Wednesday, December 4, 2013

Week 15: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- RBA


Odds as of games through 2013-12-01


Legitimate Title Contenders

Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.931 2 0.542 28 30.9 1 7.6 3 165.4 83
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/02   4 Florida St. 41 at  48 Pittsburgh 13 140 21.5%
2013/09/14  73 Nevada 7 at   2 Florida St. 62 154 87.7%
2013/09/28   1 Florida St. 48 at  91 Boston College 34 163 94.8%
2013/10/05  40 Maryland 0 at   5 Florida St. 63 170 94.2%
2013/10/19   2 Florida St. 51 at   9 Clemson 14 188 52.7%
2013/10/26  57 North Carolina St. 17 at   2 Florida St. 49 169 89.5%
2013/11/02  40 Miami-FL 14 at   2 Florida St. 41 150 83.6%
2013/11/09   2 Florida St. 59 at  82 Wake Forest 3 173 94.5%
2013/11/16  60 Syracuse 3 at   2 Florida St. 59 146 92.7%
2013/11/23 120 Idaho 14 at   2 Florida St. 80 190 99.4%
2013/11/30   2 Florida St. 37 at  24 Florida 7 137 87.2%
2013/12/07  56 Duke 17 vs   2 Florida St. 49 166 94.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 94.7%
Most difficult game left: December 7, vs Duke Blue Devils, 94.7%


Absolute Phonies

Northern Illinois Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.661 37 0.435 118 19.6 31 13.7 43 166.8 66
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  46 Northern Ill. 30 at  69 Iowa 27 198 65.2%
2013/09/14  52 Northern Ill. 45 at 123 Idaho 35 200 95.7%
2013/09/28  52 Northern Ill. 55 at  82 Purdue 24 175 69.3%
2013/10/05  49 Northern Ill. 38 at  87 Kent St. 24 187 74.7%
2013/10/12 117 Akron 20 at  45 Northern Ill. 27 202 88.2%
2013/10/19  46 Northern Ill. 38 at 114 Central Michigan 17 170 91.3%
2013/10/26 118 Eastern Michigan 20 at  48 Northern Ill. 59 179 93.3%
2013/11/02  49 Northern Ill. 63 at 124 Massachusetts 19 163 97.4%
2013/11/13  63 Ball St. 27 at  48 Northern Ill. 48 181 62.5%
2013/11/20  36 Northern Ill. 35 at  66 Toledo 17 173 62.6%
2013/11/26 115 Western Michigan 14 at  36 Northern Ill. 33 164 91.4%
2013/12/06  40 Bowling Green 21 vs  37 Northern Ill. 31 167 53.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 53.4%
Most difficult game left: December 6, vs Bowling Green Falcons, 53.4%


What are YOU doing here??

Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.822 6 0.525 58 26.2 6 12.0 22 160.5 118
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31 111 Buffalo 20 at  17 Ohio St. 40 163 91.9%
2013/09/07  51 SDSU 7 at  16 Ohio St. 42 164 65.0%
2013/09/14  15 Ohio St. 52 at  68 California 34 206 78.9%
2013/09/28   8 Wisconsin 24 at  11 Ohio St. 31 159 53.6%
2013/10/05  14 Ohio St. 40 at  33 Northwestern 30 172 61.9%
2013/10/19  23 Iowa 24 at  15 Ohio St. 34 156 53.4%
2013/10/26  31 Penn State 14 at  15 Ohio St. 63 177 57.5%
2013/11/02  10 Ohio St. 56 at  94 Purdue 0 159 90.0%
2013/11/16   6 Ohio St. 60 at  74 Illinois 35 197 83.6%
2013/11/23  64 Indiana 14 at   8 Ohio St. 42 169 87.3%
2013/11/30   6 Ohio St. 42 at  27 Michigan 41 166 67.9%
2013/12/07   6 Ohio St. 24 vs   5 Michigan St. 28 163 47.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 47.8%
Most difficult game left: December 7, vs Michigan State Spartans, 47.8%


