Wednesday, December 4, 2013

Week 15: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- TFG


Odds as of games through 2013-12-01


Legitimate Title Contenders

Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.968 2 0.449 75 31.4 1 8.8 3 159.5 99
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/02   6 Florida St. 41 at  30 Pittsburgh 13 140 62.7%
2013/09/14  84 Nevada 7 at   5 Florida St. 62 154 97.1%
2013/09/28   3 Florida St. 48 at  90 Boston College 34 163 96.2%
2013/10/05  52 Maryland 0 at   3 Florida St. 63 170 88.8%
2013/10/19   2 Florida St. 51 at   6 Clemson 14 188 57.6%
2013/10/26  65 North Carolina St. 17 at   2 Florida St. 49 169 97.4%
2013/11/02  33 Miami-FL 14 at   2 Florida St. 41 150 89.4%
2013/11/09   2 Florida St. 59 at  83 Wake Forest 3 173 97.1%
2013/11/16  63 Syracuse 3 at   2 Florida St. 59 146 96.0%
2013/11/23 119 Idaho 14 at   2 Florida St. 80 190 99.7%
2013/11/30   2 Florida St. 37 at  34 Florida 7 137 93.0%
2013/12/07  55 Duke 22 vs   2 Florida St. 40 165 95.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 95.8%
Most difficult game left: December 7, vs Duke Blue Devils, 95.8%


What are YOU doing here??

Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.870 6 0.507 64 27.5 3 13.4 21 165.5 78
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31 111 Buffalo 20 at  19 Ohio St. 40 163 93.6%
2013/09/07  57 SDSU 7 at  23 Ohio St. 42 164 79.8%
2013/09/14  13 Ohio St. 52 at  69 California 34 206 79.2%
2013/09/28   5 Wisconsin 24 at  19 Ohio St. 31 159 40.9%
2013/10/05  15 Ohio St. 40 at  27 Northwestern 30 172 58.0%
2013/10/19  37 Iowa 24 at  10 Ohio St. 34 156 80.2%
2013/10/26  29 Penn State 14 at  10 Ohio St. 63 177 74.7%
2013/11/02   7 Ohio St. 56 at 112 Purdue 0 159 96.4%
2013/11/16   4 Ohio St. 60 at  81 Illinois 35 197 94.8%
2013/11/23  59 Indiana 14 at   5 Ohio St. 42 169 87.1%
2013/11/30   5 Ohio St. 42 at  33 Michigan 41 166 79.4%
2013/12/07   6 Ohio St. 24 vs   3 Michigan St. 28 162 42.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 42.7%
Most difficult game left: December 7, vs Michigan State Spartans, 42.7%


Northern Illinois Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.643 40 0.237 125 20.8 28 16.6 60 180.7 11
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  28 Northern Ill. 30 at  68 Iowa 27 198 75.2%
2013/09/14  48 Northern Ill. 45 at 123 Idaho 35 200 94.9%
2013/09/28  68 Northern Ill. 55 at  88 Purdue 24 175 55.6%
2013/10/05  54 Northern Ill. 38 at  95 Kent St. 24 187 74.5%
2013/10/12 117 Akron 20 at  52 Northern Ill. 27 202 94.9%
2013/10/19  56 Northern Ill. 38 at 115 Central Michigan 17 170 82.5%
2013/10/26 117 Eastern Michigan 20 at  52 Northern Ill. 59 179 95.6%
2013/11/02  51 Northern Ill. 63 at 125 Massachusetts 19 163 96.7%
2013/11/13  65 Ball St. 27 at  56 Northern Ill. 48 181 62.2%
2013/11/20  45 Northern Ill. 35 at  48 Toledo 17 173 50.9%
2013/11/26 117 Western Michigan 14 at  45 Northern Ill. 33 164 93.8%
2013/12/06  20 Bowling Green 29 vs  40 Northern Ill. 26 168 33.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 33.8%
Most difficult game left: December 6, vs Bowling Green Falcons, 33.8%


