Week 17: Saturday Predictions

26 Navy 31  59 Army 26

Key
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 17: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Clemson  ( 12 - 0 )	0.974	0.470	72	28.0	5	7.2	1	163.0	95
2	--	Ohio State  ( 13 - 0 )	0.966	0.661	10	34.2	1	9.7	5	172.9	38
3	+1	Alabama  ( 9 - 2 )	0.934	0.622	16	32.4	2	12.0	14	162.5	98
4	-1	Georgia  ( 10 - 2 )	0.929	0.657	11	21.7	23	8.3	2	159.5	112
5	+3	LSU  ( 12 - 0 )	0.923	0.686	7	32.0	3	12.6	15	171.7	45
6	--	Wisconsin  ( 10 - 3 )	0.920	0.697	6	26.4	6	10.5	8	154.1	126
7	--	Michigan  ( 9 - 3 )	0.912	0.684	9	25.6	7	10.6	9	165.2	81
8	-3	Utah  ( 10 - 2 )	0.902	0.524	59	23.7	13	10.3	6	154.4	125
9	--	Penn State  ( 9 - 2 )	0.899	0.649	13	21.4	27	9.4	4	168.8	61
10	--	Auburn  ( 8 - 3 )	0.884	0.750	1	22.3	19	10.4	7	177.6	16
11	--	Florida  ( 8 - 2 )	0.881	0.655	12	24.6	10	11.6	13	158.8	113
12	+2	Oregon  ( 10 - 2 )	0.876	0.556	46	23.5	14	11.3	11	172.1	44
13	-1	Notre Dame  ( 10 - 2 )	0.866	0.544	54	22.0	20	10.9	10	171.3	47
14	-1	Iowa  ( 9 - 3 )	0.857	0.622	17	17.2	58	8.8	3	160.2	110
15	--	Oklahoma  ( 11 - 1 )	0.809	0.584	34	29.3	4	17.0	57	161.8	101
16	--	Appalachian State  ( 11 - 1 )	0.799	0.384	108	21.6	25	12.8	18	166.7	69
17	--	Washington  ( 6 - 5 )	0.770	0.575	39	20.7	30	13.2	20	164.1	90
18	+7	FL-Atlantic  ( 9 - 3 )	0.765	0.454	76	21.7	24	13.9	25	176.1	21
19	+1	Memphis  ( 11 - 1 )	0.760	0.490	69	24.8	8	16.1	46	173.2	37
20	-2	Baylor  ( 10 - 2 )	0.759	0.554	47	19.6	41	12.7	16	176.4	20
21	-2	Minnesota  ( 9 - 2 )	0.756	0.564	43	24.7	9	16.2	47	156.4	121
22	+1	Boise State  ( 11 - 1 )	0.755	0.401	103	21.9	21	14.3	28	164.8	86
23	-2	UCF  ( 8 - 3 )	0.751	0.426	85	23.9	11	15.8	40	187.5	1
24	-2	Texas A&M  ( 6 - 5 )	0.728	0.701	4	20.1	36	13.9	26	164.9	84
25	-1	Air Force  ( 9 - 2 )	0.711	0.442	82	22.3	18	15.9	43	150.3	130

Rankings through games of 2019-12-08

New entries: none.

Dropped out: none.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 17: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: FL-Atlantic (0.064); Oregon (0.036); LSU (0.022); Miami-OH (0.021); Boise State (0.018)

