Tuesday, October 27, 2015

Week 9: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2015-10-25

Second-Tier Hopefuls

Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.797 7 0.536 43 20.6 25 8.1 2 169.1 51
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  96 Appalachian St. 10 at  15 Clemson 41 184 90.8%
2015/09/17  13 Clemson 20 at  26 Louisville 17 161 62.1%
2015/10/03  23 Notre Dame 22 at   8 Clemson 24 162 69.4%
2015/10/10  38 Georgia Tech 24 at  11 Clemson 43 158 63.4%
2015/10/17  65 Boston College 17 at   6 Clemson 34 171 77.0%
2015/10/24   7 Clemson 58 at  48 Miami-FL 0 179 76.5%
2015/10/31   7 Clemson 31 at  54 North Carolina St. 17 168 77.8%
2015/11/07  10 Florida St. 24 at   7 Clemson 31 167 52.5%
2015/11/14   7 Clemson 31 at  85 Syracuse 17 166 90.1%
2015/11/21 104 Wake Forest 10 at   7 Clemson 38 168 94.4%
2015/11/28   7 Clemson 35 at  55 South Carolina 24 163 78.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 27.2%
Most difficult game left: November 7, vs Florida State Seminoles, 52.5%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.827 3 0.528 53 24.4 3 10.3 9 161.6 118
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/07   7 Ohio St. 42 at  57 Virginia Tech 24 154 86.1%
2015/09/12  91 Hawaii 0 at   8 Ohio St. 38 171 94.5%
2015/09/19  74 Northern Ill. 13 at   3 Ohio St. 20 170 89.2%
2015/09/26  88 Western Michigan 12 at   4 Ohio St. 38 177 91.1%
2015/10/03   2 Ohio St. 34 at  72 Indiana 27 190 89.6%
2015/10/10  88 Maryland 28 at   3 Ohio St. 49 176 92.8%
2015/10/17  45 Penn State 10 at   5 Ohio St. 38 147 80.0%
2015/10/24   3 Ohio St. 49 at  72 Rutgers 7 149 87.1%
2015/11/07  64 Minnesota 17 at   3 Ohio St. 38 163 85.3%
2015/11/14   3 Ohio St. 35 at  70 Illinois 17 165 87.8%
2015/11/21  20 Michigan St. 24 at   3 Ohio St. 35 163 66.0%
2015/11/28   3 Ohio St. 34 at   5 Michigan 27 163 52.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 26.0%
Most difficult game left: November 28, at Michigan Wolverines, 52.7%


Toledo Rockets
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.676 37 0.446 110 17.0 56 12.5 26 169.6 44
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  66 Toledo 16 vs   7 Arkansas 12 169 13.9%
2015/09/19  85 Iowa St. 23 at  49 Toledo 30 188 59.8%
2015/09/26  89 Arkansas St. 7 at  50 Toledo 37 186 83.2%
2015/10/03  44 Toledo 24 at  90 Ball St. 10 163 75.4%
2015/10/10 115 Kent St. 7 at  42 Toledo 38 177 89.3%
2015/10/17 116 Eastern Michigan 20 at  39 Toledo 63 177 88.9%
2015/10/24  37 Toledo 51 at 108 Massachusetts 35 215 87.9%
2015/11/03  65 Northern Ill. 20 at  37 Toledo 31 168 68.1%
2015/11/10  37 Toledo 31 at  73 Central Michigan 21 169 74.3%
2015/11/17  37 Toledo 35 at  67 Bowling Green 27 169 70.2%
2015/11/27  71 Western Michigan 24 at  37 Toledo 34 169 72.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 25.7%
Most difficult game left: November 3, vs Northern Illinois Huskies, 68.1%


Iowa Hawkeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.703 29 0.525 56 19.0 42 11.5 19 164.0 107
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  40 Iowa 31 at  83 Iowa St. 17 159 74.0%
2015/09/19  55 Pittsburgh 24 at  42 Iowa 27 150 58.7%
2015/09/26  98 North Texas 16 at  46 Iowa 62 185 80.5%
2015/10/03  36 Iowa 10 at  13 Wisconsin 6 157 26.3%
2015/10/10  70 Illinois 20 at  28 Iowa 29 178 78.7%
2015/10/17  30 Iowa 40 at  52 Northwestern 10 177 43.0%
2015/10/31  88 Maryland 17 at  29 Iowa 41 165 82.8%
2015/11/07  29 Iowa 35 at  76 Indiana 24 168 77.4%
2015/11/14  64 Minnesota 20 at  29 Iowa 31 164 70.6%
2015/11/21 106 Purdue 17 at  29 Iowa 41 168 87.9%
2015/11/27  29 Iowa 28 at  39 Nebraska 27 166 53.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 21.4%
Most difficult game left: November 27, at Nebraska Cornhuskers, 53.9%


