Tuesday, November 22, 2016

Week 13: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2016-11-20

Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.980 1 0.661 6 26.4 2 6.1 1 165.6 98
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  23 USC 6 vs   1 Alabama 52 162 87.7%
2016/09/10  23 Western Kentucky 10 at   1 Alabama 38 173 95.8%
2016/09/17   1 Alabama 48 at  14 Mississippi 43 189 89.2%
2016/09/24 126 Kent St. 0 at   2 Alabama 48 149 99.8%
2016/10/01  89 Kentucky 6 at   1 Alabama 34 154 99.2%
2016/10/08   2 Alabama 49 at  22 Arkansas 30 163 90.7%
2016/10/15   1 Alabama 49 at  14 Tennessee 10 167 83.6%
2016/10/22  11 Texas A&M 14 at   1 Alabama 33 177 93.1%
2016/11/05   1 Alabama 10 at   5 LSU 0 144 79.5%
2016/11/12  44 Mississippi St. 3 at   1 Alabama 51 176 96.9%
2016/11/26   6 Auburn 22 at   1 Alabama 30 167 87.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 87.4%
Most difficult game left: November 26, vs Auburn Tigers, 87.4%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Western Michigan Broncos
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.784 17 0.301 127 22.8 14 14.0 30 158.1 119
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  46 Western Michigan 22 at  72 Northwestern 21 155 51.5%
2016/09/17  58 Western Michigan 34 at  84 Illinois 10 153 59.4%
2016/09/24  56 Georgia Southern 31 at  44 Western Michigan 49 156 70.0%
2016/10/01  36 Western Michigan 49 at  70 Central Michigan 10 144 62.1%
2016/10/08  87 Northern Ill. 30 at  23 Western Michigan 45 175 90.0%
2016/10/15  26 Western Michigan 41 at  83 Akron 0 169 76.8%
2016/10/22 105 Eastern Michigan 31 at  12 Western Michigan 45 173 96.2%
2016/11/01  15 Western Michigan 52 at 102 Ball St. 20 168 90.1%
2016/11/08  16 Western Michigan 37 at 113 Kent St. 21 154 92.9%
2016/11/19 128 Buffalo 0 at  20 Western Michigan 38 148 96.7%
2016/11/25  33 Toledo 29 at  17 Western Michigan 31 164 61.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 61.2%
Most difficult game left: November 25, vs Toledo Rockets, 61.2%



One-Loss Hopefuls
Odds as of games through 2016-11-20

Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.892 5 0.616 22 23.3 13 10.5 8 180.3 18
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03   5 Clemson 19 at  29 Auburn 13 174 59.9%
2016/09/10  96 Troy 24 at   4 Clemson 30 198 96.4%
2016/09/22  11 Clemson 26 at  34 Georgia Tech 7 162 56.4%
2016/10/01  20 Louisville 36 at   9 Clemson 42 194 72.9%
2016/10/07   6 Clemson 56 at  68 Boston College 10 164 84.5%
2016/10/15  32 North Carolina St. 17 at   4 Clemson 24 190 86.5%
2016/10/29   5 Clemson 37 at  19 Florida St. 34 179 62.4%
2016/11/05  77 Syracuse 0 at   6 Clemson 54 182 93.0%
2016/11/12  47 Pittsburgh 43 at   4 Clemson 42 195 88.6%
2016/11/19   5 Clemson 35 at  76 Wake Forest 13 158 93.1%
2016/11/26  78 South Carolina 19 at   5 Clemson 32 170 93.3%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 93.3%
Most difficult game left: November 26, vs South Carolina Gamecocks, 93.3%


Washington Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.843 10 0.487 69 23.6 10 12.5 17 167.3 88
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  97 Rutgers 13 at  11 Washington 48 176 95.1%
2016/09/10 109 Idaho 14 at   9 Washington 59 165 97.2%
2016/09/24  10 Washington 35 at  71 Arizona 28 170 80.7%
2016/09/30   6 Stanford 6 at  18 Washington 44 143 44.4%
2016/10/08   8 Washington 70 at  31 Oregon 21 185 68.0%
2016/10/22  92 Oregon St. 17 at   6 Washington 41 153 96.1%
2016/10/29   8 Washington 31 at  36 Utah 24 164 67.7%
2016/11/05   8 Washington 66 at  59 California 27 181 83.0%
2016/11/12  23 USC 26 at   7 Washington 13 155 74.2%
2016/11/19  64 Arizona St. 18 at   9 Washington 44 167 83.8%
2016/11/25  10 Washington 32 at  19 Washington St. 29 171 61.4%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 61.4%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Washington State Cougars, 61.4%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.963 2 0.571 38 26.9 1 7.9 2 167.6 87
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  32 Bowling Green 10 at   2 Ohio St. 77 195 90.5%
2016/09/10  71 Tulsa 3 at   2 Ohio St. 48 168 98.0%
2016/09/17   2 Ohio St. 45 at  16 Oklahoma 24 165 86.9%
2016/10/01  85 Rutgers 0 at   2 Ohio St. 58 169 98.7%
2016/10/08  64 Indiana 17 at   1 Ohio St. 38 169 98.6%
2016/10/15   3 Ohio St. 30 at   6 Wisconsin 23 174 73.4%
2016/10/22   3 Ohio St. 21 at  40 Penn State 24 174 90.2%
2016/10/29  40 Northwestern 20 at   3 Ohio St. 24 167 94.5%
2016/11/05  25 Nebraska 3 at   3 Ohio St. 62 166 87.7%
2016/11/12   3 Ohio St. 62 at  81 Maryland 3 176 97.1%
2016/11/19   2 Ohio St. 17 at  48 Michigan St. 16 150 95.8%
2016/11/26   3 Michigan 27 at   2 Ohio St. 28 163 52.8%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 52.8%
Most difficult game left: November 26, vs Michigan Wolverines, 52.8%


Michigan Wolverines
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.958 3 0.507 64 26.2 4 8.1 3 159.0 117
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03 119 Hawaii 3 at   4 Michigan 63 142 98.7%
2016/09/10 125 UCF 14 at   3 Michigan 51 177 99.6%
2016/09/17  54 Colorado 28 at   3 Michigan 45 176 91.6%
2016/09/24  52 Penn State 10 at   3 Michigan 49 161 92.0%
2016/10/01   5 Wisconsin 7 at   3 Michigan 14 157 71.7%
2016/10/08   3 Michigan 78 at  96 Rutgers 0 163 97.6%
2016/10/22  91 Illinois 8 at   2 Michigan 41 148 99.1%
2016/10/29   2 Michigan 32 at  62 Michigan St. 23 159 95.3%
2016/11/05  68 Maryland 3 at   2 Michigan 59 153 97.0%
2016/11/12   2 Michigan 13 at  41 Iowa 14 153 94.2%
2016/11/19  70 Indiana 10 at   3 Michigan 20 159 97.1%
2016/11/26   3 Michigan 27 at   2 Ohio St. 28 163 47.2%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 47.2%
Most difficult game left: November 26, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 47.2%


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