Tuesday, October 17, 2017

Week 9: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2017-10-15

Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.977 1 0.580 40 26.4 2 6.4 1 163.0 105
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02   8 Florida St. 7 vs   1 Alabama 24 148 87.7%
2017/09/09 121 Fresno St. 10 at   1 Alabama 41 151 99.8%
2017/09/16  65 Colorado St. 23 at   1 Alabama 41 160 97.7%
2017/09/23   2 Alabama 59 at  41 Vanderbilt 0 158 87.8%
2017/09/30  61 Mississippi 3 at   1 Alabama 66 159 98.3%
2017/10/07   1 Alabama 27 at  35 Texas A&M 19 162 95.5%
2017/10/14  70 Arkansas 9 at   1 Alabama 41 163 98.7%
2017/10/21  76 Tennessee 16 at   1 Alabama 36 167 98.8%
2017/11/04  24 LSU 19 at   1 Alabama 31 160 94.9%
2017/11/11   1 Alabama 33 at  32 Mississippi St. 21 166 94.3%
2017/11/25   1 Alabama 30 at  10 Auburn 21 166 87.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 77.5%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Auburn Tigers, 87.7%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Wisconsin Badgers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.913 5 0.482 71 23.3 11 9.6 6 156.3 127
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/01  86 Utah St. 10 at   6 Wisconsin 59 166 95.8%
2017/09/09 120 FL-Atlantic 14 at   7 Wisconsin 31 168 99.3%
2017/09/16   8 Wisconsin 40 at  72 BYU 6 135 87.4%
2017/09/30  41 Northwestern 24 at   5 Wisconsin 33 164 91.8%
2017/10/07   6 Wisconsin 38 at  55 Nebraska 17 154 86.7%
2017/10/14  46 Purdue 9 at   6 Wisconsin 17 148 91.5%
2017/10/21  75 Maryland 21 at   5 Wisconsin 36 164 95.4%
2017/10/28   5 Wisconsin 34 at 114 Illinois 18 159 96.7%
2017/11/04   5 Wisconsin 32 at  33 Indiana 25 172 80.8%
2017/11/11  17 Iowa 22 at   5 Wisconsin 28 161 75.6%
2017/11/18   7 Michigan 23 at   5 Wisconsin 26 159 57.6%
2017/11/25   5 Wisconsin 29 at  37 Minnesota 21 158 85.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 27.7%
Most difficult game left: November 18, vs Michigan Wolverines, 57.6%


Georgia Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.883 8 0.536 54 22.6 15 10.6 10 158.4 123
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02  21 Appalachian St. 10 at  43 Georgia 31 160 50.1%
2017/09/09  19 Georgia 20 at  15 Notre Dame 19 188 34.5%
2017/09/23  11 Mississippi St. 3 at  21 Georgia 31 147 49.2%
2017/09/30  10 Georgia 41 at  52 Tennessee 0 152 75.9%
2017/10/07   7 Georgia 45 at  83 Vanderbilt 14 145 93.1%
2017/10/14 103 Missouri 28 at   5 Georgia 53 155 98.2%
2017/10/28   8 Georgia 29 vs  38 Florida 22 159 81.1%
2017/11/04  47 South Carolina 19 at   8 Georgia 28 159 86.5%
2017/11/11   8 Georgia 26 at  10 Auburn 25 164 51.0%
2017/11/18  62 Kentucky 22 at   8 Georgia 32 163 87.5%
2017/11/25   8 Georgia 30 at  23 Georgia Tech 26 159 73.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 22.9%
Most difficult game left: November 11, at Auburn Tigers, 51.0%


Penn State Nittany Lions
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.951 3 0.584 39 25.1 4 8.2 2 168.7 83
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02 104 Akron 0 at  12 Penn State 52 158 96.0%
2017/09/09  30 Pittsburgh 14 at   6 Penn State 33 162 90.9%
2017/09/16 116 Georgia State 0 at   5 Penn State 56 160 99.0%
2017/09/23   3 Penn State 21 at  24 Iowa 19 172 78.2%
2017/09/30  39 Indiana 14 at   3 Penn State 45 182 92.8%
2017/10/07   4 Penn State 31 at  43 Northwestern 7 179 86.4%
2017/10/21   7 Michigan 22 at   3 Penn State 29 165 80.6%
2017/10/28   3 Penn State 27 at   2 Ohio St. 30 172 36.3%
2017/11/04   3 Penn State 30 at  21 Michigan St. 21 165 85.0%
2017/11/11 117 Rutgers 15 at   3 Penn State 38 168 99.1%
2017/11/18  63 Nebraska 21 at   3 Penn State 35 166 94.7%
2017/11/25   3 Penn State 38 at  75 Maryland 22 170 96.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 22.4%
Most difficult game left: October 28, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 36.3%


