Tuesday, October 7, 2014

Week 7: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- TFG


Odds as of games through 2014-10-05


Legitimate Title Contenders

Marshall Thundering Herd
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.731 29 0.228 127 22.9 16 15.8 51 178.3 26
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30  53 Marshall 42 at 124 Miami-OH 27 186 97.3%
2014/09/13 104 Ohio 14 at  73 Marshall 44 178 84.7%
2014/09/20  59 Marshall 48 at 116 Akron 17 189 87.6%
2014/10/04  39 Marshall 56 at  83 Old Dominion 14 167 70.0%
2014/10/11  84 Middle Tenn. 27 at  29 Marshall 39 178 88.2%
2014/10/18  29 Marshall 34 at 104 FIU 24 173 86.8%
2014/10/25 108 FL-Atlantic 22 at  29 Marshall 40 170 95.4%
2014/11/08  29 Marshall 39 at 120 Southern Miss. 23 173 94.9%
2014/11/15  79 Rice 27 at  29 Marshall 37 171 83.7%
2014/11/22  29 Marshall 40 at  90 UAB 29 173 85.7%
2014/11/28  75 Western Kentucky 29 at  29 Marshall 38 178 80.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 39.8%
Most difficult game left: November 28, vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, 80.0%


Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.941 3 0.600 28 29.1 1 10.2 8 166.4 86
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30   1 Florida St. 37 vs  10 Oklahoma St. 31 174 83.8%
2014/09/20  28 Clemson 17 at   1 Florida St. 23 170 93.6%
2014/09/27   2 Florida St. 56 at  48 North Carolina St. 41 191 89.7%
2014/10/04  97 Wake Forest 3 at   3 Florida St. 43 163 98.5%
2014/10/11   3 Florida St. 35 at  64 Syracuse 21 169 91.4%
2014/10/18  14 Notre Dame 24 at   3 Florida St. 34 166 80.6%
2014/10/30   3 Florida St. 29 at  11 Louisville 25 163 55.6%
2014/11/08  48 Virginia 23 at   3 Florida St. 38 171 92.9%
2014/11/15   3 Florida St. 36 at  43 Miami-FL 25 163 88.3%
2014/11/22  53 Boston College 23 at   3 Florida St. 37 162 92.5%
2014/11/29  24 Florida 23 at   3 Florida St. 33 168 81.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 25.3%
Most difficult game left: October 30, at Louisville Cardinals, 55.6%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.907 5 0.471 68 26.3 7 11.2 16 189.0 2
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/31  82 SMU 0 at   7 Baylor 45 192 90.3%
2014/09/12   3 Baylor 63 at  79 Buffalo 21 180 91.8%
2014/09/27   5 Baylor 49 at  60 Iowa St. 28 206 84.9%
2014/10/04  10 Baylor 28 at  25 Texas 7 184 59.8%
2014/10/11   6 TCU 29 at   5 Baylor 34 184 62.5%
2014/10/18   5 Baylor 40 at  52 West Virginia 32 187 82.1%
2014/11/01 121 Kansas 16 at   5 Baylor 40 178 99.0%
2014/11/08   5 Baylor 34 at   7 Oklahoma 33 178 50.2%
2014/11/22  19 Oklahoma St. 33 at   5 Baylor 37 186 67.9%
2014/11/29   5 Baylor 43 vs  76 Texas Tech 26 187 93.6%
2014/12/06  27 Kansas St. 30 at   5 Baylor 36 174 75.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 12.2%
Most difficult game left: November 8, at Oklahoma Sooners, 50.2%


