The Tempo-Free Gridiron: October 2017

Saturday, October 28, 2017

Week 10: Saturday Predictions

100	Akron	28
102	Buffalo	25

101	Akron	28
96	Buffalo	21

62	Arizona	32
23	Washington St.	33

38	Arizona	27
18	Washington St.	34

43	Arizona St.	30
17	USC	32

76	Arizona St.	24
16	USC	31

78	Baylor	27
30	Texas	31

69	Baylor	27
27	Texas	35

121	BYU	30
127	SJSU	21

85	BYU	38
125	SJSU	17

4	Clemson	34
25	Georgia Tech	25

2	Clemson	31
22	Georgia Tech	20

106	Coastal Carolina	36
129	Texas State	26

126	Coastal Carolina	38
128	Texas State	24

76	Colorado	28
61	California	27

52	Colorado	29
51	California	28

49	Colorado St.	38
83	Air Force	30

54	Colorado St.	35
68	Air Force	28

111	Connecticut	29
85	Missouri	30

113	Connecticut	27
105	Missouri	31

42	Florida	21
8	Georgia	29

15	Florida	20
6	Georgia	27

36	Fresno St.	34
96	UNLV	23

84	Fresno St.	34
94	UNLV	24

119	Hawaii	23
34	SDSU	33

117	Hawaii	24
36	SDSU	42

113	Idaho	38
117	LA-Monroe	32

102	Idaho	35
111	LA-Monroe	31

120	Illinois	18
6	Wisconsin	34

110	Illinois	14
8	Wisconsin	38

18	Iowa	28
41	Minnesota	22

24	Iowa	28
48	Minnesota	21

21	Iowa St.	25
10	TCU	27

29	Iowa St.	28
19	TCU	31

125	Kansas	21
32	Kansas St.	35

122	Kansas	13
23	Kansas St.	48

72	Kentucky	28
77	Tennessee	25

63	Kentucky	28
67	Tennessee	24

40	Marshall	33
114	FIU	20

88	Marshall	38
123	FIU	13

74	Maryland	30
45	Indiana	31

90	Maryland	24
50	Indiana	34

105	Massachusetts	26
67	Appalachian St.	29

100	Massachusetts	27
81	Appalachian St.	31

12	Michigan	33
112	Rutgers	16

7	Michigan	48
107	Rutgers	3

70	Mississippi	36
66	Arkansas	33

35	Mississippi	38
65	Arkansas	27

103	New Mexico St.	28
38	Arkansas St.	35

104	New Mexico St.	28
83	Arkansas St.	34

91	North Carolina	22
15	Miami-FL	31

57	North Carolina	17
10	Miami-FL	35

97	North Texas	35
116	Old Dominion	30

99	North Texas	38
121	Old Dominion	31

35	Northwestern	25
26	Michigan St.	23

49	Northwestern	24
30	Michigan St.	25

7	Notre Dame	36
22	North Carolina St.	26

12	Notre Dame	35
39	North Carolina St.	20

3	Ohio St.	30
2	Penn State	29

5	Ohio St.	24
3	Penn State	28

13	Oklahoma	45
53	Texas Tech	31

13	Oklahoma	45
41	Texas Tech	27

65	Oregon	30
59	Utah	28

37	Oregon	27
20	Utah	31

51	Pittsburgh	33
81	Virginia	26

62	Pittsburgh	31
58	Virginia	27

57	Purdue	28
58	Nebraska	25

45	Purdue	31
60	Nebraska	24

128	Rice	23
71	LA Tech	32

127	Rice	20
73	LA Tech	38

50	South Carolina	27
95	Vanderbilt	19

43	South Carolina	27
32	Vanderbilt	24

29	South Florida	31
46	Houston	25

25	South Florida	38
56	Houston	24

75	Southern Miss.	37
118	UAB	25

77	Southern Miss.	31
87	UAB	27

28	Texas A&M	31
20	Mississippi St.	29

28	Texas A&M	31
26	Mississippi St.	27

63	Troy	33
115	Georgia Southern	22

74	Troy	38
116	Georgia Southern	20

90	Utah St.	27
31	Boise St.	32

89	Utah St.	24
31	Boise St.	34

126	UTEP	22
86	UTSA	30

124	UTEP	21
66	UTSA	35

9	Virginia Tech	31
68	Duke	18

14	Virginia Tech	34
61	Duke	17

37	Wake Forest	31
33	Louisville	29

44	Wake Forest	31
40	Louisville	27

5	Washington	36
55	UCLA	23

4	Washington	38
47	UCLA	17

44	West Virginia	31
14	Oklahoma St.	35

33	West Virginia	27
11	Oklahoma St.	31

79	Western Kentucky	36
87	FL-Atlantic	31

53	Western Kentucky	38
95	FL-Atlantic	21

94	Wyoming	27
89	New Mexico	26

86	Wyoming	31
82	New Mexico	27

Key
Close game							Certain victory
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Friday, October 27, 2017

