Week 7: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- TFG

It's still Alabama and everyone else.

Odds as of games through 2012-10-07

Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2012	0.980	1	0.574	28	38.9	1	8.2	1	148.4	123

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2012/09/01	16	Michigan	14	vs	1	Alabama	41	148	91.3%
2012/09/08	72	Western Kentucky	0	at	1	Alabama	35	130	99.2%
2012/09/15	1	Alabama	52	at	35	Arkansas	0	149	89.4%
2012/09/22	116	FL-Atlantic	7	at	1	Alabama	40	142	99.9%
2012/09/29	56	Mississippi	14	at	1	Alabama	33	154	99.1%
2012/10/13	1	Alabama	41	at	33	Missouri	23	159	94.8%
2012/10/20	1	Alabama	44	at	45	Tennessee	26	156	95.7%
2012/10/27	31	Mississippi St.	21	at	1	Alabama	44	155	97.4%
2012/11/03	1	Alabama	37	at	2	LSU	29	151	79.4%
2012/11/10	9	Texas A&M	26	at	1	Alabama	43	166	92.0%
2012/11/24	48	Auburn	23	at	1	Alabama	45	153	97.3%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-1.6
Most difficult game left: November 3, at LSU Tigers, 79.4%

Second-Tier Hopefuls

Ohio Bobcats
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2012	0.411	77	0.247	123	21.4	51	24.7	93	168.2	34

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2012/09/01	77	Ohio	24	at	29	Penn State	14	179	20.7%
2012/09/08	117	New Mexico St.	24	at	77	Ohio	51	170	91.8%
2012/09/15	77	Ohio	27	at	94	Marshall	24	200	59.0%
2012/09/29	77	Ohio	37	at	123	Massachusetts	34	192	97.2%
2012/10/06	108	Buffalo	31	at	77	Ohio	38	185	83.2%
2012/10/13	121	Akron	30	at	77	Ohio	48	171	91.5%
2012/10/27	77	Ohio	38	at	106	Miami-OH	35	166	62.2%
2012/11/01	118	Eastern Michigan	31	at	77	Ohio	45	160	87.0%
2012/11/07	103	Bowling Green	31	at	77	Ohio	36	165	72.4%
2012/11/14	77	Ohio	40	at	96	Ball St.	37	171	58.9%
2012/11/23	77	Ohio	37	at	98	Kent St.	33	164	63.8%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-7.4
Most difficult game left: November 14, at Ball State Cardinals, 58.9%

Oregon Ducks
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2012	0.859	5	0.524	53	31.1	5	15.1	12	181.0	7

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2012/09/01	74	Arkansas St.	34	at	5	Oregon	57	208	91.2%
2012/09/08	53	Fresno St.	25	at	5	Oregon	42	199	95.1%
2012/09/22	54	Arizona	0	at	5	Oregon	49	200	84.0%
2012/09/29	99	Washington St.	26	vs	5	Oregon	51	194	95.1%
2012/10/06	68	Washington	21	at	5	Oregon	52	182	90.1%
2012/10/18	5	Oregon	40	at	26	Arizona St.	36	175	60.8%
2012/10/27	111	Colorado	25	at	5	Oregon	55	172	97.9%
2012/11/03	5	Oregon	40	at	18	USC	38	171	60.0%
2012/11/10	5	Oregon	41	at	37	California	31	173	76.5%
2012/11/17	10	Stanford	39	at	5	Oregon	40	171	56.0%
2012/11/24	5	Oregon	42	at	46	Oregon St.	30	171	82.0%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-8.0
Most difficult game left: November 17, vs Stanford Cardinal, 56.0%

Florida Gators
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2012	0.855	6	0.663	6	26.3	21	12.9	7	156.1	109

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2012/09/01	103	Bowling Green	14	at	6	Florida	27	173	93.1%
2012/09/08	6	Florida	20	at	9	Texas A&M	17	159	34.8%
2012/09/15	6	Florida	37	at	45	Tennessee	20	168	55.0%
2012/09/22	80	Kentucky	0	at	6	Florida	38	157	89.6%
2012/10/06	2	LSU	6	at	6	Florida	14	147	36.4%
2012/10/13	6	Florida	34	at	71	Vanderbilt	24	158	83.8%
2012/10/20	3	South Carolina	31	at	6	Florida	32	154	60.1%
2012/10/27	24	Georgia	33	vs	6	Florida	36	161	67.8%
2012/11/03	33	Missouri	26	at	6	Florida	34	163	79.2%
2012/11/10	70	LA-Lafayette	27	at	6	Florida	41	163	89.6%
2012/11/24	6	Florida	33	at	8	Florida St.	31	156	51.6%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-8.0
Most difficult game left: November 24, at Florida State Seminoles, 51.6%

