Tuesday, November 25, 2014

Week 14: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2014-11-23

Legitimate Title Contenders

Marshall Thundering Herd
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.718 26 0.470 86 19.9 29 13.2 32 169.7 34
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30  56 Marshall 42 at 125 Miami-OH 27 186 95.8%
2014/09/13 119 Ohio 14 at  49 Marshall 44 178 94.4%
2014/09/20  53 Marshall 48 at 110 Akron 17 189 79.1%
2014/10/04  45 Marshall 56 at  91 Old Dominion 14 167 69.2%
2014/10/11  85 Middle Tenn. 24 at  32 Marshall 49 191 69.6%
2014/10/18  30 Marshall 45 at 114 FIU 13 167 91.7%
2014/10/25  96 FL-Atlantic 16 at  29 Marshall 35 176 89.7%
2014/11/08  29 Marshall 63 at 120 Southern Miss. 17 159 93.3%
2014/11/15  75 Rice 14 at  29 Marshall 41 164 77.7%
2014/11/22  26 Marshall 23 at  85 UAB 18 189 79.1%
2014/11/28  68 Western Kentucky 21 at  26 Marshall 38 165 78.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 78.2%
Most difficult game left: November 28, vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, 78.2%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.856 5 0.540 35 25.2 6 10.7 11 165.7 86
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30   1 Florida St. 37 vs  14 Oklahoma St. 31 174 85.7%
2014/09/20  25 Clemson 17 at   1 Florida St. 23 170 82.6%
2014/09/27   1 Florida St. 56 at  77 North Carolina St. 41 191 96.9%
2014/10/04  90 Wake Forest 3 at   5 Florida St. 43 163 97.7%
2014/10/11   2 Florida St. 38 at  57 Syracuse 20 162 88.1%
2014/10/18  21 Notre Dame 27 at   3 Florida St. 31 172 68.5%
2014/10/30   3 Florida St. 42 at  22 Louisville 31 177 31.2%
2014/11/08  66 Virginia 20 at   3 Florida St. 34 169 88.2%
2014/11/15   3 Florida St. 30 at  28 Miami-FL 26 158 79.7%
2014/11/22  56 Boston College 17 at   5 Florida St. 20 143 87.5%
2014/11/29  18 Florida 20 at   5 Florida St. 35 163 66.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 66.2%
Most difficult game left: November 29, vs Florida Gators, 66.2%



One-Loss Hopefuls
Odds as of games through 2014-11-23

Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.850 7 0.523 59 26.8 2 12.1 20 161.2 120
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30   9 Ohio St. 34 vs  62 Navy 17 143 85.5%
2014/09/06  56 Virginia Tech 35 at  10 Ohio St. 21 179 79.2%
2014/09/13 103 Kent St. 0 at  23 Ohio St. 66 175 94.0%
2014/09/27  40 Cincinnati 28 at  14 Ohio St. 50 181 63.8%
2014/10/04   8 Ohio St. 52 at  52 Maryland 24 168 86.4%
2014/10/18  53 Rutgers 17 at   8 Ohio St. 56 160 83.5%
2014/10/25   7 Ohio St. 31 at  46 Penn State 24 189 81.7%
2014/11/01  81 Illinois 14 at   7 Ohio St. 55 171 93.8%
2014/11/08   8 Ohio St. 49 at  12 Michigan St. 37 176 42.8%
2014/11/15   7 Ohio St. 31 at  39 Minnesota 24 153 86.5%
2014/11/22  78 Indiana 27 at   7 Ohio St. 42 168 91.3%
2014/11/29  50 Michigan 17 at   7 Ohio St. 38 163 83.9%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 83.9%
Most difficult game left: November 29, vs Michigan Wolverines, 83.9%


Oregon Ducks
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.789 15 0.530 52 25.5 4 12.8 29 177.5 2
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/09/06   4 Michigan St. 27 at   7 Oregon 46 184 56.5%
2014/09/13  95 Wyoming 14 at   9 Oregon 48 161 94.9%
2014/09/20   8 Oregon 38 at  77 Washington St. 31 175 87.7%
2014/10/02  40 Arizona 31 at  15 Oregon 24 187 76.1%
2014/10/11  20 Oregon 42 at  28 UCLA 30 186 36.2%
2014/10/18  26 Washington 20 at  17 Oregon 45 181 59.3%
2014/10/24  15 Oregon 59 vs  76 California 41 205 86.0%
2014/11/01   8 Stanford 16 at  17 Oregon 45 172 58.9%
2014/11/08  16 Oregon 51 at  40 Utah 27 173 68.0%
2014/11/22  88 Colorado 10 at  15 Oregon 44 168 88.0%
2014/11/29  15 Oregon 38 at  59 Oregon St. 24 174 78.9%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 78.9%
Most difficult game left: November 29, at Oregon State Beavers, 78.9%


Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.910 1 0.551 13 24.5 10 7.6 1 156.3 128
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30  70 West Virginia 23 vs   2 Alabama 33 178 96.6%
2014/09/06 112 FL-Atlantic 0 at   2 Alabama 41 133 98.6%
2014/09/13 122 Southern Miss. 12 at   2 Alabama 52 153 99.0%
2014/09/20  21 Florida 21 at   2 Alabama 42 170 66.2%
2014/10/04   1 Alabama 17 at   3 Mississippi 23 167 54.9%
2014/10/11   1 Alabama 14 at  19 Arkansas 13 158 67.3%
2014/10/18  14 Texas A&M 0 at   1 Alabama 59 160 63.9%
2014/10/25   1 Alabama 34 at  31 Tennessee 20 169 82.6%
2014/11/08   1 Alabama 20 at   4 LSU 13 187 68.5%
2014/11/15  17 Mississippi St. 20 at   1 Alabama 25 179 78.3%
2014/11/29  10 Auburn 20 at   1 Alabama 31 158 73.7%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 73.7%
Most difficult game left: November 29, vs Auburn Tigers, 73.7%


TCU Horned Frogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.856 3 0.480 79 23.1 13 11.7 18 169.3 42
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/09/13  56 Minnesota 7 at  41 TCU 30 170 57.2%
2014/09/27  23 TCU 56 at 111 SMU 0 187 86.5%
2014/10/04  13 Oklahoma 33 at  14 TCU 37 191 30.6%
2014/10/11   9 TCU 58 at   5 Baylor 61 242 44.6%
2014/10/18  25 Oklahoma St. 9 at  10 TCU 42 176 58.2%
2014/10/25  72 Texas Tech 27 at   6 TCU 82 190 88.7%
2014/11/01   4 TCU 31 at  45 West Virginia 30 186 87.3%
2014/11/08  15 Kansas St. 20 at   7 TCU 41 171 66.6%
2014/11/15   5 TCU 34 at  97 Kansas 30 174 96.5%
2014/11/27   3 TCU 31 at  24 Texas 24 169 71.1%
2014/12/06  81 Iowa St. 17 at   3 TCU 45 170 92.8%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 66.0%
Most difficult game left: November 27, at Texas Longhorns, 71.1%


Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.834 9 0.557 6 26.4 3 11.6 16 177.1 4
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/31  72 SMU 0 at   6 Baylor 45 192 90.5%
2014/09/12   3 Baylor 63 at  91 Buffalo 21 180 92.9%
2014/09/27  11 Baylor 49 at  41 Iowa St. 28 206 85.1%
2014/10/04   6 Baylor 28 at  30 Texas 7 184 68.1%
2014/10/11   9 TCU 58 at   5 Baylor 61 242 55.4%
2014/10/18   5 Baylor 27 at  61 West Virginia 41 209 89.1%
2014/11/01 111 Kansas 14 at  12 Baylor 60 172 96.8%
2014/11/08  11 Baylor 48 at  13 Oklahoma 14 185 47.4%
2014/11/22  48 Oklahoma St. 28 at   9 Baylor 49 189 78.3%
2014/11/29   9 Baylor 48 vs  73 Texas Tech 24 178 90.1%
2014/12/06  13 Kansas St. 24 at   9 Baylor 34 171 57.8%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 52.1%
Most difficult game left: December 6, vs Kansas State Wildcats, 57.8%


Mississippi State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.788 16 0.554 10 21.6 19 9.5 6 163.8 107
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30 120 Southern Miss. 0 at  17 Mississippi St. 49 183 97.7%
2014/09/06 100 UAB 34 at  28 Mississippi St. 47 199 96.2%
2014/09/13  32 Mississippi St. 35 at  79 South Alabama 3 178 84.6%
2014/09/20  27 Mississippi St. 34 at   3 LSU 29 176 25.4%
2014/10/04  11 Texas A&M 31 at  21 Mississippi St. 48 199 30.5%
2014/10/11   6 Auburn 23 at  21 Mississippi St. 38 188 36.6%
2014/10/25  16 Mississippi St. 45 at  66 Kentucky 31 188 76.7%
2014/11/01  18 Arkansas 10 at  19 Mississippi St. 17 168 50.6%
2014/11/15  17 Mississippi St. 20 at   1 Alabama 25 179 21.7%
2014/11/22  86 Vanderbilt 0 at  16 Mississippi St. 51 165 88.6%
2014/11/29  16 Mississippi St. 21 at   2 Mississippi 27 164 26.7%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 26.7%
Most difficult game left: November 29, at Mississippi Rebels, 26.7%


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