
2012/10/27  32 LA Tech 45 at 118 New Mexico St. 24 170 90.3%
2012/11/03 111 UTSA 28 at  32 LA Tech 6 165 0.1%
2012/11/10  32 LA Tech 38 at 124 Texas State 24 166 98.3%
2012/11/17  55 Utah St. 24 at  32 LA Tech 28 171 56.4%
2012/11/24  32 LA Tech 31 at  71 SJSU 27 170 68.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-21173.6
Most difficult game left: November 3, vs UTSA Roadrunners, 0.1%


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.
Posted by at
Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,