Tuesday, October 22, 2019

Week 10: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2019-10-20

Legitimate Title Contenders

Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.953 3 0.500 67 25.0 6 8.1 2 163.2 94
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/29  63 Georgia Tech 14 at   1 Clemson 52 169 96.5%
2019/09/07  10 Texas A&M 10 at   2 Clemson 24 162 89.1%
2019/09/14   1 Clemson 41 at  57 Syracuse 6 176 93.2%
2019/09/21  91 Charlotte 10 at   1 Clemson 52 151 98.9%
2019/09/28   1 Clemson 21 at  81 North Carolina 20 149 97.0%
2019/10/12  62 Florida State 14 at   5 Clemson 45 180 96.1%
2019/10/19   4 Clemson 45 at  73 Louisville 10 161 93.5%
2019/10/26  81 Boston College 20 at   3 Clemson 39 171 98.0%
2019/11/09   3 Clemson 33 at  67 North Carolina State 20 166 95.0%
2019/11/16  55 Wake Forest 22 at   3 Clemson 36 173 94.4%
2019/11/30   3 Clemson 33 at  32 South Carolina 22 171 90.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 79.4%
Most difficult game left: November 30, at South Carolina Gamecocks, 90.3%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.978 1 0.566 40 33.2 1 7.9 1 168.7 66
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/31  65 FL-Atlantic 21 at   6 Ohio State 45 178 84.2%
2019/09/07  33 Cincinnati 0 at   7 Ohio State 42 156 84.7%
2019/09/14   4 Ohio State 51 at  52 Indiana 10 165 86.9%
2019/09/21  96 Miami-OH 5 at   5 Ohio State 76 166 98.5%
2019/09/28   2 Ohio State 48 at  48 Nebraska 7 152 92.4%
2019/10/05  19 Michigan State 10 at   1 Ohio State 34 169 92.6%
2019/10/18   2 Ohio State 52 at  44 Northwestern 3 161 93.3%
2019/10/26   2 Wisconsin 27 at   1 Ohio State 34 161 74.9%
2019/11/09  75 Maryland 21 at   1 Ohio State 45 168 98.6%
2019/11/16   1 Ohio State 46 at 131 Rutgers 11 164 100.0%
2019/11/23   4 Penn State 27 at   1 Ohio State 35 169 72.5%
2019/11/30   1 Ohio State 37 at  10 Michigan 26 167 86.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 46.0%
Most difficult game left: November 23, vs Penn State Nittany Lions, 72.5%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.938 5 0.544 50 31.1 2 11.2 12 162.5 99
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/31  55 Duke 3 vs   2 Alabama 42 159 93.7%
2019/09/07 129 New Mexico State 10 at   1 Alabama 62 162 99.8%
2019/09/14   2 Alabama 47 at  48 South Carolina 23 176 90.6%
2019/09/21  80 Southern Miss. 7 at   4 Alabama 49 139 97.8%
2019/09/28  73 Mississippi 31 at   4 Alabama 59 190 97.6%
2019/10/12   4 Alabama 47 at  22 Texas A&M 28 164 83.1%
2019/10/19  87 Tennessee 13 at   5 Alabama 35 148 98.2%
2019/10/26 101 Arkansas 21 at   5 Alabama 45 163 98.3%
2019/11/09   7 LSU 32 at   5 Alabama 36 165 66.5%
2019/11/16   5 Alabama 37 at  37 Mississippi State 24 159 90.1%
2019/11/30   5 Alabama 34 at   8 Auburn 28 167 63.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 37.6%
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Auburn Tigers, 63.8%


