Week 16: Saturday Predictions

29 Army 31  92 Navy 24

44 Army 38  97 Navy 21

Key
Close game							Certain victory

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Week 16: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Alabama  ( 12 - 0 )	0.962	0.658	10	31.3	2	9.3	3	164.3	91
2	--	Clemson  ( 12 - 0 )	0.952	0.554	48	25.5	5	8.3	1	169.9	64
3	--	Georgia  ( 10 - 2 )	0.916	0.695	3	28.3	3	11.5	12	158.8	111
4	--	Michigan  ( 10 - 2 )	0.897	0.584	31	24.8	8	11.0	7	155.4	126
5	--	Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 )	0.873	0.626	19	18.1	53	8.8	2	155.1	127
6	--	Ohio St.  ( 12 - 1 )	0.859	0.561	44	26.8	4	13.6	21	181.4	9
7	--	Notre Dame  ( 12 - 0 )	0.841	0.544	52	21.0	23	11.2	9	171.9	53
8	--	Penn State  ( 9 - 3 )	0.836	0.566	42	20.9	24	11.3	10	175.8	38
9	+1	Iowa  ( 7 - 4 )	0.833	0.547	49	19.6	32	10.7	5	159.4	109
10	+1	Fresno St.  ( 10 - 2 )	0.821	0.435	82	17.9	57	10.1	4	162.7	99
11	-2	UCF  ( 11 - 0 )	0.820	0.452	75	24.0	10	13.6	20	182.0	8
12	+1	Washington  ( 9 - 3 )	0.814	0.572	40	19.8	31	11.4	11	157.5	118
13	+1	Missouri  ( 7 - 4 )	0.798	0.663	7	21.9	18	13.1	19	177.8	23
14	-2	Appalachian St.  ( 9 - 2 )	0.795	0.330	120	19.3	36	11.6	14	163.8	94
15	+1	LSU  ( 8 - 3 )	0.795	0.655	11	20.2	26	12.2	15	176.3	36
16	-1	Auburn  ( 6 - 5 )	0.795	0.696	1	18.5	46	11.1	8	169.4	67
17	--	Oklahoma  ( 12 - 1 )	0.793	0.578	35	32.7	1	19.7	89	173.1	47
18	--	Boise St.  ( 10 - 3 )	0.772	0.474	70	23.2	12	14.6	35	168.2	74
19	--	Texas A&M  ( 7 - 4 )	0.764	0.693	4	25.0	7	16.0	49	171.3	54
20	+1	West Virginia  ( 7 - 3 )	0.761	0.581	32	25.0	6	16.2	51	178.6	19
21	+1	Cincinnati  ( 9 - 2 )	0.753	0.427	89	17.6	65	11.5	13	167.8	76
22	-2	Utah  ( 8 - 4 )	0.745	0.592	26	19.1	39	12.8	18	166.6	82
23	NA	North Carolina St.  ( 8 - 3 )	0.737	0.459	73	21.0	22	14.3	31	166.1	84
24	-1	Temple  ( 8 - 3 )	0.735	0.420	93	20.1	27	13.7	23	179.1	16
25	-1	Washington St.  ( 9 - 2 )	0.734	0.517	61	23.5	11	16.0	45	168.5	70

Rankings through games of 2018-12-02

New entries: North Carolina St..

Dropped out: Florida.


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Week 16: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Virginia Tech (0.070); North Carolina St. (0.065); South Carolina (0.036); Northern Ill. (0.015); Boston College (0.015)

