Monday, September 28, 2015

Week 5: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.960 0.655 12 28.4 3 8.6 2 170.9 62
2 -- Ohio St.  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.930 0.507 65 26.7 4 10.1 7 169.0 69
3 -- Wisconsin  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.924 0.429 94 20.8 26 8.1 1 156.9 120
4 +2 West Virginia  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.904 0.568 41 20.5 30 8.8 4 182.3 13
5 +3 Baylor  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.898 0.454 83 28.8 2 12.7 20 186.3 6
6 +5 Clemson  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.897 0.652 13 20.7 28 9.2 5 175.2 43
7 +18 Michigan  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.885 0.522 58 18.6 44 8.7 3 154.2 125
8 +1 USC  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.874 0.480 74 24.7 8 11.9 16 173.3 55
9 -2 Georgia  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.862 0.507 64 29.9 1 15.0 44 162.7 107
10 -6 Florida St.  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.856 0.440 92 21.2 21 10.8 9 165.8 92
11 -1 Michigan St.  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.846 0.545 48 22.4 13 11.8 15 162.9 106
12 +7 Oklahoma  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.844 0.539 50 22.1 15 11.7 13 176.4 38
13 +4 Kansas St.  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.836 0.537 52 21.5 18 11.7 11 165.0 97
14 -9 LSU  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.827 0.669 9 23.0 12 12.7 22 159.0 117
15 -1 Stanford  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.825 0.626 19 20.9 24 11.7 12 160.9 112
16 -3 UCLA  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.825 0.513 63 21.2 20 11.8 14 177.6 33
17 -5 Mississippi  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.825 0.662 10 23.0 11 12.9 26 180.1 20
18 +3 Mississippi St.  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.820 0.618 22 16.9 58 9.5 6 175.6 42
19 -3 TCU  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.810 0.574 38 24.5 9 14.2 32 186.3 5
20 NA Utah  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.806 0.603 28 21.9 16 12.8 24 170.5 63
21 +1 Texas A&M  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.778 0.577 37 25.1 6 15.6 49 174.8 46
22 NA Florida  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.768 0.480 73 17.8 50 11.4 10 159.4 116
23 -5 Notre Dame  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.763 0.545 49 22.2 14 14.3 33 169.7 65
24 NA Louisville  ( 0 - 3 ) 0.762 0.710 5 20.8 27 13.4 28 167.9 75
25 -10 Oregon  ( 1 - 2 ) 0.759 0.590 32 24.8 7 16.1 56 183.4 11
Rankings through games of 2015-09-27

New entries: Utah, Florida, Louisville.

Dropped out: Georgia Tech, Nebraska, Northwestern.
Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 5: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Appalachian St. (0.290); Michigan (0.115); Oregon St. (0.103); Pittsburgh (0.102); Utah (0.101)

Biggest drops: BYU (-0.153); Virginia (-0.144); LA-Lafayette (-0.141); Old Dominion (-0.120); Marshall (-0.097)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 5: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.877 0.552 16 21.8 17 7.7 1 157.0 128
2 -- Mississippi  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.875 0.539 36 22.7 11 10.2 8 165.4 88
3 +1 LSU  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.866 0.550 18 21.7 18 11.5 17 160.4 124
4 -1 Ohio St.  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.844 0.529 54 23.3 10 9.8 4 161.5 117
5 +1 Georgia  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.833 0.545 27 27.4 2 11.6 20 161.0 121
6 +2 Auburn  ( 1 - 2 ) 0.819 0.558 5 22.1 16 9.8 5 160.6 123
7 +2 Kansas St.  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.810 0.538 38 22.1 15 11.2 14 165.2 91
8 +6 Florida St.  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.803 0.542 31 22.2 14 10.1 7 165.6 87
9 +1 USC  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.796 0.538 40 24.1 5 11.4 16 167.7 66
10 +3 Clemson  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.795 0.537 41 17.7 48 8.9 2 169.1 51
11 +4 Oklahoma  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.793 0.549 19 20.8 22 12.8 27 172.3 18
12 -7 TCU  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.791 0.481 78 23.9 8 14.1 42 169.8 40
13 -2 Baylor  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.791 0.555 9 27.9 1 13.1 29 177.3 5
14 +2 Stanford  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.790 0.549 20 18.6 41 10.6 11 166.0 85
15 -8 Wisconsin  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.788 0.536 44 20.6 25 10.3 9 161.2 119
16 -4 Oregon  ( 1 - 2 ) 0.780 0.535 49 24.1 6 16.3 67 177.8 3
17 +2 Michigan St.  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.778 0.542 33 22.6 12 12.2 24 166.4 79
18 NA West Virginia  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.768 0.539 35 20.3 30 10.0 6 170.3 34
19 +3 Florida  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.763 0.559 4 20.2 31 11.1 12 161.3 118
20 +1 UCLA  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.760 0.549 21 19.7 34 11.2 15 170.5 30
21 +2 Mississippi St.  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.757 0.556 8 18.4 43 10.3 10 164.1 105
22 -2 Texas A&M  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.756 0.548 23 24.2 4 13.3 33 174.0 12
23 -6 Georgia Tech  ( 1 - 2 ) 0.753 0.536 45 23.8 9 15.3 53 163.1 113
24 NA Utah  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.727 0.489 71 20.5 26 13.2 32 166.9 75
25 NA Oklahoma St.  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.718 0.556 7 20.1 32 13.1 30 175.6 7
Rankings through games of 2015-09-27

New entries: West Virginia, Utah, Oklahoma St..

Dropped out: Arkansas, Nebraska, Boise St..
Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 5: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: Ohio (0.354); West Virginia (0.163); Oklahoma St. (0.104); Penn State (0.096); Massachusetts (0.093)

Biggest drops: Illinois (-0.119); Arkansas (-0.104); Old Dominion (-0.101); Rutgers (-0.097); UCF (-0.093)

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, September 26, 2015

Week 4: Saturday In-Game Win Probabilities, SEC

Last updated: Sat Sep 26 22:59:09 2015

LA-Monroe0Alabama34Final
Texas A&M28Arkansas21Final
Mississippi St.17Auburn9Final
Tennessee27Florida28Final
Missouri13Kentucky21Final
Vanderbilt16Mississippi27Final
UCF14South Carolina31Final
LSU34Syracuse24Final

Week 4: Saturday In-Game Win Probabilities, Big XII

Last updated: Sat Sep 26 20:57:06 2015

Rice17Baylor70Final
Kansas14Rutgers27Final
TCU55Texas Tech52Final
Oklahoma St.30Texas27Final
Maryland6West Virginia45Final