Tuesday, November 18, 2014

Week 13: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2014-11-16

Legitimate Title Contenders

Marshall Thundering Herd
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.798 18 0.258 127 23.6 12 14.1 36 174.5 39
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30  53 Marshall 42 at 124 Miami-OH 27 186 97.3%
2014/09/13 104 Ohio 14 at  73 Marshall 44 178 84.7%
2014/09/20  59 Marshall 48 at 116 Akron 17 189 87.6%
2014/10/04  39 Marshall 56 at  83 Old Dominion 14 167 70.0%
2014/10/11  84 Middle Tenn. 24 at  29 Marshall 49 191 88.2%
2014/10/18  31 Marshall 45 at 101 FIU 13 167 86.1%
2014/10/25 101 FL-Atlantic 16 at  22 Marshall 35 176 95.2%
2014/11/08  23 Marshall 63 at 114 Southern Miss. 17 159 92.3%
2014/11/15  64 Rice 14 at  21 Marshall 41 164 80.9%
2014/11/22  18 Marshall 40 at  90 UAB 27 173 89.1%
2014/11/28  82 Western Kentucky 28 at  18 Marshall 40 175 86.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 77.1%
Most difficult game left: November 28, vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, 86.5%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.865 7 0.576 44 26.5 6 13.2 20 168.6 69
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30   1 Florida St. 37 vs  10 Oklahoma St. 31 174 83.8%
2014/09/20  28 Clemson 17 at   1 Florida St. 23 170 93.6%
2014/09/27   2 Florida St. 56 at  48 North Carolina St. 41 191 89.7%
2014/10/04  97 Wake Forest 3 at   3 Florida St. 43 163 98.5%
2014/10/11   3 Florida St. 38 at  64 Syracuse 20 162 91.4%
2014/10/18  15 Notre Dame 27 at   3 Florida St. 31 172 77.2%
2014/10/30   4 Florida St. 42 at  11 Louisville 31 177 47.7%
2014/11/08  63 Virginia 20 at   5 Florida St. 34 169 92.1%
2014/11/15   7 Florida St. 30 at  24 Miami-FL 26 158 65.1%
2014/11/22  57 Boston College 25 at   7 Florida St. 35 163 84.4%
2014/11/29  29 Florida 25 at   7 Florida St. 32 168 72.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 61.0%
Most difficult game left: November 29, vs Florida Gators, 72.3%



One-Loss Hopefuls
Odds as of games through 2014-11-16

Oregon Ducks
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.859 9 0.586 40 28.7 1 14.5 40 175.1 36
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/09/06   4 Michigan St. 27 at   6 Oregon 46 184 56.8%
2014/09/13 105 Wyoming 14 at   5 Oregon 48 161 98.6%
2014/09/20   7 Oregon 38 at  77 Washington St. 31 175 90.4%
2014/10/02  41 Arizona 31 at  13 Oregon 24 187 85.3%
2014/10/11  18 Oregon 42 at  23 UCLA 30 186 47.8%
2014/10/18  26 Washington 20 at  18 Oregon 45 181 71.5%
2014/10/24  15 Oregon 59 vs  80 California 41 205 90.2%
2014/11/01  19 Stanford 16 at  20 Oregon 45 172 51.8%
2014/11/08  14 Oregon 51 at  40 Utah 27 173 73.3%
2014/11/22  93 Colorado 27 at   9 Oregon 44 176 92.9%
2014/11/29   9 Oregon 40 at  69 Oregon St. 27 172 88.6%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 82.3%
Most difficult game left: November 29, at Oregon State Beavers, 88.6%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.874 6 0.557 49 28.2 2 13.6 29 169.4 64
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30  11 Ohio St. 34 vs  46 Navy 17 143 76.4%
2014/09/06  53 Virginia Tech 35 at  11 Ohio St. 21 179 89.4%
2014/09/13  99 Kent St. 0 at  26 Ohio St. 66 175 94.9%
2014/09/27  55 Cincinnati 28 at  16 Ohio St. 50 181 88.7%
2014/10/04  17 Ohio St. 52 at  54 Maryland 24 168 74.8%
2014/10/18  61 Rutgers 17 at  14 Ohio St. 56 160 89.3%
2014/10/25   9 Ohio St. 31 at  43 Penn State 24 189 72.9%
2014/11/01  81 Illinois 14 at   9 Ohio St. 55 171 92.3%
2014/11/08   8 Ohio St. 49 at  13 Michigan St. 37 176 48.4%
2014/11/15   8 Ohio St. 31 at  39 Minnesota 24 153 77.1%
2014/11/22  95 Indiana 25 at   6 Ohio St. 43 173 93.8%
2014/11/29  51 Michigan 23 at   6 Ohio St. 33 161 83.1%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 77.9%
Most difficult game left: November 29, vs Michigan Wolverines, 83.1%


Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.942 1 0.681 9 24.9 10 8.7 2 160.0 113
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30  83 West Virginia 23 vs   2 Alabama 33 178 97.0%
2014/09/06  99 FL-Atlantic 0 at   2 Alabama 41 133 99.0%
2014/09/13 123 Southern Miss. 12 at   1 Alabama 52 153 99.9%
2014/09/20  20 Florida 21 at   2 Alabama 42 170 88.6%
2014/10/04   1 Alabama 17 at   6 Mississippi 23 167 62.8%
2014/10/11   1 Alabama 14 at  28 Arkansas 13 158 81.4%
2014/10/18  16 Texas A&M 0 at   1 Alabama 59 160 83.0%
2014/10/25   1 Alabama 34 at  48 Tennessee 20 169 90.4%
2014/11/08   1 Alabama 20 at   4 LSU 13 187 64.9%
2014/11/15  10 Mississippi St. 20 at   1 Alabama 25 179 77.5%
2014/11/29   8 Auburn 28 at   1 Alabama 31 163 72.6%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 72.6%
Most difficult game left: November 29, vs Auburn Tigers, 72.6%


TCU Horned Frogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.839 13 0.575 45 25.0 9 13.5 27 182.2 11
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/09/13  61 Minnesota 7 at  42 TCU 30 170 76.0%
2014/09/27  25 TCU 56 at 120 SMU 0 187 96.0%
2014/10/04   8 Oklahoma 33 at   7 TCU 37 191 60.0%
2014/10/11   6 TCU 58 at   5 Baylor 61 242 37.5%
2014/10/18  27 Oklahoma St. 9 at   8 TCU 42 176 81.8%
2014/10/25  77 Texas Tech 27 at   6 TCU 82 190 95.7%
2014/11/01   7 TCU 31 at  34 West Virginia 30 186 76.5%
2014/11/08  10 Kansas St. 20 at  11 TCU 41 171 53.9%
2014/11/15   5 TCU 34 at 110 Kansas 30 174 96.4%
2014/11/27  13 TCU 32 at  38 Texas 24 175 73.6%
2014/12/06  86 Iowa St. 27 at  13 TCU 42 184 90.6%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 66.7%
Most difficult game left: November 27, at Texas Longhorns, 73.6%


Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.886 4 0.514 61 27.1 4 12.5 15 191.7 1
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/31  82 SMU 0 at   7 Baylor 45 192 90.3%
2014/09/12   3 Baylor 63 at  79 Buffalo 21 180 91.8%
2014/09/27   5 Baylor 49 at  60 Iowa St. 28 206 84.9%
2014/10/04  10 Baylor 28 at  25 Texas 7 184 59.8%
2014/10/11   6 TCU 58 at   5 Baylor 61 242 62.5%
2014/10/18   7 Baylor 27 at  54 West Virginia 41 209 80.5%
2014/11/01 119 Kansas 14 at  10 Baylor 60 172 97.7%
2014/11/08  15 Baylor 48 at   6 Oklahoma 14 185 39.3%
2014/11/22  67 Oklahoma St. 26 at   4 Baylor 40 183 90.5%
2014/11/29   4 Baylor 45 vs  81 Texas Tech 28 188 92.7%
2014/12/06  15 Kansas St. 31 at   4 Baylor 35 174 62.2%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 52.2%
Most difficult game left: December 6, vs Kansas State Wildcats, 62.2%


Mississippi State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.851 10 0.658 15 21.6 21 11.2 7 179.1 20
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30 120 Southern Miss. 0 at  29 Mississippi St. 49 183 97.0%
2014/09/06 104 UAB 34 at  16 Mississippi St. 47 199 97.2%
2014/09/13  21 Mississippi St. 35 at  62 South Alabama 3 178 71.1%
2014/09/20  11 Mississippi St. 34 at   3 LSU 29 176 26.1%
2014/10/04  12 Texas A&M 31 at   9 Mississippi St. 48 199 63.7%
2014/10/11   2 Auburn 23 at  10 Mississippi St. 38 188 42.4%
2014/10/25   5 Mississippi St. 45 at  68 Kentucky 31 188 86.6%
2014/11/01  27 Arkansas 10 at   8 Mississippi St. 17 168 77.9%
2014/11/15  10 Mississippi St. 20 at   1 Alabama 25 179 22.5%
2014/11/22  97 Vanderbilt 20 at  10 Mississippi St. 33 168 93.2%
2014/11/29  10 Mississippi St. 26 at   2 Mississippi 27 173 33.9%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 31.6%
Most difficult game left: November 29, at Mississippi Rebels, 33.9%


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