Week 6: Friday Predictions

45 BYU 26  32 Toledo 25

41 BYU 28  31 Toledo 24

18 Washington 26   6 Stanford 27

6 Washington 21   9 Stanford 31

Key
Close game							Certain victory

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Week 6: Thursday Predictions

4 Houston 30  80 Connecticut 16

11 Houston 38  87 Connecticut 14

61 Texas Tech 43 122 Kansas 28

54 Texas Tech 52 120 Kansas 17

Key
Close game							Certain victory

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Week 6: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	+1	Alabama  ( 4 - 0 )	0.979	0.648	17	28.7	1	6.8	1	166.1	95
2	-1	Ohio St.  ( 3 - 0 )	0.965	0.559	44	27.2	4	7.8	2	165.7	96
3	--	Michigan  ( 4 - 0 )	0.937	0.435	83	26.1	5	9.4	5	161.0	114
4	+5	Houston  ( 3 - 0 )	0.902	0.503	61	21.9	21	9.5	6	171.0	67
5	+1	Wisconsin  ( 4 - 0 )	0.897	0.517	57	20.3	31	9.0	4	158.3	118
6	-2	Stanford  ( 3 - 0 )	0.897	0.678	11	23.3	11	10.3	8	153.3	125
7	+5	Mississippi  ( 1 - 2 )	0.893	0.802	1	28.6	2	12.9	27	182.6	17
8	NA	Memphis  ( 2 - 0 )	0.884	0.335	114	22.0	19	10.3	9	176.9	35
9	+2	Clemson  ( 3 - 0 )	0.882	0.691	10	22.0	20	10.3	7	178.5	31
10	+3	Tennessee  ( 4 - 0 )	0.866	0.623	26	23.7	9	11.8	15	174.7	43
11	-6	Florida  ( 3 - 1 )	0.863	0.455	77	17.7	56	8.9	3	156.6	121
12	-5	Oklahoma  ( 1 - 2 )	0.862	0.696	9	27.2	3	13.7	33	170.6	71
13	+6	Texas A&M  ( 3 - 0 )	0.848	0.718	6	22.4	18	11.7	14	185.5	11
14	+3	Virginia Tech  ( 2 - 1 )	0.836	0.583	37	23.4	10	12.7	25	170.9	68
15	NA	Florida St.  ( 2 - 1 )	0.827	0.752	3	24.8	7	13.8	35	166.4	91
16	+2	Iowa  ( 3 - 0 )	0.823	0.407	92	20.2	32	11.3	11	161.4	111
17	NA	TCU  ( 2 - 1 )	0.818	0.492	66	21.1	25	12.0	17	190.1	4
18	-8	Washington  ( 3 - 0 )	0.817	0.416	89	21.5	24	12.2	20	169.6	78
19	-4	Baylor  ( 3 - 0 )	0.809	0.386	97	19.8	38	11.5	13	191.5	3
20	+2	Louisville  ( 4 - 0 )	0.805	0.494	65	23.2	13	13.6	31	169.5	79
21	+4	Miami-FL  ( 2 - 0 )	0.771	0.497	63	19.8	35	12.5	22	167.0	90
22	-6	LSU  ( 1 - 2 )	0.765	0.736	5	18.7	46	12.0	18	157.1	120
23	+1	Washington St.  ( 1 - 1 )	0.759	0.486	68	19.3	40	12.6	24	178.6	30
24	-10	Arkansas  ( 3 - 1 )	0.758	0.614	27	22.6	17	14.7	45	153.9	124
25	NA	Auburn  ( 2 - 2 )	0.754	0.698	8	18.0	53	11.8	16	171.5	64

Rankings through games of 2016-09-25

New entries: Memphis, Florida St., TCU, Auburn.

