Tuesday, November 24, 2015

Week 13: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2015-11-22

Legitimate Title Contenders

Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.806 7 0.532 49 20.8 23 10.4 8 169.2 51
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  96 Appalachian St. 10 at  15 Clemson 41 184 90.8%
2015/09/17  13 Clemson 20 at  26 Louisville 17 161 62.1%
2015/10/03  23 Notre Dame 22 at   8 Clemson 24 162 69.4%
2015/10/10  38 Georgia Tech 24 at  11 Clemson 43 158 63.4%
2015/10/17  65 Boston College 17 at   6 Clemson 34 171 77.0%
2015/10/24   7 Clemson 58 at  48 Miami-FL 0 179 76.5%
2015/10/31   2 Clemson 56 at  53 North Carolina St. 41 181 77.8%
2015/11/07  14 Florida St. 13 at   3 Clemson 23 171 67.9%
2015/11/14   3 Clemson 37 at  91 Syracuse 27 171 92.2%
2015/11/21 102 Wake Forest 13 at   7 Clemson 33 171 95.2%
2015/11/28   7 Clemson 31 at  53 South Carolina 24 164 77.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 77.1%
Most difficult game left: November 28, at South Carolina Gamecocks, 77.1%


Iowa Hawkeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.704 29 0.523 58 19.1 40 12.7 24 164.1 108
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  40 Iowa 31 at  83 Iowa St. 17 159 74.0%
2015/09/19  55 Pittsburgh 24 at  42 Iowa 27 150 58.7%
2015/09/26  98 North Texas 16 at  46 Iowa 62 185 80.5%
2015/10/03  36 Iowa 10 at  13 Wisconsin 6 157 26.3%
2015/10/10  70 Illinois 20 at  28 Iowa 29 178 78.7%
2015/10/17  30 Iowa 40 at  52 Northwestern 10 177 43.0%
2015/10/31  84 Maryland 15 at  19 Iowa 31 155 82.8%
2015/11/07  21 Iowa 35 at  78 Indiana 27 176 81.3%
2015/11/14  70 Minnesota 35 at  28 Iowa 40 162 77.9%
2015/11/21 109 Purdue 20 at  29 Iowa 40 166 89.8%
2015/11/27  29 Iowa 29 at  45 Nebraska 28 166 61.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 61.5%
Most difficult game left: November 27, at Nebraska Cornhuskers, 61.5%



One-Loss Hopefuls
Odds as of games through 2015-11-22

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.902 1 0.554 10 20.7 26 6.4 1 157.3 128
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/05  16 Wisconsin 17 vs   1 Alabama 35 157 74.2%
2015/09/12  88 Middle Tenn. 10 at   1 Alabama 37 187 95.9%
2015/09/19   2 Mississippi 43 at   1 Alabama 37 195 54.3%
2015/09/26 116 LA-Monroe 0 at   1 Alabama 34 175 97.5%
2015/10/03   1 Alabama 38 at   3 Georgia 10 167 39.0%
2015/10/10  33 Arkansas 14 at   1 Alabama 27 168 82.9%
2015/10/17   1 Alabama 41 at  14 Texas A&M 23 174 77.1%
2015/10/24  28 Tennessee 14 at   1 Alabama 19 155 84.6%
2015/11/07  15 LSU 16 at   1 Alabama 30 152 78.5%
2015/11/14   1 Alabama 31 at  13 Mississippi St. 6 168 74.9%
2015/11/28   1 Alabama 28 at  33 Auburn 20 159 86.1%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 86.1%
Most difficult game left: November 28, at Auburn Tigers, 86.1%