Long Shots

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2012	0.862	4	0.584	26	25.1	26	12.1	4	158.6	98

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2012/09/01	85	Navy	10	vs	4	Notre Dame	50	150	74.7%
2012/09/08	66	Purdue	17	at	4	Notre Dame	20	172	90.6%
2012/09/15	4	Notre Dame	20	at	19	Michigan St.	3	165	30.7%
2012/09/22	16	Michigan	6	at	4	Notre Dame	13	133	74.3%
2012/10/06	4	Notre Dame	41	vs	64	Miami-FL	3	154	78.0%
2012/10/13	10	Stanford	33	at	4	Notre Dame	34	160	65.5%
2012/10/20	23	BYU	23	at	4	Notre Dame	31	159	78.1%
2012/10/27	4	Notre Dame	29	at	7	Oklahoma	31	166	40.3%
2012/11/03	41	Pittsburgh	25	at	4	Notre Dame	34	159	83.6%
2012/11/10	4	Notre Dame	36	at	87	Boston College	23	161	91.1%
2012/11/17	88	Wake Forest	24	at	4	Notre Dame	39	163	92.4%
2012/11/24	4	Notre Dame	34	at	18	USC	32	160	64.7%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-10.7
Most difficult game left: October 27, at Oklahoma Sooners, 40.3%

Ohio State Buckeyes
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2012	0.792	14	0.520	55	28.6	17	16.8	22	159.6	92

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2012/09/01	106	Miami-OH	10	at	14	Ohio St.	56	193	89.0%
2012/09/08	44	UCF	16	at	14	Ohio St.	31	161	83.7%
2012/09/15	37	California	28	at	14	Ohio St.	35	176	84.0%
2012/09/22	107	UAB	15	at	14	Ohio St.	29	165	97.4%
2012/09/29	14	Ohio St.	17	at	19	Michigan St.	16	156	35.5%
2012/10/06	22	Nebraska	38	at	14	Ohio St.	63	166	58.2%
2012/10/13	14	Ohio St.	42	at	86	Indiana	31	166	83.5%
2012/10/20	66	Purdue	29	at	14	Ohio St.	42	165	87.0%
2012/10/27	14	Ohio St.	32	at	29	Penn State	29	162	52.5%
2012/11/03	83	Illinois	27	at	14	Ohio St.	40	158	88.3%
2012/11/17	14	Ohio St.	38	at	15	Wisconsin	37	156	50.8%
2012/11/24	16	Michigan	36	at	14	Ohio St.	37	156	51.3%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-11.4
Most difficult game left: November 17, at Wisconsin Badgers, 50.8%

South Carolina Gamecocks
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2012	0.863	3	0.525	51	29.8	9	14.3	10	153.3	117

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2012/08/30	3	South Carolina	17	at	71	Vanderbilt	13	145	80.2%
2012/09/08	89	East Carolina	10	at	3	South Carolina	48	168	92.6%
2012/09/15	107	UAB	6	at	3	South Carolina	49	166	97.7%
2012/09/22	33	Missouri	10	at	3	South Carolina	31	142	76.8%
2012/09/29	3	South Carolina	38	at	80	Kentucky	17	154	86.8%
2012/10/06	24	Georgia	7	at	3	South Carolina	35	153	69.4%
2012/10/13	3	South Carolina	30	at	2	LSU	34	153	29.1%
2012/10/20	3	South Carolina	31	at	6	Florida	32	154	39.9%
2012/10/27	45	Tennessee	28	at	3	South Carolina	42	159	88.2%
2012/11/10	35	Arkansas	30	at	3	South Carolina	40	161	80.9%
2012/11/24	3	South Carolina	40	at	32	Clemson	33	162	76.0%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-15.9
Most difficult game left: October 13, at LSU Tigers, 29.1%

Cincinnati Bearcats
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2012	0.743	21	0.492	64	25.8	24	16.9	24	167.3	45

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2012/09/06	41	Pittsburgh	10	at	21	Cincinnati	34	167	67.2%
2012/09/29	27	Virginia Tech	24	vs	21	Cincinnati	27	170	46.3%
2012/10/06	106	Miami-OH	14	at	21	Cincinnati	52	172	93.3%
2012/10/20	21	Cincinnati	38	at	55	Toledo	35	168	61.0%
2012/10/26	21	Cincinnati	35	at	38	Louisville	34	158	54.1%
2012/11/03	75	Syracuse	29	at	21	Cincinnati	39	166	82.6%
2012/11/10	21	Cincinnati	36	at	43	Temple	33	159	63.1%
2012/11/17	34	Rutgers	30	at	21	Cincinnati	34	162	61.5%
2012/11/23	60	South Florida	30	at	21	Cincinnati	37	169	73.0%
2012/12/01	21	Cincinnati	35	at	61	Connecticut	28	162	73.5%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-17.6
Most difficult game left: October 26, at Louisville Cardinals, 54.1%

