Tuesday, October 16, 2012

Week 8: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- RBA


Odds as of games through 2012-10-14




Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 1.000 1 0.549 15 26.1 1 5.1 1 156.3 124
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  21 Michigan 14 vs   1 Alabama 41 148 90.8%
2012/09/08  89 Western Kentucky 0 at   1 Alabama 35 130 99.1%
2012/09/15   1 Alabama 52 at  38 Arkansas 0 149 87.9%
2012/09/22 119 FL-Atlantic 7 at   1 Alabama 40 142 99.9%
2012/09/29  72 Mississippi 14 at   1 Alabama 33 154 99.5%
2012/10/13   1 Alabama 42 at  32 Missouri 10 151 95.8%
2012/10/20   1 Alabama 38 at  50 Tennessee 17 158 96.8%
2012/10/27  27 Mississippi St. 13 at   1 Alabama 35 159 95.1%
2012/11/03   1 Alabama 27 at   5 LSU 17 158 77.1%
2012/11/10  12 Texas A&M 14 at   1 Alabama 41 164 86.9%
2012/11/24  72 Auburn 10 at   1 Alabama 35 157 98.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-1.7
Most difficult game left: November 3, at LSU Tigers, 77.1%


Ohio Bobcats
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.615 47 0.427 122 15.4 64 13.0 34 163.4 102
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  58 Ohio 24 at  51 Penn State 14 179 34.2%
2012/09/08 107 New Mexico St. 24 at  41 Ohio 51 170 84.4%
2012/09/15  42 Ohio 27 at  89 Marshall 24 200 76.7%
2012/09/29  45 Ohio 37 at 123 Massachusetts 34 192 99.4%
2012/10/06 113 Buffalo 31 at  48 Ohio 38 185 87.0%
2012/10/13 123 Akron 28 at  47 Ohio 34 193 90.6%
2012/10/27  47 Ohio 34 at 105 Miami-OH 21 164 83.5%
2012/11/01 121 Eastern Michigan 21 at  47 Ohio 38 164 91.7%
2012/11/07  95 Bowling Green 20 at  47 Ohio 31 166 82.6%
2012/11/14  47 Ohio 31 at  96 Ball St. 24 165 76.9%
2012/11/23  47 Ohio 35 at 102 Kent St. 20 164 91.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.3
Most difficult game left: November 14, at Ball State Cardinals, 76.9%


Long Shots

Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.947 9 0.530 48 21.4 18 13.6 38 159.6 116
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  92 Miami-OH 10 at  23 Ohio St. 56 193 85.8%
2012/09/08  62 UCF 16 at  20 Ohio St. 31 161 71.7%
2012/09/15  50 California 28 at  20 Ohio St. 35 176 71.4%
2012/09/22 115 UAB 15 at  19 Ohio St. 29 165 93.1%
2012/09/29  21 Ohio St. 17 at  19 Michigan St. 16 156 42.7%
2012/10/06  20 Nebraska 38 at  11 Ohio St. 63 166 51.1%
2012/10/13   9 Ohio St. 52 at  83 Indiana 49 195 89.8%
2012/10/20  63 Purdue 17 at   9 Ohio St. 38 166 78.1%
2012/10/27   9 Ohio St. 27 at  28 Penn State 24 161 58.0%
2012/11/03  78 Illinois 14 at   9 Ohio St. 41 164 87.3%
2012/11/17   9 Ohio St. 28 at  14 Wisconsin 31 160 47.1%
2012/11/24  20 Michigan 24 at   9 Ohio St. 31 163 53.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-10.0
Most difficult game left: November 17, at Wisconsin Badgers, 47.1%


Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.864 19 0.503 65 15.2 67 10.6 13 164.8 88
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  43 Rutgers 24 at 121 Tulane 12 149 90.5%
2012/09/13  32 Rutgers 23 at  52 South Florida 13 174 48.7%
2012/09/22  26 Rutgers 35 at  43 Arkansas 26 166 39.6%
2012/10/06  73 Connecticut 3 at  25 Rutgers 19 149 66.7%
2012/10/13  92 Syracuse 15 at  19 Rutgers 23 160 75.4%
2012/10/20  19 Rutgers 24 at  60 Temple 21 163 67.8%
2012/10/27 102 Kent St. 7 at  19 Rutgers 38 165 94.0%
2012/11/10 106 Army 17 at  19 Rutgers 38 163 84.7%
2012/11/17  19 Rutgers 24 at  23 Cincinnati 27 166 43.7%
2012/11/24  19 Rutgers 25 at  73 Pittsburgh 24 164 69.3%
2012/11/29  36 Louisville 24 at  19 Rutgers 31 165 59.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-10.3
Most difficult game left: November 17, at Cincinnati Bearcats, 43.7%


