Tuesday, October 7, 2014

Week 7: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- RBA


Odds as of games through 2014-10-05


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Marshall Thundering Herd
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.584 45 0.471 87 21.7 19 15.6 60 169.5 35
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30  56 Marshall 42 at 125 Miami-OH 27 186 95.8%
2014/09/13 119 Ohio 14 at  49 Marshall 44 178 94.4%
2014/09/20  53 Marshall 48 at 110 Akron 17 189 79.1%
2014/10/04  45 Marshall 56 at  91 Old Dominion 14 167 69.2%
2014/10/11  85 Middle Tenn. 21 at  45 Marshall 41 169 69.6%
2014/10/18  45 Marshall 38 at 119 FIU 20 167 91.0%
2014/10/25  96 FL-Atlantic 17 at  45 Marshall 42 167 78.5%
2014/11/08  45 Marshall 42 at 125 Southern Miss. 20 169 93.0%
2014/11/15  88 Rice 20 at  45 Marshall 41 169 74.5%
2014/11/22  45 Marshall 38 at  98 UAB 28 167 76.6%
2014/11/28  49 Western Kentucky 31 at  45 Marshall 35 165 51.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 13.6%
Most difficult game left: November 28, vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, 51.6%


Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.848 6 0.559 6 26.5 4 10.1 9 176.3 5
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/31  72 SMU 0 at   6 Baylor 45 192 90.5%
2014/09/12   3 Baylor 63 at  91 Buffalo 21 180 92.9%
2014/09/27  11 Baylor 49 at  41 Iowa St. 28 206 85.1%
2014/10/04   6 Baylor 28 at  30 Texas 7 184 68.1%
2014/10/11  14 TCU 21 at   6 Baylor 34 172 55.4%
2014/10/18   6 Baylor 41 at  67 West Virginia 24 172 89.0%
2014/11/01 106 Kansas 7 at   6 Baylor 52 173 96.3%
2014/11/08   6 Baylor 28 at  13 Oklahoma 31 174 44.6%
2014/11/22  17 Oklahoma St. 28 at   6 Baylor 31 176 62.4%
2014/11/29   6 Baylor 45 vs  64 Texas Tech 24 178 88.2%
2014/12/06  28 Kansas St. 21 at   6 Baylor 31 170 70.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-12.2
Most difficult game left: November 8, at Oklahoma Sooners, 44.6%


Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.852 5 0.541 35 27.4 2 9.8 8 165.8 86
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30   1 Florida St. 37 vs  14 Oklahoma St. 31 174 85.7%
2014/09/20  25 Clemson 17 at   1 Florida St. 23 170 82.6%
2014/09/27   1 Florida St. 56 at  77 North Carolina St. 41 191 96.9%
2014/10/04  90 Wake Forest 3 at   5 Florida St. 43 163 97.7%
2014/10/11   5 Florida St. 38 at  58 Syracuse 17 165 88.1%
2014/10/18  16 Notre Dame 20 at   5 Florida St. 28 165 63.3%
2014/10/30   5 Florida St. 27 at  19 Louisville 28 165 31.4%
2014/11/08  53 Virginia 14 at   5 Florida St. 41 166 87.0%
2014/11/15   5 Florida St. 38 at  42 Miami-FL 20 164 82.3%
2014/11/22  61 Boston College 20 at   5 Florida St. 45 166 88.9%
2014/11/29  26 Florida 14 at   5 Florida St. 35 163 70.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-12.7
Most difficult game left: October 30, at Louisville Cardinals, 31.4%