Appalachian State Mountaineers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.782 18 0.352 110 22.1 23 13.7 23 164.4 90
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/09/07 110 Charlotte 41 at  17 Appalachian State 56 168 96.1%
2019/09/21  25 Appalachian State 34 at  81 North Carolina 31 174 75.7%
2019/09/28  99 Coastal Carolina 37 at  27 Appalachian State 56 162 91.5%
2019/10/09  24 Appalachian State 17 at  67 LA-Lafayette 7 149 61.1%
2019/10/19  92 LA-Monroe 7 at  25 Appalachian State 52 171 89.9%
2019/10/26  18 Appalachian State 34 at 125 South Alabama 19 163 96.0%
2019/10/31  97 Georgia Southern 22 at  18 Appalachian State 35 160 92.4%
2019/11/09  18 Appalachian State 30 at  32 South Carolina 28 172 57.4%
2019/11/16  18 Appalachian State 38 at 102 Georgia State 25 166 90.2%
2019/11/23 122 Texas State 19 at  18 Appalachian State 35 167 95.8%
2019/11/29  18 Appalachian State 34 at  80 Troy 25 167 83.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 36.9%
Most difficult game left: November 9, at South Carolina Gamecocks, 57.4%


Oklahoma Sooners
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.868 13 0.560 45 30.2 3 14.9 37 159.3 108
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/09/01  77 Houston 31 at  15 Oklahoma 49 158 90.4%
2019/09/14  16 Oklahoma 48 at  88 UCLA 14 152 82.4%
2019/09/28  43 Texas Tech 16 at  11 Oklahoma 55 159 85.5%
2019/10/05  10 Oklahoma 45 at  92 Kansas 20 153 91.3%
2019/10/12  12 Oklahoma 34 vs  17 Texas 27 169 62.1%
2019/10/19  56 West Virginia 14 at  13 Oklahoma 52 154 88.6%
2019/10/26  13 Oklahoma 32 at  38 Kansas State 25 158 71.1%
2019/11/09  16 Iowa State 30 at  13 Oklahoma 36 161 65.8%
2019/11/16  13 Oklahoma 37 at  28 Baylor 29 166 73.5%
2019/11/23  33 TCU 28 at  13 Oklahoma 37 164 75.3%
2019/11/30  13 Oklahoma 41 at  42 Oklahoma State 31 170 82.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 21.2%
Most difficult game left: November 9, vs Iowa State Cyclones, 65.8%


Long Shots

Penn State Nittany Lions
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.944 4 0.646 14 24.4 7 8.4 4 169.6 60
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/09/07  67 Buffalo 13 at   9 Penn State 45 165 92.3%
2019/09/14  54 Pittsburgh 10 at   7 Penn State 17 161 93.4%
2019/09/27   7 Penn State 59 at  32 Maryland 0 170 72.0%
2019/10/05  70 Purdue 7 at   6 Penn State 35 162 96.7%
2019/10/12   3 Penn State 17 at   8 Iowa 12 175 60.5%
2019/10/19   8 Michigan 21 at   3 Penn State 28 165 79.9%
2019/10/26   4 Penn State 28 at  34 Michigan State 21 167 83.3%
2019/11/09   4 Penn State 32 at  26 Minnesota 25 164 84.9%
2019/11/16  30 Indiana 24 at   4 Penn State 32 168 88.1%
2019/11/23   4 Penn State 27 at   1 Ohio State 35 169 27.5%
2019/11/30 131 Rutgers 11 at   4 Penn State 38 164 99.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 17.1%
Most difficult game left: November 23, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 27.5%


LSU Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.901 7 0.617 19 28.5 4 12.4 16 168.9 64
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/31  57 Georgia Southern 3 at  11 LSU 55 151 80.6%
2019/09/07   3 LSU 45 at  21 Texas 38 180 66.5%
2019/09/21   6 LSU 66 at  78 Vanderbilt 38 182 89.9%
2019/10/05  34 Utah State 6 at  11 LSU 42 166 84.0%
2019/10/12  14 Florida 28 at   9 LSU 42 155 69.8%
2019/10/19   9 LSU 36 at  34 Mississippi State 13 155 74.4%
2019/10/26   8 Auburn 29 at   7 LSU 34 170 63.7%
2019/11/09   7 LSU 32 at   5 Alabama 36 165 33.5%
2019/11/16   7 LSU 38 at  52 Mississippi 25 172 87.8%
2019/11/23 101 Arkansas 23 at   7 LSU 41 166 95.5%
2019/11/30  22 Texas A&M 28 at   7 LSU 36 167 76.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 13.7%
Most difficult game left: November 9, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 33.5%