Cincinnati Bearcats
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.831 23 0.510 62 19.7 29 11.4 18 169.1 31
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/06  61 Pittsburgh 10 at  24 Cincinnati 34 167 51.4%
2012/09/29  31 Virginia Tech 24 vs  22 Cincinnati 27 170 55.8%
2012/10/06  99 Miami-OH 14 at  24 Cincinnati 52 172 91.4%
2012/10/20  23 Cincinnati 27 at  55 Toledo 24 168 70.5%
2012/10/26  23 Cincinnati 29 at  36 Louisville 28 167 65.4%
2012/11/03  92 Syracuse 20 at  23 Cincinnati 38 166 82.3%
2012/11/10  23 Cincinnati 27 at  60 Temple 21 165 73.2%
2012/11/17  19 Rutgers 24 at  23 Cincinnati 27 166 56.3%
2012/11/23  68 South Florida 17 at  23 Cincinnati 34 169 76.7%
2012/12/01  23 Cincinnati 31 at  71 Connecticut 17 168 80.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-10.3
Most difficult game left: November 17, vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights, 56.3%


Oregon Ducks
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.992 2 0.529 52 25.3 2 11.6 19 176.8 2
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  69 Arkansas St. 34 at   3 Oregon 57 208 88.2%
2012/09/08  86 Fresno St. 25 at   3 Oregon 42 199 93.3%
2012/09/22  48 Arizona 0 at   3 Oregon 49 200 81.0%
2012/09/29  89 Washington St. 26 vs   2 Oregon 51 194 88.7%
2012/10/06  37 Washington 21 at   2 Oregon 52 182 78.3%
2012/10/18   2 Oregon 35 at  18 Arizona St. 27 175 54.4%
2012/10/27 114 Colorado 14 at   2 Oregon 48 172 96.0%
2012/11/03   2 Oregon 35 at  15 USC 28 171 52.7%
2012/11/10   2 Oregon 35 at  34 California 24 172 74.3%
2012/11/17  13 Stanford 24 at   2 Oregon 38 172 58.5%
2012/11/24   2 Oregon 34 at  35 Oregon St. 27 173 77.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-10.8
Most difficult game left: November 3, at USC Trojans, 52.7%


Florida Gators
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.959 6 0.557 6 19.3 32 7.6 2 161.3 111
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01 106 Bowling Green 14 at  16 Florida 27 173 96.2%
2012/09/08  21 Florida 20 at  19 Texas A&M 17 159 31.5%
2012/09/15  18 Florida 37 at  35 Tennessee 20 168 60.8%
2012/09/22  75 Kentucky 0 at  14 Florida 38 157 80.5%
2012/10/06   4 LSU 6 at   5 Florida 14 147 20.7%
2012/10/13   6 Florida 31 at  44 Vanderbilt 17 162 84.3%
2012/10/20   3 South Carolina 22 at   6 Florida 21 159 44.3%
2012/10/27  10 Georgia 21 vs   6 Florida 27 160 65.3%
2012/11/03  32 Missouri 14 at   6 Florida 35 167 75.5%
2012/11/10  77 LA-Lafayette 13 at   6 Florida 49 164 93.7%
2012/11/24   6 Florida 21 at  16 Florida St. 24 163 41.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-11.9
Most difficult game left: November 24, at Florida State Seminoles, 41.0%


Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.958 7 0.564 2 20.3 27 8.6 5 164.6 91
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  75 Navy 10 vs  20 Notre Dame 50 150 77.7%
2012/09/08  73 Purdue 17 at  17 Notre Dame 20 172 79.4%
2012/09/15   6 Notre Dame 20 at  15 Michigan St. 3 165 49.1%
2012/09/22  22 Michigan 6 at  13 Notre Dame 13 133 50.1%
2012/10/06   9 Notre Dame 41 vs  56 Miami-FL 3 154 80.4%
2012/10/13  13 Stanford 13 at   7 Notre Dame 20 165 50.0%
2012/10/20  25 BYU 7 at   7 Notre Dame 24 166 60.6%
2012/10/27   7 Notre Dame 21 at   4 Oklahoma 28 168 42.7%
2012/11/03  73 Pittsburgh 17 at   7 Notre Dame 35 164 87.6%
2012/11/10   7 Notre Dame 38 at  79 Boston College 17 165 92.6%
2012/11/17  76 Wake Forest 10 at   7 Notre Dame 42 166 91.9%
2012/11/24   7 Notre Dame 21 at  15 USC 22 165 40.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-12.8
Most difficult game left: November 24, at USC Trojans, 40.6%


