Thursday, November 30, 2017

Week 15 TFG Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions
  • Mountain West: Boise St.
  • Pac-12: Stanford
  • SEC: Auburn
  • Sun Belt: Troy
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15 RBA Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions
  • Mountain West: Boise St.
  • Pac-12: Washington
  • SEC: Auburn
  • Sun Belt: Troy
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Wednesday, November 29, 2017

Week 15 TFG Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Wisconsin
  • Big XII: Oklahoma
  • Independents: Massachusetts
  • Mid-American: Toledo
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15 RBA Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Wisconsin
  • Big XII: Oklahoma
  • Independents: Massachusetts
  • Mid-American: Toledo
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Tuesday, November 28, 2017

Week 15 TFG Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Clemson
  • American Athletic: UCF
  • Conference-USA: FL-Atlantic
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15 RBA Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Clemson
  • American Athletic: UCF
  • Conference-USA: FL-Atlantic
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2017-11-26

Week 15: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2017-11-26

Monday, November 27, 2017

Week 15: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.959 0.624 17 24.4 7 7.5 1 164.0 101
2 -- Wisconsin  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.942 0.531 61 24.6 6 8.6 2 153.7 129
3 -- Auburn  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.936 0.674 3 24.7 5 9.0 3 171.8 54
4 +2 Penn State  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.927 0.558 50 26.8 3 10.3 8 170.7 61
5 -- Georgia  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.924 0.592 32 23.2 10 9.1 6 155.6 126
6 +1 Clemson  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.920 0.629 14 22.6 12 9.0 4 172.1 52
7 -3 Ohio St.  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.917 0.576 41 27.0 2 11.0 10 174.8 41
8 -- Washington  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.895 0.524 63 24.3 8 10.9 9 160.7 111
9 +1 Oklahoma  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.848 0.548 55 29.3 1 15.4 45 171.2 59
10 -1 TCU  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.844 0.558 49 18.0 53 9.5 7 171.2 58
11 +2 Virginia Tech  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.843 0.533 59 17.2 58 9.1 5 168.7 77
12 -- Notre Dame  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.815 0.656 9 23.1 11 13.2 25 174.1 44
13 +3 Iowa  ( 7 - 5 ) 0.815 0.657 8 20.8 21 11.9 15 165.5 95
14 -3 Miami-FL  ( 9 - 1 ) 0.812 0.576 42 20.5 23 11.8 14 170.5 63
15 +3 Stanford  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.804 0.573 44 21.6 15 12.7 20 158.1 121
16 +1 LSU  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.799 0.626 16 18.7 43 11.1 11 157.0 124
17 -2 Michigan  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.790 0.604 25 18.9 39 11.5 13 159.6 115
18 +4 Northwestern  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.786 0.553 54 18.2 52 11.2 12 179.8 19
19 -5 Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.782 0.629 13 20.8 22 12.9 22 165.6 93
20 -1 Oklahoma St.  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.766 0.528 62 26.0 4 16.7 59 187.0 2
21 -- UCF  ( 10 - 0 ) 0.763 0.413 86 21.6 16 13.9 29 174.1 43
22 -2 USC  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.748 0.567 45 21.4 17 14.2 31 176.5 33
23 +1 Iowa St.  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.736 0.581 39 17.8 56 12.1 18 169.5 71
24 NA SDSU  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.722 0.370 102 18.9 40 13.2 26 155.5 127
25 -2 Boise St.  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.720 0.435 81 21.1 19 14.8 38 168.9 74
Rankings through games of 2017-11-26

New entries: SDSU.

Dropped out: Washington St..


