Week 12: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2018-11-04

Legitimate Title Contenders

Clemson Tigers
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.955	2	0.554	44	25.8	4	8.1	1	168.3	78

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/08	4	Clemson	28	at	42	Texas A&M	26	161	82.2%
2018/09/15	91	Georgia Southern	7	at	11	Clemson	38	154	96.9%
2018/09/22	5	Clemson	49	at	66	Georgia Tech	21	157	89.1%
2018/09/29	61	Syracuse	23	at	4	Clemson	27	176	93.6%
2018/10/06	4	Clemson	63	at	49	Wake Forest	3	182	83.2%
2018/10/20	14	North Carolina St.	7	at	2	Clemson	41	174	85.4%
2018/10/27	1	Clemson	59	at	52	Florida St.	10	192	89.6%
2018/11/03	94	Louisville	16	at	1	Clemson	77	156	98.1%
2018/11/10	2	Clemson	33	at	38	Boston College	22	172	90.2%
2018/11/17	46	Duke	21	at	2	Clemson	34	170	93.5%
2018/11/24	44	South Carolina	22	at	2	Clemson	34	169	93.1%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 78.5%
Most difficult game left: November 10, at Boston College Eagles, 90.2%

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.959	1	0.572	38	30.1	2	9.2	3	162.4	103

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	23	Louisville	14	vs	1	Alabama	51	167	89.3%
2018/09/08	75	Arkansas St.	7	at	1	Alabama	57	187	98.4%
2018/09/15	1	Alabama	62	at	39	Mississippi	7	164	91.1%
2018/09/22	20	Texas A&M	23	at	1	Alabama	45	164	95.5%
2018/09/29	119	LA-Lafayette	14	at	1	Alabama	56	144	99.6%
2018/10/06	1	Alabama	65	at	106	Arkansas	31	153	98.2%
2018/10/13	32	Missouri	10	at	1	Alabama	39	159	91.7%
2018/10/20	1	Alabama	58	at	73	Tennessee	21	157	93.1%
2018/11/03	2	Alabama	29	at	5	LSU	0	164	65.3%
2018/11/10	7	Mississippi St.	22	at	1	Alabama	32	159	84.6%
2018/11/24	16	Auburn	22	at	1	Alabama	34	167	87.5%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 74.0%
Most difficult game left: November 10, vs Mississippi State Bulldogs, 84.6%

Second-Tier Hopefuls

UCF Knights
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.785	15	0.436	83	23.5	8	14.5	32	184.1	7

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/08/30	15	UCF	56	at	114	Connecticut	17	177	93.1%
2018/09/21	61	FL-Atlantic	36	at	24	UCF	56	187	82.4%
2018/09/29	83	Pittsburgh	14	at	26	UCF	45	166	88.3%
2018/10/06	91	SMU	20	at	23	UCF	48	187	90.6%
2018/10/13	18	UCF	31	at	64	Memphis	30	181	69.2%
2018/10/20	23	UCF	37	at	113	East Carolina	10	204	86.8%
2018/11/01	25	Temple	40	at	16	UCF	52	210	60.5%
2018/11/10	105	Navy	24	at	15	UCF	39	167	92.7%
2018/11/17	21	Cincinnati	27	at	15	UCF	31	178	56.4%
2018/11/23	15	UCF	39	at	86	South Florida	28	183	84.5%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 44.2%
Most difficult game left: November 17, vs Cincinnati Bearcats, 56.4%

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.791	14	0.536	52	21.1	23	12.8	18	172.6	48

