Wednesday, November 6, 2013

Week 11: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- TFG


Odds as of games through 2013-11-03


Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.982 1 0.501 59 28.3 7 6.2 1 146.3 125
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31   1 Alabama 35 vs  45 Virginia Tech 10 157 96.8%
2013/09/14   1 Alabama 49 at   7 Texas A&M 42 167 72.9%
2013/09/21 108 Colorado St. 6 at   1 Alabama 31 138 99.5%
2013/09/28  31 Mississippi 0 at   1 Alabama 25 152 94.0%
2013/10/05  NA Georgia State 3 at   1 Alabama 45 134 99.9%
2013/10/12   1 Alabama 48 at  76 Kentucky 7 158 97.2%
2013/10/19  66 Arkansas 0 at   1 Alabama 52 142 98.7%
2013/10/26  51 Tennessee 10 at   1 Alabama 45 142 98.6%
2013/11/09  11 LSU 23 at   1 Alabama 32 154 92.4%
2013/11/16   1 Alabama 33 at  46 Mississippi St. 17 153 97.6%
2013/11/30   1 Alabama 32 at  26 Auburn 20 156 95.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-1.2
Most difficult game left: November 9, vs LSU Tigers, 92.4%


Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.951 2 0.550 48 30.7 2 10.1 4 158.8 106
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/02   6 Florida St. 41 at  30 Pittsburgh 13 140 62.7%
2013/09/14  84 Nevada 7 at   5 Florida St. 62 154 97.1%
2013/09/28   3 Florida St. 48 at  90 Boston College 34 163 96.2%
2013/10/05  52 Maryland 0 at   3 Florida St. 63 170 88.8%
2013/10/19   2 Florida St. 51 at   6 Clemson 14 188 57.6%
2013/10/26  65 North Carolina St. 17 at   2 Florida St. 49 169 97.4%
2013/11/02  33 Miami-FL 14 at   2 Florida St. 41 150 89.4%
2013/11/09   2 Florida St. 35 at  83 Wake Forest 17 162 97.1%
2013/11/16  71 Syracuse 20 at   2 Florida St. 38 164 95.9%
2013/11/23 120 Idaho 16 at   2 Florida St. 47 165 99.6%
2013/11/30   2 Florida St. 31 at  22 Florida 20 155 85.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-1.3
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Florida Gators, 85.0%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.907 4 0.527 56 29.3 5 12.5 16 163.4 82
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31 111 Buffalo 20 at  19 Ohio St. 40 163 93.6%
2013/09/07  57 SDSU 7 at  23 Ohio St. 42 164 79.8%
2013/09/14  13 Ohio St. 52 at  69 California 34 206 79.2%
2013/09/28   5 Wisconsin 24 at  19 Ohio St. 31 159 40.9%
2013/10/05  15 Ohio St. 40 at  27 Northwestern 30 172 58.0%
2013/10/19  37 Iowa 24 at  10 Ohio St. 34 156 80.2%
2013/10/26  29 Penn State 14 at  10 Ohio St. 63 177 74.7%
2013/11/02   7 Ohio St. 56 at 112 Purdue 0 159 96.4%
2013/11/16   4 Ohio St. 40 at  79 Illinois 23 161 94.4%
2013/11/23  45 Indiana 31 at   4 Ohio St. 43 174 86.1%
2013/11/30   4 Ohio St. 37 at  32 Michigan 28 162 80.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-1.5
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Michigan Wolverines, 80.7%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Fresno State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.575 49 0.315 108 19.7 31 17.6 65 182.4 13
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/29  42 Rutgers 51 at  44 Fresno St. 52 209 48.5%
2013/09/20  45 Boise St. 40 at  50 Fresno St. 41 212 57.9%
2013/09/28  56 Fresno St. 42 at 116 Hawaii 37 210 87.0%
2013/10/05  58 Fresno St. 61 at 120 Idaho 14 213 92.4%
2013/10/19 110 UNLV 14 at  49 Fresno St. 38 179 91.4%
2013/10/26  48 Fresno St. 35 at  71 SDSU 28 194 53.5%
2013/11/02  88 Nevada 23 at  48 Fresno St. 41 183 78.7%
2013/11/09  49 Fresno St. 36 at  84 Wyoming 31 179 70.9%
2013/11/23 105 New Mexico 28 at  49 Fresno St. 39 167 82.9%
2013/11/29  49 Fresno St. 35 at  77 SJSU 30 175 68.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.5
Most difficult game left: November 29, at San Jose State Spartans, 68.9%