Biggest drops: UAB (-0.071); Hawaii (-0.024); Utah (-0.024); Tennessee (-0.021); Georgia (-0.019)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 17: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Ohio State  ( 13 - 0 )	0.929	0.536	45	30.3	2	7.2	1	163.8	109
2	--	Wisconsin  ( 10 - 3 )	0.929	0.536	44	23.8	8	7.8	5	160.0	125
3	--	Clemson  ( 12 - 0 )	0.897	0.540	36	25.2	5	7.7	4	169.9	47
4	--	Penn State  ( 9 - 2 )	0.894	0.539	37	22.1	17	7.6	2	165.8	86
5	--	Alabama  ( 9 - 2 )	0.892	0.553	10	28.9	3	10.2	13	158.3	126
6	--	Oregon  ( 10 - 2 )	0.878	0.533	51	23.8	7	8.7	7	178.0	3
7	--	Iowa  ( 9 - 3 )	0.875	0.529	54	19.7	30	7.7	3	163.1	116
8	--	LSU  ( 12 - 0 )	0.870	0.559	7	28.6	4	9.9	11	160.7	121
9	--	Georgia  ( 10 - 2 )	0.858	0.547	28	23.1	10	7.8	6	160.0	124
10	--	Florida  ( 8 - 2 )	0.840	0.562	4	21.2	22	9.8	10	160.4	123
11	--	Notre Dame  ( 10 - 2 )	0.835	0.564	2	22.4	13	10.3	14	165.3	91
12	--	Michigan  ( 9 - 3 )	0.821	0.553	13	22.9	11	10.1	12	164.0	104
13	--	Utah  ( 10 - 2 )	0.819	0.501	66	22.8	12	9.7	9	166.7	80
14	--	Auburn  ( 8 - 3 )	0.816	0.563	3	22.2	16	9.7	8	162.4	119
15	--	Oklahoma  ( 11 - 1 )	0.816	0.543	34	30.5	1	13.7	36	171.8	25
16	--	Iowa State  ( 6 - 5 )	0.795	0.549	22	24.4	6	12.3	23	171.1	30
17	--	Missouri  ( 5 - 6 )	0.773	0.520	59	19.3	32	12.4	25	174.4	11
18	--	UCF  ( 8 - 3 )	0.758	0.471	85	22.2	15	13.7	37	167.3	76
19	--	Washington  ( 6 - 5 )	0.743	0.545	31	21.5	20	12.4	24	167.5	72
20	--	Texas  ( 7 - 5 )	0.720	0.537	42	22.3	14	15.2	50	171.6	26
21	--	TCU  ( 4 - 7 )	0.712	0.503	65	19.8	28	12.0	21	170.8	34
22	--	Duke  ( 4 - 7 )	0.709	0.527	57	21.1	23	15.1	49	169.6	49
23	--	Michigan State  ( 6 - 6 )	0.704	0.553	11	16.1	67	10.9	15	165.7	89
24	--	Cincinnati  ( 10 - 3 )	0.703	0.492	72	18.1	42	11.7	17	170.3	40
25	--	Boise State  ( 11 - 1 )	0.677	0.459	101	19.0	34	13.8	38	169.6	50

Rankings through games of 2019-12-08

New entries: none.

Dropped out: none.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 17: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps:

Biggest drops:

