Tuesday, October 21, 2014

Week 9: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- RBA

Odds as of games through 2014-10-19

Legitimate Title Contenders

Marshall Thundering Herd
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.679 30 0.471 86 22.3 16 15.2 57 169.7 35
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30  56 Marshall 42 at 125 Miami-OH 27 186 95.8%
2014/09/13 119 Ohio 14 at  49 Marshall 44 178 94.4%
2014/09/20  53 Marshall 48 at 110 Akron 17 189 79.1%
2014/10/04  45 Marshall 56 at  91 Old Dominion 14 167 69.2%
2014/10/11  85 Middle Tenn. 24 at  32 Marshall 49 191 69.6%
2014/10/18  30 Marshall 45 at 114 FIU 13 167 91.7%
2014/10/25 104 FL-Atlantic 17 at  30 Marshall 45 167 89.7%
2014/11/08  30 Marshall 45 at 122 Southern Miss. 20 169 94.9%
2014/11/15  86 Rice 17 at  30 Marshall 42 169 81.8%
2014/11/22  30 Marshall 38 at  74 UAB 31 167 75.0%
2014/11/28  54 Western Kentucky 31 at  30 Marshall 38 165 63.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 33.0%
Most difficult game left: November 28, vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, 63.1%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Mississippi Rebels
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.873 2 0.537 41 22.0 18 7.2 1 164.8 99
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/28  40 Boise St. 13 vs  26 Mississippi 35 185 55.7%
2014/09/06  20 Mississippi 41 at  70 Vanderbilt 3 160 60.2%
2014/09/13  87 LA-Lafayette 15 at   4 Mississippi 56 164 86.6%
2014/09/27  78 Memphis 3 at   6 Mississippi 24 173 93.8%
2014/10/04   1 Alabama 17 at   3 Mississippi 23 167 45.1%
2014/10/11   3 Mississippi 35 at  15 Texas A&M 20 170 44.7%
2014/10/18  31 Tennessee 3 at   2 Mississippi 34 170 81.5%
2014/10/25   2 Mississippi 27 at  12 LSU 24 162 63.7%
2014/11/01   6 Auburn 24 at   2 Mississippi 27 162 58.1%
2014/11/22   2 Mississippi 31 at  20 Arkansas 21 164 69.3%
2014/11/29  18 Mississippi St. 21 at   2 Mississippi 28 164 70.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 18.2%
Most difficult game left: November 1, vs Auburn Tigers, 58.1%


Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.869 3 0.540 34 26.9 3 10.2 8 165.8 85
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30   1 Florida St. 37 vs  14 Oklahoma St. 31 174 85.7%
2014/09/20  25 Clemson 17 at   1 Florida St. 23 170 82.6%
2014/09/27   1 Florida St. 56 at  77 North Carolina St. 41 191 96.9%
2014/10/04  90 Wake Forest 3 at   5 Florida St. 43 163 97.7%
2014/10/11   2 Florida St. 38 at  57 Syracuse 20 162 88.1%
2014/10/18  21 Notre Dame 27 at   3 Florida St. 31 172 68.5%
2014/10/30   3 Florida St. 27 at  16 Louisville 28 165 31.2%
2014/11/08  52 Virginia 14 at   3 Florida St. 38 166 87.6%
2014/11/15   3 Florida St. 38 at  46 Miami-FL 21 164 86.3%
2014/11/22  57 Boston College 17 at   3 Florida St. 41 166 89.4%
2014/11/29  23 Florida 17 at   3 Florida St. 38 163 69.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 14.6%
Most difficult game left: October 30, at Louisville Cardinals, 31.2%


Absolute Phonies

Mississippi State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.777 18 0.557 7 20.9 24 10.8 10 163.5 109
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30 120 Southern Miss. 0 at  17 Mississippi St. 49 183 97.7%
2014/09/06 100 UAB 34 at  28 Mississippi St. 47 199 96.2%
2014/09/13  32 Mississippi St. 35 at  79 South Alabama 3 178 84.6%
2014/09/20  27 Mississippi St. 34 at   3 LSU 29 176 25.4%
2014/10/04  11 Texas A&M 31 at  21 Mississippi St. 48 199 30.5%
2014/10/11   6 Auburn 23 at  21 Mississippi St. 38 188 36.6%
2014/10/25  18 Mississippi St. 35 at  56 Kentucky 21 164 76.7%
2014/11/01  20 Arkansas 24 at  18 Mississippi St. 34 164 51.7%
2014/11/15  18 Mississippi St. 20 at   1 Alabama 34 159 27.0%
2014/11/22  88 Vanderbilt 17 at  18 Mississippi St. 41 162 89.1%
2014/11/29  18 Mississippi St. 21 at   2 Mississippi 28 164 29.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-35.9
Most difficult game left: November 15, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 27.0%


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