Oregon Ducks
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.904 5 0.481 66 28.9 6 12.5 15 178.2 19
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07   3 Oregon 59 at  64 Virginia 10 186 86.2%
2013/09/14  42 Tennessee 14 at   2 Oregon 59 175 93.6%
2013/09/28  62 California 16 at   2 Oregon 55 206 96.5%
2013/10/05   2 Oregon 57 at  96 Colorado 16 194 97.3%
2013/10/12   3 Oregon 45 at  15 Washington 24 183 65.2%
2013/10/19  68 Washington St. 38 at   3 Oregon 62 210 95.9%
2013/10/26  27 UCLA 14 at   4 Oregon 42 177 82.3%
2013/11/07   5 Oregon 33 at  13 Stanford 28 167 60.6%
2013/11/16  41 Utah 27 at   5 Oregon 38 171 84.6%
2013/11/23   5 Oregon 40 at  43 Arizona 28 180 85.1%
2013/11/29  42 Oregon St. 27 at   5 Oregon 38 171 84.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.7
Most difficult game left: November 7, at Stanford Cardinal, 60.6%


Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.913 3 0.501 60 33.8 1 14.0 29 187.6 3
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07 108 Buffalo 13 at  24 Baylor 70 187 96.1%
2013/09/21  98 LA-Monroe 7 at  17 Baylor 70 190 95.2%
2013/10/05  57 West Virginia 42 at   6 Baylor 73 205 89.8%
2013/10/12  14 Baylor 35 at  35 Kansas St. 25 165 59.6%
2013/10/19  52 Iowa St. 7 at   9 Baylor 71 185 88.5%
2013/10/26   3 Baylor 59 at  99 Kansas 14 200 94.7%
2013/11/07  23 Oklahoma 30 at   3 Baylor 42 174 78.8%
2013/11/16  37 Texas Tech 32 vs   3 Baylor 46 189 84.3%
2013/11/23   3 Baylor 45 at  18 Oklahoma St. 35 188 72.5%
2013/11/30   3 Baylor 42 at  53 TCU 25 175 89.8%
2013/12/07  24 Texas 32 at   3 Baylor 43 179 77.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-3.0
Most difficult game left: November 23, at Oklahoma State Cowboys, 72.5%


Northern Illinois Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.548 52 0.164 125 20.6 26 19.1 85 184.1 9
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  28 Northern Ill. 30 at  68 Iowa 27 198 75.2%
2013/09/14  48 Northern Ill. 45 at 123 Idaho 35 200 94.9%
2013/09/28  68 Northern Ill. 55 at  88 Purdue 24 175 55.6%
2013/10/05  54 Northern Ill. 38 at  95 Kent St. 24 187 74.5%
2013/10/12 117 Akron 20 at  52 Northern Ill. 27 202 94.9%
2013/10/19  56 Northern Ill. 38 at 115 Central Michigan 17 170 82.5%
2013/10/26 117 Eastern Michigan 20 at  52 Northern Ill. 59 179 95.6%
2013/11/02  51 Northern Ill. 63 at 125 Massachusetts 19 163 96.7%
2013/11/13  66 Ball St. 32 at  52 Northern Ill. 36 181 62.6%
2013/11/20  52 Northern Ill. 34 at  60 Toledo 33 175 55.3%
2013/11/26 117 Western Michigan 26 at  52 Northern Ill. 41 177 92.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-3.1
Most difficult game left: November 20, at Toledo Rockets, 55.3%


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