Week 7: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- RBA

Odds as of games through 2013-10-06

Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2013	0.922	1	0.549	20	25.2	6	7.0	1	156.0	124

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2013/08/31	50	Virginia Tech	10	vs	1	Alabama	35	157	95.7%
2013/09/14	1	Alabama	49	at	13	Texas A&M	42	167	82.2%
2013/09/21	104	Colorado St.	6	at	1	Alabama	31	138	99.2%
2013/09/28	19	Mississippi	0	at	2	Alabama	25	152	89.6%
2013/10/05	124	Georgia State	3	at	1	Alabama	45	134	99.9%
2013/10/12	1	Alabama	41	at	78	Kentucky	13	160	96.8%
2013/10/19	39	Arkansas	14	at	1	Alabama	42	160	89.5%
2013/10/26	61	Tennessee	14	at	1	Alabama	42	158	94.6%
2013/11/09	6	LSU	21	at	1	Alabama	34	158	76.0%
2013/11/16	1	Alabama	38	at	24	Mississippi St.	17	159	84.9%
2013/11/30	1	Alabama	34	at	54	Auburn	17	157	93.2%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.0
Most difficult game left: November 9, vs LSU Tigers, 76.0%

Oregon Ducks
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2013	0.894	2	0.531	51	28.1	2	9.7	7	177.3	3

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2013/09/07	5	Oregon	59	at	82	Virginia	10	186	93.1%
2013/09/14	40	Tennessee	14	at	3	Oregon	59	175	86.2%
2013/09/28	69	California	16	at	3	Oregon	55	205	93.1%
2013/10/05	2	Oregon	57	at	105	Colorado	16	194	98.0%
2013/10/12	2	Oregon	34	at	36	Washington	24	172	85.0%
2013/10/19	68	Washington St.	13	at	2	Oregon	49	174	94.1%
2013/10/26	20	UCLA	21	at	2	Oregon	38	173	80.0%
2013/11/07	2	Oregon	31	at	10	Stanford	27	172	72.2%
2013/11/16	53	Utah	20	at	2	Oregon	42	171	90.1%
2013/11/23	2	Oregon	41	at	46	Arizona	20	173	87.0%
2013/11/29	42	Oregon St.	24	at	2	Oregon	45	174	87.8%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-3.1
Most difficult game left: November 7, at Stanford Cardinal, 72.2%

Northern Illinois Huskies
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2013	0.618	49	0.436	117	18.8	36	14.6	47	166.3	71

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2013/08/31	46	Northern Ill.	30	at	69	Iowa	27	198	65.2%
2013/09/14	53	Northern Ill.	45	at	122	Idaho	35	200	95.7%
2013/09/28	53	Northern Ill.	55	at	83	Purdue	24	175	69.3%
2013/10/05	49	Northern Ill.	38	at	88	Kent St.	24	187	74.8%
2013/10/12	115	Akron	20	at	49	Northern Ill.	41	167	88.2%
2013/10/19	49	Northern Ill.	45	at	109	Central Michigan	21	169	88.3%
2013/10/26	118	Eastern Michigan	14	at	49	Northern Ill.	45	165	92.3%
2013/11/02	49	Northern Ill.	41	at	123	Massachusetts	17	165	97.3%
2013/11/13	65	Ball St.	24	at	49	Northern Ill.	34	167	66.0%
2013/11/20	49	Northern Ill.	31	at	79	Toledo	24	167	73.9%
2013/11/26	114	Western Michigan	17	at	49	Northern Ill.	42	168	89.6%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-3.3
Most difficult game left: November 13, vs Ball State Cardinals, 66.0%

Second-Tier Hopefuls

Florida State Seminoles
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2013	0.836	5	0.548	21	27.9	3	9.5	6	165.5	82

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2013/09/02	4	Florida St.	41	at	47	Pittsburgh	13	140	21.5%
2013/09/14	74	Nevada	7	at	2	Florida St.	62	154	87.7%
2013/09/28	1	Florida St.	48	at	92	Boston College	34	163	94.8%
2013/10/05	40	Maryland	0	at	5	Florida St.	63	170	94.2%
2013/10/19	5	Florida St.	31	at	9	Clemson	24	166	58.2%
2013/10/26	38	North Carolina St.	17	at	5	Florida St.	35	167	77.8%
2013/11/02	16	Miami-FL	14	at	5	Florida St.	35	164	63.5%
2013/11/09	5	Florida St.	52	at	108	Wake Forest	17	166	97.0%
2013/11/16	51	Syracuse	13	at	5	Florida St.	42	165	82.2%
2013/11/23	119	Idaho	14	at	5	Florida St.	62	167	98.5%
2013/11/30	5	Florida St.	24	at	7	Florida	21	163	56.6%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-7.8
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Florida Gators, 56.6%