Biggest drops: Marshall (-0.066); East Carolina (-0.053); Akron (-0.025); Northwestern (-0.022); Utah (-0.019)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 16: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	+1	Alabama  ( 12 - 0 )	0.917	0.555	8	31.4	1	9.6	4	158.1	127
2	-1	Clemson  ( 12 - 0 )	0.916	0.540	36	27.2	4	8.0	2	170.1	45
3	--	Michigan  ( 10 - 2 )	0.866	0.552	12	23.9	8	9.9	5	164.0	105
4	+2	Georgia  ( 10 - 2 )	0.860	0.549	22	29.2	3	11.6	17	160.0	125
5	--	Iowa  ( 7 - 4 )	0.857	0.528	54	22.5	13	9.1	3	163.3	115
6	-2	Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 )	0.851	0.561	5	23.3	11	8.0	1	163.9	107
7	--	Ohio St.  ( 12 - 1 )	0.811	0.535	49	25.9	5	12.2	19	163.7	113
8	+1	LSU  ( 8 - 3 )	0.792	0.560	7	20.8	26	11.2	14	160.5	121
9	+2	Penn State  ( 9 - 3 )	0.785	0.539	39	21.6	19	10.3	8	165.9	86
10	--	Notre Dame  ( 12 - 0 )	0.785	0.564	3	19.4	35	10.3	9	165.4	94
11	+2	Auburn  ( 6 - 5 )	0.772	0.566	2	18.6	43	10.4	11	162.1	119
12	-4	Utah  ( 8 - 4 )	0.772	0.499	67	19.5	33	10.3	10	167.1	76
13	+2	UCF  ( 11 - 0 )	0.771	0.469	88	23.8	9	13.4	32	166.6	79
14	-2	Oklahoma  ( 12 - 1 )	0.766	0.542	34	29.8	2	16.4	64	172.2	20
15	-1	Washington  ( 9 - 3 )	0.758	0.542	33	19.2	38	10.7	12	167.6	72
16	--	West Virginia  ( 7 - 3 )	0.757	0.537	42	24.1	7	13.2	28	172.1	23
17	--	Missouri  ( 7 - 4 )	0.755	0.522	59	23.4	10	11.5	16	174.4	10
18	--	Washington St.  ( 9 - 2 )	0.740	0.537	41	22.0	15	13.2	27	174.0	13
19	--	Texas A&M  ( 7 - 4 )	0.735	0.547	29	21.8	17	13.0	24	174.3	11
20	+1	Miami-FL  ( 6 - 5 )	0.725	0.549	19	19.6	32	11.2	15	164.1	104
21	-1	Fresno St.  ( 10 - 2 )	0.721	0.489	74	17.1	58	10.2	6	168.7	57
22	+1	Iowa St.  ( 7 - 4 )	0.715	0.549	20	17.6	54	11.6	18	171.4	27
23	+2	Florida  ( 7 - 3 )	0.713	0.563	4	21.5	20	12.4	20	160.5	122
24	--	Wisconsin  ( 7 - 5 )	0.712	0.536	47	19.4	34	14.0	39	160.3	123
25	NA	Boise St.  ( 10 - 3 )	0.710	0.457	106	21.0	24	13.3	30	169.6	49

Rankings through games of 2018-12-02

New entries: Boise St..

Dropped out: Stanford.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 16: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: Middle Tenn. (0.060); Memphis (0.030); California (0.023); Appalachian St. (0.019); Virginia Tech (0.018)

Biggest drops: UAB (-0.059); East Carolina (-0.039); Utah (-0.025); North Carolina St. (-0.022); Stanford (-0.021)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 15: Saturday Predictions

70 California 25  30 Stanford 30

64 California 24  22 Stanford 31

3 Georgia 29   1 Alabama 34

6 Georgia 20   2 Alabama 24

32 North Carolina St. 35 111 East Carolina 24

28 North Carolina St. 45  97 East Carolina 14

55 Pittsburgh 22   2 Clemson 34

33 Pittsburgh 20   1 Clemson 35

37 South Carolina 34 113 Akron 23

32 South Carolina 42 114 Akron 17

84 Virginia Tech 25  42 Marshall 29

76 Virginia Tech 31  71 Marshall 24

Key
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 15 TFG Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions

• Mountain West: Fresno St.
• Pac-12: Utah
• SEC: Alabama
• Sun Belt: Appalachian St.

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15 RBA Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions

• Mountain West: Fresno St.
• Pac-12: Utah
• SEC: Alabama
• Sun Belt: Appalachian St.

