Tuesday, October 8, 2019

Week 8: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2019-10-06

Legitimate Title Contenders

Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.952 5 0.523 59 25.5 6 8.3 5 164.3 94
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/29  63 Georgia Tech 14 at   1 Clemson 52 169 96.5%
2019/09/07  10 Texas A&M 10 at   2 Clemson 24 162 89.1%
2019/09/14   1 Clemson 41 at  57 Syracuse 6 176 93.2%
2019/09/21  91 Charlotte 10 at   1 Clemson 52 151 98.9%
2019/09/28   1 Clemson 21 at  81 North Carolina 20 149 97.0%
2019/10/12  62 Florida State 21 at   5 Clemson 37 174 96.1%
2019/10/19   5 Clemson 38 at  77 Louisville 24 166 94.5%
2019/10/26  91 Boston College 19 at   5 Clemson 41 173 98.5%
2019/11/09   5 Clemson 34 at  66 North Carolina State 21 168 93.8%
2019/11/16  55 Wake Forest 23 at   5 Clemson 36 172 93.8%
2019/11/30   5 Clemson 32 at  31 South Carolina 22 169 90.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 71.1%
Most difficult game left: November 30, at South Carolina Gamecocks, 90.3%


Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.954 4 0.552 49 32.5 2 10.4 9 163.9 96
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/31  55 Duke 3 vs   2 Alabama 42 159 93.7%
2019/09/07 129 New Mexico State 10 at   1 Alabama 62 162 99.8%
2019/09/14   2 Alabama 47 at  48 South Carolina 23 176 90.6%
2019/09/21  80 Southern Miss. 7 at   4 Alabama 49 139 97.8%
2019/09/28  73 Mississippi 31 at   4 Alabama 59 190 97.6%
2019/10/12   4 Alabama 36 at  22 Texas A&M 26 164 83.1%
2019/10/19 100 Tennessee 18 at   4 Alabama 44 163 98.7%
2019/10/26  88 Arkansas 21 at   4 Alabama 46 165 98.3%
2019/11/09   9 LSU 31 at   4 Alabama 38 167 73.0%
2019/11/16   4 Alabama 38 at  23 Mississippi State 26 161 89.0%
2019/11/30   4 Alabama 36 at  11 Auburn 28 167 74.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 39.0%
Most difficult game left: November 9, vs LSU Tigers, 73.0%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.974 1 0.603 29 32.4 3 8.3 5 169.4 57
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/31  65 FL-Atlantic 21 at   6 Ohio State 45 178 84.2%
2019/09/07  33 Cincinnati 0 at   7 Ohio State 42 156 84.7%
2019/09/14   4 Ohio State 51 at  52 Indiana 10 165 86.9%
2019/09/21  96 Miami-OH 5 at   5 Ohio State 76 166 98.5%
2019/09/28   2 Ohio State 48 at  48 Nebraska 7 152 92.4%
2019/10/05  19 Michigan State 10 at   1 Ohio State 34 169 92.6%
2019/10/18   1 Ohio State 36 at  49 Northwestern 20 172 94.0%
2019/10/26   2 Wisconsin 28 at   1 Ohio State 34 162 68.4%
2019/11/09  64 Maryland 21 at   1 Ohio State 42 169 97.5%
2019/11/16   1 Ohio State 45 at 129 Rutgers 12 165 99.9%
2019/11/23   3 Penn State 27 at   1 Ohio State 33 167 62.5%
2019/11/30   1 Ohio State 35 at   7 Michigan 26 167 77.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 30.2%
Most difficult game left: November 23, vs Penn State Nittany Lions, 62.5%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Georgia Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.936 6 0.551 50 25.3 7 9.3 6 156.4 122
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/31   3 Georgia 30 at  54 Vanderbilt 6 154 87.4%
2019/09/14  55 Arkansas State 0 at   6 Georgia 55 162 94.1%
2019/09/21  17 Notre Dame 17 at   2 Georgia 23 147 88.7%
2019/10/05   3 Georgia 43 at 108 Tennessee 14 160 98.0%
2019/10/12  31 South Carolina 21 at   6 Georgia 33 165 90.9%
2019/10/19  48 Kentucky 19 at   6 Georgia 33 158 94.2%
2019/11/02   6 Georgia 28 vs  14 Florida 24 157 71.2%
2019/11/09  13 Missouri 26 at   6 Georgia 31 164 74.7%
2019/11/16   6 Georgia 29 at  11 Auburn 26 164 67.3%
2019/11/23  22 Texas A&M 23 at   6 Georgia 31 161 83.8%
2019/11/30   6 Georgia 35 at  93 Georgia Tech 18 158 96.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 24.9%
Most difficult game left: November 16, at Auburn Tigers, 67.3%


