Tuesday, November 11, 2014

Week 12: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA


Odds as of games through 2014-11-09
Second-Tier Hopefuls

Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.864 3 0.540 37 26.5 3 10.5 12 165.9 85
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30   1 Florida St. 37 vs  14 Oklahoma St. 31 174 85.7%
2014/09/20  25 Clemson 17 at   1 Florida St. 23 170 82.6%
2014/09/27   1 Florida St. 56 at  77 North Carolina St. 41 191 96.9%
2014/10/04  90 Wake Forest 3 at   5 Florida St. 43 163 97.7%
2014/10/11   2 Florida St. 38 at  57 Syracuse 20 162 88.1%
2014/10/18  21 Notre Dame 27 at   3 Florida St. 31 172 68.5%
2014/10/30   3 Florida St. 42 at  22 Louisville 31 177 31.2%
2014/11/08  66 Virginia 20 at   3 Florida St. 34 169 88.2%
2014/11/15   3 Florida St. 35 at  32 Miami-FL 24 164 79.7%
2014/11/22  54 Boston College 20 at   3 Florida St. 41 166 88.2%
2014/11/29  21 Florida 20 at   3 Florida St. 35 163 69.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 49.1%
Most difficult game left: November 29, vs Florida Gators, 69.8%


Marshall Thundering Herd
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.673 29 0.471 87 21.7 20 15.1 55 169.6 36
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30  56 Marshall 42 at 125 Miami-OH 27 186 95.8%
2014/09/13 119 Ohio 14 at  49 Marshall 44 178 94.4%
2014/09/20  53 Marshall 48 at 110 Akron 17 189 79.1%
2014/10/04  45 Marshall 56 at  91 Old Dominion 14 167 69.2%
2014/10/11  85 Middle Tenn. 24 at  32 Marshall 49 191 69.6%
2014/10/18  30 Marshall 45 at 114 FIU 13 167 91.7%
2014/10/25  96 FL-Atlantic 16 at  29 Marshall 35 176 89.7%
2014/11/08  29 Marshall 63 at 120 Southern Miss. 17 159 93.3%
2014/11/15  76 Rice 20 at  29 Marshall 41 169 77.7%
2014/11/22  29 Marshall 38 at  85 UAB 28 167 79.6%
2014/11/28  70 Western Kentucky 24 at  29 Marshall 41 166 75.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 46.8%
Most difficult game left: November 28, vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, 75.6%


What are YOU doing here??

Mississippi State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.774 18 0.555 9 20.7 25 10.7 13 163.7 108
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30 120 Southern Miss. 0 at  17 Mississippi St. 49 183 97.7%
2014/09/06 100 UAB 34 at  28 Mississippi St. 47 199 96.2%
2014/09/13  32 Mississippi St. 35 at  79 South Alabama 3 178 84.6%
2014/09/20  27 Mississippi St. 34 at   3 LSU 29 176 25.4%
2014/10/04  11 Texas A&M 31 at  21 Mississippi St. 48 199 30.5%
2014/10/11   6 Auburn 23 at  21 Mississippi St. 38 188 36.6%
2014/10/25  16 Mississippi St. 45 at  66 Kentucky 31 188 76.7%
2014/11/01  18 Arkansas 10 at  19 Mississippi St. 17 168 50.6%
2014/11/15  18 Mississippi St. 20 at   1 Alabama 31 159 21.7%
2014/11/22  86 Vanderbilt 14 at  18 Mississippi St. 38 162 87.8%
2014/11/29  18 Mississippi St. 21 at   2 Mississippi 28 164 23.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-22.0
Most difficult game left: November 15, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 21.7%