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15 TFG Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions

• Big Ten: Ohio St.
• Big XII: Oklahoma
• Independents: BYU
• Mid-American: Buffalo

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15 RBA Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions

• Big Ten: Ohio St.
• Big XII: Oklahoma
• Independents: BYU
• Mid-American: Northern Ill.

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15 TFG Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions

• ACC: Clemson
• American Athletic: UCF
• Conference-USA: UAB

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15 RBA Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions

• ACC: Clemson
• American Athletic: UCF
• Conference-USA: UAB

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2018-11-25

Week 15: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2018-11-25

Week 15: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Alabama  ( 11 - 0 )	0.965	0.612	21	31.6	2	9.1	3	162.7	98
2	--	Clemson  ( 11 - 0 )	0.947	0.540	51	24.9	7	8.5	1	169.9	63
3	+1	Georgia  ( 10 - 1 )	0.914	0.638	12	27.7	3	11.4	11	157.2	118
4	-1	Michigan  ( 10 - 2 )	0.896	0.584	30	24.8	8	11.0	7	155.4	126
5	+2	Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 )	0.874	0.627	15	18.1	53	8.7	2	155.3	127
6	+3	Ohio St.  ( 11 - 1 )	0.857	0.559	42	26.5	4	13.5	22	181.6	9
7	-1	Notre Dame  ( 12 - 0 )	0.838	0.538	52	20.9	22	11.3	9	171.8	54
8	+5	Penn State  ( 9 - 3 )	0.838	0.567	39	21.0	21	11.3	10	175.7	38
9	+1	UCF  ( 10 - 0 )	0.834	0.447	77	23.9	10	13.0	18	181.2	10
10	-5	Iowa  ( 7 - 4 )	0.834	0.549	48	19.7	33	10.8	5	159.4	109
11	-3	Fresno St.  ( 9 - 2 )	0.824	0.401	101	18.3	51	10.3	4	160.8	106
12	+3	Appalachian St.  ( 8 - 2 )	0.807	0.327	122	19.6	34	11.5	13	164.6	90
13	+3	Washington  ( 8 - 3 )	0.800	0.558	43	20.5	25	12.2	14	158.5	112
14	+8	Missouri  ( 7 - 4 )	0.800	0.661	7	22.0	17	13.1	19	178.1	21
15	-3	Auburn  ( 6 - 5 )	0.798	0.697	2	18.7	46	11.1	8	169.7	66
16	-5	LSU  ( 8 - 3 )	0.796	0.655	8	20.3	28	12.2	15	176.6	35
17	-3	Oklahoma  ( 11 - 1 )	0.791	0.570	37	33.0	1	20.0	93	173.3	47
18	+2	Boise St.  ( 10 - 2 )	0.771	0.450	74	23.7	11	15.0	37	166.4	84
19	--	Texas A&M  ( 7 - 4 )	0.765	0.691	4	25.0	5	16.0	46	171.3	55
20	-3	Utah  ( 8 - 3 )	0.764	0.570	36	20.6	24	13.2	20	167.5	78
21	-3	West Virginia  ( 7 - 3 )	0.763	0.585	28	25.0	6	16.1	50	178.5	19
22	NA	Cincinnati  ( 9 - 2 )	0.762	0.444	79	17.8	58	11.5	12	167.7	76
23	NA	Temple  ( 8 - 3 )	0.741	0.433	85	20.4	26	13.7	27	178.9	17
24	-3	Washington St.  ( 9 - 2 )	0.736	0.522	57	23.1	12	15.7	42	168.4	72
25	NA	Florida  ( 7 - 3 )	0.723	0.677	6	19.8	32	13.8	28	165.9	85

Rankings through games of 2018-11-25

New entries: Cincinnati, Temple, Florida.

