Tuesday, November 27, 2012

Week 14: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- RBA


Odds as of games through 2012-11-25


Locks

Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.924 13 0.530 49 21.5 20 13.0 30 159.8 118

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  92 Miami-OH 10 at  23 Ohio St. 56 193 85.8%
2012/09/08  62 UCF 16 at  20 Ohio St. 31 161 71.7%
2012/09/15  50 California 28 at  20 Ohio St. 35 176 71.4%
2012/09/22 115 UAB 15 at  19 Ohio St. 29 165 93.1%
2012/09/29  21 Ohio St. 17 at  19 Michigan St. 16 156 42.7%
2012/10/06  20 Nebraska 38 at  11 Ohio St. 63 166 51.1%
2012/10/13   9 Ohio St. 52 at  82 Indiana 49 195 89.8%
2012/10/20  63 Purdue 22 at  17 Ohio St. 29 164 78.1%
2012/10/27  12 Ohio St. 35 at  26 Penn State 23 174 48.8%
2012/11/03  90 Illinois 22 at  13 Ohio St. 52 175 84.9%
2012/11/17  14 Ohio St. 21 at  19 Wisconsin 14 169 43.3%
2012/11/24  22 Michigan 21 at  13 Ohio St. 26 142 61.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-1.0

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.992 3 0.567 1 18.7 36 7.2 2 164.4 99

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  75 Navy 10 vs  20 Notre Dame 50 150 77.7%
2012/09/08  73 Purdue 17 at  17 Notre Dame 20 172 79.4%
2012/09/15   6 Notre Dame 20 at  15 Michigan St. 3 165 49.1%
2012/09/22  22 Michigan 6 at  13 Notre Dame 13 133 50.1%
2012/10/06   9 Notre Dame 41 vs  56 Miami-FL 3 154 80.4%
2012/10/13  13 Stanford 13 at   7 Notre Dame 20 165 50.0%
2012/10/20  28 BYU 14 at   6 Notre Dame 17 145 60.6%
2012/10/27   5 Notre Dame 30 at   8 Oklahoma 13 166 47.3%
2012/11/03  41 Pittsburgh 26 at   7 Notre Dame 29 199 86.7%
2012/11/10   3 Notre Dame 21 at  98 Boston College 6 150 93.5%
2012/11/17  91 Wake Forest 0 at   4 Notre Dame 38 152 91.4%
2012/11/24   3 Notre Dame 22 at  17 USC 13 142 52.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-1.0

One-Loss Hopefuls

Odds as of games through 2012-11-25


Florida Gators
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.983 4 0.559 5 18.1 42 8.9 3 161.2 114

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01 106 Bowling Green 14 at  16 Florida 27 173 96.2%
2012/09/08  21 Florida 20 at  19 Texas A&M 17 159 31.5%
2012/09/15  18 Florida 37 at  35 Tennessee 20 168 60.8%
2012/09/22  75 Kentucky 0 at  14 Florida 38 157 80.5%
2012/10/06   4 LSU 6 at   5 Florida 14 147 20.7%
2012/10/13   6 Florida 31 at  44 Vanderbilt 17 162 84.3%
2012/10/20   7 South Carolina 11 at   3 Florida 44 162 44.3%
2012/10/27  15 Georgia 17 vs   4 Florida 9 157 69.3%
2012/11/03  29 Missouri 7 at   5 Florida 14 169 74.6%
2012/11/10  77 LA-Lafayette 20 at   5 Florida 27 146 95.0%
2012/11/24   4 Florida 37 at  15 Florida St. 26 161 51.0%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 1-in-1.0

Oregon Ducks
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.992 2 0.530 50 27.9 1 11.4 20 177.1 3

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  69 Arkansas St. 34 at   3 Oregon 57 208 88.2%
2012/09/08  86 Fresno St. 25 at   3 Oregon 42 199 93.3%
2012/09/22  48 Arizona 0 at   3 Oregon 49 200 81.0%
2012/09/29  89 Washington St. 26 vs   2 Oregon 51 194 88.7%
2012/10/06  37 Washington 21 at   2 Oregon 52 182 78.3%
2012/10/18   2 Oregon 43 at  21 Arizona St. 21 194 54.4%
2012/10/27 112 Colorado 14 at   2 Oregon 70 165 96.4%
2012/11/03   2 Oregon 62 at  19 USC 51 191 50.4%
2012/11/10   2 Oregon 59 at  62 California 17 177 85.9%
2012/11/17  13 Stanford 17 at   2 Oregon 14 187 56.6%
2012/11/24   2 Oregon 48 at  21 Oregon St. 24 189 80.7%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 1-in-1.0