Absolute Phonies

Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.704 28 0.500 66 20.7 31 15.0 39 174.0 31
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/09/07 125 UTSA 14 at  86 Baylor 63 158 92.7%
2019/09/21  48 Baylor 21 at 117 Rice 13 149 86.6%
2019/09/28  18 Iowa State 21 at  62 Baylor 23 179 26.1%
2019/10/05  54 Baylor 31 at  28 Kansas State 12 156 27.1%
2019/10/12  59 Texas Tech 30 at  29 Baylor 33 194 72.6%
2019/10/19  33 Baylor 45 at  36 Oklahoma State 27 169 42.5%
2019/10/31  69 West Virginia 26 at  28 Baylor 35 172 82.1%
2019/11/09  28 Baylor 29 at  33 TCU 31 171 47.9%
2019/11/16  13 Oklahoma 37 at  28 Baylor 29 166 26.5%
2019/11/23  23 Texas 33 at  28 Baylor 32 177 46.1%
2019/11/30  28 Baylor 34 at  88 Kansas 26 172 80.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-25.9
Most difficult game left: November 16, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 26.5%


SMU Mustangs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.582 45 0.411 99 22.3 21 19.7 89 184.6 3
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/31  98 SMU 37 at  66 Arkansas State 30 197 30.1%
2019/09/07  79 North Texas 27 at  88 SMU 49 177 60.4%
2019/09/14 120 Texas State 17 at  62 SMU 47 175 94.1%
2019/09/21  67 SMU 41 at  26 TCU 38 190 15.3%
2019/09/28  52 SMU 48 at 113 South Florida 21 187 81.3%
2019/10/05  82 Tulsa 37 at  49 SMU 43 203 78.3%
2019/10/19  53 Temple 21 at  62 SMU 45 208 58.9%
2019/10/24  45 SMU 36 at  61 Houston 37 179 45.3%
2019/11/02  45 SMU 33 at  20 Memphis 39 176 27.5%
2019/11/09 120 East Carolina 27 at  45 SMU 40 181 90.1%
2019/11/23  45 SMU 31 at  25 Navy 34 169 35.1%
2019/11/30  39 Tulane 35 at  45 SMU 33 178 47.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-53.3
Most difficult game left: November 2, at Memphis Tigers, 27.5%


What are YOU doing here??

Minnesota Golden Gophers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.715 26 0.425 93 22.3 20 15.8 45 159.1 110
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/09/07  38 Minnesota 38 at  27 Fresno State 35 163 29.6%
2019/09/14 109 Georgia Southern 32 at  32 Minnesota 35 149 93.8%
2019/09/28  40 Minnesota 38 at  64 Purdue 31 164 53.2%
2019/10/05  87 Illinois 17 at  42 Minnesota 40 165 80.8%
2019/10/12  65 Nebraska 7 at  40 Minnesota 34 157 69.5%
2019/10/19  30 Minnesota 42 at 131 Rutgers 7 154 97.9%
2019/10/26  75 Maryland 25 at  26 Minnesota 35 163 84.5%
2019/11/09   4 Penn State 32 at  26 Minnesota 25 164 15.1%
2019/11/16  26 Minnesota 24 at  11 Iowa 27 159 25.8%
2019/11/23  26 Minnesota 30 at  72 Northwestern 23 166 76.0%
2019/11/30   2 Wisconsin 33 at  26 Minnesota 23 156 9.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-439.2
Most difficult game left: November 30, vs Wisconsin Badgers, 9.1%


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