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 15: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Oregon (0.071); Troy (0.066); Middle Tenn. (0.062); Fresno St. (0.058); Utah (0.054)

Biggest drops: Minnesota (-0.072); Nebraska (-0.063); Wyoming (-0.061); Oregon St. (-0.059); Tennessee (-0.058)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 15: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.942 0.555 9 26.2 2 6.3 1 158.0 130
2 +3 Wisconsin  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.854 0.533 50 22.1 14 8.2 2 160.4 124
3 -1 Penn State  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.849 0.536 42 25.3 5 9.3 5 165.5 91
4 -1 Ohio St.  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.849 0.533 51 26.1 4 10.2 11 162.7 116
5 +2 Clemson  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.844 0.538 40 21.1 22 8.5 4 170.3 40
6 -2 Auburn  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.836 0.561 3 23.5 9 10.1 10 161.8 119
7 +2 Georgia  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.830 0.545 28 24.5 7 10.0 9 160.2 125
8 -2 Washington  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.827 0.544 30 23.0 11 9.9 8 168.3 62
9 +4 TCU  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.818 0.497 67 21.0 23 9.7 7 171.4 29
10 -- Virginia Tech  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.817 0.521 57 18.0 50 8.3 3 162.4 118
11 -3 Michigan  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.816 0.550 15 20.6 25 9.5 6 164.4 106
12 +2 Oklahoma  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.802 0.542 32 27.9 1 13.7 35 172.5 20
13 -1 USC  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.795 0.535 47 21.8 17 11.0 14 168.3 64
14 -3 Oklahoma St.  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.785 0.548 21 26.1 3 14.4 45 176.7 5
15 -- Notre Dame  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.767 0.566 2 21.9 15 12.2 21 165.0 97
16 -- Stanford  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.767 0.542 33 20.9 24 11.1 15 164.5 103
17 +5 LSU  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.735 0.557 7 20.2 30 11.8 19 159.8 126
18 +1 Iowa St.  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.731 0.550 16 18.0 51 10.9 13 172.1 25
19 +1 Washington St.  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.730 0.541 34 21.8 18 13.0 25 174.6 10
20 -2 Miami-FL  ( 9 - 1 ) 0.724 0.548 22 19.0 42 12.8 24 164.4 105
21 -- Texas A&M  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.715 0.547 25 21.9 16 14.1 39 174.5 12
22 -5 Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.714 0.559 5 20.5 26 13.2 26 164.6 101
23 NA Northwestern  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.709 0.519 59 17.7 54 10.6 12 176.4 6
24 -- Boise St.  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.708 0.453 105 20.2 31 14.1 38 169.8 46
25 -- Texas  ( 6 - 6 ) 0.698 0.534 49 18.3 46 12.3 22 171.3 30
Rankings through games of 2017-11-26

New entries: Northwestern.

Dropped out: Iowa.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 15: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: Florida (0.093); Indiana (0.067); Northwestern (0.065); Troy (0.048); Duke (0.046)

Biggest drops: UAB (-0.187); Minnesota (-0.057); Georgia Tech (-0.056); Vanderbilt (-0.055); Rutgers (-0.055)