Miami Hurricanes
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2013	0.748	16	0.554	10	25.1	7	12.9	27	162.6	107

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2013/08/30	115	FL-Atlantic	0	at	51	Miami-FL	34	84	87.3%
2013/09/07	11	Florida	16	at	19	Miami-FL	21	158	30.2%
2013/09/28	11	Miami-FL	49	at	82	South Florida	21	159	87.3%
2013/10/05	44	Georgia Tech	30	at	16	Miami-FL	45	157	68.0%
2013/10/17	16	Miami-FL	35	at	59	North Carolina	21	163	78.4%
2013/10/26	108	Wake Forest	10	at	16	Miami-FL	55	165	94.8%
2013/11/02	16	Miami-FL	14	at	5	Florida St.	35	164	36.5%
2013/11/09	50	Virginia Tech	20	at	16	Miami-FL	31	161	71.3%
2013/11/16	16	Miami-FL	48	at	77	Duke	24	165	86.8%
2013/11/23	86	Virginia	14	at	16	Miami-FL	45	163	88.4%
2013/11/29	16	Miami-FL	34	at	60	Pittsburgh	24	163	79.0%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-8.5
Most difficult game left: November 2, at Florida State Seminoles, 36.5%

Long Shots

Louisville Cardinals
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2013	0.728	19	0.485	76	21.4	21	12.1	19	165.1	89

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2013/09/01	65	Ohio	7	at	42	Louisville	49	156	74.1%
2013/09/14	21	Louisville	27	at	84	Kentucky	13	161	80.7%
2013/09/21	119	FIU	0	at	29	Louisville	72	128	92.8%
2013/10/05	19	Louisville	30	at	95	Temple	7	145	84.1%
2013/10/10	43	Rutgers	24	at	19	Louisville	28	165	69.0%
2013/10/18	26	UCF	27	at	19	Louisville	28	164	55.8%
2013/10/26	19	Louisville	41	at	85	South Florida	17	166	88.4%
2013/11/08	19	Louisville	31	at	92	Connecticut	20	165	85.2%
2013/11/16	67	Houston	17	at	19	Louisville	38	171	82.2%
2013/11/23	98	Memphis	10	at	19	Louisville	42	166	91.7%
2013/12/05	19	Louisville	21	at	32	Cincinnati	35	166	39.7%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-11.5
Most difficult game left: December 5, at Cincinnati Bearcats, 39.7%

Fresno State Bulldogs
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2013	0.551	56	0.495	69	20.7	22	17.5	75	168.2	49

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2013/08/29	35	Rutgers	51	at	53	Fresno St.	52	210	50.1%
2013/09/14	54	Fresno St.	41	at	113	Colorado	24	167	88.8%
2013/09/20	43	Boise St.	40	at	51	Fresno St.	41	212	56.8%
2013/09/28	49	Fresno St.	42	at	109	Hawaii	37	210	81.8%
2013/10/05	56	Fresno St.	61	at	119	Idaho	14	213	94.9%
2013/10/19	113	UNLV	17	at	56	Fresno St.	45	167	86.2%
2013/10/26	56	Fresno St.	32	at	66	SDSU	31	168	59.3%
2013/11/02	84	Nevada	24	at	56	Fresno St.	42	170	71.0%
2013/11/09	56	Fresno St.	31	at	63	Wyoming	32	167	44.4%
2013/11/23	106	New Mexico	20	at	56	Fresno St.	48	166	82.7%
2013/11/29	56	Fresno St.	34	at	71	SJSU	28	167	62.0%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-12.1
Most difficult game left: November 9, at Wyoming Cowboys, 44.4%

Ohio State Buckeyes
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2013	0.761	14	0.528	54	23.0	11	13.0	30	160.2	117

