Saturday, December 29, 2012

2012 - 2013 Bowl Previews: Part VI


Today is Part VI of our 2012 - 2013 bowl preview series. Today we'll examine the
  • Taxslayer.com Gator Bowl
    Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Northwestern Wildcats
  • Chick-fil-A Bowl
    Clemson Tigers vs LSU Tigers
  • Capital One Bowl
    Georgia Bulldogs vs Nebraska Cornhuskers
  • Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl
    Michigan State Spartans vs TCU Horned Frogs
  • Valero Alamo Bowl
    Oregon State Beavers vs Texas Longhorns
Full previews after the jump ....

11. Taxslayer.com Gator Bowl

Tuesday, January 1 at 12:00 PM

Mississippi State Bulldogs (7 - 4; 4 - 4 SEC)
vs
Northwestern Wildcats (8 - 3; 5 - 3 Big Ten)
GUGS Score: 56.5

Justin

Mississippi State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.624 39 0.586 30 22.0 51 18.0 33 161.1 88
Northwestern Wildcats
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.634 36 0.530 53 24.1 32 19.3 46 170.3 33

Northwestern 35, Mississippi St. 33 (51.1%); 165 plays.

Eddie

Mississippi State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.779 31 0.556 6 17.7 48 12.6 27 162.6 107
Northwestern Wildcats
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.705 37 0.508 63 18.4 39 13.8 37 176.5 4

Mississippi St. 31, Northwestern 24 (63.2%); 169 plays.


Mississippi State Bulldogs Season Summary
Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2012/09/08  40 /  50 Auburn 10 at  34 /  28 Mississippi St. 28 152  66.1% /  58.9%
2012/09/15  26 /  21 Mississippi St. 30 at  98 / 103 Troy 24 174  81.6% /  86.7%
2012/09/22  NA / 120 South Alabama 10 at  31 /  28 Mississippi St. 30 166  95.6% /  99.9%
2012/10/06  31 /  30 Mississippi St. 27 at  79 /  74 Kentucky 14 163  69.6% /  78.6%
2012/10/13  45 /  50 Tennessee 31 at  31 /  27 Mississippi St. 41 166  68.3% /  61.6%
2012/10/20  99 /  87 Middle Tenn. 3 at  34 /  22 Mississippi St. 45 156  88.4% /  74.2%
2012/10/27  21 /  27 Mississippi St. 7 at   1 /   1 Alabama 38 148   3.6% /   4.9%
2012/11/03   9 /   9 Texas A&M 38 at  27 /  32 Mississippi St. 13 176  34.5% /  38.3%
2012/11/10  34 /  38 Mississippi St. 17 at   2 /   6 LSU 37 153  13.6% /  17.0%
2012/11/17  31 /  39 Arkansas 14 at  34 /  31 Mississippi St. 45 159  48.3% /  53.2%
2012/11/24  30 /  29 Mississippi St. 24 at  52 /  44 Mississippi 41 170  62.3% /  57.4%
2013/01/01  36 /  37 Northwestern -- vs  39 /  31 Mississippi St. -- --  48.9% /  63.2%


Northwestern Wildcats Season Summary
Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2012/09/01  65 /  63 Northwestern 42 at  77 /  87 Syracuse 41 200  46.9% /  62.4%
2012/09/08  59 /  30 Vanderbilt 13 at  66 /  56 Northwestern 23 170  57.4% /  25.8%
2012/09/15  83 /  77 Boston College 13 at  66 /  49 Northwestern 22 188  75.4% /  59.7%
2012/09/29  97 /  93 Indiana 29 at  61 /  39 Northwestern 44 186  80.6% /  76.4%
2012/10/06  57 /  44 Northwestern 28 at  29 /  29 Penn State 39 187  26.2% /  39.0%
2012/10/13  58 /  48 Northwestern 21 at  90 /  92 Minnesota 13 150  61.8% /  71.1%
2012/10/20  21 /  26 Nebraska 29 at  56 /  47 Northwestern 28 197  40.4% /  28.0%
2012/10/27  44 /  59 Iowa 17 at  49 /  42 Northwestern 28 157  60.0% /  53.0%
2012/11/10  45 /  41 Northwestern 31 at  15 /  21 Michigan 38 166  26.1% /  19.1%
2012/11/17  44 /  42 Northwestern 23 at  22 /  25 Michigan St. 20 182  34.4% /  33.8%
2012/11/24 101 /  98 Illinois 14 at  40 /  37 Northwestern 50 148  82.1% /  83.4%
2013/01/01  36 /  37 Northwestern -- vs  39 /  31 Mississippi St. -- --  51.1% /  36.8%


