Tuesday, November 5, 2019

Week 12: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2019-11-03

Legitimate Title Contenders

Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.961 2 0.490 70 25.8 6 7.7 2 164.1 92
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/29  63 Georgia Tech 14 at   1 Clemson 52 169 96.5%
2019/09/07  10 Texas A&M 10 at   2 Clemson 24 162 89.1%
2019/09/14   1 Clemson 41 at  57 Syracuse 6 176 93.2%
2019/09/21  91 Charlotte 10 at   1 Clemson 52 151 98.9%
2019/09/28   1 Clemson 21 at  81 North Carolina 20 149 97.0%
2019/10/12  62 Florida State 14 at   5 Clemson 45 180 96.1%
2019/10/19   4 Clemson 45 at  73 Louisville 10 161 93.5%
2019/10/26  81 Boston College 7 at   3 Clemson 59 173 98.0%
2019/11/09   2 Clemson 35 at  86 North Carolina State 18 167 97.3%
2019/11/16  49 Wake Forest 23 at   2 Clemson 37 175 94.7%
2019/11/30   2 Clemson 34 at  40 South Carolina 21 171 93.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 86.3%
Most difficult game left: November 30, at South Carolina Gamecocks, 93.7%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.983 1 0.635 16 34.9 1 7.6 1 167.6 70
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/31  65 FL-Atlantic 21 at   6 Ohio State 45 178 84.2%
2019/09/07  33 Cincinnati 0 at   7 Ohio State 42 156 84.7%
2019/09/14   4 Ohio State 51 at  52 Indiana 10 165 86.9%
2019/09/21  96 Miami-OH 5 at   5 Ohio State 76 166 98.5%
2019/09/28   2 Ohio State 48 at  48 Nebraska 7 152 92.4%
2019/10/05  19 Michigan State 10 at   1 Ohio State 34 169 92.6%
2019/10/18   2 Ohio State 52 at  44 Northwestern 3 161 93.3%
2019/10/26   2 Wisconsin 7 at   1 Ohio State 38 145 74.9%
2019/11/09 100 Maryland 18 at   1 Ohio State 46 167 99.3%
2019/11/16   1 Ohio State 47 at 129 Rutgers 12 163 100.0%
2019/11/23   3 Penn State 27 at   1 Ohio State 36 169 72.3%
2019/11/30   1 Ohio State 37 at   7 Michigan 27 167 84.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 60.7%
Most difficult game left: November 23, vs Penn State Nittany Lions, 72.3%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.948 4 0.522 59 31.2 2 10.4 10 160.8 104
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/31  55 Duke 3 vs   2 Alabama 42 159 93.7%
2019/09/07 129 New Mexico State 10 at   1 Alabama 62 162 99.8%
2019/09/14   2 Alabama 47 at  48 South Carolina 23 176 90.6%
2019/09/21  80 Southern Miss. 7 at   4 Alabama 49 139 97.8%
2019/09/28  73 Mississippi 31 at   4 Alabama 59 190 97.6%
2019/10/12   4 Alabama 47 at  22 Texas A&M 28 164 83.1%
2019/10/19  87 Tennessee 13 at   5 Alabama 35 148 98.2%
2019/10/26 101 Arkansas 7 at   5 Alabama 48 146 98.3%
2019/11/09  10 LSU 30 at   4 Alabama 36 166 73.1%
2019/11/16   4 Alabama 38 at  36 Mississippi State 25 158 90.8%
2019/11/30   4 Alabama 34 at  11 Auburn 26 167 72.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 47.8%
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Auburn Tigers, 72.0%