Week 10: Friday Predictions

52	Boston College	23
27	Florida St.	24

80	Boston College	20
21	Florida St.	31

48	Memphis	33
82	Tulane	26

59	Memphis	38
93	Tulane	24

64	SMU	38
73	Tulsa	34

75	SMU	35
72	Tulsa	34

Key
Close game							Certain victory
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Thursday, October 26, 2017

Week 10: Thursday Predictions

123	Ball St.	25
39	Toledo	38

118	Ball St.	20
64	Toledo	38

108	Georgia State	25
101	South Alabama	23

119	Georgia State	28
109	South Alabama	27

60	Northern Ill.	27
88	Eastern Michigan	21

70	Northern Ill.	28
91	Eastern Michigan	20

110	Oregon St.	25
16	Stanford	37

98	Oregon St.	17
17	Stanford	45

Key
Close game							Certain victory
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 10 TFG Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions

Mountain West: Fresno St.
Pac-12: Washington
SEC: Alabama
Sun Belt: Appalachian St.

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 10 RBA Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions

Mountain West: Boise St.
Pac-12: Washington
SEC: Alabama
Sun Belt: Appalachian St.

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Wednesday, October 25, 2017

Week 10 TFG Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions

Big Ten: Penn State
Big XII: TCU
Independents: Massachusetts
Mid-American: Toledo

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 10 RBA Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions

Big Ten: Penn State
Big XII: Oklahoma St.
Independents: BYU
Mid-American: Toledo

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Tuesday, October 24, 2017

Week 10 TFG Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions

ACC: Clemson
American Athletic: UCF
Conference-USA: Marshall

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 10 RBA Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions

ACC: Clemson
American Athletic: South Florida
Conference-USA: Western Kentucky

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 10: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2017-10-22

Week 10: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2017-10-22

Monday, October 23, 2017

Week 10: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Alabama ( 8 - 0 )	0.978	0.572	47	26.8	3	6.4	1	162.9	107
2	+1	Penn State ( 7 - 0 )	0.957	0.599	34	27.5	2	8.6	3	167.9	86
3	-1	Ohio St. ( 6 - 1 )	0.952	0.532	54	25.9	5	8.4	2	175.6	38
4	--	Clemson ( 6 - 1 )	0.941	0.663	12	24.6	6	8.7	4	171.0	68
5	+1	Washington ( 5 - 1 )	0.912	0.470	74	23.6	8	9.8	9	159.9	116
6	-1	Wisconsin ( 7 - 0 )	0.911	0.485	69	23.1	12	9.6	7	155.3	128
7	+2	Notre Dame ( 6 - 1 )	0.906	0.617	27	26.4	4	11.3	13	177.4	28
8	--	Georgia ( 6 - 0 )	0.902	0.564	49	23.1	11	10.0	10	159.0	120
9	+6	Virginia Tech ( 5 - 1 )	0.894	0.523	59	20.9	20	9.3	5	173.8	47
10	+2	TCU ( 6 - 0 )	0.888	0.530	55	20.6	22	9.5	6	173.5	49
11	-1	Auburn ( 5 - 2 )	0.875	0.599	33	20.4	23	9.8	8	172.3	55
12	-5	Michigan ( 5 - 2 )	0.843	0.646	17	20.2	27	10.7	11	161.9	109
13	-2	Oklahoma ( 6 - 1 )	0.840	0.592	37	29.1	1	15.6	53	169.3	77
14	+2	Oklahoma St. ( 6 - 1 )	0.835	0.568	48	23.4	10	12.7	21	178.5	23
15	-2	Miami-FL ( 5 - 0 )	0.827	0.634	21	19.8	33	11.0	12	175.4	40
16	+2	Stanford ( 5 - 2 )	0.783	0.522	60	22.9	13	14.1	34	160.5	114
17	-3	USC ( 6 - 2 )	0.781	0.652	16	22.8	14	14.1	35	172.0	60
18	-1	Iowa ( 4 - 3 )	0.771	0.573	46	18.0	51	11.4	14	167.4	89
19	+1	UCF ( 6 - 0 )	0.764	0.401	91	21.0	19	13.5	30	167.5	87
20	NA	Mississippi St. ( 4 - 2 )	0.764	0.604	30	20.4	25	13.1	28	167.5	88
21	+1	Iowa St. ( 4 - 2 )	0.747	0.541	52	19.1	42	12.7	23	170.5	74
22	+3	North Carolina St. ( 5 - 1 )	0.745	0.615	28	20.8	21	13.9	33	172.6	54
23	NA	Washington St. ( 6 - 1 )	0.742	0.505	65	19.0	44	12.7	22	176.8	35
24	--	LSU ( 5 - 2 )	0.740	0.603	31	18.6	45	12.6	19	156.6	126
25	-2	Georgia Tech ( 3 - 2 )	0.739	0.587	40	23.5	9	15.9	55	158.9	121

Rankings through games of 2017-10-22

New entries: Mississippi St., Washington St..