Long Shots

TCU Horned Frogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.813 14 0.479 79 19.9 29 8.8 3 168.5 55
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/09/13  56 Minnesota 7 at  41 TCU 30 170 57.2%
2014/09/27  23 TCU 56 at 111 SMU 0 187 86.5%
2014/10/04  13 Oklahoma 33 at  14 TCU 37 191 30.6%
2014/10/11  14 TCU 21 at   6 Baylor 34 172 44.6%
2014/10/18  17 Oklahoma St. 28 at  14 TCU 31 172 57.2%
2014/10/25  64 Texas Tech 17 at  14 TCU 42 174 85.8%
2014/11/01  14 TCU 34 at  67 West Virginia 24 168 86.6%
2014/11/08  28 Kansas St. 21 at  14 TCU 31 166 65.7%
2014/11/15  14 TCU 38 at 106 Kansas 10 169 95.4%
2014/11/27  14 TCU 27 at  30 Texas 24 168 67.2%
2014/12/06  39 Iowa St. 17 at  14 TCU 38 169 75.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-16.5
Most difficult game left: October 11, at Baylor Bears, 44.6%


Mississippi Rebels
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.858 3 0.537 42 21.5 20 8.1 2 164.8 99
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/28  40 Boise St. 13 vs  26 Mississippi 35 185 55.7%
2014/09/06  20 Mississippi 41 at  70 Vanderbilt 3 160 60.2%
2014/09/13  87 LA-Lafayette 15 at   4 Mississippi 56 164 86.6%
2014/09/27  78 Memphis 3 at   6 Mississippi 24 173 93.8%
2014/10/04   1 Alabama 17 at   3 Mississippi 23 167 45.1%
2014/10/11   3 Mississippi 28 at  11 Texas A&M 31 169 44.7%
2014/10/18  34 Tennessee 17 at   3 Mississippi 31 163 80.2%
2014/10/25   3 Mississippi 25 at  10 LSU 24 162 54.3%
2014/11/01  12 Auburn 25 at   3 Mississippi 24 162 41.8%
2014/11/22   3 Mississippi 31 at  18 Arkansas 24 164 59.6%
2014/11/29  21 Mississippi St. 21 at   3 Mississippi 28 164 70.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-29.2
Most difficult game left: November 1, vs Auburn Tigers, 41.8%


Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.806 16 0.564 2 19.1 35 9.6 6 164.3 103
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30  78 Rice 17 at  31 Notre Dame 48 156 71.4%
2014/09/06  33 Michigan 0 at  18 Notre Dame 31 154 51.8%
2014/09/13 114 Purdue 14 vs  13 Notre Dame 30 168 91.1%
2014/09/27  16 Notre Dame 31 vs  70 Syracuse 15 175 79.8%
2014/10/04   2 Stanford 14 at  16 Notre Dame 17 170 65.4%
2014/10/11  59 North Carolina 17 at  16 Notre Dame 38 165 80.9%
2014/10/18  16 Notre Dame 20 at   5 Florida St. 28 165 36.7%
2014/11/01  16 Notre Dame 34 at  66 Navy 21 161 83.7%
2014/11/08  16 Notre Dame 31 at  37 Arizona St. 27 169 72.3%
2014/11/15  56 Northwestern 17 at  16 Notre Dame 28 170 80.4%
2014/11/22  19 Louisville 21 at  16 Notre Dame 27 164 55.8%
2014/11/29  16 Notre Dame 21 at  25 USC 24 165 39.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-31.4
Most difficult game left: October 18, at Florida State Seminoles, 36.7%


Auburn Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.823 12 0.555 10 25.2 6 10.7 16 160.2 125
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30  38 Arkansas 21 at  20 Auburn 45 158 61.7%
2014/09/06  74 SJSU 13 at  13 Auburn 59 176 84.6%
2014/09/18   9 Auburn 20 at  24 Kansas St. 14 168 46.8%
2014/09/27  74 LA Tech 17 at   9 Auburn 45 170 92.8%
2014/10/04  10 LSU 7 at  12 Auburn 41 161 52.0%
2014/10/11  12 Auburn 31 at  21 Mississippi St. 27 161 63.4%
2014/10/25  32 South Carolina 21 at  12 Auburn 34 159 72.7%
2014/11/01  12 Auburn 25 at   3 Mississippi 24 162 58.2%
2014/11/08  11 Texas A&M 24 at  12 Auburn 38 167 52.9%
2014/11/15  12 Auburn 31 at   4 Georgia 28 160 58.2%
2014/11/29  12 Auburn 24 at   1 Alabama 28 158 34.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-35.5
Most difficult game left: November 29, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 34.1%