Long Shots

Penn State Nittany Lions
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.956 3 0.659 6 25.2 8 7.9 4 171.6 47
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/09/07  67 Buffalo 13 at   9 Penn State 45 165 92.3%
2019/09/14  54 Pittsburgh 10 at   7 Penn State 17 161 93.4%
2019/09/27   7 Penn State 59 at  32 Maryland 0 170 72.0%
2019/10/05  70 Purdue 7 at   6 Penn State 35 162 96.7%
2019/10/12   3 Penn State 17 at   8 Iowa 12 175 60.5%
2019/10/19   8 Michigan 21 at   3 Penn State 28 165 79.9%
2019/10/26   4 Penn State 28 at  34 Michigan State 7 172 83.3%
2019/11/09   3 Penn State 32 at  18 Minnesota 26 164 84.0%
2019/11/16  24 Indiana 24 at   3 Penn State 33 169 89.5%
2019/11/23   3 Penn State 27 at   1 Ohio State 36 169 27.7%
2019/11/30 129 Rutgers 13 at   3 Penn State 40 165 99.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 20.8%
Most difficult game left: November 23, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 27.7%


LSU Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.891 10 0.649 13 26.9 4 12.3 12 172.4 41
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/31  57 Georgia Southern 3 at  11 LSU 55 151 80.6%
2019/09/07   3 LSU 45 at  21 Texas 38 180 66.5%
2019/09/21   6 LSU 66 at  78 Vanderbilt 38 182 89.9%
2019/10/05  34 Utah State 6 at  11 LSU 42 166 84.0%
2019/10/12  14 Florida 28 at   9 LSU 42 155 69.8%
2019/10/19   9 LSU 36 at  34 Mississippi State 13 155 74.4%
2019/10/26   8 Auburn 20 at   7 LSU 23 196 63.7%
2019/11/09  10 LSU 30 at   4 Alabama 36 166 26.9%
2019/11/16  10 LSU 37 at  53 Mississippi 25 175 88.0%
2019/11/23 110 Arkansas 23 at  10 LSU 41 167 95.7%
2019/11/30  23 Texas A&M 29 at  10 LSU 35 169 74.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 16.9%
Most difficult game left: November 9, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 26.9%


What are YOU doing here??

Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.678 29 0.493 68 19.1 44 14.4 28 175.2 25
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/09/07 125 UTSA 14 at  86 Baylor 63 158 92.7%
2019/09/21  48 Baylor 21 at 117 Rice 13 149 86.6%
2019/09/28  18 Iowa State 21 at  62 Baylor 23 179 26.1%
2019/10/05  54 Baylor 31 at  28 Kansas State 12 156 27.1%
2019/10/12  59 Texas Tech 30 at  29 Baylor 33 194 72.6%
2019/10/19  33 Baylor 45 at  36 Oklahoma State 27 169 42.5%
2019/10/31  74 West Virginia 14 at  29 Baylor 17 179 83.3%
2019/11/09  29 Baylor 28 at  35 TCU 29 171 47.6%
2019/11/16  13 Oklahoma 38 at  29 Baylor 30 168 30.0%
2019/11/23  30 Texas 31 at  29 Baylor 33 178 50.0%
2019/11/30  29 Baylor 33 at  97 Kansas 25 173 81.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-17.2
Most difficult game left: November 16, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 30.0%


Minnesota Golden Gophers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.777 18 0.424 96 23.7 13 14.8 32 157.9 117
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/09/07  38 Minnesota 38 at  27 Fresno State 35 163 29.6%
2019/09/14 109 Georgia Southern 32 at  32 Minnesota 35 149 93.8%
2019/09/28  40 Minnesota 38 at  64 Purdue 31 164 53.2%
2019/10/05  87 Illinois 17 at  42 Minnesota 40 165 80.8%
2019/10/12  65 Nebraska 7 at  40 Minnesota 34 157 69.5%
2019/10/19  30 Minnesota 42 at 131 Rutgers 7 154 97.9%
2019/10/26  75 Maryland 10 at  26 Minnesota 52 145 84.5%
2019/11/09   3 Penn State 32 at  18 Minnesota 26 164 16.0%
2019/11/16  18 Minnesota 24 at   9 Iowa 26 158 28.3%
2019/11/23  18 Minnesota 31 at 108 Northwestern 20 165 90.3%
2019/11/30   5 Wisconsin 32 at  18 Minnesota 25 155 17.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-142.2
Most difficult game left: November 9, vs Penn State Nittany Lions, 16.0%


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