Dropped out: Florida St., Michigan St..

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 10: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Fresno St. (0.146); Boston College (0.137); Ohio (0.125); Arkansas St. (0.120); Central Michigan (0.109)

Biggest drops: Virginia (-0.162); Idaho (-0.112); Utah (-0.111); LA-Lafayette (-0.104); UNLV (-0.096)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 10: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Alabama ( 8 - 0 )	0.948	0.554	9	27.4	1	6.0	1	158.0	130
2	--	Clemson ( 6 - 1 )	0.886	0.538	40	21.1	24	8.5	3	170.3	40
3	+1	Penn State ( 7 - 0 )	0.880	0.534	47	24.1	6	7.8	2	165.4	92
4	-1	Washington ( 5 - 1 )	0.868	0.544	31	22.2	14	8.9	6	168.6	59
5	+1	Ohio St. ( 6 - 1 )	0.856	0.532	53	25.1	4	9.2	8	162.6	118
6	+2	Georgia ( 6 - 0 )	0.851	0.545	28	23.0	10	10.8	14	160.5	125
7	--	Michigan ( 5 - 2 )	0.846	0.550	16	20.7	29	8.9	5	164.8	104
8	+1	Wisconsin ( 7 - 0 )	0.838	0.535	45	21.6	21	9.1	7	160.7	123
9	-4	Auburn ( 5 - 2 )	0.834	0.561	3	23.7	7	9.9	10	161.7	121
10	--	Miami-FL ( 5 - 0 )	0.825	0.549	18	19.8	37	10.4	11	164.4	108
11	+6	Oklahoma St. ( 6 - 1 )	0.804	0.549	19	25.4	3	12.0	23	176.5	7
12	+4	Notre Dame ( 6 - 1 )	0.797	0.567	2	23.1	8	11.1	16	165.0	99
13	+1	Oklahoma ( 6 - 1 )	0.789	0.544	32	27.2	2	14.4	44	172.6	21
14	-3	Virginia Tech ( 5 - 1 )	0.788	0.522	57	21.6	20	9.3	9	162.6	117
15	--	Florida ( 3 - 3 )	0.782	0.560	4	17.4	53	8.8	4	160.7	124
16	-3	USC ( 6 - 2 )	0.778	0.537	41	20.9	27	10.8	13	168.0	66
17	+1	Stanford ( 5 - 2 )	0.772	0.543	33	24.4	5	11.4	18	164.8	103
18	-6	Washington St. ( 6 - 1 )	0.741	0.542	34	21.8	16	11.7	22	174.7	10
19	+1	TCU ( 6 - 0 )	0.721	0.495	69	21.8	17	10.5	12	171.5	29
20	-1	Utah ( 3 - 3 )	0.720	0.498	66	17.1	54	13.3	32	167.4	74
21	+2	Florida St. ( 2 - 4 )	0.714	0.544	30	17.6	50	11.3	17	165.8	86
22	-1	Georgia Tech ( 3 - 2 )	0.711	0.540	35	22.9	11	14.1	41	162.0	120
23	-1	Kansas St. ( 2 - 4 )	0.697	0.534	49	20.8	28	13.1	29	165.3	94
24	NA	Iowa ( 4 - 3 )	0.695	0.524	56	16.5	62	11.0	15	163.7	113
25	--	South Florida ( 6 - 0 )	0.694	0.512	62	22.2	13	15.2	50	169.3	51

Rankings through games of 2017-10-22

New entries: Iowa.

Dropped out: SDSU.

