Tuesday, October 29, 2019

Week 11: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2019-10-27

Legitimate Title Contenders

Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.962 2 0.495 68 25.9 7 7.7 2 163.2 93
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/29  63 Georgia Tech 14 at   1 Clemson 52 169 96.5%
2019/09/07  10 Texas A&M 10 at   2 Clemson 24 162 89.1%
2019/09/14   1 Clemson 41 at  57 Syracuse 6 176 93.2%
2019/09/21  91 Charlotte 10 at   1 Clemson 52 151 98.9%
2019/09/28   1 Clemson 21 at  81 North Carolina 20 149 97.0%
2019/10/12  62 Florida State 14 at   5 Clemson 45 180 96.1%
2019/10/19   4 Clemson 45 at  73 Louisville 10 161 93.5%
2019/10/26  81 Boston College 7 at   3 Clemson 59 173 98.0%
2019/11/09   2 Clemson 34 at  73 North Carolina State 19 167 96.3%
2019/11/16  55 Wake Forest 22 at   2 Clemson 37 174 95.8%
2019/11/30   2 Clemson 35 at  41 South Carolina 21 172 94.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 87.3%
Most difficult game left: November 30, at South Carolina Gamecocks, 94.6%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.984 1 0.643 15 35.4 1 7.6 1 167.4 73
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/31  65 FL-Atlantic 21 at   6 Ohio State 45 178 84.2%
2019/09/07  33 Cincinnati 0 at   7 Ohio State 42 156 84.7%
2019/09/14   4 Ohio State 51 at  52 Indiana 10 165 86.9%
2019/09/21  96 Miami-OH 5 at   5 Ohio State 76 166 98.5%
2019/09/28   2 Ohio State 48 at  48 Nebraska 7 152 92.4%
2019/10/05  19 Michigan State 10 at   1 Ohio State 34 169 92.6%
2019/10/18   2 Ohio State 52 at  44 Northwestern 3 161 93.3%
2019/10/26   2 Wisconsin 7 at   1 Ohio State 38 145 74.9%
2019/11/09  99 Maryland 19 at   1 Ohio State 47 167 99.2%
2019/11/16   1 Ohio State 48 at 128 Rutgers 12 164 100.0%
2019/11/23   3 Penn State 27 at   1 Ohio State 36 169 74.8%
2019/11/30   1 Ohio State 38 at   8 Michigan 27 167 85.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 63.4%
Most difficult game left: November 23, vs Penn State Nittany Lions, 74.8%


Appalachian State Mountaineers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.817 15 0.320 117 21.5 27 12.3 14 164.9 86
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/09/07 110 Charlotte 41 at  17 Appalachian State 56 168 96.1%
2019/09/21  25 Appalachian State 34 at  81 North Carolina 31 174 75.7%
2019/09/28  99 Coastal Carolina 37 at  27 Appalachian State 56 162 91.5%
2019/10/09  24 Appalachian State 17 at  67 LA-Lafayette 7 149 61.1%
2019/10/19  92 LA-Monroe 7 at  25 Appalachian State 52 171 89.9%
2019/10/26  18 Appalachian State 30 at 125 South Alabama 3 164 96.0%
2019/10/31  76 Georgia Southern 21 at  15 Appalachian State 33 159 91.3%
2019/11/09  15 Appalachian State 31 at  41 South Carolina 26 173 72.1%
2019/11/16  15 Appalachian State 37 at 101 Georgia State 25 167 89.6%
2019/11/23 120 Texas State 18 at  15 Appalachian State 34 166 96.8%
2019/11/29  15 Appalachian State 36 at  93 Troy 24 168 88.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 50.6%
Most difficult game left: November 9, at South Carolina Gamecocks, 72.1%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.944 5 0.507 63 30.6 2 10.6 10 160.6 108
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/31  55 Duke 3 vs   2 Alabama 42 159 93.7%
2019/09/07 129 New Mexico State 10 at   1 Alabama 62 162 99.8%
2019/09/14   2 Alabama 47 at  48 South Carolina 23 176 90.6%
2019/09/21  80 Southern Miss. 7 at   4 Alabama 49 139 97.8%
2019/09/28  73 Mississippi 31 at   4 Alabama 59 190 97.6%
2019/10/12   4 Alabama 47 at  22 Texas A&M 28 164 83.1%
2019/10/19  87 Tennessee 13 at   5 Alabama 35 148 98.2%
2019/10/26 101 Arkansas 7 at   5 Alabama 48 146 98.3%
2019/11/09  10 LSU 30 at   5 Alabama 36 166 69.9%
2019/11/16   5 Alabama 37 at  38 Mississippi State 24 158 91.2%
2019/11/30   5 Alabama 34 at  11 Auburn 26 167 69.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 44.1%
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Auburn Tigers, 69.1%


