Tuesday, November 19, 2019

Week 14: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2019-11-17

Legitimate Title Contenders

Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.970 1 0.475 72 27.2 5 7.3 1 162.3 101
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/29  63 Georgia Tech 14 at   1 Clemson 52 169 96.5%
2019/09/07  10 Texas A&M 10 at   2 Clemson 24 162 89.1%
2019/09/14   1 Clemson 41 at  57 Syracuse 6 176 93.2%
2019/09/21  91 Charlotte 10 at   1 Clemson 52 151 98.9%
2019/09/28   1 Clemson 21 at  81 North Carolina 20 149 97.0%
2019/10/12  62 Florida State 14 at   5 Clemson 45 180 96.1%
2019/10/19   4 Clemson 45 at  73 Louisville 10 161 93.5%
2019/10/26  81 Boston College 7 at   3 Clemson 59 173 98.0%
2019/11/09   2 Clemson 55 at  86 North Carolina State 10 166 97.3%
2019/11/16  59 Wake Forest 3 at   2 Clemson 52 151 95.9%
2019/11/30   1 Clemson 35 at  45 South Carolina 19 170 96.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 96.1%
Most difficult game left: November 30, at South Carolina Gamecocks, 96.1%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

LSU Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.888 10 0.700 6 30.4 4 14.0 23 173.8 29
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/31  57 Georgia Southern 3 at  11 LSU 55 151 80.6%
2019/09/07   3 LSU 45 at  21 Texas 38 180 66.5%
2019/09/21   6 LSU 66 at  78 Vanderbilt 38 182 89.9%
2019/10/05  34 Utah State 6 at  11 LSU 42 166 84.0%
2019/10/12  14 Florida 28 at   9 LSU 42 155 69.8%
2019/10/19   9 LSU 36 at  34 Mississippi State 13 155 74.4%
2019/10/26   8 Auburn 20 at   7 LSU 23 196 63.7%
2019/11/09  10 LSU 46 at   4 Alabama 41 175 26.9%
2019/11/16   9 LSU 58 at  46 Mississippi 37 178 86.2%
2019/11/23 111 Arkansas 24 at  10 LSU 45 168 96.2%
2019/11/30  18 Texas A&M 30 at  10 LSU 37 170 69.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 66.8%
Most difficult game left: November 30, vs Texas A&M Aggies, 69.4%


Long Shots

Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.969 2 0.541 52 33.7 1 9.3 5 170.8 53
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/31  65 FL-Atlantic 21 at   6 Ohio State 45 178 84.2%
2019/09/07  33 Cincinnati 0 at   7 Ohio State 42 156 84.7%
2019/09/14   4 Ohio State 51 at  52 Indiana 10 165 86.9%
2019/09/21  96 Miami-OH 5 at   5 Ohio State 76 166 98.5%
2019/09/28   2 Ohio State 48 at  48 Nebraska 7 152 92.4%
2019/10/05  19 Michigan State 10 at   1 Ohio State 34 169 92.6%
2019/10/18   2 Ohio State 52 at  44 Northwestern 3 161 93.3%
2019/10/26   2 Wisconsin 7 at   1 Ohio State 38 145 74.9%
2019/11/09 100 Maryland 14 at   1 Ohio State 73 177 99.3%
2019/11/16   1 Ohio State 56 at 129 Rutgers 21 176 99.9%
2019/11/23   8 Penn State 27 at   2 Ohio State 36 170 73.2%
2019/11/30   2 Ohio State 36 at   7 Michigan 28 168 73.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 53.7%
Most difficult game left: November 23, vs Penn State Nittany Lions, 73.2%



One-Loss Hopefuls
Odds as of games through 2019-11-17

Utah Utes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.928 5 0.533 58 23.9 12 9.2 4 156.1 124
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/29  30 Utah 30 at  48 BYU 12 141 65.0%
2019/09/07  94 Northern Ill. 17 at  20 Utah 35 135 92.8%
2019/09/20  27 Utah 23 at  31 USC 30 164 44.7%
2019/09/28  29 Washington State 13 at  28 Utah 38 157 61.0%
2019/10/12  21 Utah 52 at  84 Oregon State 7 152 76.4%
2019/10/19  37 Arizona State 3 at  17 Utah 21 146 82.5%
2019/10/26  60 California 0 at  12 Utah 35 137 91.1%
2019/11/02   7 Utah 33 at  18 Washington 28 166 73.4%
2019/11/16  66 UCLA 3 at   8 Utah 49 151 90.6%
2019/11/23   5 Utah 37 at  95 Arizona 21 167 96.5%
2019/11/30  91 Colorado 19 at   5 Utah 34 163 96.2%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 92.8%
Most difficult game left: November 30, vs Colorado Buffaloes, 96.2%


