Game of the Week
Oklahoma State Cowboys at Kansas State Wildcats
GUGS Score: 77.5
Justin
| Team | WinPct | SoS | Off. | Def. | Pace | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kansas St. | 0.808 | 0.582 | 31 | 34.4 | 2 | 19.4 | 46 | 153.7 | 118 |
| 12 | Oklahoma St. | 0.808 | 0.610 | 22 | 26.9 | 17 | 15.1 | 14 | 182.1 | 6 |
Kansas St. 42, Oklahoma St. 38 (54.4%); 167 plays
Eddie
| Team | WinPct | SoS | Off. | Def. | Pace | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kansas St. | 0.975 | 0.531 | 47 | 26.6 | 2 | 13.4 | 34 | 165.7 | 82 |
| 7 | Oklahoma St. | 0.966 | 0.550 | 14 | 21.8 | 17 | 13.1 | 32 | 173.9 | 7 |
Despite their recent success, RBA has only recently started to appreciate the Wildcats. They've won three games against top 15 teams in the human polls, but RBA doesn't think those teams are really that great. Sure, Oklahoma sits at #9 in the RBA top 25. However, West Virginia sits at #48, and Texas Tech is #35. With only 24 points against Oklahoma despite the Sooners' blistering pace and only 16 points against Arkansas in last year's Cotton Bowl, the Wildcats offensive efficiency is 34.9 +/- 16.6 PPH, indicating a tendency to score big against inferior competition but losing some steam against strong opponents. That's still very good, but they're not likely to blow the doors off the Cowboys in the same way they beat the Mountaineers and Red Raiders. Oklahoma State is the opposite, playing consistent 22.2 +/- 0.8 PPH offense. Defensively, the two teams are evenly matched. Home field advantage and a slight strength advantage give Kansas State the edge, 35-31, with 60.4% probability.
Coin Toss Game of the Week
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Maryland Terrapins
GUGS Score: 43.2
Eddie
| Team | WinPct | SoS | Off. | Def. | Pace | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | Maryland | 0.315 | 0.527 | 56 | 13.5 | 93 | 15.1 | 50 | 165.1 | 87 |
| 58 | Georgia Tech | 0.540 | 0.536 | 37 | 19.8 | 26 | 19.4 | 94 | 163.5 | 102 |
Just what I need: an ACC game. Neither team is very good offensively, but their defenses are so bad that both teams will look respectable. Georgia Tech a universally awful 18.5 +/- 1.6 PPH. Maryland is less predictable but equally terrible 5.7 +/- 18.8 PPH. From RBA's perspective, this game comes down entirely to home field advantage, giving Maryland a 31-28 edge with 59.8% probability.
Justin
| Team | WinPct | SoS | Off. | Def. | Pace | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | Maryland | 0.372 | 0.462 | 74 | 18.5 | 84 | 22.8 | 74 | 164.1 | 67 |
| 66 | Georgia Tech | 0.472 | 0.498 | 63 | 27.0 | 16 | 28.2 | 107 | 157.1 | 106 |
Georgia Tech 39, Maryland 38 (55.9%); 160 plays
2012 Coin Toss Record:
| System | Expected W - L | Expected % Correct |
|---|---|---|
| RBA | 37.24 - 14.76 | 71.62% |
| TFG | 37.64 - 14.36 | 72.38% |
