Tuesday, October 14, 2014

Week 8: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- RBA


Odds as of games through 2014-10-12


Legitimate Title Contenders

Marshall Thundering Herd
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.657 32 0.472 86 22.3 17 15.3 56 169.7 33
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30  56 Marshall 42 at 125 Miami-OH 27 186 95.8%
2014/09/13 119 Ohio 14 at  49 Marshall 44 178 94.4%
2014/09/20  53 Marshall 48 at 110 Akron 17 189 79.1%
2014/10/04  45 Marshall 56 at  91 Old Dominion 14 167 69.2%
2014/10/11  85 Middle Tenn. 24 at  32 Marshall 49 191 69.6%
2014/10/18  32 Marshall 38 at 115 FIU 17 167 91.7%
2014/10/25  98 FL-Atlantic 17 at  32 Marshall 45 167 84.9%
2014/11/08  32 Marshall 45 at 125 Southern Miss. 20 169 95.3%
2014/11/15  87 Rice 20 at  32 Marshall 42 169 80.0%
2014/11/22  32 Marshall 38 at  88 UAB 31 167 79.8%
2014/11/28  51 Western Kentucky 31 at  32 Marshall 38 165 59.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 28.0%
Most difficult game left: November 28, vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, 59.1%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.864 5 0.559 6 26.9 3 10.6 11 176.8 4
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/31  72 SMU 0 at   6 Baylor 45 192 90.5%
2014/09/12   3 Baylor 63 at  91 Buffalo 21 180 92.9%
2014/09/27  11 Baylor 49 at  41 Iowa St. 28 206 85.1%
2014/10/04   6 Baylor 28 at  30 Texas 7 184 68.1%
2014/10/11   9 TCU 58 at   5 Baylor 61 242 55.4%
2014/10/18   5 Baylor 41 at  60 West Virginia 27 173 89.1%
2014/11/01 108 Kansas 7 at   5 Baylor 52 174 97.4%
2014/11/08   5 Baylor 31 at  12 Oklahoma 32 174 38.3%
2014/11/22  16 Oklahoma St. 31 at   5 Baylor 34 176 65.6%
2014/11/29   5 Baylor 48 vs  72 Texas Tech 24 178 91.7%
2014/12/06  26 Kansas St. 24 at   5 Baylor 34 170 74.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 14.9%
Most difficult game left: November 8, at Oklahoma Sooners, 38.3%


Mississippi Rebels
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.867 3 0.537 41 21.8 19 8.0 2 164.8 100
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/28  40 Boise St. 13 vs  26 Mississippi 35 185 55.7%
2014/09/06  20 Mississippi 41 at  70 Vanderbilt 3 160 60.2%
2014/09/13  87 LA-Lafayette 15 at   4 Mississippi 56 164 86.6%
2014/09/27  78 Memphis 3 at   6 Mississippi 24 173 93.8%
2014/10/04   1 Alabama 17 at   3 Mississippi 23 167 45.1%
2014/10/11   3 Mississippi 35 at  15 Texas A&M 20 170 44.7%
2014/10/18  33 Tennessee 17 at   3 Mississippi 31 163 81.5%
2014/10/25   3 Mississippi 27 at  18 LSU 24 162 63.1%
2014/11/01   6 Auburn 24 at   3 Mississippi 27 162 56.7%
2014/11/22   3 Mississippi 28 at  19 Arkansas 21 164 63.4%
2014/11/29  21 Mississippi St. 24 at   3 Mississippi 28 164 69.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 12.9%
Most difficult game left: November 1, vs Auburn Tigers, 56.7%


Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.876 2 0.540 37 27.0 2 10.0 8 165.7 86
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30   1 Florida St. 37 vs  14 Oklahoma St. 31 174 85.7%
2014/09/20  25 Clemson 17 at   1 Florida St. 23 170 82.6%
2014/09/27   1 Florida St. 56 at  77 North Carolina St. 41 191 96.9%
2014/10/04  90 Wake Forest 3 at   5 Florida St. 43 163 97.7%
2014/10/11   2 Florida St. 38 at  57 Syracuse 20 162 88.1%
2014/10/18  13 Notre Dame 20 at   2 Florida St. 28 165 68.5%
2014/10/30   2 Florida St. 27 at  17 Louisville 28 165 31.7%
2014/11/08  55 Virginia 14 at   2 Florida St. 41 166 89.4%
2014/11/15   2 Florida St. 38 at  47 Miami-FL 21 164 87.4%
2014/11/22  63 Boston College 20 at   2 Florida St. 45 166 91.4%
2014/11/29  22 Florida 17 at   2 Florida St. 35 163 72.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 11.3%
Most difficult game left: October 30, at Louisville Cardinals, 31.7%


Long Shots

Mississippi State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.782 21 0.557 7 20.9 23 10.8 14 163.5 111
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30 120 Southern Miss. 0 at  17 Mississippi St. 49 183 97.7%
2014/09/06 100 UAB 34 at  28 Mississippi St. 47 199 96.2%
2014/09/13  32 Mississippi St. 35 at  79 South Alabama 3 178 84.6%
2014/09/20  27 Mississippi St. 34 at   3 LSU 29 176 25.4%
2014/10/04  11 Texas A&M 31 at  21 Mississippi St. 48 199 30.5%
2014/10/11   6 Auburn 23 at  21 Mississippi St. 38 188 36.6%
2014/10/25  21 Mississippi St. 35 at  66 Kentucky 21 164 81.0%
2014/11/01  19 Arkansas 24 at  21 Mississippi St. 34 164 56.8%
2014/11/15  21 Mississippi St. 21 at   1 Alabama 31 159 27.5%
2014/11/22  89 Vanderbilt 17 at  21 Mississippi St. 41 162 89.1%
2014/11/29  21 Mississippi St. 24 at   3 Mississippi 28 164 30.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-29.2
Most difficult game left: November 15, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 27.5%


Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.812 13 0.564 3 19.8 32 11.0 15 164.5 103
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30  78 Rice 17 at  31 Notre Dame 48 156 71.4%
2014/09/06  33 Michigan 0 at  18 Notre Dame 31 154 51.8%
2014/09/13 114 Purdue 14 vs  13 Notre Dame 30 168 91.1%
2014/09/27  16 Notre Dame 31 vs  70 Syracuse 15 175 79.8%
2014/10/04   2 Stanford 14 at  16 Notre Dame 17 170 65.4%
2014/10/11  67 North Carolina 43 at  13 Notre Dame 50 201 80.9%
2014/10/18  13 Notre Dame 20 at   2 Florida St. 28 165 31.5%
2014/11/01  13 Notre Dame 35 at  70 Navy 24 161 83.7%
2014/11/08  13 Notre Dame 31 at  38 Arizona St. 27 169 72.4%
2014/11/15  56 Northwestern 17 at  13 Notre Dame 31 170 79.9%
2014/11/22  17 Louisville 20 at  13 Notre Dame 27 164 50.3%
2014/11/29  13 Notre Dame 21 at  25 USC 24 165 37.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-35.0
Most difficult game left: October 18, at Florida State Seminoles, 31.5%


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