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	18	Michigan	17	at	10	Notre Dame	24	161	71.5%
2018/09/08	127	Ball St.	16	at	15	Notre Dame	24	195	99.2%
2018/09/15	43	Vanderbilt	17	at	21	Notre Dame	22	170	79.4%
2018/09/22	23	Notre Dame	56	at	41	Wake Forest	27	197	55.4%
2018/09/29	13	Stanford	17	at	19	Notre Dame	38	169	53.9%
2018/10/06	13	Notre Dame	45	at	24	Virginia Tech	23	180	54.5%
2018/10/13	77	Pittsburgh	14	at	13	Notre Dame	19	153	91.1%
2018/10/27	14	Notre Dame	44	vs	91	Navy	22	159	89.3%
2018/11/03	13	Notre Dame	31	at	42	Northwestern	21	168	68.1%
2018/11/10	73	Florida St.	23	at	14	Notre Dame	32	172	83.8%
2018/11/17	48	Syracuse	29	vs	14	Notre Dame	34	180	72.5%
2018/11/24	14	Notre Dame	32	at	47	USC	27	172	72.3%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 43.9%
Most difficult game left: November 24, at USC Trojans, 72.3%

One-Loss Hopefuls

Odds as of games through 2018-11-04

Michigan Wolverines
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.935	3	0.609	26	24.8	5	9.1	2	153.2	129

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	18	Michigan	17	at	10	Notre Dame	24	161	28.5%
2018/09/08	76	Western Michigan	3	at	18	Michigan	49	152	90.3%
2018/09/15	98	SMU	20	at	13	Michigan	45	152	96.8%
2018/09/22	68	Nebraska	10	at	17	Michigan	56	164	89.8%
2018/09/29	8	Michigan	20	at	52	Northwestern	17	157	78.9%
2018/10/06	56	Maryland	21	at	10	Michigan	42	146	88.2%
2018/10/13	7	Wisconsin	13	at	6	Michigan	38	140	59.9%
2018/10/20	3	Michigan	21	at	35	Michigan St.	7	161	74.8%
2018/11/03	8	Penn State	7	at	3	Michigan	42	143	67.2%
2018/11/10	3	Michigan	35	at	125	Rutgers	15	157	99.0%
2018/11/17	71	Indiana	21	at	3	Michigan	34	165	93.9%
2018/11/24	3	Michigan	30	at	8	Ohio St.	26	165	74.3%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 69.1%
Most difficult game left: November 24, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 74.3%

Georgia Bulldogs
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.906	4	0.669	7	27.2	3	11.6	12	159.4	110

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/08	3	Georgia	41	at	32	South Carolina	17	162	81.4%
2018/09/15	105	Middle Tenn.	7	at	2	Georgia	49	147	99.0%
2018/09/22	2	Georgia	43	at	33	Missouri	29	176	84.3%
2018/09/29	80	Tennessee	12	at	2	Georgia	38	146	96.8%
2018/10/06	57	Vanderbilt	13	at	3	Georgia	41	155	93.6%
2018/10/13	3	Georgia	16	at	14	LSU	36	171	64.6%
2018/10/27	17	Florida	17	vs	4	Georgia	36	148	72.4%
2018/11/03	4	Georgia	34	at	27	Kentucky	17	155	75.9%
2018/11/10	16	Auburn	24	at	4	Georgia	32	166	77.7%
2018/11/17	103	Massachusetts	24	at	4	Georgia	44	167	96.4%
2018/11/24	50	Georgia Tech	26	at	4	Georgia	37	158	88.0%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 65.9%
Most difficult game left: November 10, vs Auburn Tigers, 77.7%

Oklahoma Sooners
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.850	6	0.590	33	33.7	1	17.6	66	169.5	74

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	30	FL-Atlantic	14	at	9	Oklahoma	63	165	84.4%
2018/09/08	73	UCLA	21	at	5	Oklahoma	49	176	96.1%
2018/09/15	7	Oklahoma	37	at	34	Iowa St.	27	156	71.4%
2018/09/22	47	Army	21	at	12	Oklahoma	28	145	88.5%
2018/09/29	49	Baylor	33	at	10	Oklahoma	66	188	87.1%
2018/10/06	21	Texas	48	vs	12	Oklahoma	45	163	64.8%
2018/10/20	9	Oklahoma	52	at	25	TCU	27	157	56.3%
2018/10/27	68	Kansas St.	14	at	7	Oklahoma	51	146	91.2%
2018/11/03	7	Oklahoma	51	at	39	Texas Tech	46	183	73.1%
2018/11/10	42	Oklahoma St.	35	at	6	Oklahoma	47	176	80.0%
2018/11/17	106	Kansas	26	at	6	Oklahoma	45	170	94.3%
2018/11/23	6	Oklahoma	42	at	20	West Virginia	35	170	64.8%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 48.9%
Most difficult game left: November 23, at West Virginia Mountaineers, 64.8%

