Monday, November 30, 2015

Week 14: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.948 0.685 3 25.0 4 8.4 1 167.4 81
2 -- Ohio St.  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.930 0.556 53 24.3 7 9.2 2 164.3 96
3 -- Oklahoma  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.900 0.563 50 25.6 1 11.2 9 175.8 40
4 +5 Michigan St.  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.847 0.594 31 22.7 15 11.9 13 160.5 112
5 -1 Clemson  ( 11 - 0 ) 0.844 0.583 37 23.3 13 12.3 15 176.3 37
6 +9 Florida St.  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.843 0.580 39 20.1 31 10.7 5 167.8 78
7 -2 Michigan  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.829 0.565 47 20.2 29 11.2 7 160.4 113
8 -2 Baylor  ( 8 - 2 ) 0.825 0.539 60 24.9 5 13.9 35 189.1 5
9 -1 Wisconsin  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.815 0.460 78 17.0 68 9.7 3 159.3 118
10 +1 Stanford  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.810 0.564 48 24.0 9 13.9 36 157.7 123
11 +3 Mississippi  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.808 0.647 9 22.2 18 12.9 20 181.2 22
12 +6 West Virginia  ( 6 - 4 ) 0.790 0.574 43 18.7 46 11.3 10 180.6 24
13 +3 Notre Dame  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.789 0.619 23 23.7 10 14.4 39 166.4 87
14 +3 North Carolina  ( 9 - 1 ) 0.785 0.535 61 23.7 11 14.6 45 177.6 29
15 -8 Florida  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.783 0.556 54 17.3 65 10.7 4 162.0 109
16 NA Washington  ( 5 - 6 ) 0.782 0.594 32 17.5 59 10.8 6 166.7 83
17 NA Arkansas  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.780 0.687 2 24.4 6 15.1 49 157.8 122
18 -8 Tennessee  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.779 0.610 25 22.7 14 14.2 38 176.8 34
19 -- Houston  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.774 0.390 96 20.3 28 12.8 19 176.1 39
20 -8 Navy  ( 8 - 2 ) 0.772 0.496 67 23.5 12 14.9 46 154.3 126
21 NA LSU  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.767 0.668 4 21.6 20 13.8 34 159.4 117
22 -- USC  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.767 0.601 28 21.3 22 13.6 30 170.3 64
23 -10 Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.761 0.660 6 20.6 25 13.4 24 173.9 48
24 -3 TCU  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.760 0.565 46 21.3 21 13.8 33 188.0 6
25 -1 Georgia  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.748 0.586 36 18.5 51 12.3 14 158.2 121
Rankings through games of 2015-11-29

New entries: Washington, Arkansas, LSU.

Dropped out: Oregon, UCLA, Iowa.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 14: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: New Mexico (0.092); Memphis (0.087); Southern Miss. (0.084); Akron (0.080); Middle Tenn. (0.066)

Biggest drops: Missouri (-0.074); Connecticut (-0.071); Penn State (-0.070); Air Force (-0.062); Washington St. (-0.059)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 14: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.913 0.555 9 20.5 27 6.4 1 157.3 127
2 -- Ohio St.  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.846 0.528 53 22.5 7 9.2 2 161.5 117
3 +1 Oklahoma  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.824 0.547 24 24.8 2 10.9 12 172.6 19
4 +2 Baylor  ( 8 - 2 ) 0.807 0.552 14 26.8 1 13.1 30 178.1 3
5 +4 Mississippi  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.805 0.540 36 22.3 11 10.9 14 166.1 81
6 +17 Washington  ( 5 - 6 ) 0.794 0.550 18 21.6 18 9.8 4 169.3 49
7 -- Clemson  ( 11 - 0 ) 0.792 0.532 50 21.0 22 11.1 16 169.2 54
8 -- Stanford  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.789 0.546 27 21.6 17 11.2 17 165.6 86
9 -4 Florida  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.785 0.559 4 16.5 65 9.2 3 161.3 119
10 +2 Florida St.  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.779 0.541 33 20.3 28 10.5 7 165.6 87
11 +7 Texas A&M  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.766 0.547 23 20.0 30 10.7 11 174.0 13
12 -9 Georgia  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.765 0.544 28 19.4 39 10.6 8 160.6 122
13 -2 Michigan  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.764 0.549 19 19.2 42 10.9 13 165.1 93
14 NA Marshall  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.763 0.469 85 20.7 25 16.9 71 171.0 31
15 -- Tennessee  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.760 0.551 17 19.6 34 11.2 18 163.4 112
16 -6 Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.757 0.555 8 20.9 23 12.3 21 164.5 102
17 -4 Wisconsin  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.756 0.535 45 17.5 58 9.9 5 161.3 118
18 -4 USC  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.752 0.536 43 22.4 8 12.8 27 167.8 66
19 -3 North Carolina  ( 9 - 1 ) 0.749 0.531 52 22.0 13 13.3 33 167.1 76
20 -3 TCU  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.746 0.486 75 21.4 20 13.0 29 170.7 35
21 +1 Michigan St.  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.746 0.543 30 21.8 16 12.4 24 166.2 80
22 -3 Oklahoma St.  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.738 0.553 12 23.2 5 14.4 43 176.2 7
23 -2 LSU  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.736 0.551 15 22.4 10 13.5 36 160.3 124
24 -4 Notre Dame  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.736 0.567 2 21.5 19 13.8 37 164.4 103
25 -- UCLA  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.733 0.549 20 18.3 47 11.1 15 171.2 29
Rankings through games of 2015-11-29

New entries: Marshall.

Dropped out: West Virginia.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 14: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: Georgia Southern (0.205); Kentucky (0.078); Washington (0.060); Marshall (0.060); South Florida (0.059)

Biggest drops: Georgia (-0.077); Cincinnati (-0.063); Memphis (-0.037); Troy (-0.034); Florida (-0.033)

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, November 28, 2015

Week 13: Saturday In-Game Win Probabilities, SEC

Last updated: Sat Nov 28 23:19:08 2015

Alabama29Auburn13Final
Florida St.27Florida2Final
Georgia13Georgia Tech7Final
Louisville38Kentucky24Final
Texas A&M7LSU19Final
Mississippi38Mississippi St.27Final
Clemson37South Carolina32Final
Vanderbilt28Tennessee53Final

Week 13: Saturday In-Game Win Probabilities, Big XII

Last updated: Sat Nov 28 23:53:08 2015

Kansas St.45Kansas14Final
Oklahoma58Oklahoma St.23Final
Iowa St.6West Virginia30Final