UCF Knights
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.747 20 0.348 106 21.2 18 14.1 35 166.0 94
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/08/31 111 FIU 17 at  71 UCF 61 171 75.5%
2017/09/23  59 UCF 38 at  63 Maryland 10 167 40.2%
2017/09/30  46 Memphis 13 at  34 UCF 40 178 67.5%
2017/10/07  20 UCF 51 at  87 Cincinnati 23 132 83.0%
2017/10/14 113 East Carolina 21 at  24 UCF 63 178 95.6%
2017/10/21  20 UCF 30 at  51 Navy 29 161 57.9%
2017/11/04  20 UCF 35 at  67 SMU 30 171 71.7%
2017/11/11 115 Connecticut 22 at  20 UCF 37 169 94.2%
2017/11/18  20 UCF 29 at  77 Temple 22 165 78.8%
2017/11/24  28 South Florida 30 at  20 UCF 31 177 54.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 16.9%
Most difficult game left: November 24, vs South Florida Bulls, 54.8%


South Florida Bulls
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.709 28 0.281 120 20.2 29 14.4 39 188.2 2
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/08/26  47 South Florida 42 at 106 SJSU 22 232 84.2%
2017/09/15  73 Illinois 23 at  60 South Florida 47 192 71.6%
2017/09/21  56 Temple 7 at  49 South Florida 43 176 63.2%
2017/09/30  29 South Florida 61 at 107 East Carolina 31 184 86.2%
2017/10/14  88 Cincinnati 3 at  32 South Florida 33 189 86.0%
2017/10/21  28 South Florida 31 at  85 Tulane 26 175 72.1%
2017/10/28  40 Houston 24 at  28 South Florida 30 182 70.5%
2017/11/04  28 South Florida 37 at 115 Connecticut 24 180 90.3%
2017/11/16  69 Tulsa 32 at  28 South Florida 38 185 72.5%
2017/11/24  28 South Florida 30 at  20 UCF 31 177 45.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 15.0%
Most difficult game left: November 24, at UCF Knights, 45.2%


Long Shots

TCU Horned Frogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.846 12 0.622 25 20.5 23 10.8 11 177.5 28
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/09  42 TCU 28 at  36 Arkansas 7 151 33.0%
2017/09/16  94 SMU 36 at  22 TCU 56 176 93.7%
2017/09/23  26 TCU 44 at   9 Oklahoma St. 31 184 21.1%
2017/10/07  33 West Virginia 24 at  15 TCU 31 176 78.2%
2017/10/14  15 TCU 26 at  29 Kansas St. 6 160 54.2%
2017/10/21 124 Kansas 18 at  12 TCU 43 179 98.9%
2017/10/28  12 TCU 28 at  22 Iowa St. 27 174 54.1%
2017/11/04  29 Texas 25 at  12 TCU 30 181 73.1%
2017/11/11  12 TCU 29 at  11 Oklahoma 34 172 44.5%
2017/11/18  12 TCU 36 at  44 Texas Tech 30 183 78.7%
2017/11/24  82 Baylor 24 at  12 TCU 35 180 88.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 12.1%
Most difficult game left: November 11, at Oklahoma Sooners, 44.5%


Miami Hurricanes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.839 13 0.658 13 21.3 17 11.4 14 174.8 42
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/23  62 Toledo 30 at  16 Miami-FL 52 183 85.9%
2017/09/29  15 Miami-FL 31 at  22 Duke 6 175 47.4%
2017/10/07  11 Miami-FL 24 at  18 Florida St. 20 176 57.3%
2017/10/14  26 Georgia Tech 24 at  13 Miami-FL 25 162 74.6%
2017/10/21  64 Syracuse 24 at  13 Miami-FL 35 179 89.0%
2017/10/28  13 Miami-FL 31 at  79 North Carolina 24 173 81.4%
2017/11/04  15 Virginia Tech 25 at  13 Miami-FL 27 173 55.7%
2017/11/11   9 Notre Dame 31 at  13 Miami-FL 29 176 47.1%
2017/11/18  48 Virginia 24 at  13 Miami-FL 31 172 79.5%
2017/11/24  13 Miami-FL 33 at  50 Pittsburgh 26 169 80.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 12.1%
Most difficult game left: November 11, vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 47.1%


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