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2012	0.561	49	0.359	112	22.8	39	20.7	57	184.7	3

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2012/09/08	49	LA Tech	56	at	52	Houston	49	250	24.4%
2012/09/15	104	Rice	37	at	49	LA Tech	56	195	90.2%
2012/09/22	49	LA Tech	52	at	83	Illinois	24	164	47.9%
2012/09/29	49	LA Tech	44	at	95	Virginia	38	193	69.6%
2012/10/06	110	UNLV	31	at	49	LA Tech	58	208	90.8%
2012/10/13	9	Texas A&M	39	at	49	LA Tech	34	184	27.1%
2012/10/20	113	Idaho	30	at	49	LA Tech	48	175	91.2%
2012/10/27	49	LA Tech	45	at	117	New Mexico St.	32	175	85.9%
2012/11/03	NA	UTSA	37	at	49	LA Tech	46	169	75.1%
2012/11/10	49	LA Tech	46	at	114	Texas State	32	168	85.6%
2012/11/17	67	Utah St.	33	at	49	LA Tech	36	177	59.3%
2012/11/24	49	LA Tech	39	at	78	SJSU	34	171	64.9%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-19.0
Most difficult game left: October 13, vs Texas A&M Aggies, 27.1%

Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2012	0.643	34	0.458	77	20.9	57	16.5	19	158.4	99

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2012/09/01	34	Rutgers	24	at	122	Tulane	12	149	84.8%
2012/09/13	34	Rutgers	23	at	60	South Florida	13	174	34.3%
2012/09/22	34	Rutgers	35	at	35	Arkansas	26	166	30.8%
2012/10/06	61	Connecticut	3	at	34	Rutgers	19	149	62.5%
2012/10/13	75	Syracuse	27	at	34	Rutgers	35	162	78.4%
2012/10/20	34	Rutgers	31	at	43	Temple	33	154	44.1%
2012/10/27	98	Kent St.	25	at	34	Rutgers	37	159	87.9%
2012/11/10	100	Army	29	at	34	Rutgers	42	156	86.2%
2012/11/17	34	Rutgers	30	at	21	Cincinnati	34	162	38.5%
2012/11/24	34	Rutgers	30	at	41	Pittsburgh	29	159	55.5%
2012/11/29	38	Louisville	31	at	34	Rutgers	33	154	54.1%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-33.0
Most difficult game left: November 17, at Cincinnati Bearcats, 38.5%

UTSA Roadrunners
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2012	0.000	0	0.000

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2012/09/01	NA	UTSA	33	at	120	South Alabama	31	155	37.6%
2012/09/29	NA	UTSA	35	at	117	New Mexico St.	14	158	50.1%
2012/10/13	NA	UTSA	41	at	104	Rice	39	161	54.9%
2012/10/20	78	SJSU	37	at	NA	UTSA	39	157	53.8%
2012/10/27	67	Utah St.	37	at	NA	UTSA	36	163	48.0%
2012/11/03	NA	UTSA	37	at	49	LA Tech	46	169	24.9%
2012/11/17	NA	UTSA	43	at	113	Idaho	37	160	72.0%
2012/11/24	114	Texas State	36	at	NA	UTSA	43	153	73.5%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-53.5
Most difficult game left: November 3, at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs, 24.9%

Absolute Phonies

Louisville Cardinals
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2012	0.604	38	0.500	62	25.1	25	21.2	66	149.7	122

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2012/09/02	80	Kentucky	14	at	38	Louisville	32	162	81.5%
2012/09/15	28	North Carolina	34	at	38	Louisville	39	154	72.4%
2012/09/22	38	Louisville	28	at	93	FIU	21	149	70.3%
2012/09/29	38	Louisville	21	at	76	Southern Miss.	17	142	57.9%
2012/10/13	38	Louisville	32	at	41	Pittsburgh	33	155	42.1%
2012/10/20	60	South Florida	30	at	38	Louisville	36	160	69.7%
2012/10/26	21	Cincinnati	35	at	38	Louisville	34	158	45.9%
2012/11/03	43	Temple	33	at	38	Louisville	35	150	56.1%
2012/11/10	38	Louisville	36	at	75	Syracuse	32	157	64.0%
2012/11/24	61	Connecticut	30	at	38	Louisville	33	153	59.4%
2012/11/29	38	Louisville	31	at	34	Rutgers	33	154	45.9%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-75.8
Most difficult game left: October 13, at Pittsburgh Panthers, 42.1%

West Virginia Mountaineers
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2012	0.729	25	0.571	30	29.9	7	20.1	48	172.6	21