Long Shots

LSU Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.897 10 0.652 12 27.0 4 12.0 13 172.5 44
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/31  57 Georgia Southern 3 at  11 LSU 55 151 80.6%
2019/09/07   3 LSU 45 at  21 Texas 38 180 66.5%
2019/09/21   6 LSU 66 at  78 Vanderbilt 38 182 89.9%
2019/10/05  34 Utah State 6 at  11 LSU 42 166 84.0%
2019/10/12  14 Florida 28 at   9 LSU 42 155 69.8%
2019/10/19   9 LSU 36 at  34 Mississippi State 13 155 74.4%
2019/10/26   8 Auburn 20 at   7 LSU 23 196 63.7%
2019/11/09  10 LSU 30 at   5 Alabama 36 166 30.1%
2019/11/16  10 LSU 38 at  56 Mississippi 25 175 89.2%
2019/11/23 105 Arkansas 22 at  10 LSU 40 167 95.5%
2019/11/30  22 Texas A&M 29 at  10 LSU 35 169 75.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 19.2%
Most difficult game left: November 9, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 30.1%


Penn State Nittany Lions
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.953 3 0.652 11 24.6 10 7.9 4 171.2 54
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/09/07  67 Buffalo 13 at   9 Penn State 45 165 92.3%
2019/09/14  54 Pittsburgh 10 at   7 Penn State 17 161 93.4%
2019/09/27   7 Penn State 59 at  32 Maryland 0 170 72.0%
2019/10/05  70 Purdue 7 at   6 Penn State 35 162 96.7%
2019/10/12   3 Penn State 17 at   8 Iowa 12 175 60.5%
2019/10/19   8 Michigan 21 at   3 Penn State 28 165 79.9%
2019/10/26   4 Penn State 28 at  34 Michigan State 7 172 83.3%
2019/11/09   3 Penn State 31 at  19 Minnesota 26 164 82.9%
2019/11/16  33 Indiana 23 at   3 Penn State 34 169 91.1%
2019/11/23   3 Penn State 27 at   1 Ohio State 36 169 25.2%
2019/11/30 128 Rutgers 13 at   3 Penn State 40 166 99.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 19.0%
Most difficult game left: November 23, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 25.2%


Absolute Phonies

SMU Mustangs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.591 42 0.438 85 21.2 28 18.5 78 185.4 3
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/31  98 SMU 37 at  66 Arkansas State 30 197 30.1%
2019/09/07  79 North Texas 27 at  88 SMU 49 177 60.4%
2019/09/14 120 Texas State 17 at  62 SMU 47 175 94.1%
2019/09/21  67 SMU 41 at  26 TCU 38 190 15.3%
2019/09/28  52 SMU 48 at 113 South Florida 21 187 81.3%
2019/10/05  82 Tulsa 37 at  49 SMU 43 203 78.3%
2019/10/19  53 Temple 21 at  62 SMU 45 208 58.9%
2019/10/24  45 SMU 34 at  61 Houston 31 182 45.3%
2019/11/02  42 SMU 33 at  32 Memphis 37 177 36.3%
2019/11/09 121 East Carolina 26 at  42 SMU 42 180 92.9%
2019/11/23  42 SMU 31 at  23 Navy 34 170 36.2%
2019/11/30  43 Tulane 33 at  42 SMU 34 179 50.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-16.4
Most difficult game left: November 23, at Navy Midshipmen, 36.2%


Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.693 29 0.499 66 20.3 32 15.0 34 173.7 34
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/09/07 125 UTSA 14 at  86 Baylor 63 158 92.7%
2019/09/21  48 Baylor 21 at 117 Rice 13 149 86.6%
2019/09/28  18 Iowa State 21 at  62 Baylor 23 179 26.1%
2019/10/05  54 Baylor 31 at  28 Kansas State 12 156 27.1%
2019/10/12  59 Texas Tech 30 at  29 Baylor 33 194 72.6%
2019/10/19  33 Baylor 45 at  36 Oklahoma State 27 169 42.5%
2019/10/31  74 West Virginia 26 at  29 Baylor 35 172 83.3%
2019/11/09  29 Baylor 29 at  28 TCU 30 171 45.1%
2019/11/16  13 Oklahoma 37 at  29 Baylor 31 167 32.0%
2019/11/23  30 Texas 31 at  29 Baylor 33 177 50.2%
2019/11/30  29 Baylor 34 at  91 Kansas 26 172 79.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-20.9
Most difficult game left: November 16, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 32.0%


What are YOU doing here??

Minnesota Golden Gophers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.777 19 0.427 92 23.6 11 14.7 30 158.0 118
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/09/07  38 Minnesota 38 at  27 Fresno State 35 163 29.6%
2019/09/14 109 Georgia Southern 32 at  32 Minnesota 35 149 93.8%
2019/09/28  40 Minnesota 38 at  64 Purdue 31 164 53.2%
2019/10/05  87 Illinois 17 at  42 Minnesota 40 165 80.8%
2019/10/12  65 Nebraska 7 at  40 Minnesota 34 157 69.5%
2019/10/19  30 Minnesota 42 at 131 Rutgers 7 154 97.9%
2019/10/26  75 Maryland 10 at  26 Minnesota 52 145 84.5%
2019/11/09   3 Penn State 31 at  19 Minnesota 26 164 17.1%
2019/11/16  19 Minnesota 24 at   9 Iowa 26 158 27.3%
2019/11/23  19 Minnesota 31 at  96 Northwestern 21 165 86.4%
2019/11/30   4 Wisconsin 31 at  19 Minnesota 25 155 17.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-145.0
Most difficult game left: November 9, vs Penn State Nittany Lions, 17.1%


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