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2013/08/31	111	Buffalo	20	at	17	Ohio St.	40	163	91.9%
2013/09/07	51	SDSU	7	at	16	Ohio St.	42	164	65.0%
2013/09/14	15	Ohio St.	52	at	69	California	34	206	78.9%
2013/09/28	9	Wisconsin	24	at	13	Ohio St.	31	159	53.6%
2013/10/05	14	Ohio St.	40	at	34	Northwestern	30	172	61.9%
2013/10/19	28	Iowa	17	at	14	Ohio St.	31	162	53.4%
2013/10/26	17	Penn State	21	at	14	Ohio St.	34	162	52.9%
2013/11/02	14	Ohio St.	41	at	82	Purdue	21	166	86.7%
2013/11/16	14	Ohio St.	35	at	62	Illinois	21	164	77.8%
2013/11/23	70	Indiana	24	at	14	Ohio St.	38	165	82.1%
2013/11/30	14	Ohio St.	28	at	23	Michigan	31	163	45.5%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-14.0
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Michigan Wolverines, 45.5%

Clemson Tigers
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2013	0.802	9	0.529	53	24.2	9	10.6	10	168.4	44

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2013/08/31	8	Georgia	35	at	20	Clemson	38	178	63.6%
2013/09/19	20	Clemson	26	at	46	North Carolina St.	14	178	75.2%
2013/09/28	98	Wake Forest	7	at	17	Clemson	56	174	93.1%
2013/10/05	9	Clemson	49	at	51	Syracuse	14	187	74.3%
2013/10/12	87	Boston College	14	at	9	Clemson	48	167	91.4%
2013/10/19	5	Florida St.	31	at	9	Clemson	24	166	41.8%
2013/10/26	9	Clemson	38	at	40	Maryland	21	166	69.3%
2013/11/02	9	Clemson	38	at	86	Virginia	14	166	90.5%
2013/11/14	44	Georgia Tech	21	at	9	Clemson	38	165	73.2%
2013/11/30	9	Clemson	24	at	4	South Carolina	31	163	38.6%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-14.8
Most difficult game left: November 30, at South Carolina Gamecocks, 38.6%

Oklahoma Sooners
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2013	0.856	3	0.550	15	22.1	17	8.3	4	171.7	17

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2013/08/31	77	LA-Monroe	0	at	12	Oklahoma	34	173	84.6%
2013/09/07	40	West Virginia	7	at	6	Oklahoma	16	171	68.0%
2013/09/14	67	Tulsa	20	at	5	Oklahoma	51	168	89.6%
2013/09/28	4	Oklahoma	35	at	14	Notre Dame	21	155	27.1%
2013/10/05	29	TCU	17	at	3	Oklahoma	20	150	82.1%
2013/10/12	37	Texas	20	vs	3	Oklahoma	38	170	79.7%
2013/10/19	3	Oklahoma	49	at	100	Kansas	10	171	96.9%
2013/10/26	41	Texas Tech	20	at	3	Oklahoma	38	175	82.0%
2013/11/07	3	Oklahoma	35	at	12	Baylor	34	173	69.1%
2013/11/16	57	Iowa St.	14	at	3	Oklahoma	38	170	88.7%
2013/11/23	3	Oklahoma	31	at	25	Kansas St.	28	168	76.5%
2013/12/07	3	Oklahoma	28	at	31	Oklahoma St.	29	173	21.4%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-15.7
Most difficult game left: December 7, at Oklahoma State Cowboys, 21.4%

Stanford Cardinal
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2013	0.801	10	0.540	33	22.3	15	11.4	14	167.0	64

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2013/09/07	55	SJSU	13	at	9	Stanford	34	154	79.3%
2013/09/14	8	Stanford	34	at	104	Army	20	146	92.9%
2013/09/21	18	Arizona St.	28	at	11	Stanford	42	177	68.7%
2013/09/28	10	Stanford	55	at	63	Washington St.	17	178	89.4%
2013/10/05	36	Washington	28	at	10	Stanford	31	181	68.4%
2013/10/12	10	Stanford	31	at	53	Utah	24	166	77.8%
2013/10/19	20	UCLA	24	at	10	Stanford	31	168	60.6%
2013/10/26	10	Stanford	31	at	42	Oregon St.	27	169	73.5%
2013/11/07	2	Oregon	31	at	10	Stanford	27	172	27.8%
2013/11/16	10	Stanford	34	at	33	USC	27	166	65.3%
2013/11/23	69	California	17	at	10	Stanford	42	168	85.5%
2013/11/30	15	Notre Dame	21	at	10	Stanford	31	165	57.1%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-32.6
Most difficult game left: November 7, vs Oregon Ducks, 27.8%