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2012/09/01	94	Marshall	34	at	25	West Virginia	69	206	89.7%
2012/09/22	73	Maryland	21	at	25	West Virginia	31	162	84.9%
2012/09/29	30	Baylor	63	at	25	West Virginia	70	214	67.7%
2012/10/06	25	West Virginia	48	at	12	Texas	45	170	27.1%
2012/10/13	25	West Virginia	40	at	36	Texas Tech	38	173	52.5%
2012/10/20	20	Kansas St.	40	at	25	West Virginia	43	163	59.8%
2012/11/03	17	TCU	39	at	25	West Virginia	37	165	47.7%
2012/11/10	25	West Virginia	41	at	13	Oklahoma St.	45	177	37.3%
2012/11/17	7	Oklahoma	38	at	25	West Virginia	36	173	31.9%
2012/11/23	25	West Virginia	39	at	47	Iowa St.	32	173	67.4%
2012/12/01	105	Kansas	29	at	25	West Virginia	45	167	90.9%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-91.6
Most difficult game left: November 17, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 31.9%

Kansas State Wildcats
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2012	0.744	20	0.546	41	31.9	2	20.8	58	154.2	113

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2012/09/08	64	Miami-FL	13	at	20	Kansas St.	52	150	65.6%
2012/09/15	92	North Texas	21	at	20	Kansas St.	35	135	90.1%
2012/09/22	20	Kansas St.	24	at	7	Oklahoma	19	156	19.0%
2012/10/06	105	Kansas	16	at	20	Kansas St.	56	151	92.9%
2012/10/13	20	Kansas St.	37	at	47	Iowa St.	32	164	60.4%
2012/10/20	20	Kansas St.	40	at	25	West Virginia	43	163	40.2%
2012/10/27	36	Texas Tech	34	at	20	Kansas St.	43	164	73.5%
2012/11/03	13	Oklahoma St.	42	at	20	Kansas St.	41	168	47.5%
2012/11/10	20	Kansas St.	37	at	17	TCU	38	156	41.0%
2012/11/17	20	Kansas St.	46	at	30	Baylor	42	170	58.9%
2012/12/01	12	Texas	39	at	20	Kansas St.	38	157	41.0%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-119.1
Most difficult game left: October 20, at West Virginia Mountaineers, 40.2%

What are YOU doing here??

Oregon State Beavers
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2012	0.572	46	0.593	23	20.3	63	18.1	31	161.3	82

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2012/09/08	15	Wisconsin	7	at	46	Oregon St.	10	162	16.1%
2012/09/22	46	Oregon St.	27	at	62	UCLA	20	174	33.7%
2012/09/29	46	Oregon St.	38	at	54	Arizona	35	197	42.4%
2012/10/06	99	Washington St.	6	at	46	Oregon St.	19	156	80.5%
2012/10/13	46	Oregon St.	25	at	23	BYU	31	161	24.7%
2012/10/20	42	Utah	32	at	46	Oregon St.	34	161	59.8%
2012/10/27	46	Oregon St.	32	at	68	Washington	34	159	48.7%
2012/11/03	26	Arizona St.	35	at	46	Oregon St.	31	165	39.4%
2012/11/10	46	Oregon St.	29	at	10	Stanford	40	161	19.1%
2012/11/17	37	California	32	at	46	Oregon St.	31	164	45.8%
2012/11/24	5	Oregon	42	at	46	Oregon St.	30	171	18.0%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2240.8
Most difficult game left: November 24, vs Oregon Ducks, 18.0%

Mississippi State Bulldogs
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2012	0.667	31	0.489	66	20.8	60	15.7	15	163.3	71

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2012/09/08	48	Auburn	10	at	31	Mississippi St.	28	152	66.1%
2012/09/15	31	Mississippi St.	30	at	82	Troy	24	174	81.6%
2012/09/22	120	South Alabama	10	at	31	Mississippi St.	30	166	95.6%
2012/10/06	31	Mississippi St.	27	at	80	Kentucky	14	163	69.6%
2012/10/13	45	Tennessee	31	at	31	Mississippi St.	35	164	68.3%
2012/10/20	97	Middle Tenn.	26	at	31	Mississippi St.	40	167	88.9%
2012/10/27	31	Mississippi St.	21	at	1	Alabama	44	155	2.6%
2012/11/03	9	Texas A&M	34	at	31	Mississippi St.	29	173	32.2%
2012/11/10	31	Mississippi St.	25	at	2	LSU	36	158	13.8%
2012/11/17	35	Arkansas	32	at	31	Mississippi St.	34	166	53.1%
2012/11/24	31	Mississippi St.	34	at	56	Mississippi	30	163	64.0%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-4194.6
Most difficult game left: October 27, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 2.6%

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.