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 10: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: Fresno St. (0.092); Akron (0.071); Mississippi St. (0.067); Iowa St. (0.064); Tulsa (0.051)

Biggest drops: Coastal Carolina (-0.290); Houston (-0.074); Western Michigan (-0.060); Tulane (-0.055); Colorado (-0.055)

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, October 21, 2017

Week 9: Saturday Predictions

1	Alabama	36
76	Tennessee	16

1	Alabama	42
68	Tennessee	14

61	Appalachian St.	34
113	Coastal Carolina	22

78	Appalachian St.	38
86	Coastal Carolina	21

71	Arkansas	25
10	Auburn	31

65	Arkansas	20
5	Auburn	38

83	Army	26
77	Temple	25

92	Army	27
74	Temple	28

121	Ball St.	28
120	Central Michigan	26

114	Ball St.	27
112	Central Michigan	24

82	Baylor	30
42	West Virginia	32

64	Baylor	31
31	West Virginia	35

30	Boise St.	34
94	Wyoming	22

39	Boise St.	35
88	Wyoming	20

122	Bowling Green	24
60	Northern Ill.	32

122	Bowling Green	17
70	Northern Ill.	31

56	California	34
54	Arizona	31

56	California	34
49	Arizona	31

127	Charlotte	28
106	UAB	32

130	Charlotte	27
87	UAB	34

97	Cincinnati	31
67	SMU	32

104	Cincinnati	28
76	SMU	35

115	Connecticut	31
69	Tulsa	36

120	Connecticut	31
83	Tulsa	38

55	Duke	28
50	Pittsburgh	27

60	Duke	31
59	Pittsburgh	24

110	East Carolina	28
112	BYU	27

113	East Carolina	27
77	BYU	35

90	Eastern Michigan	28
39	Western Michigan	32

91	Eastern Michigan	24
30	Western Michigan	38

95	FL-Atlantic	36
89	North Texas	33

101	FL-Atlantic	35
102	North Texas	31

19	Florida St.	33
34	Louisville	28

23	Florida St.	34
33	Louisville	24

101	Georgia State	23
80	Troy	24

123	Georgia State	24
72	Troy	28

23	Georgia Tech	30
35	Wake Forest	24

21	Georgia Tech	31
51	Wake Forest	20

41	Kansas St.	28
11	Oklahoma	33

22	Kansas St.	24
14	Oklahoma	34

70	LA Tech	31
81	Southern Miss.	27

69	LA Tech	35
80	Southern Miss.	27

119	Massachusetts	30
108	Georgia Southern	29

107	Massachusetts	31
108	Georgia Southern	28

13	Miami-FL	35
64	Syracuse	24

10	Miami-FL	41
75	Syracuse	17

109	Miami-OH	30
100	Buffalo	28

106	Miami-OH	27
95	Buffalo	24

21	Michigan St.	29
33	Indiana	26

29	Michigan St.	31
55	Indiana	21

37	Minnesota	33
114	Illinois	20

47	Minnesota	35
100	Illinois	17

73	Mississippi	28
24	LSU	31

50	Mississippi	29
45	LSU	28

32	Mississippi St.	32
62	Kentucky	25

42	Mississippi St.	31
58	Kentucky	24

98	Missouri	31
91	Idaho	29

111	Missouri	28
98	Idaho	27

51	Navy	29
20	UCF	30

54	Navy	34
36	UCF	31

43	Northwestern	25
17	Iowa	27

53	Northwestern	24
28	Iowa	25

9	Notre Dame	34
14	USC	29

16	Notre Dame	31
13	USC	27

92	Ohio	30
129	Kent St.	22

79	Ohio	35
129	Kent St.	17

3	Penn State	29
7	Michigan	22

4	Penn State	25
7	Michigan	24

117	Rutgers	21
45	Purdue	28

116	Rutgers	21
46	Purdue	38

26	SDSU	30
68	Fresno St.	22

24	SDSU	41
97	Fresno St.	20

105	South Alabama	36
111	LA-Monroe	29

117	South Alabama	34
109	LA-Monroe	31

12	TCU	43
124	Kansas	18

20	TCU	48
121	Kansas	17

29	Texas	30
16	Oklahoma St.	32

26	Texas	31
17	Oklahoma St.	34

44	Texas Tech	32
22	Iowa St.	34

41	Texas Tech	35
44	Iowa St.	34

52	Toledo	33
102	Akron	24

67	Toledo	35
115	Akron	14

85	Tulane	26
28	South Florida	31

82	Tulane	27
25	South Florida	38

57	UCLA	36
59	Oregon	33

37	UCLA	35
35	Oregon	31

84	UNLV	33
99	Utah St.	28

94	UNLV	32
85	Utah St.	31

36	Utah	31
53	Arizona St.	27

19	Utah	35
81	Arizona St.	21

86	UTSA	35
128	Rice	21

66	UTSA	42
125	Rice	17

48	Virginia	28
78	Boston College	23

62	Virginia	31
90	Boston College	20

15	Virginia Tech	32
79	North Carolina	20

11	Virginia Tech	35
57	North Carolina	17

31	Washington St.	31
58	Colorado	24

12	Washington St.	35
34	Colorado	21

5	Wisconsin	36
75	Maryland	21

9	Wisconsin	48
89	Maryland	14

Key
Close game							Certain victory
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

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