One-Loss Hopefuls

Odds as of games through 2013-12-01

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.948 1 0.548 20 26.3 5 6.6 1 155.7 125
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31   1 Alabama 35 vs  50 Virginia Tech 10 157 95.7%
2013/09/14   1 Alabama 49 at  13 Texas A&M 42 167 82.2%
2013/09/21 104 Colorado St. 6 at   1 Alabama 31 138 99.3%
2013/09/28  19 Mississippi 0 at   2 Alabama 25 152 89.8%
2013/10/05 125 Georgia State 3 at   1 Alabama 45 134 99.9%
2013/10/12   1 Alabama 48 at  73 Kentucky 7 158 96.9%
2013/10/19  41 Arkansas 0 at   1 Alabama 52 142 89.2%
2013/10/26  55 Tennessee 10 at   1 Alabama 45 142 94.6%
2013/11/09   5 LSU 17 at   1 Alabama 38 136 81.8%
2013/11/16   1 Alabama 20 at  34 Mississippi St. 7 143 92.9%
2013/11/30   1 Alabama 28 at  21 Auburn 34 160 90.6%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 100.0%
UCF Knights
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.722 26 0.461 95 21.2 23 13.6 40 163.2 107
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/29 118 Akron 7 at  37 UCF 38 149 90.5%
2013/09/06  35 UCF 38 at 111 FIU 0 144 81.7%
2013/09/14  35 UCF 34 at  18 Penn State 31 152 36.3%
2013/09/28   5 South Carolina 28 at  23 UCF 25 166 20.5%
2013/10/05  23 UCF 24 at  96 Memphis 17 165 95.3%
2013/10/18  27 UCF 38 at  12 Louisville 35 150 46.5%
2013/10/26 100 Connecticut 17 at  28 UCF 62 163 85.6%
2013/11/09  36 Houston 14 at  22 UCF 19 165 57.3%
2013/11/16  20 UCF 39 at  87 Temple 36 177 87.1%
2013/11/21  74 Rutgers 17 at  26 UCF 41 157 79.0%
2013/11/29 111 South Florida 20 at  26 UCF 23 151 91.4%
2013/12/07  26 UCF 35 at  69 SMU 21 165 78.8%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 78.8%
Most difficult game left: December 7, at SMU Mustangs, 78.8%


Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.807 8 0.562 4 28.3 2 12.9 34 175.7 5
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07 107 Buffalo 13 at  34 Baylor 70 187 87.0%
2013/09/21  94 LA-Monroe 7 at  21 Baylor 70 190 78.1%
2013/10/05  57 West Virginia 42 at  12 Baylor 73 205 75.3%
2013/10/12  11 Baylor 35 at  28 Kansas St. 25 165 40.8%
2013/10/19  55 Iowa St. 7 at  10 Baylor 71 185 76.3%
2013/10/26   6 Baylor 59 at 109 Kansas 14 200 94.1%
2013/11/07  15 Oklahoma 12 at   6 Baylor 41 185 61.4%
2013/11/16  40 Texas Tech 34 vs   4 Baylor 63 214 74.3%
2013/11/23   5 Baylor 17 at  12 Oklahoma St. 49 185 34.6%
2013/11/30   8 Baylor 41 at  48 TCU 38 208 81.8%
2013/12/07  33 Texas 27 at   8 Baylor 38 172 72.0%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 72.0%
Most difficult game left: December 7, vs Texas Longhorns, 72.0%


Auburn Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.733 21 0.552 11 21.8 20 12.9 35 159.7 120
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  94 Washington St. 24 at  72 Auburn 31 181 67.5%
2013/09/07  56 Arkansas St. 9 at  80 Auburn 38 175 36.1%
2013/09/14  45 Mississippi St. 20 at  60 Auburn 24 162 24.8%
2013/09/21  54 Auburn 21 at   5 LSU 35 180 14.6%
2013/10/05  22 Mississippi 22 at  53 Auburn 30 180 29.1%
2013/10/19  44 Auburn 45 at   8 Texas A&M 41 196 22.0%
2013/10/26 107 FL-Atlantic 10 at  46 Auburn 45 158 87.0%
2013/11/02  37 Auburn 35 at  41 Arkansas 17 151 54.3%
2013/11/09  29 Auburn 55 at  54 Tennessee 23 152 64.0%
2013/11/16  32 Georgia 38 at  23 Auburn 43 190 52.0%
2013/11/30   1 Alabama 28 at  21 Auburn 34 160 9.4%
2013/12/07  11 Missouri 28 vs  21 Auburn 29 166 62.7%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 62.7%
Most difficult game left: December 7, vs Missouri Tigers, 62.7%