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, November 25, 2017

Week 14: Saturday Predictions

 88Air Force28
 71Utah St.31
 81Air Force31
 87Utah St.28

 56Arizona St.35
 55Arizona37
 71Arizona St.34
 31Arizona38

  3Auburn25
  1Alabama29
  4Auburn21
  1Alabama27

127Charlotte23
 46FL-Atlantic38
127Charlotte24
 68FL-Atlantic45

111Cincinnati28
117Connecticut26
112Cincinnati31
117Connecticut24

 60Florida23
 51Florida St.24
 47Florida28
 56Florida St.20

 50Fresno St.23
 23Boise St.29
 79Fresno St.24
 24Boise St.31

110Georgia State23
 66Appalachian St.28
122Georgia State21
 84Appalachian St.34

 36Georgia Tech24
  5Georgia32
 41Georgia Tech24
  9Georgia27

121Hawaii23
106BYU28
119Hawaii27
 95BYU31

119Illinois19
 22Northwestern32
113Illinois17
 32Northwestern35

 38Kansas St.26
 24Iowa St.29
 34Kansas St.28
 19Iowa St.31

 74Kentucky28
 27Louisville34
 59Kentucky31
 36Louisville32

107LA-Lafayette27
104Georgia Southern29
116LA-Lafayette31
120Georgia Southern24

109LA-Monroe28
 47Arkansas St.38
107LA-Monroe27
 86Arkansas St.34

 86LA Tech26
 83UTSA27
 88LA Tech31
 75UTSA27

 17LSU27
 28Texas A&M25
 22LSU31
 21Texas A&M21

 54Marshall29
 85Southern Miss.25
 78Marshall31
 91Southern Miss.24

 92Maryland22
  6Penn State40
 93Maryland17
  2Penn State42

 30Memphis41
108East Carolina29
 43Memphis49
108East Carolina21

 15Michigan25
  4Ohio St.31
  8Michigan27
  3Ohio St.28

103Middle Tenn.28
113Old Dominion27
118Middle Tenn.31
115Old Dominion24

 72Minnesota19
  2Wisconsin32
 42Minnesota17
  5Wisconsin34

 94Nevada33
 98UNLV32
 96Nevada35
 98UNLV28

112New Mexico St.30
105Idaho32
111New Mexico St.31
104Idaho28

 29North Carolina St.31
 89North Carolina25
 35North Carolina St.31
 58North Carolina24

 10Oklahoma40
 45West Virginia30
 14Oklahoma41
 26West Virginia24

 19Oklahoma St.46
125Kansas24
 11Oklahoma St.52
124Kansas7

 59Oregon35
114Oregon St.27
 28Oregon49
103Oregon St.20

 41Purdue26
 43Indiana24
 55Purdue28
 61Indiana24

124Rice28
 82North Texas38
123Rice31
 99North Texas35

122Rutgers17
 31Michigan St.28
101Rutgers17
 29Michigan St.31

130SJSU19
 65Wyoming35
128SJSU20
 63Wyoming42

 69SMU31
 84Tulane29
 76SMU38
 97Tulane27

 49South Carolina19
  7Clemson29
 33South Carolina24
  7Clemson28

 18Stanford27
 12Notre Dame29
 16Stanford31
 15Notre Dame27

 77Syracuse25
 35Boston College28
 80Syracuse24
 49Boston College27

 91Tennessee26
100Vanderbilt24
 83Tennessee27
 64Vanderbilt28

 81Tulsa28
 76Temple29
 85Tulsa31
 77Temple28

101UAB33
128UTEP25
 57UAB42
129UTEP20

 44Utah29
 75Colorado26
 37Utah31
 51Colorado24

 33Wake Forest28
 64Duke24
 38Wake Forest28
 65Duke21

  8Washington31
 25Washington St.25
  6Washington34
 20Washington St.21


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Friday, November 24, 2017

Week 14: Friday Predictions

 80Arkansas30
 37Missouri34
 82Arkansas31
 45Missouri35

 97Buffalo27
 53Ohio32
100Buffalo24
 44Ohio31

 93Central Michigan25
 39Northern Ill.31
 94Central Michigan24
 72Northern Ill.28

102FIU30
 87Western Kentucky32
102FIU27
 74Western Kentucky34

 42Houston28
 52Navy26
 48Houston34
 60Navy27

 57Nebraska26
 16Iowa32
 73Nebraska24
 23Iowa34

 62Pittsburgh23
 11Miami-FL32
 50Pittsburgh24
 18Miami-FL31

 26SDSU31
116New Mexico21
 39SDSU41
109New Mexico20

  9TCU31
 90Baylor20
 13TCU42
 66Baylor17

 34Texas32
 73Texas Tech28
 25Texas35
 40Texas Tech24

 40Toledo33
 61Western Michigan31
 70Toledo31
 46Western Michigan34

 48Troy33
123Texas State20
 67Troy38
126Texas State13

 21UCF31
 32South Florida28
 27UCF28
 30South Florida27

 67UCLA33
 68California31
 54UCLA34
 53California31

 78Virginia22
 13Virginia Tech31
 89Virginia21
 10Virginia Tech35


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Thursday, November 23, 2017

Week 14: Thursday Predictions

 14Mississippi St.36
 70Mississippi27
 17Mississippi St.38
 52Mississippi24


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 14 TFG Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions
  • Mountain West: Boise St.
  • Pac-12: Washington
  • SEC: Alabama
  • Sun Belt: Troy
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 14 RBA Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions
  • Mountain West: Boise St.
  • Pac-12: Washington
  • SEC: Alabama
  • Sun Belt: Appalachian St.
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Wednesday, November 22, 2017