10. Chick-fil-A Bowl

Monday, December 31 at 7:30 PM

Clemson Tigers (9 - 2; 7 - 1 ACC)
vs
LSU Tigers (9 - 2; 6 - 2 SEC)
GUGS Score: 59.7

Eddie

Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.875 18 0.527 56 23.2 8 13.9 38 168.1 48
LSU Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.975 5 0.548 16 22.9 9 9.0 4 160.4 115

LSU 27, Clemson 24 (72.3%); 164 plays.

Justin

Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.711 26 0.505 61 26.9 15 18.7 40 175.1 16
LSU Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.878 3 0.665 7 26.9 16 12.2 3 162.3 83

LSU 38, Clemson 32 (74.5%); 168 plays.


Clemson Tigers Season Summary
Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2012/09/01  38 /  33 Clemson 26 vs  31 /  41 Auburn 19 177  48.3% /  46.2%
2012/09/08 102 /  99 Ball St. 27 at  33 /  33 Clemson 52 183  90.3% /  83.0%
2012/09/22  32 /  33 Clemson 37 at   4 /   6 Florida St. 49 185  13.5% /  25.1%
2012/09/29  27 /  33 Clemson 45 at  83 /  79 Boston College 31 185  71.3% /  72.0%
2012/10/06  54 /  72 Georgia Tech 31 at  33 /  28 Clemson 47 174  71.5% /  55.3%
2012/10/20  25 /  39 Virginia Tech 17 at  32 /  23 Clemson 38 170  55.8% /  54.4%
2012/10/25  29 /  20 Clemson 42 at  87 /  82 Wake Forest 13 191  71.5% /  78.2%
2012/11/03  24 /  18 Clemson 56 at  84 /  68 Duke 20 188  78.1% /  69.1%
2012/11/10  88 /  86 Maryland 10 at  23 /  19 Clemson 45 154  85.4% /  77.1%
2012/11/17  56 /  60 North Carolina St. 48 at  21 /  15 Clemson 62 223  72.5% /  77.6%
2012/11/24  13 /   9 South Carolina 27 at  21 /  18 Clemson 17 174  40.8% /  65.3%
2012/12/31   3 /   5 LSU -- vs  26 /  18 Clemson -- --  25.5% /  27.7%


LSU Tigers Season Summary
Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2012/09/01  94 / 101 North Texas 14 at   2 /   2 LSU 41 158  98.3% /  99.2%
2012/09/08  57 /  46 Washington 3 at   2 /   2 LSU 41 159  95.1% /  94.6%
2012/09/15 109 / 107 Idaho 14 at   2 /   2 LSU 63 157  99.2% /  98.7%
2012/09/22   2 /   2 LSU 12 at  45 /  64 Auburn 10 151  87.9% /  92.8%
2012/10/06   2 /   4 LSU 6 at   9 /   5 Florida 14 147  63.6% /  79.3%
2012/10/13   3 /   3 South Carolina 21 at   2 /   5 LSU 23 164  70.9% /  60.8%
2012/10/20   2 /   5 LSU 24 at  12 /  11 Texas A&M 19 204  58.4% /  66.3%
2012/11/03   1 /   1 Alabama 21 at   2 /   3 LSU 17 161  17.5% /  23.9%
2012/11/10  34 /  38 Mississippi St. 17 at   2 /   6 LSU 37 153  86.4% /  83.0%
2012/11/17  63 /  48 Mississippi 35 at   2 /   3 LSU 41 187  90.2% /  88.8%
2012/11/23   3 /   5 LSU 20 at  43 /  41 Arkansas 13 169  83.9% /  82.4%
2012/12/31   3 /   5 LSU -- vs  26 /  18 Clemson -- --  74.5% /  72.3%