Oklahoma State Cowboys
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.781 13 0.554 9 22.5 13 11.4 15 175.3 6
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  38 Mississippi St. 3 vs  13 Oklahoma St. 21 171 58.1%
2013/09/07  12 Oklahoma St. 56 at 106 UTSA 35 188 93.6%
2013/09/28  16 Oklahoma St. 21 at  62 West Virginia 30 218 72.9%
2013/10/05  25 Kansas St. 29 at  31 Oklahoma St. 33 159 51.7%
2013/10/19  36 TCU 10 at  24 Oklahoma St. 24 182 53.6%
2013/10/26  23 Oklahoma St. 58 at  54 Iowa St. 27 201 66.3%
2013/11/02  23 Oklahoma St. 52 at  38 Texas Tech 34 224 55.2%
2013/11/09 106 Kansas 6 at  21 Oklahoma St. 42 178 92.0%
2013/11/16  15 Oklahoma St. 38 at  31 Texas 13 173 50.2%
2013/11/23   5 Baylor 17 at  12 Oklahoma St. 49 185 65.4%
2013/12/07  12 Oklahoma 24 at  13 Oklahoma St. 35 173 53.9%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 53.9%
Most difficult game left: December 7, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 53.9%


Michigan State Spartans
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.832 5 0.541 32 16.7 63 6.8 2 166.6 71
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/30  96 Western Michigan 13 at  27 Michigan St. 26 191 86.0%
2013/09/07  89 South Florida 6 at  25 Michigan St. 21 155 80.8%
2013/09/21  22 Michigan St. 13 at  14 Notre Dame 17 167 26.7%
2013/10/05  28 Michigan St. 26 at  29 Iowa 14 173 51.7%
2013/10/12  65 Indiana 28 at  16 Michigan St. 42 184 77.5%
2013/10/19  95 Purdue 0 at  21 Michigan St. 14 147 87.5%
2013/10/26  20 Michigan St. 42 at  64 Illinois 3 133 75.9%
2013/11/02  24 Michigan 6 at   7 Michigan St. 29 157 50.5%
2013/11/16   7 Michigan St. 41 at  37 Nebraska 28 173 73.9%
2013/11/23   7 Michigan St. 30 at  42 Northwestern 6 157 78.0%
2013/11/30  54 Minnesota 3 at   5 Michigan St. 14 145 82.2%
2013/12/07   6 Ohio St. 24 vs   5 Michigan St. 28 163 52.2%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 52.2%
Most difficult game left: December 7, vs Ohio State Buckeyes, 52.2%


Louisville Cardinals
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.768 16 0.480 76 20.6 26 11.0 12 164.7 95
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/01  65 Ohio 7 at  42 Louisville 49 156 74.1%
2013/09/14  20 Louisville 27 at  84 Kentucky 13 161 80.9%
2013/09/21 120 FIU 0 at  28 Louisville 72 128 92.8%
2013/10/05  19 Louisville 30 at  94 Temple 7 145 84.1%
2013/10/10  49 Rutgers 10 at  18 Louisville 24 151 68.9%
2013/10/18  27 UCF 38 at  12 Louisville 35 150 53.5%
2013/10/26  11 Louisville 34 at  99 South Florida 3 132 94.2%
2013/11/08  13 Louisville 31 at 109 Connecticut 10 167 93.0%
2013/11/16  39 Houston 13 at  16 Louisville 20 160 69.3%
2013/11/23  83 Memphis 17 at  13 Louisville 24 158 88.8%
2013/12/05  16 Louisville 20 at  19 Cincinnati 34 166 41.6%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 41.6%
Most difficult game left: December 5, at Cincinnati Bearcats, 41.6%


Missouri Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.794 11 0.526 55 22.5 12 10.7 9 174.3 9
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07  71 Toledo 23 at  32 Missouri 38 163 69.7%
2013/09/21  35 Missouri 45 at  63 Indiana 28 209 80.3%
2013/09/28  72 Arkansas St. 19 at  33 Missouri 41 173 74.4%
2013/10/05  34 Missouri 51 at  44 Vanderbilt 28 176 44.1%
2013/10/12  23 Missouri 41 at  20 Georgia 26 175 41.0%
2013/10/19   7 Florida 17 at  19 Missouri 36 166 63.9%
2013/10/26  13 South Carolina 27 at  14 Missouri 24 188 57.2%
2013/11/02  54 Tennessee 3 at  18 Missouri 31 175 71.7%
2013/11/09  12 Missouri 48 at  72 Kentucky 17 165 82.9%
2013/11/23  11 Missouri 24 at  28 Mississippi 10 171 41.2%
2013/11/30  10 Texas A&M 21 at  11 Missouri 28 173 52.1%
2013/12/07  11 Missouri 28 vs  21 Auburn 29 166 37.3%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 37.3%
Most difficult game left: December 7, vs Auburn Tigers, 37.3%


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.
Posted by at
Labels: , , , , , , , , , , ,