Arizona Wildcats
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.627 40 0.560 5 19.7 32 14.6 49 171.9 19
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/29  89 UNLV 13 at  44 Arizona 58 200 75.0%
2014/09/04  31 Arizona 26 at  50 UTSA 23 179 78.2%
2014/09/13  72 Nevada 28 at  29 Arizona 35 168 82.1%
2014/09/20  86 California 45 at  35 Arizona 49 217 90.0%
2014/10/02  40 Arizona 31 at  15 Oregon 24 187 23.9%
2014/10/11  25 USC 28 at  40 Arizona 27 169 35.8%
2014/10/25  40 Arizona 34 at  70 Washington St. 28 172 67.5%
2014/11/01  40 Arizona 24 at  27 UCLA 31 170 38.8%
2014/11/08  92 Colorado 24 at  40 Arizona 41 170 80.5%
2014/11/15  29 Washington 27 at  40 Arizona 28 170 61.9%
2014/11/22  40 Arizona 27 at  38 Utah 31 169 49.9%
2014/11/28  37 Arizona St. 31 at  40 Arizona 34 173 51.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-83.6
Most difficult game left: October 11, vs USC Trojans, 35.8%


Mississippi State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.746 21 0.556 8 20.6 25 11.1 17 163.4 110
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30 120 Southern Miss. 0 at  17 Mississippi St. 49 183 97.7%
2014/09/06 100 UAB 34 at  28 Mississippi St. 47 199 96.2%
2014/09/13  32 Mississippi St. 35 at  79 South Alabama 3 178 84.6%
2014/09/20  27 Mississippi St. 34 at   3 LSU 29 176 25.4%
2014/10/04  11 Texas A&M 31 at  21 Mississippi St. 48 199 30.5%
2014/10/11  12 Auburn 31 at  21 Mississippi St. 27 161 36.6%
2014/10/25  21 Mississippi St. 34 at  78 Kentucky 21 164 83.0%
2014/11/01  18 Arkansas 27 at  21 Mississippi St. 34 164 62.0%
2014/11/15  21 Mississippi St. 21 at   1 Alabama 34 159 22.9%
2014/11/22  87 Vanderbilt 17 at  21 Mississippi St. 41 162 87.7%
2014/11/29  21 Mississippi St. 21 at   3 Mississippi 28 164 29.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-90.2
Most difficult game left: November 15, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 22.9%


What are YOU doing here??

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.576 47 0.539 39 19.8 31 16.2 65 163.1 112
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/09/06  37 Georgia Tech 38 at 108 Tulane 21 148 88.9%
2014/09/13 127 Georgia Southern 38 at  42 Georgia Tech 42 163 99.9%
2014/09/20  50 Georgia Tech 27 at  56 Virginia Tech 24 165 45.7%
2014/10/04  42 Miami-FL 17 at  47 Georgia Tech 28 135 52.7%
2014/10/11  43 Duke 24 at  47 Georgia Tech 31 165 54.1%
2014/10/18  47 Georgia Tech 31 at  59 North Carolina 28 164 54.3%
2014/10/25  47 Georgia Tech 27 at  63 Pittsburgh 28 163 41.9%
2014/11/01  53 Virginia 24 at  47 Georgia Tech 31 164 52.1%
2014/11/08  47 Georgia Tech 34 at  71 North Carolina St. 28 165 61.4%
2014/11/15  22 Clemson 31 at  47 Georgia Tech 27 166 27.7%
2014/11/29  47 Georgia Tech 20 at   4 Georgia 38 162 13.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-669.2
Most difficult game left: November 29, at Georgia Bulldogs, 13.7%


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