Tuesday, October 21, 2014

Week 9: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- TFG

Odds as of games through 2014-10-19

Legitimate Title Contenders

Marshall Thundering Herd
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.771 22 0.264 123 23.3 13 14.8 40 175.9 36
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30  53 Marshall 42 at 124 Miami-OH 27 186 97.3%
2014/09/13 104 Ohio 14 at  73 Marshall 44 178 84.7%
2014/09/20  59 Marshall 48 at 116 Akron 17 189 87.6%
2014/10/04  39 Marshall 56 at  83 Old Dominion 14 167 70.0%
2014/10/11  84 Middle Tenn. 24 at  29 Marshall 49 191 88.2%
2014/10/18  31 Marshall 45 at 101 FIU 13 167 86.1%
2014/10/25 101 FL-Atlantic 22 at  22 Marshall 40 170 95.2%
2014/11/08  22 Marshall 38 at 111 Southern Miss. 23 172 93.3%
2014/11/15  73 Rice 26 at  22 Marshall 36 170 84.7%
2014/11/22  22 Marshall 39 at  84 UAB 28 173 86.3%
2014/11/28  79 Western Kentucky 29 at  22 Marshall 40 177 84.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 54.7%
Most difficult game left: November 28, vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, 84.2%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.908 4 0.600 35 28.0 2 11.9 14 166.8 87
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30   1 Florida St. 37 vs  10 Oklahoma St. 31 174 83.8%
2014/09/20  28 Clemson 17 at   1 Florida St. 23 170 93.6%
2014/09/27   2 Florida St. 56 at  48 North Carolina St. 41 191 89.7%
2014/10/04  97 Wake Forest 3 at   3 Florida St. 43 163 98.5%
2014/10/11   3 Florida St. 38 at  64 Syracuse 20 162 91.4%
2014/10/18  15 Notre Dame 27 at   3 Florida St. 31 172 77.2%
2014/10/30   4 Florida St. 29 at  13 Louisville 26 164 50.8%
2014/11/08  56 Virginia 23 at   4 Florida St. 37 170 90.4%
2014/11/15   4 Florida St. 35 at  38 Miami-FL 27 164 80.5%
2014/11/22  44 Boston College 23 at   4 Florida St. 34 162 85.5%
2014/11/29  35 Florida 24 at   4 Florida St. 34 167 82.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 26.0%
Most difficult game left: October 30, at Louisville Cardinals, 50.8%


Mississippi Rebels
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.938 2 0.646 16 21.7 22 7.8 1 170.1 61
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/28  31 Boise St. 13 vs  33 Mississippi 35 185 49.1%
2014/09/06  25 Mississippi 41 at  66 Vanderbilt 3 160 67.4%
2014/09/13 100 LA-Lafayette 15 at  14 Mississippi 56 164 97.3%
2014/09/27  67 Memphis 3 at  14 Mississippi 24 173 93.1%
2014/10/04   1 Alabama 17 at   6 Mississippi 23 167 37.2%
2014/10/11   4 Mississippi 35 at  17 Texas A&M 20 170 55.8%
2014/10/18  28 Tennessee 3 at   4 Mississippi 34 170 86.5%
2014/10/25   2 Mississippi 26 at   8 LSU 25 164 53.2%
2014/11/01   3 Auburn 28 at   2 Mississippi 29 170 60.5%
2014/11/22   2 Mississippi 30 at  28 Arkansas 23 165 86.4%
2014/11/29   5 Mississippi St. 26 at   2 Mississippi 27 173 62.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 17.4%
Most difficult game left: October 25, at LSU Tigers, 53.2%


Long Shots

Mississippi State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.901 5 0.656 13 23.2 14 10.1 6 176.7 30
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30 120 Southern Miss. 0 at  29 Mississippi St. 49 183 97.0%
2014/09/06 104 UAB 34 at  16 Mississippi St. 47 199 97.2%
2014/09/13  21 Mississippi St. 35 at  62 South Alabama 3 178 71.1%
2014/09/20  11 Mississippi St. 34 at   3 LSU 29 176 26.1%
2014/10/04  12 Texas A&M 31 at   9 Mississippi St. 48 199 63.7%
2014/10/11   2 Auburn 23 at  10 Mississippi St. 38 188 42.4%
2014/10/25   5 Mississippi St. 31 at  69 Kentucky 21 172 86.6%
2014/11/01  28 Arkansas 25 at   5 Mississippi St. 32 168 82.0%
2014/11/15   5 Mississippi St. 25 at   1 Alabama 31 165 23.6%
2014/11/22  91 Vanderbilt 20 at   5 Mississippi St. 34 167 95.0%
2014/11/29   5 Mississippi St. 26 at   2 Mississippi 27 173 37.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-16.7
Most difficult game left: November 15, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 23.6%


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