One-Loss Hopefuls

Odds as of games through 2013-12-01

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.969 1 0.590 36 27.3 4 7.5 1 147.6 125
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31   1 Alabama 35 vs  45 Virginia Tech 10 157 96.8%
2013/09/14   1 Alabama 49 at   7 Texas A&M 42 167 72.9%
2013/09/21 108 Colorado St. 6 at   1 Alabama 31 138 99.5%
2013/09/28  31 Mississippi 0 at   1 Alabama 25 152 94.0%
2013/10/05  NA Georgia State 3 at   1 Alabama 45 134 99.9%
2013/10/12   1 Alabama 48 at  76 Kentucky 7 158 97.2%
2013/10/19  66 Arkansas 0 at   1 Alabama 52 142 98.7%
2013/10/26  51 Tennessee 10 at   1 Alabama 45 142 98.6%
2013/11/09  11 LSU 17 at   1 Alabama 38 136 92.4%
2013/11/16   1 Alabama 20 at  41 Mississippi St. 7 143 96.8%
2013/11/30   1 Alabama 28 at  21 Auburn 34 160 92.9%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 100.0%
UCF Knights
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.758 25 0.424 78 23.1 13 15.0 40 159.2 104
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/29 120 Akron 7 at  32 UCF 38 149 94.8%
2013/09/06  29 UCF 38 at 107 FIU 0 144 86.3%
2013/09/14  18 UCF 34 at  20 Penn State 31 152 39.3%
2013/09/28  17 South Carolina 28 at  15 UCF 25 166 66.1%
2013/10/05  18 UCF 24 at  87 Memphis 17 165 86.6%
2013/10/18  19 UCF 38 at   5 Louisville 35 150 20.0%
2013/10/26 103 Connecticut 17 at  11 UCF 62 163 96.5%
2013/11/09  31 Houston 14 at  16 UCF 19 165 70.2%
2013/11/16  17 UCF 39 at  92 Temple 36 177 91.9%
2013/11/21  73 Rutgers 17 at  19 UCF 41 157 83.7%
2013/11/29  99 South Florida 20 at  19 UCF 23 151 92.3%
2013/12/07  25 UCF 35 at  83 SMU 25 168 84.2%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 84.2%
Most difficult game left: December 7, at SMU Mustangs, 84.2%


Louisville Cardinals
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.857 8 0.372 100 21.0 25 10.7 6 153.0 122
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/01  75 Ohio 7 at  39 Louisville 49 156 85.1%
2013/09/14  28 Louisville 27 at  94 Kentucky 13 161 80.5%
2013/09/21 118 FIU 0 at  28 Louisville 72 128 97.3%
2013/10/05  13 Louisville 30 at 104 Temple 7 145 94.3%
2013/10/10  51 Rutgers 10 at   6 Louisville 24 151 89.6%
2013/10/18  19 UCF 38 at   5 Louisville 35 150 80.0%
2013/10/26   6 Louisville 34 at  92 South Florida 3 132 90.6%
2013/11/08   6 Louisville 31 at 109 Connecticut 10 167 96.8%
2013/11/16  30 Houston 13 at   8 Louisville 20 160 74.5%
2013/11/23  66 Memphis 17 at   8 Louisville 24 158 87.9%
2013/12/05   8 Louisville 28 at  37 Cincinnati 23 159 75.4%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 75.4%
Most difficult game left: December 5, at Cincinnati Bearcats, 75.4%


Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.863 7 0.581 43 29.9 2 15.0 42 188.7 2
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07 108 Buffalo 13 at  24 Baylor 70 187 96.1%
2013/09/21  98 LA-Monroe 7 at  17 Baylor 70 190 95.2%
2013/10/05  57 West Virginia 42 at   6 Baylor 73 205 89.8%
2013/10/12  14 Baylor 35 at  35 Kansas St. 25 165 59.6%
2013/10/19  52 Iowa St. 7 at   9 Baylor 71 185 88.5%
2013/10/26   3 Baylor 59 at  99 Kansas 14 200 94.7%
2013/11/07  23 Oklahoma 12 at   3 Baylor 41 185 79.6%
2013/11/16  44 Texas Tech 34 vs   3 Baylor 63 214 87.9%
2013/11/23   4 Baylor 17 at  13 Oklahoma St. 49 185 69.8%
2013/11/30   6 Baylor 41 at  52 TCU 38 208 86.0%
2013/12/07  32 Texas 32 at   7 Baylor 40 180 73.2%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 73.2%
Most difficult game left: December 7, vs Texas Longhorns, 73.2%