Wisconsin Badgers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.966 2 0.432 87 28.1 4 7.9 3 154.6 128
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/30  24 Wisconsin 49 at  93 South Florida 0 155 84.8%
2019/09/07 114 Central Michigan 0 at   5 Wisconsin 61 152 98.8%
2019/09/21   9 Michigan 14 at   3 Wisconsin 35 158 82.9%
2019/09/28  55 Northwestern 15 at   3 Wisconsin 24 175 96.9%
2019/10/05 114 Kent State 0 at   4 Wisconsin 48 140 99.4%
2019/10/12  19 Michigan State 19 at   2 Wisconsin 32 160 92.4%
2019/10/19   2 Wisconsin 38 at  96 Illinois 20 164 97.5%
2019/10/26   2 Wisconsin 28 at   1 Ohio State 34 162 31.6%
2019/11/09   8 Iowa 20 at   2 Wisconsin 28 155 77.8%
2019/11/16   2 Wisconsin 37 at  65 Nebraska 21 164 96.2%
2019/11/23  74 Purdue 20 at   2 Wisconsin 38 165 97.3%
2019/11/30   2 Wisconsin 36 at  40 Minnesota 24 157 94.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 19.5%
Most difficult game left: October 26, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 31.6%


Appalachian State Mountaineers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.719 24 0.340 114 23.9 12 16.8 59 168.2 68
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/09/07 110 Charlotte 41 at  17 Appalachian State 56 168 96.1%
2019/09/21  25 Appalachian State 34 at  81 North Carolina 31 174 75.7%
2019/09/28  99 Coastal Carolina 37 at  27 Appalachian State 56 162 91.5%
2019/10/09  24 Appalachian State 35 at  67 LA-Lafayette 32 168 61.1%
2019/10/19  94 LA-Monroe 28 at  24 Appalachian State 43 171 90.1%
2019/10/26  24 Appalachian State 36 at 123 South Alabama 22 165 94.4%
2019/10/31 102 Georgia Southern 23 at  24 Appalachian State 37 160 92.2%
2019/11/09  24 Appalachian State 30 at  31 South Carolina 31 171 49.6%
2019/11/16  24 Appalachian State 43 at 115 Georgia State 27 169 92.7%
2019/11/23 119 Texas State 22 at  24 Appalachian State 37 169 94.8%
2019/11/29  24 Appalachian State 36 at  80 Troy 28 168 79.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 16.6%
Most difficult game left: November 9, at South Carolina Gamecocks, 49.6%


Boise State Broncos
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.704 28 0.347 112 18.1 53 13.1 21 166.4 82
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/31  19 Boise State 36 at  87 Florida State 31 201 83.3%
2019/09/06  63 Marshall 7 at  29 Boise State 14 144 81.0%
2019/09/20  61 Air Force 19 at  30 Boise State 30 142 77.8%
2019/10/05  26 Boise State 38 at 118 UNLV 13 185 92.5%
2019/10/12  72 Hawaii 26 at  28 Boise State 33 167 79.7%
2019/10/19  28 Boise State 28 at  75 BYU 25 166 65.9%
2019/11/02  28 Boise State 33 at 114 SJSU 22 170 89.5%
2019/11/09  45 Wyoming 25 at  28 Boise State 28 167 64.9%
2019/11/16 116 New Mexico 23 at  28 Boise State 39 167 93.4%
2019/11/23  28 Boise State 29 at  58 Utah State 26 174 65.1%
2019/11/29  28 Boise State 36 at 109 Colorado State 24 167 89.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 16.6%
Most difficult game left: November 9, vs Wyoming Cowboys, 64.9%


Penn State Nittany Lions
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.957 3 0.537 53 24.8 8 7.7 1 166.4 82
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/09/07  67 Buffalo 13 at   9 Penn State 45 165 92.3%
2019/09/14  54 Pittsburgh 10 at   7 Penn State 17 161 93.4%
2019/09/27   7 Penn State 59 at  32 Maryland 0 170 72.0%
2019/10/05  70 Purdue 7 at   6 Penn State 35 162 96.7%
2019/10/12   3 Penn State 25 at   8 Iowa 21 161 60.5%
2019/10/19   7 Michigan 24 at   3 Penn State 29 166 76.9%
2019/10/26   3 Penn State 28 at  19 Michigan State 21 165 79.5%
2019/11/09   3 Penn State 34 at  40 Minnesota 25 163 91.5%
2019/11/16  38 Indiana 23 at   3 Penn State 34 168 92.5%
2019/11/23   3 Penn State 27 at   1 Ohio State 33 167 37.5%
2019/11/30 129 Rutgers 12 at   3 Penn State 38 164 99.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 11.7%
Most difficult game left: November 23, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 37.5%