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 16: Saturday Predictions

16 Appalachian State 28  30 LA-Lafayette 25

23 Boise State 36  60 Hawaii 30

82 Central Michigan 29  95 Miami-OH 28

1 Clemson 35  35 Virginia 22

25 FL-Atlantic 30  75 UAB 24

8 LSU 30   3 Georgia 31

20 Memphis 32  31 Cincinnati 28

15 Oklahoma 35  18 Baylor 31

6 Wisconsin 29   2 Ohio State 36

Key
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 16: Friday Predictions

14 Oregon 25   5 Utah 29

Key
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 16: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Clemson  ( 11 - 0 )	0.973	0.459	73	26.8	5	7.0	1	161.8	101
2	--	Ohio State  ( 12 - 0 )	0.966	0.618	20	34.4	1	9.8	6	171.9	42
3	+1	Georgia  ( 10 - 1 )	0.948	0.613	24	23.0	16	7.7	2	159.2	112
4	-1	Alabama  ( 9 - 2 )	0.934	0.618	19	32.4	2	12.0	14	162.6	97
5	--	Utah  ( 10 - 1 )	0.926	0.486	68	24.5	11	9.5	5	153.4	126
6	+1	Wisconsin  ( 10 - 2 )	0.924	0.641	11	26.7	6	10.4	8	152.9	128
7	-1	Michigan  ( 9 - 3 )	0.913	0.688	6	25.7	7	10.6	9	165.4	80
8	+5	LSU  ( 11 - 0 )	0.901	0.657	9	30.6	3	13.3	19	171.6	43
9	-1	Penn State  ( 9 - 2 )	0.900	0.652	10	21.5	24	9.4	4	169.0	61
10	+2	Auburn  ( 8 - 3 )	0.887	0.748	2	22.5	17	10.4	7	177.7	16
11	-1	Florida  ( 8 - 2 )	0.886	0.660	8	24.9	9	11.5	12	158.9	114
12	-1	Notre Dame  ( 10 - 2 )	0.871	0.551	49	22.3	19	10.9	10	171.4	44
13	-4	Iowa  ( 9 - 3 )	0.858	0.625	16	17.3	59	8.8	3	160.3	110
14	--	Oregon  ( 9 - 2 )	0.841	0.516	60	21.7	23	11.6	13	170.9	48
15	--	Oklahoma  ( 10 - 1 )	0.803	0.571	42	29.4	4	17.4	62	161.8	100
16	+2	Appalachian State  ( 10 - 1 )	0.797	0.360	114	20.7	29	12.3	15	165.3	81
17	+2	Washington  ( 6 - 5 )	0.779	0.581	38	21.1	28	13.1	18	164.1	90
18	+6	Baylor  ( 10 - 1 )	0.771	0.518	57	20.0	39	12.7	16	176.4	20
19	-2	Minnesota  ( 9 - 2 )	0.758	0.568	43	24.8	10	16.1	46	156.5	121
20	+1	Memphis  ( 10 - 1 )	0.758	0.477	69	25.0	8	16.3	49	170.9	46
21	+2	UCF  ( 8 - 3 )	0.747	0.422	86	23.7	13	15.8	42	187.7	1
22	-6	Texas A&M  ( 6 - 5 )	0.737	0.698	4	20.4	34	13.8	23	165.1	83
23	-3	Boise State  ( 10 - 1 )	0.736	0.395	104	22.2	21	15.1	36	166.2	74
24	NA	Air Force  ( 9 - 2 )	0.711	0.444	80	22.2	20	15.8	40	150.1	130
25	NA	FL-Atlantic  ( 8 - 3 )	0.701	0.461	72	20.4	33	14.8	32	175.5	22

Rankings through games of 2019-12-01

New entries: Air Force, FL-Atlantic.

Dropped out: Iowa State, Navy.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 16: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Central Michigan (0.079); Northwestern (0.066); Baylor (0.061); Ohio (0.059); Georgia Southern (0.057)

Biggest drops: Illinois (-0.100); Louisville (-0.074); Army (-0.068); Kansas (-0.065); Miami-FL (-0.060)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 16: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Ohio State  ( 12 - 0 )	0.929	0.536	45	30.3	2	7.2	1	163.8	109
2	--	Wisconsin  ( 10 - 2 )	0.929	0.536	44	23.8	7	7.8	6	160.0	124
3	--	Clemson  ( 11 - 0 )	0.897	0.540	36	25.2	5	7.7	4	169.9	47
4	--	Penn State  ( 9 - 2 )	0.894	0.539	37	22.1	17	7.6	2	165.8	87
5	--	Alabama  ( 9 - 2 )	0.892	0.553	10	28.9	3	10.2	13	158.3	126
6	--	Oregon  ( 9 - 2 )	0.878	0.533	51	23.8	8	8.7	7	178.0	3
7	--	Iowa  ( 9 - 3 )	0.875	0.529	54	19.7	30	7.7	3	163.1	116
8	--	LSU  ( 11 - 0 )	0.870	0.559	7	28.6	4	9.9	11	160.7	121
9	--	Georgia  ( 10 - 1 )	0.858	0.547	28	23.1	10	7.8	5	160.0	125
10	--	Florida  ( 8 - 2 )	0.840	0.562	4	21.2	22	9.8	10	160.4	123
11	--	Notre Dame  ( 10 - 2 )	0.835	0.564	2	22.4	13	10.3	14	165.3	92
12	--	Michigan  ( 9 - 3 )	0.821	0.553	13	22.9	11	10.1	12	164.0	105
13	--	Utah  ( 10 - 1 )	0.819	0.501	66	22.8	12	9.7	8	166.7	80
14	--	Auburn  ( 8 - 3 )	0.816	0.563	3	22.2	16	9.7	9	162.4	119
15	--	Oklahoma  ( 10 - 1 )	0.816	0.543	34	30.5	1	13.7	35	171.8	24
16	--	Iowa State  ( 6 - 5 )	0.795	0.549	21	24.4	6	12.3	23	171.1	30
17	--	Missouri  ( 5 - 6 )	0.773	0.520	59	19.3	32	12.4	25	174.4	10
18	--	UCF  ( 8 - 3 )	0.758	0.471	85	22.2	15	13.7	37	167.3	75
19	--	Washington  ( 6 - 5 )	0.743	0.545	31	21.5	20	12.4	24	167.5	71
20	--	Texas  ( 7 - 5 )	0.720	0.537	42	22.3	14	15.2	50	171.6	26
21	--	TCU  ( 4 - 7 )	0.712	0.503	65	19.8	28	12.0	20	170.8	33
22	--	Duke  ( 4 - 7 )	0.709	0.527	57	21.1	23	15.1	49	169.6	49
23	--	Michigan State  ( 6 - 6 )	0.704	0.553	11	16.1	67	10.9	15	165.7	88
24	--	Cincinnati  ( 10 - 2 )	0.703	0.492	72	18.1	43	11.7	18	170.3	40
25	--	Boise State  ( 10 - 1 )	0.677	0.459	101	19.0	34	13.8	38	169.6	50