Oregon Ducks
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.877 13 0.536 56 23.4 15 11.1 11 170.8 51
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/31  43 Oregon 21 vs   7 Auburn 27 176 22.3%
2019/09/07  76 Nevada 6 at  37 Oregon 77 174 81.2%
2019/09/21  18 Oregon 21 at  39 Stanford 6 141 60.9%
2019/10/05  44 California 7 at  14 Oregon 17 166 82.5%
2019/10/11  69 Colorado 3 at  15 Oregon 45 174 89.0%
2019/10/19  10 Oregon 35 at  18 Washington 31 167 56.0%
2019/10/26  35 Washington State 35 at  14 Oregon 37 170 84.7%
2019/11/02  12 Oregon 56 at  26 USC 24 174 63.7%
2019/11/16  90 Arizona 6 at  13 Oregon 34 164 92.2%
2019/11/23  13 Oregon 34 at  66 Arizona State 23 167 88.7%
2019/11/30  88 Oregon State 24 at  13 Oregon 38 172 93.0%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 82.5%
Most difficult game left: November 23, at Arizona State Sun Devils, 88.7%


Georgia Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.946 4 0.639 15 23.2 16 7.9 2 158.5 114
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/31   3 Georgia 30 at  54 Vanderbilt 6 154 87.4%
2019/09/14  55 Arkansas State 0 at   6 Georgia 55 162 94.1%
2019/09/21  17 Notre Dame 17 at   2 Georgia 23 147 88.7%
2019/10/05   3 Georgia 43 at 108 Tennessee 14 160 98.0%
2019/10/12  31 South Carolina 20 at   6 Georgia 17 194 90.9%
2019/10/19  63 Kentucky 0 at   6 Georgia 21 129 93.5%
2019/11/02   6 Georgia 24 vs  16 Florida 17 141 76.8%
2019/11/09  34 Missouri 0 at   6 Georgia 27 151 89.1%
2019/11/16   3 Georgia 21 at  11 Auburn 14 181 70.8%
2019/11/23  18 Texas A&M 24 at   4 Georgia 30 162 83.2%
2019/11/30   4 Georgia 34 at 106 Georgia Tech 17 158 97.8%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 81.4%
Most difficult game left: November 23, vs Texas A&M Aggies, 83.2%


Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.947 3 0.587 35 31.3 2 10.6 10 161.2 104
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/08/31  55 Duke 3 vs   2 Alabama 42 159 93.7%
2019/09/07 129 New Mexico State 10 at   1 Alabama 62 162 99.8%
2019/09/14   2 Alabama 47 at  48 South Carolina 23 176 90.6%
2019/09/21  80 Southern Miss. 7 at   4 Alabama 49 139 97.8%
2019/09/28  73 Mississippi 31 at   4 Alabama 59 190 97.6%
2019/10/12   4 Alabama 47 at  22 Texas A&M 28 164 83.1%
2019/10/19  87 Tennessee 13 at   5 Alabama 35 148 98.2%
2019/10/26 101 Arkansas 7 at   5 Alabama 48 146 98.3%
2019/11/09  10 LSU 46 at   4 Alabama 41 175 73.1%
2019/11/16   4 Alabama 38 at  33 Mississippi State 7 139 89.5%
2019/11/30   3 Alabama 34 at  12 Auburn 26 168 70.3%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 70.3%
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Auburn Tigers, 70.3%


