Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Week 9: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- RBA


Odds as of games through 2012-10-21


Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 1.000 1 0.550 15 26.5 1 5.5 1 156.3 124
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  21 Michigan 14 vs   1 Alabama 41 148 90.8%
2012/09/08  89 Western Kentucky 0 at   1 Alabama 35 130 99.1%
2012/09/15   1 Alabama 52 at  38 Arkansas 0 149 87.9%
2012/09/22 119 FL-Atlantic 7 at   1 Alabama 40 142 99.9%
2012/09/29  72 Mississippi 14 at   1 Alabama 33 154 99.5%
2012/10/13   1 Alabama 42 at  32 Missouri 10 151 95.8%
2012/10/20   1 Alabama 44 at  55 Tennessee 13 149 96.8%
2012/10/27  22 Mississippi St. 14 at   1 Alabama 35 159 95.1%
2012/11/03   1 Alabama 27 at   5 LSU 17 158 78.2%
2012/11/10  11 Texas A&M 13 at   1 Alabama 38 164 89.1%
2012/11/24  84 Auburn 7 at   1 Alabama 38 157 98.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-1.5
Most difficult game left: November 3, at LSU Tigers, 78.2%


Ohio Bobcats
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.629 46 0.428 122 15.4 66 13.0 31 163.4 101
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  58 Ohio 24 at  51 Penn State 14 179 34.2%
2012/09/08 107 New Mexico St. 24 at  41 Ohio 51 170 84.4%
2012/09/15  42 Ohio 27 at  89 Marshall 24 200 76.7%
2012/09/29  45 Ohio 37 at 123 Massachusetts 34 192 99.4%
2012/10/06 113 Buffalo 31 at  48 Ohio 38 185 87.0%
2012/10/13 123 Akron 28 at  47 Ohio 34 193 90.6%
2012/10/27  46 Ohio 34 at 105 Miami-OH 21 164 83.5%
2012/11/01 118 Eastern Michigan 21 at  46 Ohio 38 164 86.6%
2012/11/07  90 Bowling Green 17 at  46 Ohio 31 165 78.3%
2012/11/14  46 Ohio 31 at  93 Ball St. 24 165 76.1%
2012/11/23  46 Ohio 35 at  98 Kent St. 21 164 89.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.6
Most difficult game left: November 14, at Ball State Cardinals, 76.1%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Florida Gators
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.983 3 0.557 5 19.5 28 7.5 2 161.3 111
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01 106 Bowling Green 14 at  16 Florida 27 173 96.2%
2012/09/08  21 Florida 20 at  19 Texas A&M 17 159 31.5%
2012/09/15  18 Florida 37 at  35 Tennessee 20 168 60.8%
2012/09/22  75 Kentucky 0 at  14 Florida 38 157 80.5%
2012/10/06   4 LSU 6 at   5 Florida 14 147 20.7%
2012/10/13   6 Florida 31 at  44 Vanderbilt 17 162 84.3%
2012/10/20   7 South Carolina 11 at   3 Florida 44 162 44.3%
2012/10/27  14 Georgia 20 vs   3 Florida 28 160 69.3%
2012/11/03  33 Missouri 14 at   3 Florida 35 167 75.3%
2012/11/10  83 LA-Lafayette 13 at   3 Florida 49 164 93.6%
2012/11/24   3 Florida 25 at  12 Florida St. 24 163 52.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-3.9
Most difficult game left: November 24, at Florida State Seminoles, 52.4%


Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.975 6 0.564 2 20.3 26 8.6 4 164.5 93
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  75 Navy 10 vs  20 Notre Dame 50 150 77.7%
2012/09/08  73 Purdue 17 at  17 Notre Dame 20 172 79.4%
2012/09/15   6 Notre Dame 20 at  15 Michigan St. 3 165 49.1%
2012/09/22  22 Michigan 6 at  13 Notre Dame 13 133 50.1%
2012/10/06   9 Notre Dame 41 vs  56 Miami-FL 3 154 80.4%
2012/10/13  13 Stanford 13 at   7 Notre Dame 20 165 50.0%
2012/10/20  28 BYU 14 at   6 Notre Dame 17 145 60.6%
2012/10/27   6 Notre Dame 20 at   4 Oklahoma 27 168 47.3%
2012/11/03  70 Pittsburgh 17 at   6 Notre Dame 38 164 88.8%
2012/11/10   6 Notre Dame 38 at  89 Boston College 17 165 93.2%
2012/11/17  77 Wake Forest 10 at   6 Notre Dame 45 166 92.8%
2012/11/24   6 Notre Dame 22 at  15 USC 21 165 58.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-4.7
Most difficult game left: October 27, at Oklahoma Sooners, 47.3%


Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.872 19 0.501 67 16.3 57 10.2 14 164.6 89
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  43 Rutgers 24 at 121 Tulane 12 149 90.5%
2012/09/13  32 Rutgers 23 at  52 South Florida 13 174 48.7%
2012/09/22  26 Rutgers 35 at  43 Arkansas 26 166 39.6%
2012/10/06  73 Connecticut 3 at  25 Rutgers 19 149 66.7%
2012/10/13  94 Syracuse 15 at  19 Rutgers 23 160 75.4%
2012/10/20  19 Rutgers 35 at  65 Temple 10 142 67.8%
2012/10/27  98 Kent St. 7 at  19 Rutgers 38 165 92.8%
2012/11/10 107 Army 17 at  19 Rutgers 38 163 84.7%
2012/11/17  19 Rutgers 25 at  27 Cincinnati 24 166 60.8%
2012/11/24  19 Rutgers 27 at  70 Pittsburgh 24 164 71.5%
2012/11/29  36 Louisville 24 at  19 Rutgers 31 165 58.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-5.0
Most difficult game left: November 29, vs Louisville Cardinals, 58.4%


Oregon Ducks
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.992 2 0.529 51 25.1 4 11.4 22 176.9 2
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  69 Arkansas St. 34 at   3 Oregon 57 208 88.2%
2012/09/08  86 Fresno St. 25 at   3 Oregon 42 199 93.3%
2012/09/22  48 Arizona 0 at   3 Oregon 49 200 81.0%
2012/09/29  89 Washington St. 26 vs   2 Oregon 51 194 88.7%
2012/10/06  37 Washington 21 at   2 Oregon 52 182 78.3%
2012/10/18   2 Oregon 43 at  21 Arizona St. 21 194 54.4%
2012/10/27 112 Colorado 14 at   2 Oregon 49 172 96.4%
2012/11/03   2 Oregon 34 at  15 USC 27 171 53.2%
2012/11/10   2 Oregon 35 at  37 California 21 172 76.4%
2012/11/17  10 Stanford 24 at   2 Oregon 35 172 60.6%
2012/11/24   2 Oregon 34 at  29 Oregon St. 27 173 77.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-5.4
Most difficult game left: November 3, at USC Trojans, 53.2%


Long Shots

Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.891 17 0.530 49 21.0 22 13.6 36 159.6 116
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  92 Miami-OH 10 at  23 Ohio St. 56 193 85.8%
2012/09/08  62 UCF 16 at  20 Ohio St. 31 161 71.7%
2012/09/15  50 California 28 at  20 Ohio St. 35 176 71.4%
2012/09/22 115 UAB 15 at  19 Ohio St. 29 165 93.1%
2012/09/29  21 Ohio St. 17 at  19 Michigan St. 16 156 42.7%
2012/10/06  20 Nebraska 38 at  11 Ohio St. 63 166 51.1%
2012/10/13   9 Ohio St. 52 at  82 Indiana 49 195 89.8%
2012/10/20  63 Purdue 22 at  17 Ohio St. 29 164 78.1%
2012/10/27  17 Ohio St. 27 at  24 Penn State 28 161 48.8%
2012/11/03  81 Illinois 14 at  17 Ohio St. 38 164 84.1%
2012/11/17  17 Ohio St. 27 at  13 Wisconsin 31 160 43.6%
2012/11/24  18 Michigan 24 at  17 Ohio St. 28 163 66.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-8.4
Most difficult game left: November 17, at Wisconsin Badgers, 43.6%


