Tuesday, December 2, 2014

Week 15: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2014-11-30

Absolute Phonies

Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.839 11 0.568 46 24.2 12 13.0 18 166.6 79
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30   1 Florida St. 37 vs  10 Oklahoma St. 31 174 83.8%
2014/09/20  28 Clemson 17 at   1 Florida St. 23 170 93.6%
2014/09/27   2 Florida St. 56 at  48 North Carolina St. 41 191 89.7%
2014/10/04  97 Wake Forest 3 at   3 Florida St. 43 163 98.5%
2014/10/11   3 Florida St. 38 at  64 Syracuse 20 162 91.4%
2014/10/18  15 Notre Dame 27 at   3 Florida St. 31 172 77.2%
2014/10/30   4 Florida St. 42 at  11 Louisville 31 177 47.7%
2014/11/08  63 Virginia 20 at   5 Florida St. 34 169 92.1%
2014/11/15   7 Florida St. 30 at  24 Miami-FL 26 158 65.1%
2014/11/22  57 Boston College 17 at   7 Florida St. 20 143 84.6%
2014/11/29  28 Florida 19 at  11 Florida St. 24 158 70.6%
2014/12/06  11 Florida St. 32 vs  17 Georgia Tech 30 162 54.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 54.8%
Most difficult game left: December 6, vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 54.8%



One-Loss Hopefuls
Odds as of games through 2014-11-30

TCU Horned Frogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.865 5 0.561 49 26.3 5 13.1 19 181.8 11
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/09/13  61 Minnesota 7 at  42 TCU 30 170 76.0%
2014/09/27  25 TCU 56 at 120 SMU 0 187 96.0%
2014/10/04   8 Oklahoma 33 at   7 TCU 37 191 60.0%
2014/10/11   6 TCU 58 at   5 Baylor 61 242 37.5%
2014/10/18  27 Oklahoma St. 9 at   8 TCU 42 176 81.8%
2014/10/25  77 Texas Tech 27 at   6 TCU 82 190 95.7%
2014/11/01   7 TCU 31 at  34 West Virginia 30 186 76.5%
2014/11/08  10 Kansas St. 20 at  11 TCU 41 171 53.9%
2014/11/15   5 TCU 34 at 110 Kansas 30 174 96.4%
2014/11/27  15 TCU 48 at  39 Texas 10 167 72.8%
2014/12/06  92 Iowa St. 26 at   5 TCU 43 183 93.0%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 93.0%
Most difficult game left: December 6, vs Iowa State Cyclones, 93.0%


Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.934 1 0.699 6 26.1 6 9.6 2 162.4 105
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30  83 West Virginia 23 vs   2 Alabama 33 178 97.0%
2014/09/06  99 FL-Atlantic 0 at   2 Alabama 41 133 99.0%
2014/09/13 123 Southern Miss. 12 at   1 Alabama 52 153 99.9%
2014/09/20  20 Florida 21 at   2 Alabama 42 170 88.6%
2014/10/04   1 Alabama 17 at   6 Mississippi 23 167 62.8%
2014/10/11   1 Alabama 14 at  28 Arkansas 13 158 81.4%
2014/10/18  16 Texas A&M 0 at   1 Alabama 59 160 83.0%
2014/10/25   1 Alabama 34 at  48 Tennessee 20 169 90.4%
2014/11/08   1 Alabama 20 at   4 LSU 13 187 64.9%
2014/11/15  10 Mississippi St. 20 at   1 Alabama 25 179 77.5%
2014/11/29  10 Auburn 44 at   1 Alabama 55 178 73.1%
2014/12/06   1 Alabama 31 vs  18 Missouri 23 166 78.8%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 78.8%
Most difficult game left: December 6, vs Missouri Tigers, 78.8%


Oregon Ducks
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.865 7 0.542 59 27.5 3 13.7 25 174.9 36
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/09/06   4 Michigan St. 27 at   6 Oregon 46 184 56.8%
2014/09/13 105 Wyoming 14 at   5 Oregon 48 161 98.6%
2014/09/20   7 Oregon 38 at  77 Washington St. 31 175 90.4%
2014/10/02  41 Arizona 31 at  13 Oregon 24 187 85.3%
2014/10/11  18 Oregon 42 at  23 UCLA 30 186 47.8%
2014/10/18  26 Washington 20 at  18 Oregon 45 181 71.5%
2014/10/24  15 Oregon 59 vs  80 California 41 205 90.2%
2014/11/01  19 Stanford 16 at  20 Oregon 45 172 51.8%
2014/11/08  14 Oregon 51 at  40 Utah 27 173 73.3%
2014/11/22  95 Colorado 10 at   9 Oregon 44 168 93.1%
2014/11/29   7 Oregon 47 at  78 Oregon St. 19 172 91.4%
2014/12/05  27 Arizona 29 vs   7 Oregon 37 179 71.6%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 71.6%
Most difficult game left: December 5, vs Arizona Wildcats, 71.6%


Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.837 12 0.494 68 26.1 7 14.1 31 193.0 1
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/31  82 SMU 0 at   7 Baylor 45 192 90.3%
2014/09/12   3 Baylor 63 at  79 Buffalo 21 180 91.8%
2014/09/27   5 Baylor 49 at  60 Iowa St. 28 206 84.9%
2014/10/04  10 Baylor 28 at  25 Texas 7 184 59.8%
2014/10/11   6 TCU 58 at   5 Baylor 61 242 62.5%
2014/10/18   7 Baylor 27 at  54 West Virginia 41 209 80.5%
2014/11/01 119 Kansas 14 at  10 Baylor 60 172 97.7%
2014/11/08  15 Baylor 48 at   6 Oklahoma 14 185 39.3%
2014/11/22  67 Oklahoma St. 28 at   4 Baylor 49 189 90.5%
2014/11/29   6 Baylor 48 vs  79 Texas Tech 46 215 91.8%
2014/12/06  15 Kansas St. 33 at  12 Baylor 34 175 51.1%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 51.1%
Most difficult game left: December 6, vs Kansas State Wildcats, 51.1%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.853 9 0.543 57 28.0 1 14.4 34 169.8 63
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30  11 Ohio St. 34 vs  46 Navy 17 143 76.4%
2014/09/06  53 Virginia Tech 35 at  11 Ohio St. 21 179 89.4%
2014/09/13  99 Kent St. 0 at  26 Ohio St. 66 175 94.9%
2014/09/27  55 Cincinnati 28 at  16 Ohio St. 50 181 88.7%
2014/10/04  17 Ohio St. 52 at  54 Maryland 24 168 74.8%
2014/10/18  61 Rutgers 17 at  14 Ohio St. 56 160 89.3%
2014/10/25   9 Ohio St. 31 at  43 Penn State 24 189 72.9%
2014/11/01  81 Illinois 14 at   9 Ohio St. 55 171 92.3%
2014/11/08   8 Ohio St. 49 at  13 Michigan St. 37 176 48.4%
2014/11/15   8 Ohio St. 31 at  39 Minnesota 24 153 77.1%
2014/11/22  94 Indiana 27 at   6 Ohio St. 42 168 93.8%
2014/11/29  58 Michigan 28 at   8 Ohio St. 42 160 83.4%
2014/12/06   6 Wisconsin 32 vs   9 Ohio St. 31 162 47.5%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 47.5%
Most difficult game left: December 6, vs Wisconsin Badgers, 47.5%


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