Oklahoma Sooners
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.869 12 0.553 48 32.6 1 16.0 52 159.2 114
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/09/01  77 Houston 31 at  15 Oklahoma 49 158 90.4%
2019/09/14  16 Oklahoma 48 at  88 UCLA 14 152 82.4%
2019/09/28  43 Texas Tech 16 at  11 Oklahoma 55 159 85.5%
2019/10/05  10 Oklahoma 45 at  92 Kansas 20 153 91.3%
2019/10/12  12 Oklahoma 39 vs  17 Texas 33 167 62.1%
2019/10/19  43 West Virginia 28 at  12 Oklahoma 43 167 87.1%
2019/10/26  12 Oklahoma 34 at  44 Kansas State 26 156 72.0%
2019/11/09  16 Iowa State 32 at  12 Oklahoma 38 162 61.8%
2019/11/16  12 Oklahoma 39 at  29 Baylor 29 166 74.7%
2019/11/23  27 TCU 29 at  12 Oklahoma 38 163 73.3%
2019/11/30  12 Oklahoma 42 at  33 Oklahoma State 33 171 76.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 10.1%
Most difficult game left: November 9, vs Iowa State Cyclones, 61.8%


Long Shots

LSU Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.901 9 0.581 37 27.8 5 12.1 15 171.3 47
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/31  57 Georgia Southern 3 at  11 LSU 55 151 80.6%
2019/09/07   3 LSU 45 at  21 Texas 38 180 66.5%
2019/09/21   6 LSU 66 at  78 Vanderbilt 38 182 89.9%
2019/10/05  34 Utah State 6 at  11 LSU 42 166 84.0%
2019/10/12  14 Florida 26 at   9 LSU 33 165 69.8%
2019/10/19   9 LSU 34 at  23 Mississippi State 29 165 68.4%
2019/10/26  11 Auburn 28 at   9 LSU 35 171 68.1%
2019/11/09   9 LSU 31 at   4 Alabama 38 167 27.0%
2019/11/16   9 LSU 37 at  47 Mississippi 25 174 86.0%
2019/11/23  88 Arkansas 24 at   9 LSU 41 169 94.2%
2019/11/30  22 Texas A&M 27 at   9 LSU 35 168 76.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-18.4
Most difficult game left: November 9, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 27.0%


Memphis Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.708 26 0.402 100 21.5 23 15.4 43 171.0 49
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/31  85 Mississippi 10 at  49 Memphis 15 158 63.8%
2019/09/14  43 Memphis 42 at 114 South Alabama 6 159 82.8%
2019/09/26  69 Navy 23 at  37 Memphis 35 148 75.9%
2019/10/05  29 Memphis 52 at 104 LA-Monroe 33 180 82.2%
2019/10/12  26 Memphis 30 at  57 Temple 28 176 55.9%
2019/10/19  32 Tulane 29 at  26 Memphis 33 172 66.0%
2019/10/26  26 Memphis 32 at  79 Tulsa 27 175 68.1%
2019/11/02  60 SMU 32 at  26 Memphis 37 177 70.1%
2019/11/16  26 Memphis 35 at  54 Houston 32 174 64.8%
2019/11/23  26 Memphis 35 at 111 South Florida 23 171 90.6%
2019/11/29  25 Cincinnati 28 at  26 Memphis 27 169 49.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-19.5
Most difficult game left: November 29, vs Cincinnati Bearcats, 49.6%


Florida Gators
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.855 14 0.647 14 21.4 25 11.0 12 159.2 114
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/24  43 Miami-FL 20 vs  19 Florida 24 150 70.2%
2019/09/14  29 Florida 29 at  30 Kentucky 21 155 36.2%
2019/09/21  94 Tennessee 3 at  23 Florida 34 146 92.0%
2019/10/05   8 Auburn 13 at  17 Florida 24 164 39.1%
2019/10/12  14 Florida 26 at   9 LSU 33 165 30.2%
2019/10/19  14 Florida 27 at  31 South Carolina 25 166 62.2%
2019/11/02   6 Georgia 28 vs  14 Florida 24 157 28.8%
2019/11/09  87 Vanderbilt 21 at  14 Florida 33 162 92.4%
2019/11/16  14 Florida 27 at  13 Missouri 28 165 50.0%
2019/11/30  62 Florida State 24 at  14 Florida 32 171 82.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-48.3
Most difficult game left: November 2, vs Georgia Bulldogs, 28.8%