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 1.000 1 0.549 15 26.5 2 5.5 1 156.2 124

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  21 Michigan 14 vs   1 Alabama 41 148 90.8%
2012/09/08  89 Western Kentucky 0 at   1 Alabama 35 130 99.1%
2012/09/15   1 Alabama 52 at  38 Arkansas 0 149 87.9%
2012/09/22 119 FL-Atlantic 7 at   1 Alabama 40 142 99.9%
2012/09/29  72 Mississippi 14 at   1 Alabama 33 154 99.5%
2012/10/13   1 Alabama 42 at  32 Missouri 10 151 95.8%
2012/10/20   1 Alabama 44 at  55 Tennessee 13 149 96.8%
2012/10/27  27 Mississippi St. 7 at   1 Alabama 38 148 95.1%
2012/11/03   1 Alabama 21 at   3 LSU 17 161 76.1%
2012/11/10   7 Texas A&M 29 at   1 Alabama 24 166 87.2%
2012/11/24  71 Auburn 0 at   1 Alabama 49 139 97.3%
2012/12/01   6 Georgia 17 vs   1 Alabama 31 158 84.0%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 1-in-1.2
Most difficult game left: December 1, vs Georgia Bulldogs, 84.0%
Notes:



Kansas State Wildcats
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.966 8 0.530 48 25.2 4 14.1 41 165.7 78

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/08  53 Miami-FL 13 at  22 Kansas St. 52 150 61.8%
2012/09/15  96 North Texas 21 at  14 Kansas St. 35 135 92.1%
2012/09/22  18 Kansas St. 24 at   9 Oklahoma 19 156 42.0%
2012/10/06  97 Kansas 16 at  17 Kansas St. 56 151 89.4%
2012/10/13  17 Kansas St. 27 at  81 Iowa St. 21 164 74.7%
2012/10/20   9 Kansas St. 55 at  44 West Virginia 14 147 62.4%
2012/10/27  35 Texas Tech 24 at   6 Kansas St. 55 166 60.3%
2012/11/03  11 Oklahoma St. 30 at   4 Kansas St. 44 169 60.4%
2012/11/10   4 Kansas St. 23 at  36 TCU 10 146 69.2%
2012/11/17   6 Kansas St. 24 at  37 Baylor 52 190 77.1%
2012/12/01  30 Texas 24 at   8 Kansas St. 41 166 65.4%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 1-in-1.5
Most difficult game left: December 1, vs Texas Longhorns, 65.4%
Notes:



Georgia Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.975 6 0.544 25 23.5 5 10.9 14 160.0 117

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01 113 Buffalo 23 at  14 Georgia 45 168 97.1%
2012/09/08  15 Georgia 41 at  29 Missouri 20 187 31.6%
2012/09/15 121 FL-Atlantic 20 at  13 Georgia 56 164 97.9%
2012/09/22  44 Vanderbilt 3 at   5 Georgia 48 167 52.0%
2012/09/29  47 Tennessee 44 at   4 Georgia 51 182 59.8%
2012/10/06  13 Georgia 7 at   3 South Carolina 35 153 31.8%
2012/10/20  14 Georgia 29 at  83 Kentucky 24 162 86.4%
2012/10/27  15 Georgia 17 vs   4 Florida 9 157 30.7%
2012/11/03  51 Mississippi 10 at  12 Georgia 37 155 69.5%
2012/11/10  10 Georgia 38 at  68 Auburn 0 139 84.6%
2012/11/24  47 Georgia Tech 10 at   6 Georgia 42 158 74.1%
2012/12/01   6 Georgia 17 vs   1 Alabama 31 158 16.0%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 1-in-6.2
Most difficult game left: December 1, vs Alabama Crimson Tide, 16.0%
Notes:


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