8. Capital One Bowl

Tuesday, January 1 at 1:00 PM

Georgia Bulldogs (10 - 2; 7 - 2 SEC)
vs
Nebraska Cornhuskers (9 - 3; 7 - 2 Big Ten)
GUGS Score: 65.0

Justin

Georgia Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.820 11 0.591 26 29.6 6 16.1 19 163.0 73
Nebraska Cornhuskers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.740 19 0.642 10 26.4 20 17.3 28 168.4 43

Georgia 38, Nebraska 35 (61.5%); 165 plays.

Eddie

Georgia Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.967 7 0.545 22 23.6 6 11.1 14 160.0 116
Nebraska Cornhuskers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.831 23 0.534 43 18.8 35 12.1 25 167.1 65

Georgia 35, Nebraska 21 (66.0%); 163 plays.


Georgia Bulldogs Season Summary
Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2012/09/01 112 / 113 Buffalo 23 at  20 /  14 Georgia 45 168  96.7% /  97.1%
2012/09/08  25 /  15 Georgia 41 at  22 /  29 Missouri 20 187  35.2% /  31.6%
2012/09/15 118 / 121 FL-Atlantic 20 at  20 /  13 Georgia 56 164  98.6% /  97.9%
2012/09/22  61 /  44 Vanderbilt 3 at  21 /   5 Georgia 48 167  80.1% /  52.0%
2012/09/29  54 /  47 Tennessee 44 at  18 /   4 Georgia 51 182  82.5% /  59.8%
2012/10/06  19 /  13 Georgia 7 at   8 /   3 South Carolina 35 153  30.6% /  31.8%
2012/10/20  23 /  14 Georgia 29 at  96 /  83 Kentucky 24 162  78.8% /  86.4%
2012/10/27  28 /  15 Georgia 17 vs   4 /   4 Florida 9 157  23.2% /  30.7%
2012/11/03  53 /  51 Mississippi 10 at  23 /  12 Georgia 37 155  70.6% /  69.5%
2012/11/10  19 /  10 Georgia 38 at  62 /  68 Auburn 0 139  71.7% /  84.6%
2012/11/24  49 /  47 Georgia Tech 10 at  16 /   6 Georgia 42 158  73.2% /  74.1%
2012/12/01  14 /   7 Georgia 28 vs   1 /   1 Alabama 32 163  10.0% /  16.0%
2013/01/01  19 /  23 Nebraska -- vs  11 /   7 Georgia -- --  61.5% /  66.0%


Nebraska Cornhuskers Season Summary
Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2012/09/01  28 /  38 Southern Miss. 20 at  24 /  18 Nebraska 49 169  68.6% /  52.3%
2012/09/08  18 /  16 Nebraska 30 at  69 /  63 UCLA 36 199  72.3% /  73.0%
2012/09/15  70 /  76 Arkansas St. 13 at  24 /  19 Nebraska 42 165  85.2% /  79.6%
2012/09/29  12 /  17 Wisconsin 27 at  20 /  15 Nebraska 30 172  50.8% /  33.9%
2012/10/06  18 /  20 Nebraska 38 at  20 /  11 Ohio St. 63 166  41.8% /  48.9%
2012/10/20  21 /  26 Nebraska 29 at  56 /  47 Northwestern 28 197  59.6% /  72.0%
2012/10/27  12 /  19 Michigan 9 at  25 /  21 Nebraska 23 153  46.0% /  32.3%
2012/11/03  20 /  21 Nebraska 28 at  19 /  23 Michigan St. 24 177  43.5% /  48.0%
2012/11/10  25 /  26 Penn State 23 at  18 /  20 Nebraska 32 176  58.6% /  53.4%
2012/11/17  83 /  80 Minnesota 14 at  18 /  20 Nebraska 38 168  84.9% /  82.4%
2012/11/23  17 /  19 Nebraska 13 at  63 /  70 Iowa 7 151  77.7% /  74.4%
2012/12/01  12 /  13 Wisconsin 70 vs  17 /  23 Nebraska 31 168  44.5% /  58.8%
2013/01/01  19 /  23 Nebraska -- vs  11 /   7 Georgia -- --  38.5% /  34.0%


7. Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl

Saturday, December 29 at 10:15 PM

Michigan State Spartans (6 - 6; 3 - 5 Big Ten)
vs
TCU Horned Frogs (6 - 5; 4 - 5 Big XII)
GUGS Score: 67.0

Eddie

Michigan State Spartans
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.821 25 0.545 23 15.4 74 10.0 9 166.9 69
TCU Horned Frogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.783 30 0.471 87 18.8 32 12.9 28 167.8 53

Michigan St. 28, TCU 20 (52.3%); 167 plays.

Justin

Michigan State Spartans
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.735 21 0.605 21 19.9 70 13.2 5 163.0 77
TCU Horned Frogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.720 23 0.579 32 23.0 40 15.8 18 163.3 70

Michigan St. 30, TCU 28 (51.8%); 163 plays.


Michigan State Spartans Season Summary
Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2012/08/31   3 /   9 Boise St. 13 at  13 /  15 Michigan St. 17 168  29.3% /  39.2%
2012/09/08  11 /  14 Michigan St. 41 at 106 / 110 Central Michigan 7 158  90.2% /  92.3%
2012/09/15  16 /   6 Notre Dame 20 at   9 /  15 Michigan St. 3 165  69.3% /  50.9%
2012/09/22 115 / 117 Eastern Michigan 7 at  18 /  15 Michigan St. 23 155  97.6% /  97.8%
2012/09/29  19 /  21 Ohio St. 17 at  16 /  19 Michigan St. 16 156  64.5% /  57.3%
2012/10/06  17 /  19 Michigan St. 31 at  94 /  91 Indiana 27 182  84.9% /  91.6%
2012/10/13  39 /  54 Iowa 19 at  19 /  24 Michigan St. 16 173  73.8% /  78.1%
2012/10/20  20 /  25 Michigan St. 10 at   9 /  18 Michigan 12 156  27.2% /  40.4%
2012/10/27  20 /  24 Michigan St. 16 at  13 /  18 Wisconsin 13 152  30.0% /  41.5%
2012/11/03  20 /  21 Nebraska 28 at  19 /  23 Michigan St. 24 177  56.5% /  52.0%
2012/11/17  44 /  42 Northwestern 23 at  22 /  25 Michigan St. 20 182  65.6% /  66.2%
2012/11/24  23 /  25 Michigan St. 26 at  85 /  81 Minnesota 10 144  83.5% /  81.8%
2012/12/29  23 /  30 TCU -- vs  21 /  25 Michigan St. -- --  51.8% /  52.3%


TCU Horned Frogs Season Summary
Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2012/09/15   7 /  16 TCU 20 at 103 / 101 Kansas 6 151  92.7% /  90.3%
2012/09/22  86 /  85 Virginia 7 at  10 /  17 TCU 27 161  93.8% /  81.7%
2012/09/29   9 /  16 TCU 24 at  90 /  82 SMU 16 173  89.2% /  84.3%
2012/10/06  67 /  84 Iowa St. 37 at  10 /  27 TCU 23 168  88.5% /  72.9%
2012/10/13  17 /  21 TCU 49 at  30 /  42 Baylor 21 161  54.4% /  36.1%
2012/10/20  24 /  30 Texas Tech 56 at  13 /  20 TCU 53 198  71.5% /  59.0%
2012/10/27  17 /  31 TCU 14 at  16 /   7 Oklahoma St. 36 178  38.2% /  45.2%
2012/11/03  18 /  33 TCU 39 at  39 /  48 West Virginia 38 206  61.5% /  60.5%
2012/11/10  11 /   4 Kansas St. 23 at  21 /  36 TCU 10 146  42.9% /  30.8%
2012/11/22  25 /  33 TCU 20 at  20 /  30 Texas 13 150  46.8% /  47.5%
2012/12/01   9 /  11 Oklahoma 24 at  23 /  30 TCU 17 164  34.8% /  30.1%
2012/12/29  23 /  30 TCU -- vs  21 /  25 Michigan St. -- --  48.2% /  47.7%