Dropped out: Texas, Stanford, Wisconsin.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 15: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Middle Tenn. (0.105); Wake Forest (0.095); Wyoming (0.077); Kentucky (0.069); Cincinnati (0.069)

Biggest drops: Duke (-0.128); North Texas (-0.068); UAB (-0.067); Mississippi (-0.067); Pittsburgh (-0.064)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 15: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Clemson  ( 11 - 0 )	0.924	0.539	37	27.0	4	8.1	2	170.2	44
2	--	Alabama  ( 11 - 0 )	0.920	0.554	9	31.4	1	9.4	4	158.1	127
3	--	Michigan  ( 10 - 2 )	0.863	0.552	12	23.9	8	9.9	5	164.0	105
4	+2	Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 )	0.854	0.561	5	23.3	10	8.0	1	163.9	108
5	+2	Iowa  ( 7 - 4 )	0.854	0.529	54	22.5	13	9.1	3	163.3	115
6	-2	Georgia  ( 10 - 1 )	0.851	0.547	26	29.2	3	11.6	18	160.0	125
7	-2	Ohio St.  ( 11 - 1 )	0.803	0.536	48	25.8	5	12.2	20	163.6	114
8	+2	Utah  ( 8 - 3 )	0.797	0.499	67	19.6	34	10.4	9	167.3	74
9	+5	LSU  ( 8 - 3 )	0.794	0.560	7	20.8	26	11.2	15	160.5	121
10	+3	Notre Dame  ( 12 - 0 )	0.785	0.564	3	19.4	36	10.3	7	165.4	93
11	-3	Penn State  ( 9 - 3 )	0.784	0.539	39	21.6	19	10.3	8	165.9	87
12	-3	Oklahoma  ( 11 - 1 )	0.771	0.541	34	30.2	2	16.6	64	172.2	20
13	+5	Auburn  ( 6 - 5 )	0.769	0.566	2	18.6	43	10.4	10	162.1	119
14	-2	Washington  ( 8 - 3 )	0.759	0.542	33	19.5	35	11.1	13	167.7	71
15	+1	UCF  ( 10 - 0 )	0.758	0.469	88	23.2	11	12.7	23	166.5	79
16	-5	West Virginia  ( 7 - 3 )	0.756	0.537	42	24.1	7	13.2	29	172.1	23
17	--	Missouri  ( 7 - 4 )	0.755	0.521	58	23.4	9	11.5	16	174.4	10
18	+1	Washington St.  ( 9 - 2 )	0.737	0.537	41	22.0	15	13.2	28	174.0	13
19	+1	Texas A&M  ( 7 - 4 )	0.731	0.547	29	21.8	16	13.0	24	174.3	11
20	+1	Fresno St.  ( 9 - 2 )	0.725	0.488	74	17.4	56	10.9	11	168.7	56
21	+4	Miami-FL  ( 6 - 5 )	0.723	0.549	20	19.6	33	11.2	14	164.1	104
22	+2	Stanford  ( 6 - 4 )	0.720	0.543	32	22.5	14	14.9	47	164.3	100
23	-8	Iowa St.  ( 7 - 4 )	0.712	0.549	19	17.6	53	11.6	17	171.4	29
24	-2	Wisconsin  ( 7 - 5 )	0.712	0.536	47	19.4	37	14.0	37	160.3	123
25	-2	Florida  ( 7 - 3 )	0.710	0.563	4	21.5	20	12.4	21	160.5	122

Rankings through games of 2018-11-25

New entries: none.

Dropped out: none.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 15: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: Ohio (0.131); Auburn (0.051); Iowa (0.048); North Carolina St. (0.036); Kentucky (0.031)

Biggest drops: Buffalo (-0.095); UAB (-0.043); Texas Tech (-0.040); Tulane (-0.038); USC (-0.037)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 14: Saturday Predictions

