Tuesday, October 4, 2016

Week 6: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2016-10-02

Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.979 2 0.617 22 27.3 4 6.4 1 164.7 96
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  23 USC 6 vs   1 Alabama 52 162 87.7%
2016/09/10  23 Western Kentucky 10 at   1 Alabama 38 173 95.8%
2016/09/17   1 Alabama 48 at  14 Mississippi 43 189 89.2%
2016/09/24 126 Kent St. 0 at   2 Alabama 48 149 99.8%
2016/10/01  89 Kentucky 6 at   1 Alabama 34 154 99.2%
2016/10/08   2 Alabama 32 at  22 Arkansas 24 159 90.7%
2016/10/15   2 Alabama 33 at  15 Tennessee 26 169 86.5%
2016/10/22  12 Texas A&M 23 at   2 Alabama 35 174 93.1%
2016/11/05   2 Alabama 30 at  11 LSU 22 160 87.3%
2016/11/12  37 Mississippi St. 22 at   2 Alabama 36 169 96.4%
2016/11/26  16 Auburn 21 at   2 Alabama 31 167 90.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 55.8%
Most difficult game left: October 15, at Tennessee Volunteers, 86.5%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.980 1 0.513 62 28.1 3 6.5 2 166.0 92
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  32 Bowling Green 10 at   2 Ohio St. 77 195 90.5%
2016/09/10  71 Tulsa 3 at   2 Ohio St. 48 168 98.0%
2016/09/17   2 Ohio St. 45 at  16 Oklahoma 24 165 86.9%
2016/10/01  85 Rutgers 0 at   2 Ohio St. 58 169 98.7%
2016/10/08  64 Indiana 21 at   1 Ohio St. 42 175 98.6%
2016/10/15   1 Ohio St. 28 at   7 Wisconsin 21 162 81.4%
2016/10/22   1 Ohio St. 35 at  60 Penn State 20 168 96.4%
2016/10/29  48 Northwestern 17 at   1 Ohio St. 35 171 97.9%
2016/11/05  27 Nebraska 22 at   1 Ohio St. 35 165 95.5%
2016/11/12   1 Ohio St. 35 at  45 Maryland 21 171 95.8%
2016/11/19   1 Ohio St. 34 at  43 Michigan St. 19 164 96.4%
2016/11/26   3 Michigan 26 at   1 Ohio St. 29 163 71.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 47.4%
Most difficult game left: November 26, vs Michigan Wolverines, 71.0%


Western Michigan Broncos
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.763 23 0.449 81 23.4 13 15.1 49 158.1 120
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  46 Western Michigan 22 at  72 Northwestern 21 155 51.5%
2016/09/17  58 Western Michigan 34 at  84 Illinois 10 153 59.4%
2016/09/24  56 Georgia Southern 31 at  44 Western Michigan 49 156 70.0%
2016/10/01  36 Western Michigan 49 at  70 Central Michigan 10 144 62.1%
2016/10/08  87 Northern Ill. 24 at  23 Western Michigan 37 173 90.0%
2016/10/15  23 Western Michigan 38 at  94 Akron 27 165 86.1%
2016/10/22 110 Eastern Michigan 22 at  23 Western Michigan 42 165 96.7%
2016/11/01  23 Western Michigan 35 at  99 Ball St. 23 164 89.8%
2016/11/08  23 Western Michigan 33 at 128 Kent St. 17 160 97.6%
2016/11/19 120 Buffalo 20 at  23 Western Michigan 39 166 96.9%
2016/11/25  39 Toledo 30 at  23 Western Michigan 33 166 61.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 39.3%
Most difficult game left: November 25, vs Toledo Rockets, 61.7%


Houston Cougars
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.893 5 0.459 77 21.8 18 9.8 6 172.3 64
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03   3 Oklahoma 23 vs  12 Houston 33 167 37.6%
2016/09/15  10 Houston 40 at  55 Cincinnati 16 185 68.1%
2016/09/24   9 Houston 64 at 117 Texas State 3 169 95.8%
2016/09/29  80 Connecticut 14 at   4 Houston 42 174 96.0%
2016/10/08   5 Houston 29 at  49 Navy 24 162 77.6%
2016/10/15  88 Tulsa 21 at   5 Houston 39 182 96.0%
2016/10/22   5 Houston 35 at 115 SMU 18 172 96.9%
2016/10/29  80 UCF 21 at   5 Houston 37 175 95.5%
2016/11/12 102 Tulane 17 at   5 Houston 35 170 97.4%
2016/11/17  19 Louisville 29 at   5 Houston 31 172 67.2%
2016/11/25   5 Houston 28 at  14 Memphis 27 174 61.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 27.8%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Memphis Tigers, 61.7%


Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.889 6 0.736 3 22.5 15 10.3 7 180.6 24
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03   5 Clemson 19 at  29 Auburn 13 174 59.9%
2016/09/10  96 Troy 24 at   4 Clemson 30 198 96.4%
2016/09/22  11 Clemson 26 at  34 Georgia Tech 7 162 56.4%
2016/10/01  20 Louisville 36 at   9 Clemson 42 194 72.9%
2016/10/07   6 Clemson 26 at  68 Boston College 18 167 84.4%
2016/10/15  42 North Carolina St. 26 at   6 Clemson 35 172 86.4%
2016/10/29   6 Clemson 31 at  18 Florida St. 30 173 53.3%
2016/11/05  71 Syracuse 23 at   6 Clemson 37 183 92.5%
2016/11/12  51 Pittsburgh 25 at   6 Clemson 34 171 85.6%
2016/11/19   6 Clemson 29 at  74 Wake Forest 18 171 91.8%
2016/11/26  79 South Carolina 19 at   6 Clemson 31 170 92.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 26.1%
Most difficult game left: October 29, at Florida State Seminoles, 53.3%


Boise State Broncos
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.740 26 0.374 99 18.9 48 12.8 22 177.1 35
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  20 Boise St. 45 at 107 LA-Lafayette 10 175 88.3%
2016/09/10  51 Washington St. 28 at  14 Boise St. 31 179 82.7%
2016/09/24  21 Boise St. 38 at  96 Oregon St. 24 181 87.3%
2016/10/01  78 Utah St. 10 at  28 Boise St. 21 176 86.6%
2016/10/07  26 Boise St. 38 at 105 New Mexico 26 171 88.9%
2016/10/15  98 Colorado St. 21 at  26 Boise St. 34 172 93.1%
2016/10/20  40 BYU 26 at  26 Boise St. 31 174 70.6%
2016/10/29  26 Boise St. 32 at  93 Wyoming 24 173 83.0%
2016/11/04 114 SJSU 21 at  26 Boise St. 37 170 95.3%
2016/11/12  26 Boise St. 35 at 109 Hawaii 21 175 93.0%
2016/11/18 107 UNLV 23 at  26 Boise St. 38 176 92.8%
2016/11/25  26 Boise St. 29 at  34 Air Force 28 172 55.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 22.1%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Air Force Falcons, 55.5%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Washington Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.883 8 0.492 70 24.5 9 11.5 13 169.4 82
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  97 Rutgers 13 at  11 Washington 48 176 95.1%
2016/09/10 109 Idaho 14 at   9 Washington 59 165 97.2%
2016/09/24  10 Washington 35 at  71 Arizona 28 170 80.7%
2016/09/30   6 Stanford 6 at  18 Washington 44 143 44.4%
2016/10/08   8 Washington 36 at  31 Oregon 33 177 68.0%
2016/10/22 100 Oregon St. 19 at   8 Washington 40 171 97.6%
2016/10/29   8 Washington 30 at  44 Utah 24 168 71.3%
2016/11/05   8 Washington 38 at  55 California 29 180 83.3%
2016/11/12  35 USC 25 at   8 Washington 33 169 80.4%
2016/11/19  56 Arizona St. 28 at   8 Washington 38 176 85.7%
2016/11/25   8 Washington 33 at  25 Washington St. 27 173 71.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 19.4%
Most difficult game left: October 8, at Oregon Ducks, 68.0%


Michigan Wolverines
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.953 3 0.560 45 26.3 5 8.5 3 160.8 115
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03 119 Hawaii 3 at   4 Michigan 63 142 98.7%
2016/09/10 125 UCF 14 at   3 Michigan 51 177 99.6%
2016/09/17  54 Colorado 28 at   3 Michigan 45 176 91.6%
2016/09/24  52 Penn State 10 at   3 Michigan 49 161 92.0%
2016/10/01   5 Wisconsin 7 at   3 Michigan 14 157 71.7%
2016/10/08   3 Michigan 34 at  96 Rutgers 17 166 97.6%
2016/10/22  90 Illinois 16 at   3 Michigan 36 162 98.6%
2016/10/29   3 Michigan 30 at  43 Michigan St. 21 161 86.8%
2016/11/05  45 Maryland 21 at   3 Michigan 34 168 93.0%
2016/11/12   3 Michigan 32 at  29 Iowa 24 161 86.1%
2016/11/19  64 Indiana 23 at   3 Michigan 38 172 95.2%
2016/11/26   3 Michigan 26 at   1 Ohio St. 29 163 29.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 18.5%
Most difficult game left: November 26, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 29.0%