Louisville Cardinals
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.714 36 0.490 72 18.4 38 15.2 50 165.7 81
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/02  64 Kentucky 14 at  44 Louisville 32 162 59.3%
2012/09/15  58 North Carolina 34 at  37 Louisville 39 154 51.7%
2012/09/22  34 Louisville 28 at  98 FIU 21 149 78.2%
2012/09/29  35 Louisville 21 at  77 Southern Miss. 17 142 65.4%
2012/10/13  36 Louisville 45 at  73 Pittsburgh 35 155 40.5%
2012/10/20  69 South Florida 25 at  36 Louisville 27 164 63.4%
2012/10/26  27 Cincinnati 28 at  36 Louisville 31 167 68.6%
2012/11/03  65 Temple 20 at  36 Louisville 34 163 60.2%
2012/11/10  36 Louisville 27 at  72 Syracuse 24 164 72.0%
2012/11/24  75 Connecticut 17 at  36 Louisville 31 166 70.1%
2012/11/29  36 Louisville 24 at  19 Rutgers 31 165 41.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-11.5
Most difficult game left: November 29, at Rutgers Scarlet Knights, 41.6%


Kansas State Wildcats
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.949 9 0.530 48 25.7 2 13.5 35 165.7 80
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/08  53 Miami-FL 13 at  22 Kansas St. 52 150 61.8%
2012/09/15  96 North Texas 21 at  14 Kansas St. 35 135 92.1%
2012/09/22  18 Kansas St. 24 at   9 Oklahoma 19 156 42.0%
2012/10/06  97 Kansas 16 at  17 Kansas St. 56 151 89.4%
2012/10/13  17 Kansas St. 27 at  81 Iowa St. 21 164 74.7%
2012/10/20   9 Kansas St. 55 at  44 West Virginia 14 147 62.4%
2012/10/27  30 Texas Tech 27 at   9 Kansas St. 38 172 60.3%
2012/11/03  16 Oklahoma St. 31 at   9 Kansas St. 35 169 56.9%
2012/11/10   9 Kansas St. 34 at  20 TCU 35 166 48.0%
2012/11/17   9 Kansas St. 42 at  40 Baylor 34 169 67.9%
2012/12/01  32 Texas 27 at   9 Kansas St. 41 166 55.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-16.0
Most difficult game left: November 10, at TCU Horned Frogs, 48.0%


What are YOU doing here??

Oregon State Beavers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.791 29 0.548 18 15.2 68 10.9 18 170.9 22
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/08   6 Wisconsin 7 at  76 Oregon St. 10 162 10.4%
2012/09/22  69 Oregon St. 27 at  39 UCLA 20 180 43.6%
2012/09/29  65 Oregon St. 38 at  57 Arizona 35 197 39.9%
2012/10/06  88 Washington St. 6 at  42 Oregon St. 19 156 70.1%
2012/10/13  35 Oregon St. 42 at  25 BYU 24 174 21.5%
2012/10/20  59 Utah 7 at  29 Oregon St. 21 152 51.9%
2012/10/27  29 Oregon St. 28 at  53 Washington 24 169 52.3%
2012/11/03  21 Arizona St. 27 at  29 Oregon St. 28 172 68.7%
2012/11/10  29 Oregon St. 21 at  10 Stanford 31 169 31.1%
2012/11/17  37 California 21 at  29 Oregon St. 27 169 51.2%
2012/11/24   2 Oregon 34 at  29 Oregon St. 27 173 22.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-77.0
Most difficult game left: November 24, vs Oregon Ducks, 22.7%


Mississippi State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.838 22 0.556 6 17.8 41 10.8 16 162.7 106
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/08  50 Auburn 10 at  28 Mississippi St. 28 152 58.9%
2012/09/15  21 Mississippi St. 30 at 103 Troy 24 174 86.7%
2012/09/22 120 South Alabama 10 at  28 Mississippi St. 30 166 99.9%
2012/10/06  30 Mississippi St. 27 at  74 Kentucky 14 163 78.6%
2012/10/13  50 Tennessee 31 at  27 Mississippi St. 41 166 61.6%
2012/10/20  88 Middle Tenn. 3 at  22 Mississippi St. 45 156 74.2%
2012/10/27  22 Mississippi St. 14 at   1 Alabama 35 159 4.9%
2012/11/03  11 Texas A&M 27 at  22 Mississippi St. 28 168 70.2%
2012/11/10  22 Mississippi St. 17 at   5 LSU 28 161 15.6%
2012/11/17  38 Arkansas 21 at  22 Mississippi St. 31 164 56.7%
2012/11/24  22 Mississippi St. 31 at  60 Mississippi 24 162 67.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-488.4
Most difficult game left: October 27, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 4.9%


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