Kansas State Wildcats
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.897 17 0.529 51 23.9 5 14.1 41 165.8 78
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/08  53 Miami-FL 13 at  22 Kansas St. 52 150 61.8%
2012/09/15  96 North Texas 21 at  14 Kansas St. 35 135 92.1%
2012/09/22  18 Kansas St. 24 at   9 Oklahoma 19 156 42.0%
2012/10/06  97 Kansas 16 at  17 Kansas St. 56 151 89.4%
2012/10/13  17 Kansas St. 27 at  82 Iowa St. 21 164 74.7%
2012/10/20  17 Kansas St. 35 at  31 West Virginia 34 166 62.4%
2012/10/27  40 Texas Tech 24 at  17 Kansas St. 38 172 71.0%
2012/11/03   8 Oklahoma St. 31 at  17 Kansas St. 34 169 54.7%
2012/11/10  17 Kansas St. 31 at  21 TCU 34 166 37.1%
2012/11/17  17 Kansas St. 41 at  42 Baylor 34 169 67.3%
2012/12/01  30 Texas 27 at  17 Kansas St. 38 166 53.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-31.1
Most difficult game left: November 10, at TCU Horned Frogs, 37.1%


Absolute Phonies

Louisville Cardinals
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.722 36 0.491 71 18.7 35 15.2 51 165.7 80
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/02  64 Kentucky 14 at  44 Louisville 32 162 59.3%
2012/09/15  58 North Carolina 34 at  37 Louisville 39 154 51.7%
2012/09/22  34 Louisville 28 at  98 FIU 21 149 78.2%
2012/09/29  35 Louisville 21 at  77 Southern Miss. 17 142 65.4%
2012/10/13  36 Louisville 45 at  73 Pittsburgh 35 155 40.5%
2012/10/20  68 South Florida 21 at  36 Louisville 31 167 63.4%
2012/10/26  23 Cincinnati 29 at  36 Louisville 28 167 34.6%
2012/11/03  60 Temple 20 at  36 Louisville 31 163 59.0%
2012/11/10  36 Louisville 28 at  92 Syracuse 24 164 71.0%
2012/11/24  71 Connecticut 17 at  36 Louisville 31 166 69.1%
2012/11/29  36 Louisville 24 at  19 Rutgers 31 165 40.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-38.8
Most difficult game left: October 26, vs Cincinnati Bearcats, 34.6%


What are YOU doing here??

Oregon State Beavers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.739 35 0.547 18 15.4 65 12.1 25 171.0 21
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/08   6 Wisconsin 7 at  76 Oregon St. 10 162 10.4%
2012/09/22  69 Oregon St. 27 at  39 UCLA 20 180 43.6%
2012/09/29  65 Oregon St. 38 at  57 Arizona 35 197 39.9%
2012/10/06  88 Washington St. 6 at  42 Oregon St. 19 156 70.1%
2012/10/13  35 Oregon St. 42 at  25 BYU 24 174 21.5%
2012/10/20  52 Utah 21 at  35 Oregon St. 28 168 51.9%
2012/10/27  35 Oregon St. 27 at  39 Washington 28 169 46.0%
2012/11/03  18 Arizona St. 28 at  35 Oregon St. 27 172 25.7%
2012/11/10  35 Oregon St. 21 at  13 Stanford 31 169 29.1%
2012/11/17  34 California 24 at  35 Oregon St. 27 169 54.3%
2012/11/24   2 Oregon 34 at  35 Oregon St. 27 173 22.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-458.4
Most difficult game left: November 24, vs Oregon Ducks, 22.5%


Mississippi State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.798 27 0.557 5 16.5 54 11.8 22 162.7 106
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/08  50 Auburn 10 at  28 Mississippi St. 28 152 58.9%
2012/09/15  21 Mississippi St. 30 at 103 Troy 24 174 86.7%
2012/09/22 120 South Alabama 10 at  28 Mississippi St. 30 166 99.9%
2012/10/06  30 Mississippi St. 27 at  74 Kentucky 14 163 78.6%
2012/10/13  50 Tennessee 31 at  27 Mississippi St. 41 166 61.6%
2012/10/20  75 Middle Tenn. 20 at  27 Mississippi St. 34 165 74.2%
2012/10/27  27 Mississippi St. 13 at   1 Alabama 35 159 4.9%
2012/11/03  12 Texas A&M 28 at  27 Mississippi St. 27 168 25.3%
2012/11/10  27 Mississippi St. 17 at   5 LSU 31 161 14.7%
2012/11/17  38 Arkansas 24 at  27 Mississippi St. 31 164 56.7%
2012/11/24  27 Mississippi St. 28 at  59 Mississippi 24 162 67.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-1938.0
Most difficult game left: October 27, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 4.9%


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