Michigan Wolverines
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2013	0.721	23	0.543	30	22.8	12	12.5	23	166.1	74

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2013/08/31	101	Central Michigan	9	at	11	Michigan	59	154	93.7%
2013/09/07	4	Notre Dame	30	at	10	Michigan	41	169	37.4%
2013/09/14	119	Akron	24	at	7	Michigan	28	167	96.8%
2013/09/21	14	Michigan	24	at	89	Connecticut	21	157	91.3%
2013/10/05	64	Minnesota	13	at	23	Michigan	42	135	75.7%
2013/10/12	23	Michigan	31	at	17	Penn State	27	165	57.5%
2013/10/19	70	Indiana	24	at	23	Michigan	38	168	79.3%
2013/11/02	23	Michigan	24	at	27	Michigan St.	25	166	47.4%
2013/11/09	47	Nebraska	24	at	23	Michigan	38	166	61.9%
2013/11/16	23	Michigan	32	at	34	Northwestern	31	171	55.5%
2013/11/23	23	Michigan	28	at	28	Iowa	21	165	51.1%
2013/11/30	14	Ohio St.	28	at	23	Michigan	31	163	54.5%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-48.4
Most difficult game left: November 2, at Michigan State Spartans, 47.4%

Absolute Phonies

Baylor Bears
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2013	0.765	12	0.561	4	29.1	1	15.5	58	174.9	6

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2013/09/07	107	Buffalo	13	at	35	Baylor	70	187	87.0%
2013/09/21	94	LA-Monroe	7	at	22	Baylor	70	190	78.1%
2013/10/05	58	West Virginia	42	at	12	Baylor	73	205	75.3%
2013/10/12	12	Baylor	35	at	25	Kansas St.	38	170	40.8%
2013/10/19	57	Iowa St.	24	at	12	Baylor	42	172	77.9%
2013/10/26	12	Baylor	52	at	100	Kansas	17	173	93.4%
2013/11/07	3	Oklahoma	35	at	12	Baylor	34	173	30.9%
2013/11/16	41	Texas Tech	28	vs	12	Baylor	42	177	67.0%
2013/11/23	12	Baylor	34	at	31	Oklahoma St.	38	174	37.9%
2013/11/30	12	Baylor	31	at	29	TCU	35	171	40.9%
2013/12/07	37	Texas	28	at	12	Baylor	42	171	63.7%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-164.8
Most difficult game left: November 7, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 30.9%

UCLA Bruins
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2013	0.728	20	0.547	23	21.8	18	13.0	29	169.0	33

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2013/08/31	64	Nevada	20	at	41	UCLA	58	199	62.6%
2013/09/14	31	UCLA	41	at	33	Nebraska	21	185	49.6%
2013/09/21	122	New Mexico St.	13	at	25	UCLA	59	191	96.7%
2013/10/03	20	UCLA	34	at	53	Utah	27	192	67.4%
2013/10/12	69	California	20	at	20	UCLA	41	169	79.3%
2013/10/19	20	UCLA	24	at	10	Stanford	31	168	39.4%
2013/10/26	20	UCLA	21	at	2	Oregon	38	173	20.0%
2013/11/02	105	Colorado	14	at	20	UCLA	49	168	92.4%
2013/11/09	20	UCLA	31	at	46	Arizona	27	169	62.6%
2013/11/15	36	Washington	24	at	20	UCLA	28	168	58.6%
2013/11/23	18	Arizona St.	31	at	20	UCLA	34	171	50.0%
2013/11/30	20	UCLA	32	at	33	USC	31	167	54.9%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-172.0
Most difficult game left: October 26, at Oregon Ducks, 20.0%

What are YOU doing here??