Houston Cougars
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.683 35 0.469 86 20.1 33 12.8 28 177.5 5
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  45 Houston 34 at  25 Louisville 31 193 37.0%
2015/09/26 101 Texas State 14 at  44 Houston 59 188 82.8%
2015/10/03  33 Houston 38 at  86 Tulsa 24 213 80.4%
2015/10/08 106 SMU 28 at  36 Houston 49 167 87.6%
2015/10/16  37 Houston 42 at 104 Tulane 7 174 87.7%
2015/10/24  35 Houston 59 at  94 UCF 10 167 82.2%
2015/10/31  78 Vanderbilt 14 at  35 Houston 35 170 78.5%
2015/11/07  63 Cincinnati 24 at  35 Houston 38 173 68.8%
2015/11/14  40 Memphis 28 at  35 Houston 31 174 53.6%
2015/11/21  35 Houston 34 at  92 Connecticut 20 171 82.9%
2015/11/27  47 Navy 27 at  35 Houston 35 168 59.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 14.2%
Most difficult game left: November 14, vs Memphis Tigers, 53.6%


Long Shots

Michigan State Spartans
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.741 20 0.540 33 21.7 14 13.1 30 166.3 79
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/04   6 Michigan St. 37 at  96 Western Michigan 24 170 95.2%
2015/09/12   9 Oregon 28 at  14 Michigan St. 31 176 56.4%
2015/09/19  68 Air Force 21 at  19 Michigan St. 35 148 84.7%
2015/09/26  91 Central Michigan 10 at  17 Michigan St. 30 144 91.1%
2015/10/03  97 Purdue 21 at  15 Michigan St. 24 153 91.6%
2015/10/10  21 Michigan St. 31 at  78 Rutgers 24 155 86.4%
2015/10/17  22 Michigan St. 27 at   4 Michigan 23 159 43.9%
2015/10/24  76 Indiana 26 at  20 Michigan St. 52 184 80.7%
2015/11/07  20 Michigan St. 31 at  39 Nebraska 28 167 59.2%
2015/11/14  88 Maryland 17 at  20 Michigan St. 42 166 85.7%
2015/11/21  20 Michigan St. 24 at   3 Ohio St. 35 163 34.0%
2015/11/28  59 Penn State 20 at  20 Michigan St. 34 165 70.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 12.2%
Most difficult game left: November 21, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 34.0%


Temple Owls
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.657 42 0.483 76 15.5 68 11.0 12 162.7 115
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/05  51 Penn State 10 at  66 Temple 27 147 62.3%
2015/09/12  41 Temple 34 at  51 Cincinnati 26 168 35.2%
2015/09/19  36 Temple 25 at 122 Massachusetts 23 203 88.5%
2015/10/02  52 Temple 37 at 129 Charlotte 3 164 99.9%
2015/10/10 100 Tulane 10 at  46 Temple 49 150 90.9%
2015/10/17  95 UCF 16 at  40 Temple 30 159 73.4%
2015/10/22  42 Temple 24 at  62 East Carolina 14 181 38.1%
2015/10/31  21 Notre Dame 28 at  42 Temple 27 163 41.1%
2015/11/06  42 Temple 35 at 102 SMU 21 165 86.4%
2015/11/14  42 Temple 27 at  82 South Florida 20 164 77.9%
2015/11/21  40 Memphis 24 at  42 Temple 28 166 50.0%
2015/11/28  92 Connecticut 13 at  42 Temple 31 164 80.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 11.2%
Most difficult game left: October 31, vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 41.1%


Memphis Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.669 40 0.463 98 20.3 31 15.0 53 170.5 35
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  39 Memphis 55 at  97 Kansas 23 195 80.1%
2015/09/19  39 Memphis 44 at  76 Bowling Green 41 198 79.7%
2015/09/24  64 Cincinnati 46 at  48 Memphis 53 211 63.0%
2015/10/02  51 Memphis 24 at 116 South Florida 17 172 84.4%
2015/10/17   9 Mississippi 24 at  50 Memphis 37 199 23.3%
2015/10/23  40 Memphis 66 at  86 Tulsa 42 219 71.2%
2015/10/31 103 Tulane 17 at  40 Memphis 45 169 88.4%
2015/11/07  47 Navy 27 at  40 Memphis 35 164 55.8%
2015/11/14  40 Memphis 28 at  35 Houston 31 174 46.4%
2015/11/21  40 Memphis 24 at  42 Temple 28 166 50.0%
2015/11/28 102 SMU 21 at  40 Memphis 45 169 86.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-10.1
Most difficult game left: November 14, at Houston Cougars, 46.4%


Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.832 2 0.551 16 29.0 1 13.2 34 177.7 4
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/04  14 Baylor 56 at 127 SMU 21 176 98.0%
2015/09/26  79 Rice 17 at  13 Baylor 70 179 89.0%
2015/10/03  34 Texas Tech 35 vs   7 Baylor 63 200 66.7%
2015/10/10   5 Baylor 66 at 122 Kansas 7 184 96.0%
2015/10/17  19 West Virginia 38 at   2 Baylor 62 199 59.3%
2015/10/24  74 Iowa St. 27 at   2 Baylor 45 201 90.0%
2015/11/05   2 Baylor 45 at  26 Kansas St. 28 171 68.6%
2015/11/14  11 Oklahoma 34 at   2 Baylor 38 175 60.9%
2015/11/21   2 Baylor 38 at  22 Oklahoma St. 31 176 68.1%
2015/11/27   2 Baylor 34 at  12 TCU 38 173 36.9%
2015/12/05  60 Texas 17 at   2 Baylor 42 173 84.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-11.3
Most difficult game left: November 27, at TCU Horned Frogs, 36.9%


TCU Horned Frogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.780 12 0.483 77 25.2 2 13.7 37 169.9 40
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/03   4 TCU 23 at  42 Minnesota 17 191 82.3%
2015/09/19 106 SMU 37 at   5 TCU 56 179 98.2%
2015/09/26  12 TCU 55 at  33 Texas Tech 52 220 80.9%
2015/10/03  58 Texas 7 at  20 TCU 50 192 78.4%
2015/10/10  12 TCU 52 at  14 Kansas St. 45 165 58.5%
2015/10/17  13 TCU 45 at  72 Iowa St. 21 175 83.7%
2015/10/29  19 West Virginia 24 at  12 TCU 42 170 50.0%
2015/11/07  12 TCU 34 at  22 Oklahoma St. 31 172 55.4%
2015/11/14 116 Kansas 14 at  12 TCU 52 170 95.7%
2015/11/21  12 TCU 28 at  11 Oklahoma 35 171 47.7%
2015/11/27   2 Baylor 34 at  12 TCU 38 173 63.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-12.5
Most difficult game left: November 21, at Oklahoma Sooners, 47.7%


LSU Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.759 17 0.550 19 24.2 5 13.2 34 160.3 125
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12   5 LSU 21 at  22 Mississippi St. 19 174 35.2%
2015/09/19   8 Auburn 21 at   4 LSU 45 146 57.1%
2015/09/26   3 LSU 34 at  81 Syracuse 24 160 91.8%
2015/10/03 125 Eastern Michigan 22 at  11 LSU 44 147 98.3%
2015/10/10  53 South Carolina 24 at  19 LSU 45 157 71.2%
2015/10/17   3 Florida 28 at  15 LSU 35 150 59.9%
2015/10/24  50 Western Kentucky 20 at  17 LSU 48 175 70.3%
2015/11/07  17 LSU 21 at   1 Alabama 31 158 21.5%
2015/11/14  34 Arkansas 24 at  17 LSU 31 162 61.5%
2015/11/21  17 LSU 27 at  14 Mississippi 24 163 54.1%
2015/11/28  15 Texas A&M 24 at  17 LSU 34 167 54.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-25.8
Most difficult game left: November 7, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 21.5%


Oklahoma State Cowboys
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.731 22 0.554 11 21.7 14 12.4 25 175.8 7
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/03  40 Oklahoma St. 24 at  93 Central Michigan 13 165 84.7%
2015/09/19 105 UTSA 14 at  43 Oklahoma St. 69 179 78.9%
2015/09/26  25 Oklahoma St. 30 at  58 Texas 27 177 53.3%
2015/10/03   9 Kansas St. 34 at  30 Oklahoma St. 36 182 35.7%
2015/10/10  27 Oklahoma St. 33 at  20 West Virginia 26 215 34.4%
2015/10/24 116 Kansas 10 at  22 Oklahoma St. 58 174 95.1%
2015/10/31  22 Oklahoma St. 38 at  46 Texas Tech 34 178 64.4%
2015/11/07  12 TCU 34 at  22 Oklahoma St. 31 172 44.6%
2015/11/14  22 Oklahoma St. 41 at  74 Iowa St. 24 174 80.8%
2015/11/21   2 Baylor 38 at  22 Oklahoma St. 31 176 31.9%
2015/11/28  11 Oklahoma 34 at  22 Oklahoma St. 27 174 42.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-31.9
Most difficult game left: November 21, vs Baylor Bears, 31.9%


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