Week 14 TFG Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Wisconsin
  • Big XII: Oklahoma
  • Independents: Massachusetts
  • Mid-American: Toledo
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 14 RBA Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Ohio St.
  • Big XII: Oklahoma
  • Independents: Massachusetts
  • Mid-American: Ohio
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Tuesday, November 21, 2017

Week 14: Tuesday Predictions

 99Akron27
129Kent St.19
114Akron35
130Kent St.14

126Ball St.24
 96Miami-OH34
125Ball St.21
105Miami-OH31

 79Eastern Michigan33
115Bowling Green26
 90Eastern Michigan38
121Bowling Green20


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 14 TFG Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Clemson
  • American Athletic: UCF
  • Conference-USA: FL-Atlantic
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 14 RBA Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Clemson
  • American Athletic: UCF
  • Conference-USA: FL-Atlantic
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 14: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2017-11-19

Week 14: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2017-11-19

Monday, November 20, 2017

Week 14: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 10 - 0 ) 0.968 0.577 43 25.7 5 7.2 1 164.5 99
2 +2 Wisconsin  ( 11 - 0 ) 0.931 0.554 51 24.8 6 9.4 4 154.8 129
3 +2 Auburn  ( 8 - 2 ) 0.920 0.623 19 23.7 7 9.4 5 172.7 53
4 -1 Ohio St.  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.914 0.564 49 26.9 2 11.1 10 174.5 41
5 +2 Georgia  ( 9 - 1 ) 0.913 0.609 22 23.3 8 9.6 6 156.8 124
6 -4 Penn State  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.912 0.596 30 26.7 3 11.1 9 169.4 73
7 -1 Clemson  ( 9 - 1 ) 0.911 0.639 14 22.0 14 9.2 3 171.6 61
8 -- Washington  ( 8 - 2 ) 0.876 0.503 67 23.2 11 11.1 8 161.0 111
9 +3 TCU  ( 8 - 2 ) 0.859 0.577 42 17.6 56 8.9 2 171.0 65
10 +3 Oklahoma  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.851 0.545 56 28.6 1 14.9 44 172.8 51
11 -2 Miami-FL  ( 9 - 0 ) 0.851 0.592 35 21.5 18 11.2 12 170.0 67
12 -2 Notre Dame  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.841 0.642 13 23.3 9 12.4 19 172.8 48
13 -2 Virginia Tech  ( 7 - 3 ) 0.841 0.561 50 18.6 41 9.9 7 169.7 69
14 +1 Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 3 ) 0.811 0.642 12 22.0 13 12.7 21 164.7 98
15 -1 Michigan  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.802 0.567 48 19.0 38 11.2 11 159.8 116
16 -- Iowa  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.783 0.682 4 19.6 33 12.1 16 166.2 89
17 +3 LSU  ( 7 - 3 ) 0.779 0.632 15 18.0 49 11.2 13 156.3 126
18 -- Stanford  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.776 0.540 58 20.7 21 13.0 24 158.0 122
19 -2 Oklahoma St.  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.771 0.587 37 26.5 4 16.7 58 186.7 2
20 -1 USC  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.759 0.580 41 21.5 17 14.0 31 176.0 36
21 +1 UCF  ( 9 - 0 ) 0.757 0.387 93 20.7 22 13.5 28 172.2 57
22 NA Northwestern  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.757 0.596 31 17.7 55 11.6 14 180.7 15
23 -- Boise St.  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.756 0.426 83 21.6 15 14.2 33 169.3 76
24 -3 Iowa St.  ( 6 - 4 ) 0.746 0.574 44 18.3 47 12.2 18 170.7 66
25 -1 Washington St.  ( 8 - 2 ) 0.719 0.547 55 19.2 36 13.5 29 179.7 19
Rankings through games of 2017-11-19

New entries: Northwestern.

Dropped out: Georgia Tech.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.