Oklahoma Sooners
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.811 15 0.574 38 30.8 3 17.8 66 164.2 91
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/09/01  77 Houston 31 at  15 Oklahoma 49 158 90.4%
2019/09/14  16 Oklahoma 48 at  88 UCLA 14 152 82.4%
2019/09/28  43 Texas Tech 16 at  11 Oklahoma 55 159 85.5%
2019/10/05  10 Oklahoma 45 at  92 Kansas 20 153 91.3%
2019/10/12  12 Oklahoma 34 vs  17 Texas 27 169 62.1%
2019/10/19  56 West Virginia 14 at  13 Oklahoma 52 154 88.6%
2019/10/26  13 Oklahoma 41 at  38 Kansas State 48 153 71.1%
2019/11/09  19 Iowa State 41 at  13 Oklahoma 42 167 63.3%
2019/11/16  15 Oklahoma 34 at  31 Baylor 31 168 69.2%
2019/11/23  36 TCU 30 at  15 Oklahoma 39 167 72.2%
2019/11/30  15 Oklahoma 41 at  33 Oklahoma State 33 172 69.5%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 50.2%
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Oklahoma State Cowboys, 69.5%


Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.685 30 0.547 50 18.9 43 14.1 25 178.0 17
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/09/07 125 UTSA 14 at  86 Baylor 63 158 92.7%
2019/09/21  48 Baylor 21 at 117 Rice 13 149 86.6%
2019/09/28  18 Iowa State 21 at  62 Baylor 23 179 26.1%
2019/10/05  54 Baylor 31 at  28 Kansas State 12 156 27.1%
2019/10/12  59 Texas Tech 30 at  29 Baylor 33 194 72.6%
2019/10/19  33 Baylor 45 at  36 Oklahoma State 27 169 42.5%
2019/10/31  74 West Virginia 14 at  29 Baylor 17 179 83.3%
2019/11/09  29 Baylor 29 at  35 TCU 23 190 47.6%
2019/11/16  15 Oklahoma 34 at  31 Baylor 31 168 30.8%
2019/11/23  31 Texas 31 at  30 Baylor 32 178 51.0%
2019/11/30  30 Baylor 33 at 105 Kansas 24 174 84.1%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 42.9%
Most difficult game left: November 23, vs Texas Longhorns, 51.0%


Penn State Nittany Lions
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.919 8 0.673 9 23.5 14 9.4 6 169.7 60
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/09/07  67 Buffalo 13 at   9 Penn State 45 165 92.3%
2019/09/14  54 Pittsburgh 10 at   7 Penn State 17 161 93.4%
2019/09/27   7 Penn State 59 at  32 Maryland 0 170 72.0%
2019/10/05  70 Purdue 7 at   6 Penn State 35 162 96.7%
2019/10/12   3 Penn State 17 at   8 Iowa 12 175 60.5%
2019/10/19   8 Michigan 21 at   3 Penn State 28 165 79.9%
2019/10/26   4 Penn State 28 at  34 Michigan State 7 172 83.3%
2019/11/09   3 Penn State 26 at  18 Minnesota 31 155 84.0%
2019/11/16  27 Indiana 27 at   6 Penn State 34 161 85.9%
2019/11/23   8 Penn State 27 at   2 Ohio State 36 170 26.8%
2019/11/30 125 Rutgers 15 at   8 Penn State 38 165 99.1%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 26.6%
Most difficult game left: November 23, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 26.8%


Minnesota Golden Gophers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2019 0.807 16 0.541 51 25.0 7 14.6 34 156.6 123
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2019/09/07  38 Minnesota 38 at  27 Fresno State 35 163 29.6%
2019/09/14 109 Georgia Southern 32 at  32 Minnesota 35 149 93.8%
2019/09/28  40 Minnesota 38 at  64 Purdue 31 164 53.2%
2019/10/05  87 Illinois 17 at  42 Minnesota 40 165 80.8%
2019/10/12  65 Nebraska 7 at  40 Minnesota 34 157 69.5%
2019/10/19  30 Minnesota 42 at 131 Rutgers 7 154 97.9%
2019/10/26  75 Maryland 10 at  26 Minnesota 52 145 84.5%
2019/11/09   3 Penn State 26 at  18 Minnesota 31 155 16.0%
2019/11/16  16 Minnesota 19 at  10 Iowa 23 143 33.3%
2019/11/23  16 Minnesota 31 at 101 Northwestern 20 163 90.5%
2019/11/30   6 Wisconsin 31 at  16 Minnesota 27 154 24.6%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 22.3%
Most difficult game left: November 30, vs Wisconsin Badgers, 24.6%


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