Week 10: Friday In-Game Win Probabilities, American Athletic

Last updated: Fri Oct 31 23:40:04 2014

Tulsa	20	Memphis	40	Final
Cincinnati	38	Tulane	14	Final

Week 10: Friday Predictions

59 Memphis 37 112 Tulsa 24

69 Memphis 38 111 Tulsa 20

102 Tulane 24  53 Cincinnati 28

109 Tulane 21  68 Cincinnati 31

Key
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 10: Thursday In-Game Win Probabilities, ACC

Last updated: Thu Oct 30 23:10:04 2014

Florida St.

42

Louisville

31

Final

Week 10: Thursday In-Game Win Probabilities, Sun Belt

Last updated: Thu Oct 30 19:16:06 2014

Troy

at

Georgia Southern

Later

Week 10: Thursday Predictions

39 Georgia Southern 40 125 Troy 21

60 Georgia Southern 49 126 Troy 17

11 Louisville 29   4 Florida St. 27

17 Louisville 28   4 Florida St. 27

Key
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 10 TFG Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions

• Mountain West: Colorado St.
• Pac-12: Oregon
• SEC: Alabama
• Sun Belt: Georgia Southern

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 10 RBA Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions

• Mountain West: Colorado St.
• Pac-12: Oregon
• SEC: Alabama
• Sun Belt: Georgia Southern

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 10 TFG Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions

• Big Ten: Ohio St.
• Big XII: TCU
• Independents: Notre Dame
• Mid-American: Toledo

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 10 RBA Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions

• Big Ten: Ohio St.
• Big XII: Baylor
• Independents: Notre Dame
• Mid-American: Toledo

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 10 TFG Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions

• ACC: Florida St.
• American Athletic: UCF
• Conference-USA: Marshall

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 10 RBA Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions

• ACC: Florida St.
• American Athletic: East Carolina
• Conference-USA: Marshall

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 10: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- TFG

Odds as of games through 2014-10-26

Week 10: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- RBA

Odds as of games through 2014-10-26

Week 10: Top 25 -- TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Alabama  ( 7 - 1 )	0.952	0.642	17	26.9	5	8.7	2	155.5	123
2	--	Mississippi  ( 7 - 1 )	0.933	0.687	7	19.9	30	7.4	1	169.5	70
3	--	Auburn  ( 6 - 1 )	0.905	0.747	2	27.1	4	11.6	12	171.0	52
4	--	Florida St.  ( 6 - 0 )	0.902	0.584	38	28.4	1	12.4	19	167.5	80
5	+2	Georgia  ( 6 - 1 )	0.898	0.602	33	28.1	2	12.4	20	163.7	101
6	+2	LSU  ( 6 - 2 )	0.895	0.671	9	21.6	22	9.6	5	158.2	115
7	-1	TCU  ( 5 - 1 )	0.890	0.573	46	25.1	9	11.4	10	181.7	12
8	-3	Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 0 )	0.882	0.624	26	23.8	12	11.2	8	177.8	27
9	--	Ohio St.  ( 6 - 1 )	0.864	0.501	65	27.4	3	13.7	32	170.2	62
10	--	Baylor  ( 5 - 1 )	0.862	0.515	59	25.7	7	12.9	24	194.3	1
11	+2	Louisville  ( 5 - 2 )	0.859	0.486	67	19.0	34	9.7	6	162.1	105
12	-1	Clemson  ( 5 - 2 )	0.856	0.708	6	18.5	41	9.5	4	177.2	29
13	-1	Oklahoma  ( 5 - 2 )	0.855	0.651	13	26.4	6	13.5	30	168.6	76
14	+3	Michigan St.  ( 6 - 1 )	0.853	0.483	70	22.9	17	11.8	13	162.7	103
15	-1	Nebraska  ( 6 - 1 )	0.849	0.555	52	23.8	13	12.4	21	173.5	41
16	--	Notre Dame  ( 6 - 1 )	0.846	0.638	19	20.9	27	11.0	7	170.3	59
17	+3	Kansas St.  ( 5 - 1 )	0.845	0.608	31	23.0	16	12.1	16	156.8	119
18	+3	Wisconsin  ( 4 - 2 )	0.845	0.507	63	23.1	14	12.2	18	155.2	125
19	-1	Stanford  ( 4 - 3 )	0.830	0.581	40	16.8	65	9.3	3	158.8	113
20	-5	Oregon  ( 6 - 1 )	0.813	0.559	51	25.5	8	14.6	38	174.5	38
21	-2	Missouri  ( 5 - 2 )	0.784	0.632	23	18.3	45	11.2	9	170.8	54
22	--	Marshall  ( 7 - 0 )	0.762	0.253	125	22.4	18	14.4	36	176.3	30
23	NA	Arizona St.  ( 5 - 1 )	0.746	0.592	36	23.0	15	15.4	45	174.2	39
24	-1	USC  ( 5 - 3 )	0.741	0.577	44	19.9	31	13.4	28	170.8	55
25	NA	Miami-FL  ( 4 - 3 )	0.737	0.669	10	21.5	23	14.6	37	161.7	107

Rankings through games of 2014-10-26

New entries: Arizona St., Miami-FL.