1 Alabama 33  12 Auburn 21

2 Alabama 34  18 Auburn 13

15 Appalachian St. 28  52 Troy 23

46 Appalachian St. 38  69 Troy 27

74 Arizona 31  43 Arizona St. 34

55 Arizona 31  31 Arizona St. 34

20 Boise St. 35  33 Utah St. 32

27 Boise St. 38  45 Utah St. 24

42 Boston College 30  51 Syracuse 28

29 Boston College 31  41 Syracuse 24

78 California 25  87 Colorado 24

66 California 28  60 Colorado 24

2 Clemson 34  46 South Carolina 21

1 Clemson 38  30 South Carolina 13

128 Connecticut 22  26 Temple 41

125 Connecticut 17  40 Temple 38

53 Duke 32  89 Wake Forest 28

50 Duke 34  59 Wake Forest 24

83 FIU 26  44 Marshall 30

90 FIU 29  71 Marshall 28

57 FL-Atlantic 32 111 Charlotte 24

76 FL-Atlantic 41 122 Charlotte 14

77 Florida St. 25  32 Florida 29

49 Florida St. 24  23 Florida 28

8 Fresno St. 34 125 SJSU 17

21 Fresno St. 42 121 SJSU 7

4 Georgia 36  45 Georgia Tech 27

4 Georgia 41  28 Georgia Tech 17

114 Georgia State 26  69 Georgia Southern 34

119 Georgia State 27  77 Georgia Southern 38

59 Indiana 29  37 Purdue 32

67 Indiana 29  54 Purdue 28

31 Iowa St. 26  75 Kansas St. 22

15 Iowa St. 31  51 Kansas St. 20

99 LA-Monroe 33  97 LA-Lafayette 35

113 LA-Monroe 35 102 LA-Lafayette 34

120 Liberty 36 122 New Mexico St. 34

118 Liberty 45 129 New Mexico St. 28

93 LA Tech 29 113 Western Kentucky 25

94 LA Tech 34 108 Western Kentucky 20

102 Louisville 24  40 Kentucky 32

93 Louisville 27  57 Kentucky 31

36 Miami-FL 28  41 Pittsburgh 26

25 Miami-FL 34  38 Pittsburgh 24

35 Michigan St. 27 124 Rutgers 16

26 Michigan St. 41 117 Rutgers 10

79 Middle Tenn. 25  30 UAB 30

97 Middle Tenn. 27  65 UAB 31

112 New Mexico 23  84 Wyoming 29

105 New Mexico 24  88 Wyoming 31

98 North Carolina 26  27 North Carolina St. 36

96 North Carolina 24  34 North Carolina St. 38

38 Northwestern 35 118 Illinois 23

47 Northwestern 38  98 Illinois 21

9 Ohio St. 27   3 Michigan 31

5 Ohio St. 21   3 Michigan 27

13 Penn State 33  65 Maryland 25

8 Penn State 41  58 Maryland 17

129 Rice 30 109 Old Dominion 36

124 Rice 31 106 Old Dominion 28

62 SDSU 34 104 Hawaii 26

61 SDSU 38 103 Hawaii 24

55 USC 25   6 Notre Dame 33

39 USC 24  13 Notre Dame 31

61 TCU 30  39 Oklahoma St. 33

32 TCU 34  33 Oklahoma St. 31

19 Texas A&M 27  11 LSU 28

20 Texas A&M 27  14 LSU 28

126 Texas State 23  70 Arkansas St. 33

131 Texas State 21  95 Arkansas St. 38

48 Texas Tech 35  90 Baylor 30

36 Texas Tech 38  63 Baylor 27

85 Tulane 29  95 Navy 26

83 Tulane 34 101 Navy 24

105 Tulsa 31  94 SMU 32

99 Tulsa 32  87 SMU 31

80 UCLA 27  24 Stanford 34

81 UCLA 24  24 Stanford 35

115 UNLV 28  82 Nevada 36

107 UNLV 28  78 Nevada 34

17 Utah 28  67 BYU 22

10 Utah 38  72 BYU 14

130 UTEP 24  91 Southern Miss. 35

127 UTEP 21  89 Southern Miss. 34

131 UTSA 22  60 North Texas 35

130 UTSA 20  74 North Texas 35

58 Vanderbilt 25  56 Tennessee 27

37 Vanderbilt 35  79 Tennessee 20

25 Wisconsin 30  63 Minnesota 25

22 Wisconsin 34  70 Minnesota 21

Key
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.