Absolute Phonies

SMU Mustangs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.554 60 0.403 99 21.5 23 19.9 91 183.7 6
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/31  98 SMU 37 at  66 Arkansas State 30 197 30.1%
2019/09/07  79 North Texas 27 at  88 SMU 49 177 60.4%
2019/09/14 120 Texas State 17 at  62 SMU 47 175 94.1%
2019/09/21  67 SMU 41 at  26 TCU 38 190 15.3%
2019/09/28  52 SMU 48 at 113 South Florida 21 187 81.3%
2019/10/05  82 Tulsa 37 at  49 SMU 43 203 78.3%
2019/10/19  57 Temple 30 at  60 SMU 33 182 61.5%
2019/10/24  60 SMU 35 at  54 Houston 39 180 36.2%
2019/11/02  60 SMU 32 at  26 Memphis 37 177 29.9%
2019/11/09 121 East Carolina 27 at  60 SMU 41 179 92.1%
2019/11/23  60 SMU 32 at  56 Navy 34 167 48.7%
2019/11/30  32 Tulane 35 at  60 SMU 32 178 37.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-89.3
Most difficult game left: November 2, at Memphis Tigers, 29.9%


Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.692 29 0.485 71 19.9 39 14.7 32 173.5 34
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/09/07 125 UTSA 14 at  86 Baylor 63 158 92.7%
2019/09/21  48 Baylor 21 at 117 Rice 13 149 86.6%
2019/09/28  18 Iowa State 21 at  62 Baylor 23 179 26.1%
2019/10/05  54 Baylor 31 at  28 Kansas State 12 156 27.1%
2019/10/12  59 Texas Tech 27 at  29 Baylor 32 179 72.6%
2019/10/19  29 Baylor 31 at  33 Oklahoma State 34 179 40.0%
2019/10/31  43 West Virginia 29 at  29 Baylor 33 174 69.7%
2019/11/09  29 Baylor 29 at  27 TCU 30 171 43.7%
2019/11/16  12 Oklahoma 39 at  29 Baylor 29 166 25.3%
2019/11/23  17 Texas 33 at  29 Baylor 29 174 35.7%
2019/11/30  29 Baylor 32 at  95 Kansas 24 170 83.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-150.8
Most difficult game left: November 16, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 25.3%


What are YOU doing here??

Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.569 55 0.473 74 18.4 49 16.6 58 180.5 12
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/30  23 Utah State 35 at  68 Wake Forest 38 213 26.9%
2019/09/06  44 Wake Forest 41 at 120 Rice 21 160 84.5%
2019/09/13  78 North Carolina 18 at  56 Wake Forest 24 172 74.7%
2019/09/28  49 Wake Forest 27 at  83 Boston College 24 186 55.8%
2019/10/12  77 Louisville 30 at  55 Wake Forest 37 174 73.6%
2019/10/19  62 Florida State 29 at  55 Wake Forest 33 182 64.4%
2019/11/02  66 North Carolina State 28 at  55 Wake Forest 30 176 58.8%
2019/11/09  55 Wake Forest 34 at  86 Virginia Tech 30 176 65.1%
2019/11/16  55 Wake Forest 23 at   5 Clemson 36 172 6.2%
2019/11/23  42 Duke 30 at  55 Wake Forest 29 175 44.7%
2019/11/30  55 Wake Forest 32 at  73 Syracuse 30 182 60.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-330.9
Most difficult game left: November 16, at Clemson Tigers, 6.2%


Minnesota Golden Gophers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.635 40 0.474 73 23.0 16 18.7 72 159.7 111
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/09/07  38 Minnesota 38 at  27 Fresno State 35 163 29.6%
2019/09/14 109 Georgia Southern 32 at  32 Minnesota 35 149 93.8%
2019/09/28  40 Minnesota 38 at  64 Purdue 31 164 53.2%
2019/10/05  87 Illinois 17 at  42 Minnesota 40 165 80.8%
2019/10/12  65 Nebraska 29 at  40 Minnesota 34 167 69.5%
2019/10/19  40 Minnesota 34 at 129 Rutgers 21 160 95.5%
2019/10/26  64 Maryland 28 at  40 Minnesota 34 164 71.6%
2019/11/09   3 Penn State 34 at  40 Minnesota 25 163 8.5%
2019/11/16  40 Minnesota 24 at   8 Iowa 29 158 15.1%
2019/11/23  40 Minnesota 29 at  49 Northwestern 27 167 54.6%
2019/11/30   2 Wisconsin 36 at  40 Minnesota 24 157 5.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-5267.9
Most difficult game left: November 30, vs Wisconsin Badgers, 5.7%


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