Missouri Tigers
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2013	0.688	35	0.525	60	21.6	19	13.1	31	174.3	9

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2013/09/07	71	Toledo	23	at	34	Missouri	38	163	69.7%
2013/09/21	36	Missouri	45	at	63	Indiana	28	209	80.3%
2013/09/28	72	Arkansas St.	19	at	34	Missouri	41	173	74.4%
2013/10/05	35	Missouri	51	at	45	Vanderbilt	28	176	44.1%
2013/10/12	35	Missouri	24	at	13	Georgia	38	167	41.0%
2013/10/19	7	Florida	28	at	35	Missouri	24	167	31.8%
2013/10/26	4	South Carolina	31	at	35	Missouri	27	166	23.8%
2013/11/02	61	Tennessee	21	at	35	Missouri	41	168	70.2%
2013/11/09	35	Missouri	35	at	78	Kentucky	21	169	80.4%
2013/11/23	35	Missouri	24	at	22	Mississippi	31	169	43.7%
2013/11/30	8	Texas A&M	38	at	35	Missouri	28	174	33.0%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-395.9
Most difficult game left: October 26, vs South Carolina Gamecocks, 23.8%

Texas Tech Red Raiders
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2013	0.646	41	0.535	45	19.0	35	13.2	33	179.9	1

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2013/08/30	58	Texas Tech	41	at	63	SMU	23	216	36.8%
2013/09/12	34	TCU	10	at	49	Texas Tech	20	187	34.4%
2013/09/21	91	Texas State	7	at	44	Texas Tech	33	192	77.6%
2013/10/05	41	Texas Tech	54	at	100	Kansas	16	211	88.7%
2013/10/12	57	Iowa St.	24	at	41	Texas Tech	34	175	63.3%
2013/10/19	41	Texas Tech	32	at	58	West Virginia	31	173	63.1%
2013/10/26	41	Texas Tech	20	at	3	Oklahoma	38	175	18.0%
2013/11/02	31	Oklahoma St.	31	at	41	Texas Tech	28	177	44.7%
2013/11/09	25	Kansas St.	32	at	41	Texas Tech	31	172	41.7%
2013/11/16	41	Texas Tech	28	vs	12	Baylor	42	177	33.0%
2013/11/28	41	Texas Tech	28	at	37	Texas	31	174	46.4%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-487.3
Most difficult game left: October 26, at Oklahoma Sooners, 18.0%

Oregon State Beavers
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2013	0.641	42	0.549	17	19.7	29	14.7	50	171.1	22

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2013/09/07	105	Hawaii	14	at	23	Oregon St.	33	169	93.7%
2013/09/14	27	Oregon St.	51	at	55	Utah	48	177	72.5%
2013/09/21	39	Oregon St.	34	at	62	SDSU	30	173	60.6%
2013/09/28	103	Colorado	17	at	40	Oregon St.	44	193	91.9%
2013/10/12	42	Oregon St.	31	at	68	Washington St.	24	171	69.0%
2013/10/19	42	Oregon St.	34	at	69	California	24	170	68.0%
2013/10/26	10	Stanford	31	at	42	Oregon St.	27	169	26.5%
2013/11/01	33	USC	28	at	42	Oregon St.	31	168	59.5%
2013/11/16	42	Oregon St.	31	at	18	Arizona St.	38	172	35.8%
2013/11/23	36	Washington	28	at	42	Oregon St.	29	169	55.9%
2013/11/29	42	Oregon St.	24	at	2	Oregon	45	174	12.2%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-553.6
Most difficult game left: November 29, at Oregon Ducks, 12.2%

Houston Cougars
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2013	0.470	67	0.467	92	16.9	61	15.5	59	177.6	2

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2013/09/07	81	Houston	22	at	77	Temple	13	202	44.7%
2013/09/21	71	Houston	31	at	73	Rice	26	184	47.2%
2013/09/28	67	Houston	59	at	87	UTSA	28	180	33.9%
2013/10/12	98	Memphis	21	at	67	Houston	34	172	70.5%
2013/10/19	21	BYU	27	at	67	Houston	21	173	22.1%
2013/10/26	67	Houston	21	at	43	Rutgers	34	171	32.6%
2013/10/31	85	South Florida	21	at	67	Houston	31	173	62.3%
2013/11/09	67	Houston	20	at	26	UCF	34	170	21.6%
2013/11/16	67	Houston	17	at	19	Louisville	38	171	17.8%
2013/11/23	32	Cincinnati	28	at	67	Houston	27	173	24.8%
2013/11/29	75	SMU	27	at	67	Houston	34	172	56.5%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-5866.0
Most difficult game left: November 16, at Louisville Cardinals, 17.8%

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