North Carolina Tar Heels
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.759 16 0.532 51 21.8 13 13.0 31 167.0 77
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/03  81 North Carolina 13 vs  34 South Carolina 17 162 29.0%
2015/09/19  60 Illinois 14 at  73 North Carolina 48 177 49.8%
2015/10/03  50 North Carolina 38 at  27 Georgia Tech 31 160 15.3%
2015/10/17 102 Wake Forest 14 at  49 North Carolina 50 158 80.2%
2015/10/24  69 Virginia 13 at  38 North Carolina 26 160 68.8%
2015/10/29  36 North Carolina 26 at  54 Pittsburgh 19 162 39.4%
2015/11/07  33 Duke 31 at  28 North Carolina 66 193 53.2%
2015/11/14  53 Miami-FL 21 at  23 North Carolina 59 175 60.4%
2015/11/21  16 North Carolina 30 at  40 Virginia Tech 27 189 64.3%
2015/11/28  16 North Carolina 34 at  47 North Carolina St. 24 167 68.4%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 68.4%
Most difficult game left: November 28, at North Carolina State Wolfpack, 68.4%


Michigan State Spartans
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.739 22 0.543 30 20.7 26 12.7 24 166.2 81
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/04   6 Michigan St. 37 at  96 Western Michigan 24 170 95.2%
2015/09/12   9 Oregon 28 at  14 Michigan St. 31 176 56.4%
2015/09/19  68 Air Force 21 at  19 Michigan St. 35 148 84.7%
2015/09/26  91 Central Michigan 10 at  17 Michigan St. 30 144 91.1%
2015/10/03  97 Purdue 21 at  15 Michigan St. 24 153 91.6%
2015/10/10  21 Michigan St. 31 at  78 Rutgers 24 155 86.4%
2015/10/17  22 Michigan St. 27 at   4 Michigan 23 159 43.9%
2015/10/24  76 Indiana 26 at  20 Michigan St. 52 184 80.7%
2015/11/07  20 Michigan St. 38 at  43 Nebraska 39 168 60.3%
2015/11/14  81 Maryland 7 at  22 Michigan St. 24 170 84.2%
2015/11/21  22 Michigan St. 17 at   2 Ohio St. 14 138 28.9%
2015/11/28  46 Penn State 20 at  22 Michigan St. 31 165 65.5%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 65.5%
Most difficult game left: November 28, vs Penn State Nittany Lions, 65.5%


Oklahoma Sooners
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.838 4 0.548 21 24.1 2 11.0 14 172.6 18
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/05 108 Akron 3 at  18 Oklahoma 41 182 93.6%
2015/09/12  19 Oklahoma 31 at  29 Tennessee 24 201 39.8%
2015/09/19  94 Tulsa 38 at  15 Oklahoma 52 210 92.6%
2015/10/03  12 West Virginia 24 at  22 Oklahoma 44 180 54.0%
2015/10/10  16 Oklahoma 17 vs  62 Texas 24 161 71.4%
2015/10/17  21 Oklahoma 55 at  16 Kansas St. 0 160 45.2%
2015/10/24  46 Texas Tech 27 at  11 Oklahoma 63 189 56.4%
2015/10/31  11 Oklahoma 62 at 117 Kansas 7 180 96.1%
2015/11/07  62 Iowa St. 16 at   5 Oklahoma 52 189 85.6%
2015/11/14   4 Oklahoma 44 at   6 Baylor 34 190 49.3%
2015/11/21  17 TCU 29 at   4 Oklahoma 30 198 63.7%
2015/11/28   4 Oklahoma 35 at  19 Oklahoma St. 31 174 65.4%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 65.4%
Most difficult game left: November 28, at Oklahoma State Cowboys, 65.4%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.853 2 0.528 53 22.3 10 9.5 3 161.5 118
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/07   7 Ohio St. 42 at  57 Virginia Tech 24 154 86.1%
2015/09/12  91 Hawaii 0 at   8 Ohio St. 38 171 94.5%
2015/09/19  74 Northern Ill. 13 at   3 Ohio St. 20 170 89.2%
2015/09/26  88 Western Michigan 12 at   4 Ohio St. 38 177 91.1%
2015/10/03   2 Ohio St. 34 at  72 Indiana 27 190 89.6%
2015/10/10  88 Maryland 28 at   3 Ohio St. 49 176 92.8%
2015/10/17  45 Penn State 10 at   5 Ohio St. 38 147 80.0%
2015/10/24   3 Ohio St. 49 at  72 Rutgers 7 149 87.1%
2015/11/07  69 Minnesota 14 at   2 Ohio St. 28 165 87.9%
2015/11/14   2 Ohio St. 28 at  71 Illinois 3 171 92.2%
2015/11/21  22 Michigan St. 17 at   2 Ohio St. 14 138 71.1%
2015/11/28   2 Ohio St. 28 at  11 Michigan 24 163 65.4%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 65.4%
Most difficult game left: November 28, at Michigan Wolverines, 65.4%