Dropped out: Texas A&M, UCLA.

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 10: Full Rankings -- TFG

Biggest jumps: UTEP (0.110); LA-Lafayette (0.091); Miami-FL (0.071); Ball St. (0.068); Wisconsin (0.067)

Biggest drops: UTSA (-0.120); Maryland (-0.095); Virginia Tech (-0.089); Texas (-0.080); Oklahoma St. (-0.080)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 10: Top 25 -- RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Alabama  ( 7 - 1 )	0.910	0.552	12	25.3	6	7.7	2	156.0	128
2	--	Mississippi  ( 7 - 1 )	0.895	0.539	38	21.7	20	7.0	1	164.8	100
3	+1	Georgia  ( 6 - 1 )	0.871	0.547	23	28.6	1	10.9	10	160.9	122
4	-1	Florida St.  ( 6 - 0 )	0.865	0.540	35	26.9	3	10.2	8	165.8	85
5	--	Baylor  ( 5 - 1 )	0.860	0.558	6	25.1	7	11.7	22	177.0	4
6	+4	TCU  ( 5 - 1 )	0.860	0.480	79	24.9	9	9.5	7	169.1	46
7	+1	Ohio St.  ( 6 - 1 )	0.851	0.525	60	27.0	2	11.2	14	161.0	120
8	+4	LSU  ( 6 - 2 )	0.844	0.551	17	22.7	17	8.9	5	160.5	123
9	-3	Auburn  ( 6 - 1 )	0.826	0.556	7	25.1	8	11.8	23	160.4	124
10	+1	Oklahoma  ( 5 - 2 )	0.823	0.552	13	23.5	14	11.5	18	171.7	19
11	-4	Stanford  ( 4 - 3 )	0.815	0.546	25	19.8	30	8.4	4	166.3	80
12	+3	Michigan St.  ( 6 - 1 )	0.814	0.540	34	24.7	12	11.1	12	166.5	79
13	-4	Clemson  ( 5 - 2 )	0.813	0.534	47	19.3	37	8.2	3	169.3	42
14	--	Texas A&M  ( 4 - 3 )	0.802	0.549	20	25.5	5	12.1	29	174.0	11
15	+2	Oregon  ( 6 - 1 )	0.797	0.530	51	24.9	10	13.9	39	177.7	2
16	+2	Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 0 )	0.791	0.556	8	21.3	22	11.4	17	163.7	109
17	-1	Louisville  ( 5 - 2 )	0.787	0.483	78	17.2	48	9.4	6	164.7	102
18	+1	Missouri  ( 5 - 2 )	0.786	0.528	57	19.3	36	11.3	16	174.5	9
19	+2	Notre Dame  ( 6 - 1 )	0.774	0.564	2	19.9	29	11.2	15	164.5	103
20	--	Arkansas  ( 3 - 4 )	0.772	0.575	1	25.6	4	12.8	32	164.8	98
21	-8	Wisconsin  ( 4 - 2 )	0.771	0.533	48	22.9	16	10.9	11	161.4	119
22	+2	Kansas St.  ( 5 - 1 )	0.766	0.540	32	24.8	11	12.8	31	165.0	94
23	-1	Nebraska  ( 6 - 1 )	0.766	0.536	43	22.9	15	12.0	28	168.0	63
24	-1	Florida  ( 3 - 3 )	0.755	0.563	3	18.8	38	11.1	13	161.0	121
25	NA	USC  ( 5 - 3 )	0.716	0.539	39	20.7	25	13.3	36	167.1	72

Rankings through games of 2014-10-26

New entries: USC.

Dropped out: Oklahoma St..

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 10: Full Rankings -- RBA

Biggest jumps: FL-Atlantic (0.063); Kent St. (0.040); TCU (0.040); South Florida (0.039); Cincinnati (0.036)

Biggest drops: Temple (-0.065); South Carolina (-0.052); BYU (-0.039); Minnesota (-0.039); Kentucky (-0.037)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 9: Saturday In-Game Win Probabilities, Mountain West

Last updated: Sun Oct 26 03:31:11 2014

Wyoming	31	Colorado St.	45	Final
Nevada	26	Hawaii	18	Final
SJSU	31	Navy	41	Final
UNLV	20	Utah St.	34	Final