Dropped out: Michigan St., West Virginia, Boise St., Notre Dame.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 6: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Troy (0.165); Memphis (0.153); Iowa St. (0.128); UCF (0.127); Wake Forest (0.095)

Biggest drops: Bowling Green (-0.138); Penn State (-0.132); Michigan St. (-0.129); East Carolina (-0.120); Notre Dame (-0.107)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 6: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Alabama  ( 4 - 0 )	0.950	0.556	8	25.4	4	6.2	1	157.7	128
2	--	Ohio St.  ( 3 - 0 )	0.927	0.531	52	26.3	1	7.5	2	161.8	117
3	--	USC  ( 1 - 3 )	0.807	0.538	39	23.7	6	10.2	6	167.6	70
4	+4	Florida  ( 3 - 1 )	0.802	0.559	5	17.6	58	9.2	4	161.1	120
5	+8	Texas A&M  ( 3 - 0 )	0.792	0.548	22	21.2	25	10.2	7	174.3	12
6	+3	Washington  ( 3 - 0 )	0.792	0.547	25	22.4	13	11.7	21	169.3	53
7	--	Mississippi  ( 1 - 2 )	0.791	0.545	31	23.3	10	10.3	9	166.5	80
8	-4	Michigan  ( 4 - 0 )	0.790	0.549	19	23.7	7	10.6	12	165.0	97
9	-3	Stanford  ( 3 - 0 )	0.787	0.546	27	20.5	33	10.3	8	165.2	93
10	+12	Louisville  ( 4 - 0 )	0.784	0.491	71	26.1	3	13.3	35	165.5	89
11	+6	Houston  ( 3 - 0 )	0.782	0.471	85	23.2	11	10.4	10	177.3	5
12	-2	Oklahoma  ( 1 - 2 )	0.775	0.548	20	24.0	5	13.5	38	172.7	18
13	-8	Wisconsin  ( 4 - 0 )	0.771	0.536	43	18.8	44	8.7	3	161.1	121
14	+7	West Virginia  ( 2 - 0 )	0.769	0.538	38	18.7	47	9.8	5	171.6	28
15	NA	Arkansas  ( 3 - 1 )	0.764	0.574	1	22.2	14	12.8	32	164.1	108
16	-4	Georgia  ( 2 - 1 )	0.762	0.546	28	19.1	43	11.2	17	160.9	122
17	-3	Baylor  ( 3 - 0 )	0.762	0.549	17	21.4	22	11.9	23	178.7	3
18	-3	Tennessee  ( 4 - 0 )	0.751	0.553	14	18.7	45	11.0	14	163.7	112
19	+1	Michigan St.  ( 1 - 1 )	0.749	0.546	26	20.7	30	12.9	34	166.1	82
20	+4	TCU  ( 2 - 1 )	0.745	0.487	75	20.6	31	11.3	19	171.2	31
21	-3	LSU  ( 1 - 2 )	0.742	0.555	11	21.3	23	12.7	29	160.3	123
22	-3	Auburn  ( 2 - 2 )	0.742	0.559	4	21.1	26	12.0	24	161.4	118
23	--	North Carolina  ( 2 - 1 )	0.740	0.532	51	23.5	8	15.0	47	167.4	75
24	NA	Iowa  ( 3 - 0 )	0.739	0.523	56	18.4	51	11.0	15	163.8	110
25	-14	Clemson  ( 3 - 0 )	0.734	0.535	45	18.0	54	10.5	11	169.7	45

Rankings through games of 2016-09-25

New entries: Arkansas, Iowa.

Dropped out: Florida St., Notre Dame.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 6: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: Virginia Tech (0.155); Akron (0.139); Georgia Tech (0.089); Wake Forest (0.083); Iowa (0.079)

Biggest drops: Appalachian St. (-0.134); Vanderbilt (-0.122); Marshall (-0.108); Florida St. (-0.093); Virginia (-0.086)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 5: Saturday Predictions