Oklahoma State Cowboys
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.875 5 0.589 37 24.9 9 12.0 13 183.2 7
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  46 Mississippi St. 3 vs  12 Oklahoma St. 21 171 71.8%
2013/09/07  11 Oklahoma St. 56 at  93 UTSA 35 188 91.5%
2013/09/28  16 Oklahoma St. 21 at  64 West Virginia 30 218 77.4%
2013/10/05  31 Kansas St. 29 at  24 Oklahoma St. 33 159 64.6%
2013/10/19  36 TCU 10 at  33 Oklahoma St. 24 182 64.6%
2013/10/26  23 Oklahoma St. 58 at  66 Iowa St. 27 201 69.0%
2013/11/02  23 Oklahoma St. 52 at  39 Texas Tech 34 224 58.0%
2013/11/09 104 Kansas 6 at  18 Oklahoma St. 42 178 94.4%
2013/11/16  15 Oklahoma St. 38 at  27 Texas 13 173 63.9%
2013/11/23   4 Baylor 17 at  13 Oklahoma St. 49 185 30.2%
2013/12/07  21 Oklahoma 29 at   5 Oklahoma St. 33 172 66.8%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 66.8%
Most difficult game left: December 7, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 66.8%


Michigan State Spartans
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.900 3 0.491 69 17.2 57 7.5 2 159.4 100
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/30  89 Western Michigan 13 at  25 Michigan St. 26 191 85.3%
2013/09/07  80 South Florida 6 at  25 Michigan St. 21 155 90.0%
2013/09/21  29 Michigan St. 13 at  19 Notre Dame 17 167 32.1%
2013/10/05  41 Michigan St. 26 at  20 Iowa 14 173 27.8%
2013/10/12  40 Indiana 28 at  17 Michigan St. 42 184 73.2%
2013/10/19 107 Purdue 0 at  23 Michigan St. 14 147 95.8%
2013/10/26  16 Michigan St. 42 at  62 Illinois 3 133 70.9%
2013/11/02  25 Michigan 6 at   8 Michigan St. 29 157 72.0%
2013/11/16   6 Michigan St. 41 at  39 Nebraska 28 173 81.7%
2013/11/23   7 Michigan St. 30 at  60 Northwestern 6 157 86.2%
2013/11/30  63 Minnesota 3 at   4 Michigan St. 14 145 89.2%
2013/12/07   6 Ohio St. 24 vs   3 Michigan St. 28 162 57.3%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 57.3%
Most difficult game left: December 7, vs Ohio State Buckeyes, 57.3%


Missouri Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.837 10 0.619 25 20.9 26 11.3 8 172.7 37
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07  75 Toledo 23 at  54 Missouri 38 163 79.8%
2013/09/21  46 Missouri 45 at  52 Indiana 28 209 42.6%
2013/09/28  97 Arkansas St. 19 at  37 Missouri 41 173 92.8%
2013/10/05  38 Missouri 51 at  51 Vanderbilt 28 176 49.6%
2013/10/12  28 Missouri 41 at  13 Georgia 26 175 27.0%
2013/10/19   8 Florida 17 at  20 Missouri 36 166 47.5%
2013/10/26  20 South Carolina 27 at  13 Missouri 24 188 68.2%
2013/11/02  53 Tennessee 3 at  16 Missouri 31 175 80.2%
2013/11/09  12 Missouri 48 at  81 Kentucky 17 165 89.1%
2013/11/23  14 Missouri 24 at  31 Mississippi 10 171 68.7%
2013/11/30  14 Texas A&M 21 at  11 Missouri 28 173 52.3%
2013/12/07  10 Missouri 30 vs  11 Auburn 29 170 50.1%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 50.1%
Most difficult game left: December 7, vs Auburn Tigers, 50.1%


Auburn Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.837 11 0.682 6 24.8 10 13.4 23 168.4 61
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  99 Washington St. 24 at  92 Auburn 31 181 57.3%
2013/09/07  51 Arkansas St. 9 at  88 Auburn 38 175 33.6%
2013/09/14  56 Mississippi St. 20 at  58 Auburn 24 162 63.7%
2013/09/21  53 Auburn 21 at   7 LSU 35 180 11.2%
2013/10/05  48 Mississippi 22 at  50 Auburn 30 180 58.4%
2013/10/19  42 Auburn 45 at  11 Texas A&M 41 196 15.7%
2013/10/26  96 FL-Atlantic 10 at  40 Auburn 45 158 90.9%
2013/11/02  28 Auburn 35 at  89 Arkansas 17 151 84.4%
2013/11/09  26 Auburn 55 at  61 Tennessee 23 152 71.4%
2013/11/16  20 Georgia 38 at  21 Auburn 43 190 46.4%
2013/11/30   1 Alabama 28 at  21 Auburn 34 160 7.1%
2013/12/07  10 Missouri 30 vs  11 Auburn 29 170 49.9%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 49.9%
Most difficult game left: December 7, vs Missouri Tigers, 49.9%


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.
Posted by at
Labels: , , , , , , , , , , ,