Washington State Cougars
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.702	34	0.481	74	22.6	11	16.4	57	169.5	72

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	45	Washington St.	41	at	37	Wyoming	19	172	31.6%
2018/09/08	125	SJSU	0	at	21	Washington St.	31	165	98.8%
2018/09/21	19	Washington St.	36	at	49	USC	39	166	62.0%
2018/09/29	38	Utah	24	at	29	Washington St.	28	170	68.2%
2018/10/06	29	Washington St.	56	at	109	Oregon St.	37	167	85.1%
2018/10/20	53	Oregon	20	at	34	Washington St.	34	165	70.2%
2018/10/27	32	Washington St.	41	at	25	Stanford	38	161	32.5%
2018/11/03	83	California	13	at	32	Washington St.	19	157	80.0%
2018/11/10	34	Washington St.	33	at	66	Colorado	29	173	66.6%
2018/11/17	65	Arizona	30	at	34	Washington St.	35	173	69.4%
2018/11/23	13	Washington	30	at	34	Washington St.	28	164	37.8%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 17.5%
Most difficult game left: November 23, vs Washington Huskies, 37.8%

West Virginia Mountaineers
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.755	20	0.553	45	24.3	6	15.9	49	171.4	59

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	58	West Virginia	40	vs	103	Tennessee	14	148	75.6%
2018/09/22	46	Kansas St.	6	at	26	West Virginia	35	153	73.0%
2018/09/29	16	West Virginia	42	at	40	Texas Tech	34	196	57.9%
2018/10/06	95	Kansas	22	at	19	West Virginia	38	163	92.3%
2018/10/13	19	West Virginia	14	at	40	Iowa St.	30	145	54.1%
2018/10/25	61	Baylor	14	at	30	West Virginia	58	162	78.7%
2018/11/03	19	West Virginia	42	at	31	Texas	41	179	52.2%
2018/11/10	45	TCU	27	at	20	West Virginia	33	170	70.2%
2018/11/17	20	West Virginia	38	at	42	Oklahoma St.	34	177	64.6%
2018/11/23	6	Oklahoma	42	at	20	West Virginia	35	170	35.2%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 16.0%
Most difficult game left: November 23, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 35.2%

Ohio State Buckeyes
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.832	8	0.512	59	22.9	10	12.6	17	177.0	27

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	121	Oregon St.	31	at	4	Ohio St.	77	181	99.2%
2018/09/08	105	Rutgers	3	at	8	Ohio St.	52	166	98.0%
2018/09/15	3	Ohio St.	40	vs	14	TCU	28	187	75.2%
2018/09/22	92	Tulane	6	at	3	Ohio St.	49	161	97.7%
2018/09/29	3	Ohio St.	27	at	7	Penn State	26	190	46.6%
2018/10/06	54	Indiana	26	at	2	Ohio St.	49	188	93.4%
2018/10/13	41	Minnesota	14	at	4	Ohio St.	30	152	90.3%
2018/10/20	4	Ohio St.	20	at	36	Purdue	49	203	73.8%
2018/11/03	73	Nebraska	31	at	9	Ohio St.	36	183	88.7%
2018/11/10	8	Ohio St.	28	at	27	Michigan St.	24	170	61.0%
2018/11/17	8	Ohio St.	33	at	75	Maryland	23	168	85.7%
2018/11/24	3	Michigan	30	at	8	Ohio St.	26	165	25.7%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 13.4%
Most difficult game left: November 24, vs Michigan Wolverines, 25.7%

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