88 Akron 24  61 Appalachian St. 27

100 Akron 24  54 Appalachian St. 34

2 Alabama 40 126 Kent St. 12

1 Alabama 42 128 Kent St. 0

71 Arizona 26  10 Washington 34

53 Arizona 21   9 Washington 34

49 Arizona St. 40  55 California 36

36 Arizona St. 38  51 California 34

33 Auburn 25  16 LSU 26

19 Auburn 25  18 LSU 24

15 Baylor 35  47 Oklahoma St. 28

14 Baylor 41  43 Oklahoma St. 27

111 Buffalo 25  67 Army 32

94 Buffalo 27  76 Army 31

58 Cincinnati 34 102 Miami-OH 23

74 Cincinnati 42 120 Miami-OH 17

72 Connecticut 26  79 Syracuse 23

85 Connecticut 27  93 Syracuse 21

125 FIU 26 108 UCF 28

127 FIU 28 117 UCF 21

120 FL-Atlantic 25  93 Ball St. 29

102 FL-Atlantic 28 106 Ball St. 24

114 Fresno St. 28  81 Tulsa 34

116 Fresno St. 24  75 Tulsa 41

66 Indiana 26  82 Wake Forest 22

72 Indiana 31  98 Wake Forest 17

104 Iowa St. 29 105 SJSU 25

83 Iowa St. 34 101 SJSU 17

90 Kentucky 26  69 South Carolina 29

79 Kentucky 24  68 South Carolina 25

75 Marshall 28  22 Louisville 35

47 Marshall 31  22 Louisville 38

116 Massachusetts 20  32 Mississippi St. 31

109 Massachusetts 20  32 Mississippi St. 31

31 Memphis 36  77 Bowling Green 26

50 Memphis 42  80 Bowling Green 21

3 Michigan 35  52 Penn State 22

4 Michigan 38  66 Penn State 21

8 Michigan St. 26   6 Wisconsin 23

20 Michigan St. 27   5 Wisconsin 21

89 Middle Tenn. 30  65 LA Tech 33

90 Middle Tenn. 28  49 LA Tech 35

68 Minnesota 30  94 Colorado St. 23

70 Minnesota 34 105 Colorado St. 17

12 Mississippi 36  29 Georgia 28

7 Mississippi 31  12 Georgia 27

37 North Carolina 36  50 Pittsburgh 31

23 North Carolina 41  61 Pittsburgh 27

57 Northwestern 24  28 Nebraska 27

63 Northwestern 24  33 Nebraska 28

23 Notre Dame 39  76 Duke 26

25 Notre Dame 38  77 Duke 20

122 Old Dominion 27 112 UTSA 30

118 Old Dominion 28 111 UTSA 27

30 Oregon 37  46 Colorado 31

30 Oregon 38  48 Colorado 27

96 Oregon St. 24  21 Boise St. 34

96 Oregon St. 21  26 Boise St. 41

101 Purdue 27  86 Nevada 28

108 Purdue 27  92 Nevada 34

113 Rice 28 128 North Texas 22

110 Rice 34 122 North Texas 21

83 Rutgers 25  18 Iowa 33

87 Rutgers 24  35 Iowa 38

35 South Florida 28  26 Florida St. 26

39 South Florida 32  16 Florida St. 31

59 Temple 36 129 Charlotte 18

65 Temple 45 129 Charlotte 17

13 Tennessee 24   5 Florida 21

15 Tennessee 28   8 Florida 24

19 Texas A&M 26  14 Arkansas 28

13 Texas A&M 31  27 Arkansas 24

117 Texas State 21   9 Houston 38

107 Texas State 17  17 Houston 48

70 Troy 44 121 New Mexico St. 26

88 Troy 41 113 New Mexico St. 24

110 Tulane 25 103 LA-Lafayette 23

123 Tulane 24 115 LA-Lafayette 21

38 UCLA 24   4 Stanford 30

34 UCLA 24   6 Stanford 31

107 UNLV 38 119 Idaho 31

99 UNLV 38 114 Idaho 27

80 Utah St. 27  41 Air Force 31

82 Utah St. 28  73 Air Force 31