TCU Horned Frogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.897 6 0.594 32 22.7 20 10.0 6 179.0 21
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/09/13  61 Minnesota 7 at  42 TCU 30 170 76.0%
2014/09/27  25 TCU 56 at 120 SMU 0 187 96.0%
2014/10/04   8 Oklahoma 33 at   7 TCU 37 191 60.0%
2014/10/11   6 TCU 29 at   5 Baylor 34 184 37.5%
2014/10/18  19 Oklahoma St. 29 at   6 TCU 34 181 75.8%
2014/10/25  76 Texas Tech 23 at   6 TCU 40 182 95.5%
2014/11/01   6 TCU 37 at  52 West Virginia 29 182 84.9%
2014/11/08  27 Kansas St. 27 at   6 TCU 32 169 76.7%
2014/11/15   6 TCU 34 at 121 Kansas 15 173 98.5%
2014/11/27   6 TCU 29 at  35 Texas 21 174 79.7%
2014/12/06  51 Iowa St. 25 at   6 TCU 34 177 86.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 12.1%
Most difficult game left: October 11, at Baylor Bears, 37.5%


Long Shots

Auburn Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.941 2 0.731 4 28.2 2 9.9 5 171.0 57
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30  84 Arkansas 21 at   9 Auburn 45 158 90.4%
2014/09/06  81 SJSU 13 at  19 Auburn 59 176 93.6%
2014/09/18   9 Auburn 20 at  25 Kansas St. 14 168 64.3%
2014/09/27  65 LA Tech 17 at  10 Auburn 45 170 93.6%
2014/10/04   2 LSU 7 at   4 Auburn 41 161 49.0%
2014/10/11   2 Auburn 31 at  10 Mississippi St. 28 173 57.5%
2014/10/25  33 South Carolina 26 at   2 Auburn 39 166 91.4%
2014/11/01   2 Auburn 30 at   4 Mississippi 26 171 56.7%
2014/11/08  17 Texas A&M 30 at   2 Auburn 37 176 78.0%
2014/11/15   2 Auburn 34 at  12 Georgia 31 167 66.9%
2014/11/29   2 Auburn 29 at   1 Alabama 31 161 47.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-13.7
Most difficult game left: November 29, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 47.0%


Mississippi Rebels
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.911 4 0.624 19 20.3 30 8.5 2 172.2 51
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/28  31 Boise St. 13 vs  33 Mississippi 35 185 49.1%
2014/09/06  25 Mississippi 41 at  66 Vanderbilt 3 160 67.4%
2014/09/13 100 LA-Lafayette 15 at  14 Mississippi 56 164 97.3%
2014/09/27  67 Memphis 3 at  14 Mississippi 24 173 93.1%
2014/10/04   1 Alabama 17 at   6 Mississippi 23 167 37.2%
2014/10/11   4 Mississippi 31 at  17 Texas A&M 28 176 55.8%
2014/10/18  34 Tennessee 20 at   4 Mississippi 28 170 87.5%
2014/10/25   4 Mississippi 24 at   9 LSU 27 166 43.5%
2014/11/01   2 Auburn 30 at   4 Mississippi 26 171 43.3%
2014/11/22   4 Mississippi 29 at  28 Arkansas 25 164 78.6%
2014/11/29  10 Mississippi St. 25 at   4 Mississippi 27 173 56.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-24.7
Most difficult game left: November 1, vs Auburn Tigers, 43.3%


Mississippi State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.888 10 0.595 30 22.0 22 10.1 7 175.4 35
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30 120 Southern Miss. 0 at  29 Mississippi St. 49 183 97.0%
2014/09/06 104 UAB 34 at  16 Mississippi St. 47 199 97.2%
2014/09/13  21 Mississippi St. 35 at  62 South Alabama 3 178 71.1%
2014/09/20  11 Mississippi St. 34 at   3 LSU 29 176 26.1%
2014/10/04  12 Texas A&M 31 at   9 Mississippi St. 48 199 63.7%
2014/10/11   2 Auburn 31 at  10 Mississippi St. 28 173 42.5%
2014/10/25  10 Mississippi St. 29 at  50 Kentucky 22 172 78.1%
2014/11/01  28 Arkansas 26 at  10 Mississippi St. 31 165 77.5%
2014/11/15  10 Mississippi St. 25 at   1 Alabama 31 163 26.8%
2014/11/22  87 Vanderbilt 19 at  10 Mississippi St. 33 165 94.4%
2014/11/29  10 Mississippi St. 25 at   4 Mississippi 27 173 43.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-35.0
Most difficult game left: November 15, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 26.8%


Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.864 14 0.551 48 20.6 28 10.3 9 166.9 84
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30  60 Rice 17 at  26 Notre Dame 48 156 74.0%
2014/09/06  33 Michigan 0 at  21 Notre Dame 31 154 76.5%
2014/09/13 111 Purdue 14 vs   7 Notre Dame 30 168 97.6%
2014/09/27  15 Notre Dame 31 vs  52 Syracuse 15 175 83.1%
2014/10/04   5 Stanford 14 at  16 Notre Dame 17 170 50.1%
2014/10/11  59 North Carolina 25 at  14 Notre Dame 35 174 89.4%
2014/10/18  14 Notre Dame 24 at   3 Florida St. 34 166 19.4%
2014/11/01  14 Notre Dame 30 at  63 Navy 23 162 83.7%
2014/11/08  14 Notre Dame 32 at  41 Arizona St. 29 172 73.5%
2014/11/15  37 Northwestern 21 at  14 Notre Dame 27 170 77.8%
2014/11/22  11 Louisville 24 at  14 Notre Dame 23 163 45.2%
2014/11/29  14 Notre Dame 27 at  26 USC 25 167 66.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-40.2
Most difficult game left: October 18, at Florida State Seminoles, 19.4%


Arizona Wildcats
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.691 36 0.493 59 19.7 35 14.5 40 181.6 12
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/29  88 UNLV 13 at  36 Arizona 58 200 78.7%
2014/09/04  24 Arizona 26 at  39 UTSA 23 179 51.0%
2014/09/13  75 Nevada 28 at  25 Arizona 35 168 89.1%
2014/09/20  90 California 45 at  31 Arizona 49 217 90.4%
2014/10/02  41 Arizona 31 at  13 Oregon 24 187 14.7%
2014/10/11  26 USC 28 at  36 Arizona 29 175 50.7%
2014/10/25  36 Arizona 32 at  67 Washington St. 31 180 58.3%
2014/11/01  36 Arizona 29 at  23 UCLA 34 178 33.5%
2014/11/08  94 Colorado 25 at  36 Arizona 36 177 87.7%
2014/11/15  32 Washington 28 at  36 Arizona 29 177 51.6%
2014/11/22  36 Arizona 29 at  38 Utah 28 177 51.1%
2014/11/28  41 Arizona St. 33 at  36 Arizona 34 179 53.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-81.0
Most difficult game left: November 1, at UCLA Bruins, 33.5%


Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.718 31 0.591 36 24.2 11 17.0 64 154.5 123
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/09/06  37 Georgia Tech 38 at  92 Tulane 21 148 72.4%
2014/09/13  NA Georgia Southern 38 at  32 Georgia Tech 42 163 88.2%
2014/09/20  32 Georgia Tech 27 at  29 Virginia Tech 24 165 36.6%
2014/10/04  38 Miami-FL 17 at  33 Georgia Tech 28 135 64.2%
2014/10/11  40 Duke 27 at  31 Georgia Tech 32 167 65.7%
2014/10/18  31 Georgia Tech 34 at  59 North Carolina 32 167 57.8%
2014/10/25  31 Georgia Tech 31 at  70 Pittsburgh 28 157 62.1%
2014/11/01  48 Virginia 28 at  31 Georgia Tech 33 165 67.5%
2014/11/08  31 Georgia Tech 34 at  71 North Carolina St. 29 163 69.7%
2014/11/15  16 Clemson 30 at  31 Georgia Tech 29 165 35.8%
2014/11/29  31 Georgia Tech 29 at  12 Georgia 35 159 27.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-90.6
Most difficult game left: November 29, at Georgia Bulldogs, 27.8%


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