Florida Gators
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.817 5 0.558 4 17.2 57 9.0 2 161.2 120
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/05 124 New Mexico St. 13 at  19 Florida 61 153 96.9%
2015/09/12  46 East Carolina 24 at  20 Florida 31 178 72.9%
2015/09/19  22 Florida 14 at  62 Kentucky 9 150 82.8%
2015/09/26  29 Tennessee 27 at  19 Florida 28 170 63.5%
2015/10/03   5 Mississippi 10 at  16 Florida 38 163 28.0%
2015/10/10   7 Florida 21 at  41 Missouri 3 173 28.1%
2015/10/17   3 Florida 28 at  15 LSU 35 150 40.1%
2015/10/31   8 Georgia 3 vs   6 Florida 27 146 53.7%
2015/11/07  82 Vanderbilt 7 at   6 Florida 9 149 87.3%
2015/11/14   8 Florida 24 at  55 South Carolina 14 148 81.4%
2015/11/21  97 FL-Atlantic 14 at   5 Florida 20 177 93.8%
2015/11/28  12 Florida St. 20 at   5 Florida 28 163 58.7%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 58.7%
Most difficult game left: November 28, vs Florida State Seminoles, 58.7%


Oklahoma State Cowboys
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.750 19 0.552 13 23.3 5 13.8 39 176.3 7
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/03  40 Oklahoma St. 24 at  93 Central Michigan 13 165 84.7%
2015/09/19 105 UTSA 14 at  43 Oklahoma St. 69 179 78.9%
2015/09/26  25 Oklahoma St. 30 at  58 Texas 27 177 53.3%
2015/10/03   9 Kansas St. 34 at  30 Oklahoma St. 36 182 35.7%
2015/10/10  27 Oklahoma St. 33 at  20 West Virginia 26 215 34.4%
2015/10/24 116 Kansas 10 at  22 Oklahoma St. 58 174 95.1%
2015/10/31  18 Oklahoma St. 70 at  46 Texas Tech 53 207 64.4%
2015/11/07  12 TCU 29 at  19 Oklahoma St. 49 197 47.0%
2015/11/14  17 Oklahoma St. 35 at  66 Iowa St. 31 170 75.4%
2015/11/21   6 Baylor 45 at  19 Oklahoma St. 35 211 39.2%
2015/11/28   4 Oklahoma 35 at  19 Oklahoma St. 31 174 34.6%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 34.6%
Most difficult game left: November 28, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 34.6%


Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.815 6 0.551 16 27.7 1 13.3 34 177.9 4
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/04  14 Baylor 56 at 127 SMU 21 176 98.0%
2015/09/26  79 Rice 17 at  13 Baylor 70 179 89.0%
2015/10/03  34 Texas Tech 35 vs   7 Baylor 63 200 66.7%
2015/10/10   5 Baylor 66 at 122 Kansas 7 184 96.0%
2015/10/17  19 West Virginia 38 at   2 Baylor 62 199 59.3%
2015/10/24  74 Iowa St. 27 at   2 Baylor 45 201 90.0%
2015/11/05   4 Baylor 31 at  32 Kansas St. 24 165 68.6%
2015/11/14   4 Oklahoma 44 at   6 Baylor 34 190 50.7%
2015/11/21   6 Baylor 45 at  19 Oklahoma St. 35 211 60.8%
2015/11/27   6 Baylor 31 at  17 TCU 38 174 38.0%
2015/12/05  64 Texas 17 at   6 Baylor 42 173 81.6%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 31.0%
Most difficult game left: November 27, at TCU Horned Frogs, 38.0%


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