124 UTEP 26  73 Southern Miss. 35

125 UTEP 20  55 Southern Miss. 45

78 Virginia 24  63 Central Michigan 25

71 Virginia 27  67 Central Michigan 24

17 Virginia Tech 34  62 East Carolina 24

58 Virginia Tech 34  64 East Carolina 21

20 West Virginia 27  48 BYU 23

21 West Virginia 28  40 BYU 20

53 Western Kentucky 30  85 Vanderbilt 23

42 Western Kentucky 31  52 Vanderbilt 20

44 Western Michigan 30  56 Georgia Southern 25

60 Western Michigan 31  57 Georgia Southern 24

Key
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 5: Friday Predictions

118 Eastern Michigan 32 106 Wyoming 35

119 Eastern Michigan 31  97 Wyoming 32

109 SMU 27  27 TCU 42

104 SMU 21  24 TCU 41

43 Utah 27  36 USC 26

29 Utah 28   3 USC 27

Key
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 5: Thursday Predictions

34 Georgia Tech 27  11 Clemson 29

56 Georgia Tech 24  11 Clemson 28

Key
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 5: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	+1	Ohio St.  ( 3 - 0 )	0.971	0.595	31	28.0	2	7.5	1	166.5	93
2	-1	Alabama  ( 3 - 0 )	0.968	0.736	4	29.3	1	8.1	3	168.2	78
3	--	Michigan  ( 3 - 0 )	0.912	0.409	93	25.9	5	10.7	7	160.6	115
4	+2	Stanford  ( 2 - 0 )	0.905	0.671	11	24.3	10	10.4	5	154.3	124
5	+8	Florida  ( 3 - 0 )	0.882	0.339	112	16.6	63	7.8	2	154.6	123
6	-2	Wisconsin  ( 3 - 0 )	0.861	0.473	72	19.4	38	9.8	4	157.1	120
7	+9	Oklahoma  ( 1 - 2 )	0.846	0.678	10	26.3	4	13.9	37	169.6	74
8	+1	Michigan St.  ( 1 - 0 )	0.844	0.734	5	21.7	19	11.5	14	162.8	106
9	+1	Houston  ( 2 - 0 )	0.843	0.600	25	21.0	27	11.2	8	174.3	46
10	-2	Washington  ( 2 - 0 )	0.835	0.385	102	20.7	32	11.3	10	168.7	76
11	-4	Clemson  ( 2 - 0 )	0.832	0.654	14	21.3	23	11.7	16	178.0	33
12	+2	Mississippi  ( 0 - 2 )	0.832	0.810	1	26.8	3	14.7	45	183.8	15
13	-2	Tennessee  ( 3 - 0 )	0.830	0.569	42	21.1	24	11.6	15	171.2	66
14	+9	Arkansas  ( 3 - 0 )	0.824	0.561	44	22.0	16	12.3	19	153.4	126
15	+2	Baylor  ( 2 - 0 )	0.819	0.334	114	20.1	35	11.4	11	195.6	1
16	-4	LSU  ( 1 - 1 )	0.809	0.734	6	20.9	28	12.2	18	158.3	118
17	NA	Virginia Tech  ( 1 - 1 )	0.801	0.599	26	22.6	14	13.4	34	173.7	48
18	+1	Iowa  ( 2 - 0 )	0.801	0.391	98	21.8	18	12.9	25	160.6	114
19	NA	Texas A&M  ( 2 - 0 )	0.798	0.701	8	19.3	39	11.5	13	185.6	10
20	--	West Virginia  ( 1 - 0 )	0.798	0.569	41	17.7	59	10.6	6	185.9	8
21	+4	Boise St.  ( 2 - 0 )	0.795	0.401	96	21.5	22	12.9	24	180.1	26
22	NA	Louisville  ( 3 - 0 )	0.784	0.436	82	23.5	11	14.4	41	169.7	73
23	-5	Notre Dame  ( 1 - 2 )	0.766	0.648	16	24.7	8	15.8	56	172.2	59
24	NA	Washington St.  ( 1 - 1 )	0.762	0.492	68	19.2	41	12.4	20	178.3	31
25	NA	Miami-FL  ( 2 - 0 )	0.760	0.464	77	20.8	31	13.4	32	167.2	86

Rankings through games of 2016-09-18

New entries: Virginia Tech, Texas A&M, Louisville, Washington St., Miami-FL.