5. Valero Alamo Bowl

Saturday, December 29 at 6:45 PM

Oregon State Beavers (8 - 3; 6 - 3 Pac-12)
vs
Texas Longhorns (8 - 4; 5 - 4 Big XII)
GUGS Score: 69.5

Justin

Oregon State Beavers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.704 28 0.627 18 24.5 28 17.3 29 163.1 72
Texas Longhorns
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.717 24 0.590 27 26.4 19 18.2 38 159.4 94

Texas 35, Oregon St. 34 (51.6%); 161 plays.

Eddie

Oregon State Beavers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.851 19 0.547 18 17.7 49 10.7 13 170.9 21
Texas Longhorns
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.786 29 0.524 59 21.6 19 14.5 47 167.8 54

Oregon St. 35, Texas 24 (53.8%); 169 plays.


Oregon State Beavers Season Summary
Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2012/09/08   3 /   6 Wisconsin 7 at  67 /  76 Oregon St. 10 162  16.1% /  10.4%
2012/09/22  63 /  69 Oregon St. 27 at  47 /  39 UCLA 20 180  33.7% /  43.6%
2012/09/29  55 /  65 Oregon St. 38 at  60 /  57 Arizona 35 197  42.3% /  39.9%
2012/10/06  93 /  88 Washington St. 6 at  50 /  42 Oregon St. 19 156  80.5% /  70.1%
2012/10/13  46 /  35 Oregon St. 42 at  22 /  25 BYU 24 174  24.7% /  21.5%
2012/10/20  55 /  59 Utah 7 at  35 /  29 Oregon St. 21 152  72.0% /  51.9%
2012/10/27  32 /  22 Oregon St. 17 at  72 /  66 Washington 20 157  64.1% /  52.3%
2012/11/03  32 /  25 Arizona St. 26 at  31 /  30 Oregon St. 36 178  55.0% /  62.2%
2012/11/10  28 /  33 Oregon St. 23 at   9 /  11 Stanford 27 160  25.7% /  31.8%
2012/11/17  69 /  65 California 14 at  28 /  23 Oregon St. 62 177  72.0% /  63.0%
2012/11/24   6 /   2 Oregon 48 at  24 /  21 Oregon St. 24 189  30.3% /  19.3%
2012/12/29  24 /  29 Texas -- vs  28 /  19 Oregon St. -- --  48.4% /  53.8%


Texas Longhorns Season Summary
Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2012/09/01  96 /  88 Wyoming 17 at  27 /  22 Texas 37 157  90.5% /  86.1%
2012/09/08 120 / 118 New Mexico 0 at  23 /  27 Texas 45 146  99.2% /  98.9%
2012/09/15  12 /  26 Texas 66 at  84 /  79 Mississippi 31 170  81.8% /  88.9%
2012/09/29  13 /  23 Texas 41 at  17 /  12 Oklahoma St. 36 174  43.5% /  41.8%
2012/10/06  26 /  23 West Virginia 48 at  12 /  26 Texas 45 170  72.9% /  59.5%
2012/10/13  12 /  30 Texas 21 vs   7 /   4 Oklahoma 63 183  42.1% /  42.3%
2012/10/20  38 /  40 Baylor 50 at  17 /  32 Texas 56 190  76.1% /  64.5%
2012/10/27  18 /  34 Texas 21 at 105 /  96 Kansas 17 143  86.3% /  88.0%
2012/11/03  21 /  34 Texas 31 at  29 /  38 Texas Tech 22 158  51.3% /  46.3%
2012/11/10  50 /  59 Iowa St. 7 at  24 /  31 Texas 33 159  70.2% /  64.1%
2012/11/22  25 /  33 TCU 20 at  20 /  30 Texas 13 150  53.2% /  52.5%
2012/12/01  21 /  29 Texas 24 at  15 /   9 Kansas St. 42 148  43.4% /  34.6%
2012/12/29  24 /  29 Texas -- vs  28 /  19 Oregon St. -- --  51.6% /  46.2%


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