Rankings through games of 2019-12-01

New entries: none.

Dropped out: none.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 16: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps:

Biggest drops:

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 15: Saturday Predictions

32 Air Force 28  44 Wyoming 25

52 Arizona State 33  98 Arizona 27

12 Auburn 26   3 Alabama 34

109 Coastal Carolina 30 124 Texas State 26

92 Duke 24  38 Miami-FL 30

115 East Carolina 29  77 Tulsa 36

31 FL-Atlantic 31  62 Southern Miss. 27

10 Florida 33  60 Florida State 23

75 Georgia Southern 32  94 Georgia State 29

105 Georgia Tech 17   4 Georgia 34

73 Hawaii 27  47 Army 30

67 Houston 28  25 Navy 33

54 Illinois 28  96 Northwestern 24

99 Kansas 25  24 Baylor 34

35 Kansas State 27  22 Iowa State 30

53 Kentucky 30  66 Louisville 29

29 LA-Lafayette 36 104 LA-Monroe 27

116 Liberty 35 125 New Mexico State 28

69 LA Tech 35 121 UTSA 25

13 LSU 36  16 Texas A&M 30

61 Marshall 28  86 FIU 25

6 Michigan 29   2 Ohio State 35

42 Michigan State 29 112 Maryland 21

17 Minnesota 27   7 Wisconsin 32

114 Nevada 30 117 UNLV 28

120 New Mexico 25  72 Utah State 34

103 North Carolina State 27  51 North Carolina 33

100 North Texas 26  74 UAB 30

34 Oklahoma State 32  15 Oklahoma 39

123 Old Dominion 26  91 Charlotte 32

14 Oregon 38  88 Oregon State 26

8 Penn State 38 127 Rutgers 14

64 Pittsburgh 28  78 Boston College 26

68 Purdue 27  30 Indiana 32

59 SDSU 25  63 BYU 23

102 SJSU 32  76 Fresno State 35

50 SMU 35  46 Tulane 37

49 South Carolina 19   1 Clemson 35

80 Stanford 21  11 Notre Dame 33

93 Syracuse 29  65 Wake Forest 32

57 Temple 36 128 Connecticut 20

45 Tennessee 31 119 Vanderbilt 22

81 UCLA 27  82 California 26

5 Utah 33  87 Colorado 19

126 UTEP 24 118 Rice 31

37 Western Kentucky 30  95 Middle Tenn. 24

Key
Close game							Certain victory

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Week 15: Friday Predictions

110 Arkansas 25  56 Missouri 33

83 Ball State 30  89 Miami-OH 28

58 Buffalo 36 129 Bowling Green 21

97 Central Michigan 33 101 Toledo 31

106 Colorado State 25  20 Boise State 37

90 Eastern Michigan 31 108 Kent State 28

21 Memphis 31  28 Cincinnati 29

48 Nebraska 21   9 Iowa 28

122 South Alabama 24  79 Arkansas State 32

40 TCU 31  84 West Virginia 26

33 Texas 34  55 Texas Tech 31

85 Troy 26  18 Appalachian State 35

23 UCF 38 111 South Florida 25

41 Virginia 28  26 Virginia Tech 30

19 Washington 35  36 Washington State 32

Key
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 15: Thursday Predictions

39 Mississippi State 29  43 Mississippi 28

Key
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 15 TFG Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions

• Mountain West: Boise State
• Pac-12: Utah
• SEC: Georgia
• Sun Belt: Appalachian State

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15 RBA Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions

• Mountain West: Boise State
• Pac-12: Oregon
• SEC: LSU
• Sun Belt: Appalachian State

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15 TFG Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions

• Big Ten: Ohio State
• Big XII: Oklahoma
• Independents: BYU
• Mid-American: Western Michigan

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15 RBA Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions

• Big Ten: Ohio State
• Big XII: Oklahoma
• Independents: BYU
• Mid-American: Western Michigan

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15: Tuesday Predictions

131 Akron 22  70 Ohio 37

107 Northern Ill. 27  71 Western Michigan 32

Key
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 15 TFG Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions

• ACC: Clemson
• American Athletic: Memphis
• Conference-USA: FL-Atlantic

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15 RBA Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions

• ACC: Clemson
• American Athletic: Cincinnati
• Conference-USA: FL-Atlantic

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2019-11-24

Week 15: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2019-11-24

Week 15: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Clemson  ( 10 - 0 )	0.971	0.475	70	27.2	5	7.3	1	162.8	98
2	--	Ohio State  ( 11 - 0 )	0.965	0.568	45	32.9	1	9.5	6	171.0	49
3	--	Alabama  ( 9 - 1 )	0.947	0.583	35	31.2	2	10.6	10	161.6	103
4	--	Georgia  ( 9 - 1 )	0.944	0.657	10	22.7	16	7.9	2	157.6	117
5	--	Utah  ( 9 - 1 )	0.928	0.502	64	23.1	14	8.9	4	154.3	127
6	+1	Michigan  ( 9 - 2 )	0.927	0.637	14	25.7	7	9.9	8	164.8	82
7	-1	Wisconsin  ( 9 - 2 )	0.921	0.624	17	26.8	6	10.7	11	152.5	128
8	--	Penn State  ( 8 - 2 )	0.913	0.721	1	22.9	15	9.5	5	170.2	53
9	--	Iowa  ( 8 - 3 )	0.883	0.642	12	17.6	58	8.2	3	159.3	111
10	+1	Florida  ( 7 - 2 )	0.882	0.668	9	24.3	12	11.4	12	160.2	106
11	+3	Notre Dame  ( 9 - 2 )	0.881	0.567	46	22.4	20	10.5	9	169.5	61
12	--	Auburn  ( 7 - 3 )	0.878	0.702	4	20.3	32	9.7	7	176.9	20
13	-3	LSU  ( 10 - 0 )	0.877	0.640	13	30.0	3	14.3	26	172.0	42
14	-1	Oregon  ( 8 - 2 )	0.840	0.533	58	22.7	17	12.2	13	171.3	46
15	--	Oklahoma  ( 9 - 1 )	0.796	0.574	39	29.9	4	17.9	70	163.5	95
16	+2	Texas A&M  ( 6 - 4 )	0.787	0.655	11	22.0	25	13.5	20	165.4	75
17	-1	Minnesota  ( 9 - 1 )	0.777	0.504	62	25.4	8	15.9	45	155.7	123
18	+1	Appalachian State  ( 9 - 1 )	0.776	0.354	113	20.2	33	12.7	16	165.4	76
19	-2	Washington  ( 5 - 5 )	0.764	0.573	40	21.3	26	13.7	23	165.1	78
20	+2	Boise State  ( 9 - 1 )	0.753	0.400	99	22.2	22	14.6	32	167.6	69
21	NA	Memphis  ( 9 - 1 )	0.735	0.451	75	24.5	11	16.7	52	170.5	50
22	-2	Iowa State  ( 6 - 4 )	0.735	0.585	34	22.3	21	15.2	37	168.5	64
23	-2	UCF  ( 7 - 3 )	0.727	0.445	77	24.5	10	17.0	54	188.6	1
24	NA	Baylor  ( 9 - 1 )	0.711	0.554	49	18.8	43	13.4	19	176.0	23
25	NA	Navy  ( 7 - 2 )	0.707	0.499	65	22.6	18	16.2	47	156.8	118

Rankings through games of 2019-11-24

New entries: Memphis, Baylor, Navy.

Dropped out: Cincinnati, Indiana, FL-Atlantic.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.