Dropped out: Florida St., Georgia, Auburn, Nebraska, USC.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 5: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Kansas St. (0.212); Virginia Tech (0.211); Miami-FL (0.147); Army (0.124); Nevada (0.119)

Biggest drops: Boston College (-0.221); Marshall (-0.194); Appalachian St. (-0.169); Florida St. (-0.116); Georgia Southern (-0.115)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 5: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Alabama  ( 3 - 0 )	0.954	0.557	6	22.1	14	5.2	1	157.7	128
2	--	Ohio St.  ( 3 - 0 )	0.926	0.531	52	26.3	1	7.5	2	161.8	117
3	+11	USC  ( 1 - 2 )	0.805	0.538	38	23.7	5	9.9	5	167.6	69
4	-1	Michigan  ( 3 - 0 )	0.805	0.549	17	22.4	13	11.4	17	165.0	94
5	+4	Wisconsin  ( 3 - 0 )	0.800	0.536	43	17.9	54	9.9	6	161.1	120
6	+1	Stanford  ( 2 - 0 )	0.799	0.548	26	21.2	25	10.6	8	165.3	91
7	-3	Mississippi  ( 0 - 2 )	0.798	0.543	31	22.6	9	11.3	16	166.4	80
8	+14	Florida  ( 3 - 0 )	0.798	0.558	4	17.4	57	8.3	3	161.0	121
9	-4	Washington  ( 2 - 0 )	0.797	0.548	23	22.4	11	11.0	13	169.3	53
10	-4	Oklahoma  ( 1 - 2 )	0.785	0.548	24	24.0	4	13.5	40	172.7	18
11	-1	Clemson  ( 2 - 0 )	0.781	0.534	46	18.3	50	11.5	18	169.7	44
12	+1	Georgia  ( 2 - 0 )	0.779	0.546	28	19.3	41	10.8	11	160.8	122
13	+2	Texas A&M  ( 2 - 0 )	0.778	0.548	22	19.7	38	10.0	7	174.4	12
14	-6	Baylor  ( 2 - 0 )	0.773	0.549	19	21.9	17	12.3	25	178.6	3
15	-3	Tennessee  ( 3 - 0 )	0.772	0.552	14	18.5	48	11.0	12	163.6	112
16	-5	Florida St.  ( 1 - 1 )	0.771	0.542	33	19.9	36	13.9	44	165.9	85
17	-1	Houston  ( 2 - 0 )	0.768	0.471	85	21.3	23	11.1	14	177.4	5
18	--	LSU  ( 1 - 1 )	0.760	0.554	12	21.9	18	12.9	33	160.3	123
19	NA	Auburn  ( 1 - 2 )	0.752	0.558	5	21.2	24	12.5	28	161.4	118
20	-3	Michigan St.  ( 1 - 0 )	0.750	0.546	27	21.4	21	12.7	31	166.1	82
21	-2	West Virginia  ( 1 - 0 )	0.736	0.538	39	18.0	53	9.3	4	171.6	27
22	NA	Louisville  ( 3 - 0 )	0.735	0.490	73	25.3	3	13.0	34	165.4	88
23	-2	North Carolina  ( 1 - 1 )	0.732	0.532	51	23.5	6	14.0	45	167.4	74
24	-4	TCU  ( 1 - 1 )	0.725	0.488	74	21.6	20	13.3	36	171.1	31
25	NA	Notre Dame  ( 1 - 2 )	0.714	0.569	2	22.0	15	14.6	48	164.6	103

Rankings through games of 2016-09-18

New entries: Auburn, Louisville, Notre Dame.

Dropped out: UCLA, Arkansas, Boise St..


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.