One-Loss Hopefuls

Odds as of games through 2014-11-09


Oregon Ducks
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.791 16 0.531 50 25.6 5 13.9 43 177.6 2
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/09/06   4 Michigan St. 27 at   7 Oregon 46 184 56.5%
2014/09/13  95 Wyoming 14 at   9 Oregon 48 161 94.9%
2014/09/20   8 Oregon 38 at  77 Washington St. 31 175 87.7%
2014/10/02  40 Arizona 31 at  15 Oregon 24 187 76.1%
2014/10/11  20 Oregon 42 at  28 UCLA 30 186 36.2%
2014/10/18  26 Washington 20 at  17 Oregon 45 181 59.3%
2014/10/24  15 Oregon 59 vs  76 California 41 205 86.0%
2014/11/01   8 Stanford 16 at  17 Oregon 45 172 58.9%
2014/11/08  16 Oregon 51 at  40 Utah 27 173 68.0%
2014/11/22  88 Colorado 21 at  16 Oregon 48 173 88.0%
2014/11/29  16 Oregon 38 at  62 Oregon St. 24 174 78.6%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 69.2%
Most difficult game left: November 29, at Oregon State Beavers, 78.6%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.839 8 0.524 59 27.6 2 11.3 17 161.2 120
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30   9 Ohio St. 34 at  62 Navy 17 143 85.5%
2014/09/06  56 Virginia Tech 35 at  10 Ohio St. 21 179 79.2%
2014/09/13 103 Kent St. 0 at  23 Ohio St. 66 175 94.0%
2014/09/27  40 Cincinnati 28 at  14 Ohio St. 50 181 63.8%
2014/10/04   8 Ohio St. 52 at  52 Maryland 24 168 86.4%
2014/10/18  53 Rutgers 17 at   8 Ohio St. 56 160 83.5%
2014/10/25   7 Ohio St. 31 at  46 Penn State 24 189 81.7%
2014/11/01  81 Illinois 14 at   7 Ohio St. 55 171 93.8%
2014/11/08   8 Ohio St. 49 at  12 Michigan St. 37 176 42.8%
2014/11/15   8 Ohio St. 31 at  55 Minnesota 21 163 86.5%
2014/11/22  73 Indiana 17 at   8 Ohio St. 48 166 91.2%
2014/11/29  49 Michigan 17 at   8 Ohio St. 38 163 83.4%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 65.8%
Most difficult game left: November 29, vs Michigan Wolverines, 83.4%


TCU Horned Frogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.844 7 0.481 78 24.4 11 9.8 5 169.2 43
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/09/13  56 Minnesota 7 at  41 TCU 30 170 57.2%
2014/09/27  23 TCU 56 at 111 SMU 0 187 86.5%
2014/10/04  13 Oklahoma 33 at  14 TCU 37 191 30.6%
2014/10/11   9 TCU 58 at   5 Baylor 61 242 44.6%
2014/10/18  25 Oklahoma St. 9 at  10 TCU 42 176 58.2%
2014/10/25  72 Texas Tech 27 at   6 TCU 82 190 88.7%
2014/11/01   4 TCU 31 at  45 West Virginia 30 186 87.3%
2014/11/08  15 Kansas St. 20 at   7 TCU 41 171 66.6%
2014/11/15   7 TCU 42 at 108 Kansas 14 170 96.5%
2014/11/27   7 TCU 31 at  26 Texas 24 169 72.2%
2014/12/06  48 Iowa St. 20 at   7 TCU 42 170 81.8%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 57.0%
Most difficult game left: November 27, at Texas Longhorns, 72.2%


Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.904 1 0.553 11 24.8 10 7.5 2 156.2 128
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30  70 West Virginia 23 vs   2 Alabama 33 178 96.6%
2014/09/06 112 FL-Atlantic 0 at   2 Alabama 41 133 98.6%
2014/09/13 122 Southern Miss. 12 at   2 Alabama 52 153 99.0%
2014/09/20  21 Florida 21 at   2 Alabama 42 170 66.2%
2014/10/04   1 Alabama 17 at   3 Mississippi 23 167 54.9%
2014/10/11   1 Alabama 14 at  19 Arkansas 13 158 67.3%
2014/10/18  14 Texas A&M 0 at   1 Alabama 59 160 63.9%
2014/10/25   1 Alabama 34 at  31 Tennessee 20 169 82.6%
2014/11/08   1 Alabama 20 at   4 LSU 13 187 68.5%
2014/11/15  18 Mississippi St. 20 at   1 Alabama 31 159 78.3%
2014/11/29  14 Auburn 21 at   1 Alabama 31 158 72.6%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 56.8%
Most difficult game left: November 29, vs Auburn Tigers, 72.6%


Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.826 11 0.558 6 26.2 4 11.4 18 177.0 4
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/31  72 SMU 0 at   6 Baylor 45 192 90.5%
2014/09/12   3 Baylor 63 at  91 Buffalo 21 180 92.9%
2014/09/27  11 Baylor 49 at  41 Iowa St. 28 206 85.1%
2014/10/04   6 Baylor 28 at  30 Texas 7 184 68.1%
2014/10/11   9 TCU 58 at   5 Baylor 61 242 55.4%
2014/10/18   5 Baylor 27 at  61 West Virginia 41 209 89.1%
2014/11/01 111 Kansas 14 at  12 Baylor 60 172 96.8%
2014/11/08  11 Baylor 48 at  13 Oklahoma 14 185 47.4%
2014/11/22  38 Oklahoma St. 24 at  11 Baylor 41 176 75.6%
2014/11/29  11 Baylor 48 vs  75 Texas Tech 24 178 89.0%
2014/12/06  15 Kansas St. 27 at  11 Baylor 34 170 52.7%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 35.5%
Most difficult game left: December 6, vs Kansas State Wildcats, 52.7%


Arizona State Sun Devils
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.706 25 0.540 35 22.4 17 14.3 47 175.0 7
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/09/06  22 Arizona St. 58 at 109 New Mexico 23 168 94.3%
2014/09/13  24 Arizona St. 38 at 109 Colorado 24 181 93.1%
2014/09/25  32 UCLA 62 at  30 Arizona St. 27 191 61.5%
2014/10/04  37 Arizona St. 38 at  25 USC 34 196 49.5%
2014/10/18   7 Stanford 10 at  34 Arizona St. 26 166 16.0%
2014/10/25  30 Arizona St. 24 at  28 Washington 10 168 38.3%
2014/11/01  34 Utah 16 at  26 Arizona St. 19 183 56.9%
2014/11/08  23 Notre Dame 31 at  25 Arizona St. 55 181 58.7%
2014/11/15  25 Arizona St. 35 at  62 Oregon St. 27 173 71.0%
2014/11/22  71 Washington St. 24 at  25 Arizona St. 42 174 78.2%
2014/11/28  25 Arizona St. 29 at  36 Arizona 28 173 57.3%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 31.8%
Most difficult game left: November 28, at Arizona Wildcats, 57.3%


Duke Blue Devils
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.601 44 0.530 51 17.8 44 13.6 38 168.4 56
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/09/06  52 Duke 34 at 110 Troy 17 186 77.4%
2014/09/13 107 Kansas 3 at  51 Duke 41 175 81.6%
2014/09/20  90 Tulane 13 at  45 Duke 47 193 82.3%
2014/09/27  43 Duke 10 at  45 Miami-FL 22 185 48.9%
2014/10/11  49 Duke 31 at  42 Georgia Tech 25 168 45.9%
2014/10/18  52 Virginia 13 at  41 Duke 20 172 54.1%
2014/11/01  40 Duke 51 at  71 Pittsburgh 48 175 38.1%
2014/11/08  44 Duke 27 at  59 Syracuse 10 165 45.5%
2014/11/15  57 Virginia Tech 21 at  44 Duke 28 164 58.5%
2014/11/20  60 North Carolina 24 at  44 Duke 34 167 59.8%
2014/11/29 105 Wake Forest 13 at  44 Duke 35 168 83.1%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 29.1%
Most difficult game left: November 15, vs Virginia Tech Hokies, 58.5%


Nebraska Cornhuskers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.772 19 0.535 44 22.0 18 11.9 20 168.0 61
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30 107 FL-Atlantic 7 at  37 Nebraska 55 180 90.3%
2014/09/13  27 Nebraska 55 at  73 Fresno St. 19 192 67.7%
2014/09/20  46 Miami-FL 31 at  23 Nebraska 41 156 70.6%
2014/09/27  82 Illinois 14 at  25 Nebraska 45 183 84.0%
2014/10/04  23 Nebraska 22 at   9 Michigan St. 27 191 34.6%
2014/10/18  22 Nebraska 38 at  63 Northwestern 17 179 74.7%
2014/10/25  59 Rutgers 24 at  23 Nebraska 42 153 74.6%
2014/11/01  92 Purdue 14 at  20 Nebraska 35 176 90.9%
2014/11/15  19 Nebraska 21 at   5 Wisconsin 34 164 37.6%
2014/11/22  55 Minnesota 20 at  19 Nebraska 31 166 78.9%
2014/11/28  19 Nebraska 28 at  28 Iowa 27 166 63.4%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 18.8%
Most difficult game left: November 15, at Wisconsin Badgers, 37.6%


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