Air Force Falcons
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.695 34 0.405 92 20.4 32 15.0 47 167.2 87
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/10 107 Georgia State 14 at  55 Air Force 48 158 89.9%
2016/09/24  41 Air Force 27 at  80 Utah St. 20 172 68.9%
2016/10/01  35 Navy 14 at  41 Air Force 28 159 57.6%
2016/10/08  34 Air Force 33 at  93 Wyoming 25 168 81.3%
2016/10/15 105 New Mexico 26 vs  34 Air Force 40 166 90.4%
2016/10/22 109 Hawaii 21 at  34 Air Force 38 170 95.4%
2016/10/28  34 Air Force 36 at 118 Fresno St. 24 174 90.7%
2016/11/05  34 Air Force 31 at  73 Army 26 160 72.6%
2016/11/12  98 Colorado St. 22 at  34 Air Force 34 167 89.8%
2016/11/19  34 Air Force 37 at 114 SJSU 22 165 93.3%
2016/11/25  26 Boise St. 29 at  34 Air Force 28 172 44.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 17.2%
Most difficult game left: November 25, vs Boise State Broncos, 44.5%


Long Shots

Tennessee Volunteers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.831 15 0.646 17 24.2 12 13.3 28 174.3 45
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/01  30 Appalachian St. 13 at   8 Tennessee 20 164 77.6%
2016/09/10  42 Virginia Tech 24 vs  11 Tennessee 45 171 71.5%
2016/09/17  87 Ohio 19 at  11 Tennessee 28 176 93.9%
2016/09/24   5 Florida 28 at  13 Tennessee 38 180 50.3%
2016/10/01  10 Tennessee 34 at  44 Georgia 31 166 70.8%
2016/10/08  15 Tennessee 30 at  12 Texas A&M 32 179 36.8%
2016/10/15   2 Alabama 33 at  15 Tennessee 26 169 13.5%
2016/10/29  15 Tennessee 30 at  79 South Carolina 22 167 81.8%
2016/11/12  89 Kentucky 23 at  15 Tennessee 38 169 92.5%
2016/11/19  81 Missouri 22 at  15 Tennessee 34 179 88.5%
2016/11/26  15 Tennessee 33 at  85 Vanderbilt 21 170 89.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-33.5
Most difficult game left: October 15, vs Alabama Crimson Tide, 13.5%


Miami Hurricanes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.801 20 0.533 58 21.7 21 12.9 24 166.3 89
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/10 100 FL-Atlantic 10 at  67 Miami-FL 38 173 84.4%
2016/09/17  47 Miami-FL 45 at  32 Appalachian St. 10 161 29.5%
2016/10/01  21 Miami-FL 35 at  42 Georgia Tech 21 144 55.2%
2016/10/08  18 Florida St. 29 at  20 Miami-FL 30 166 58.6%
2016/10/15  38 North Carolina 28 at  20 Miami-FL 34 170 74.8%
2016/10/20  20 Miami-FL 27 at  10 Virginia Tech 32 168 29.2%
2016/10/29  20 Miami-FL 32 at  53 Notre Dame 30 168 61.4%
2016/11/05  51 Pittsburgh 26 at  20 Miami-FL 32 164 75.0%
2016/11/12  20 Miami-FL 31 at  70 Virginia 23 170 81.0%
2016/11/19  20 Miami-FL 32 at  42 North Carolina St. 28 165 68.3%
2016/11/26  69 Duke 24 at  20 Miami-FL 32 173 83.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-36.9
Most difficult game left: October 20, at Virginia Tech Hokies, 29.2%


Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.754 24 0.384 97 20.1 36 13.2 25 192.2 2
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/10 108 SMU 13 at  12 Baylor 40 220 96.4%
2016/09/16  17 Baylor 38 at 113 Rice 10 197 93.7%
2016/09/24  47 Oklahoma St. 24 at  15 Baylor 35 189 80.6%
2016/10/01  19 Baylor 45 at  86 Iowa St. 42 189 84.9%
2016/10/15 125 Kansas 18 at  24 Baylor 39 181 98.3%
2016/10/29  24 Baylor 32 at  61 Texas 29 186 62.0%
2016/11/05  21 TCU 33 at  24 Baylor 31 191 48.1%
2016/11/12  24 Baylor 31 at  13 Oklahoma 38 181 31.7%
2016/11/19  36 Kansas St. 28 at  24 Baylor 30 179 59.0%
2016/11/25  24 Baylor 41 vs  59 Texas Tech 36 190 72.6%
2016/12/03  24 Baylor 29 at  28 West Virginia 28 188 52.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-47.7
Most difficult game left: November 12, at Oklahoma Sooners, 31.7%


West Virginia Mountaineers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.733 28 0.595 31 17.1 59 11.7 14 185.7 8
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  79 Missouri 11 at  26 West Virginia 26 215 87.0%
2016/09/24  48 BYU 32 vs  20 West Virginia 35 175 70.6%
2016/10/01  30 Kansas St. 16 at  27 West Virginia 17 174 64.0%
2016/10/15  28 West Virginia 36 at  59 Texas Tech 35 187 61.4%
2016/10/22  21 TCU 28 at  28 West Virginia 30 187 53.4%
2016/10/29  28 West Virginia 30 at  50 Oklahoma St. 28 183 50.7%
2016/11/05 125 Kansas 17 at  28 West Virginia 34 178 97.6%
2016/11/12  28 West Virginia 30 at  61 Texas 26 183 66.9%
2016/11/19  13 Oklahoma 35 at  28 West Virginia 28 178 33.4%
2016/11/26  28 West Virginia 31 at  75 Iowa St. 24 179 79.7%
2016/12/03  24 Baylor 29 at  28 West Virginia 28 188 47.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-73.2
Most difficult game left: November 19, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 33.4%


Absolute Phonies

Texas A&M Aggies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.850 12 0.697 10 21.9 16 11.4 11 185.1 11
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  36 UCLA 24 at  37 Texas A&M 31 202 62.9%
2016/09/17  28 Texas A&M 29 at  21 Auburn 16 201 35.3%
2016/09/24  14 Arkansas 24 vs  19 Texas A&M 45 166 45.7%
2016/10/01  13 Texas A&M 24 at  79 South Carolina 13 174 85.4%
2016/10/08  15 Tennessee 30 at  12 Texas A&M 32 179 63.2%
2016/10/22  12 Texas A&M 23 at   2 Alabama 35 174 6.9%
2016/10/29 124 New Mexico St. 20 at  12 Texas A&M 51 185 99.1%
2016/11/05  12 Texas A&M 32 at  37 Mississippi St. 28 179 69.2%
2016/11/12   4 Mississippi 37 at  12 Texas A&M 32 184 40.9%
2016/11/19 116 UTSA 19 at  12 Texas A&M 37 178 97.3%
2016/11/24  11 LSU 28 at  12 Texas A&M 27 170 49.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-168.4
Most difficult game left: October 22, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 6.9%


Nebraska Cornhuskers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.734 27 0.440 85 20.9 28 14.3 39 165.3 94
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03 111 Fresno St. 10 at  43 Nebraska 43 161 93.5%
2016/09/10 103 Wyoming 17 at  31 Nebraska 52 167 92.9%
2016/09/17  27 Oregon 32 at  22 Nebraska 35 184 63.3%
2016/09/24  28 Nebraska 24 at  57 Northwestern 13 170 59.3%
2016/10/01  96 Illinois 16 at  26 Nebraska 31 136 92.1%
2016/10/15  27 Nebraska 33 at  64 Indiana 29 174 64.6%
2016/10/22 113 Purdue 20 at  27 Nebraska 37 168 96.2%
2016/10/29  27 Nebraska 22 at   7 Wisconsin 28 162 18.0%
2016/11/05  27 Nebraska 22 at   1 Ohio St. 35 165 4.5%
2016/11/12  72 Minnesota 24 at  27 Nebraska 32 169 81.1%
2016/11/19  45 Maryland 27 at  27 Nebraska 30 170 60.3%
2016/11/25  27 Nebraska 30 at  29 Iowa 28 164 50.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-804.4
Most difficult game left: November 5, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 4.5%


What are YOU doing here??

Maryland Terrapins
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.645 45 0.354 106 18.0 54 14.4 40 176.3 40
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/09  79 Maryland 41 at 117 FIU 14 165 72.0%
2016/09/17  63 Maryland 30 at 109 UCF 24 196 79.1%
2016/10/01  94 Purdue 7 at  76 Maryland 50 176 73.9%
2016/10/08  45 Maryland 29 at  60 Penn State 27 173 51.7%
2016/10/15  72 Minnesota 25 at  45 Maryland 31 174 77.7%
2016/10/22  43 Michigan St. 25 at  45 Maryland 27 169 61.9%
2016/10/29  45 Maryland 32 at  64 Indiana 30 180 51.9%
2016/11/05  45 Maryland 21 at   3 Michigan 34 168 7.0%
2016/11/12   1 Ohio St. 35 at  45 Maryland 21 171 4.2%
2016/11/19  45 Maryland 27 at  27 Nebraska 30 170 39.7%
2016/11/26  96 Rutgers 22 at  45 Maryland 30 174 84.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-7875.3
Most difficult game left: November 12, vs Ohio State Buckeyes, 4.2%


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